Live-Threat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

47.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$207

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$28

1 position

First seen

2026-05-07

last 05-08 10:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 14% $-23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down		+49	$25	57¢	$28	+$3	05-08 10:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	2	$33	28	28	+0	Down	+$13	05-07 09:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	1	$25	49	0	+49	open	—	05-08 10:11
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	1	$11	0	12	-12	open	—	05-08 09:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	1	$11	18	0	+18	open	—	05-08 09:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	2	$11	18	0	+18	open	—	05-08 07:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-08 08:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	1	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	05-08 09:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	1	$10	18	0	+18	Up	$-10	05-07 09:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	05-08 09:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	05-08 07:25
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	05-08 09:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	1	$10	21	0	+21	Up	$-10	05-07 09:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	05-08 08:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	1	$9	0	10	-10	open	—	05-08 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-08 09:00
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	Up	$-5	05-08 05:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	$-5	05-07 09:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	1	$5	16	0	+16	Down	$-5	05-08 05:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-08 07:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	$-1	05-08 05:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 10:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xc22632…
05-08 09:31:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x8689ed…
05-08 09:20:54	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xe06ef3…
05-08 09:19:58	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	12	96¢	$11	0xc710aa…
05-08 09:11:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	60¢	$11	0x9fde46…
05-08 09:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xa282e5…
05-08 09:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xc20140…
05-08 08:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x36535f…
05-08 08:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xfbf010…
05-08 08:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x10c4ec…
05-08 07:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xad58a5…
05-08 07:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xeacac3…
05-08 07:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xf633e5…
05-08 07:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x37b04e…
05-08 07:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$9	0x489277…
05-08 05:28:58	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x4a5196…
05-08 05:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x15c286…
05-08 05:07:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x65fa8b…
05-07 09:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x789622…
05-07 09:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	28	83¢	$23	0xadb2cb…
05-07 09:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xc6411a…
05-07 09:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xffeef7…
05-07 09:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x238856…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	17	$6.44K	256	05-08 10:14
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	16	$866	55	05-08 10:10
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	15	$10.0K	301	05-08 10:14
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	15	$2.52K	255	05-08 10:12
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	13	$4.62K	57	05-08 10:13
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	13	$1.10K	101	05-08 10:12
Equal-Renaissance 0x1c4e…4150	13	$673	156	05-08 10:13
Questionable-Miter 0x7b55…8f95	13	$510	134	05-08 10:11