Crafty-Appendix — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.2%

Resolved

Trades

34,658

lifetime

Volume

$29.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 05-08 09:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 15% $-1

Other

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 3468 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1774911600	44	$367	1,628	1,412	+216	open	—	03-30 23:13
bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 4pm et	95	$331	1,293	1,195	+98	open	—	03-30 20:59
bitcoin above 70k on march 20	143	$295	1,035	1,177	-142	open	—	03-20 15:59
bitcoin up or down march 19 2026 2pm et	61	$212	806	583	+223	open	—	03-19 18:59
btc updown 4h 1774915200	39	$212	1,599	1,271	+328	open	—	03-31 03:47
btc updown 4h 1774886400	40	$204	1,353	962	+391	open	—	03-30 19:45
btc updown 15m 1773959400	157	$178	5,738	3,343	+2,394	open	—	03-19 22:46
btc updown 15m 1773939600	157	$171	5,232	3,514	+1,718	open	—	03-19 17:14
bitcoin up or down march 19 2026 3pm et	30	$171	1,361	1,287	+74	open	—	03-19 19:56
eth updown 15m 1773947700	63	$159	349	162	+187	open	—	03-19 19:29
bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 10am et	74	$153	374	196	+178	open	—	03-20 14:59
eth updown 15m 1773957600	33	$145	167	85	+83	open	—	03-19 22:15
btc updown 4h 1773936000	26	$141	1,109	2,390	-1,281	open	—	03-19 19:46
btc updown 5m 1774929600	55	$138	584	347	+237	open	—	03-31 04:04
eth updown 15m 1773954900	187	$133	2,088	534	+1,554	open	—	03-19 21:29
bitcoin above 74k on march 16	134	$131	1,922	2,187	-265	open	—	03-16 16:41
btc updown 15m 1774013400	28	$131	807	1,573	-766	open	—	03-20 13:41
eth updown 15m 1773855000	33	$129	177	211	-34	open	—	03-18 17:43
btc updown 5m 1774008000	36	$128	130	82	+48	open	—	03-20 12:04
btc updown 15m 1774878300	26	$127	126	75	+50	open	—	03-30 13:57
bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 1am et	37	$125	1,094	1,347	-254	open	—	03-21 06:00
bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 5pm et	355	$123	4,788	5,403	-615	open	—	03-30 21:58
eth updown 15m 1773936900	43	$121	188	112	+75	open	—	03-19 16:29
xrp updown 15m 1773955800	62	$120	214	204	+10	open	—	03-19 21:44
xrp up or down march 19 2026 5pm et	26	$119	301	215	+86	open	—	03-19 21:57
btc updown 15m 1773937800	45	$118	280	175	+105	open	—	03-19 16:45
btc updown 15m 1774925100	25	$109	127	74	+53	open	—	03-31 02:59
sol updown 5m 1774011900	31	$105	84	73	+11	open	—	03-20 13:11
solana up or down march 30 2026 9am et	14	$105	135	134	+1	open	—	03-30 13:43
ethereum up or down march 19 2026 11am et	48	$104	140	85	+55	open	—	03-19 16:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 09:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf7c1f7…
05-08 09:30:01	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x220bc5…
05-08 09:30:00	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	0	39¢	$0	0xfff659…
05-08 09:30:00	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x8639d7…
05-08 09:29:42	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x7a1f34…
05-08 09:29:21	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xec2584…
05-08 08:04:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xa3db71…
05-08 08:03:38	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x211722…
05-08 08:03:33	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x05acea…
05-08 08:03:06	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x6f6ef2…
05-08 08:02:49	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xf64193…
05-08 08:02:47	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x659168…
05-08 08:02:26	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x730fcf…
05-08 08:00:03	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x3650ca…
05-08 07:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	22	2¢	$0	0x6e3064…
05-08 07:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x1342c7…
05-08 07:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xa88006…
05-08 07:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x3bc6c8…
05-08 07:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa1dede…
05-08 07:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xe3d330…
05-08 07:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x689fa9…
05-08 07:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x344377…
05-08 07:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x663622…
05-08 07:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x4a8a7d…
05-08 07:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x7bdc59…
05-08 07:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0x070745…
05-08 07:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa530bd…
05-08 07:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x25754e…
05-08 07:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xf53545…
05-08 07:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xb83335…
05-08 07:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x5c2cfa…
05-08 07:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x4fc171…
05-08 07:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x4c851b…
05-08 07:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0xf4dfd4…
05-08 07:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x842468…
05-08 07:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0xb1f7fa…
05-08 07:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0xdf8f7f…
05-08 07:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x4696cc…
05-08 07:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x058018…
05-08 07:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xebfc9e…
05-08 07:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x88057c…
05-07 23:04:33	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x490842…
05-07 22:14:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xbc4e9f…
05-07 22:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5a42a1…
05-07 22:04:28	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xd8a987…
05-07 22:04:28	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x90efbe…
05-07 22:04:24	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xadcb51…
05-07 22:04:03	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xd0392a…
05-07 22:04:03	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xbc1189…
05-07 21:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x750fb5…
05-07 21:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x57d86b…
05-07 21:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0xdca459…
05-07 21:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xee0cb1…
04-13 22:24:35	will bitcoin reach 78k on april 13	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x88f1fb…
04-13 12:27:27	will bitcoin reach 78k on april 13	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x65a5f3…
04-13 11:40:39	will bitcoin reach 78k on april 13	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x2a6b83…
04-13 11:27:47	will bitcoin reach 78k on april 13	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x0f55f3…
04-13 11:13:53	will bitcoin reach 78k on april 13	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x5aebe0…
04-13 10:58:29	ethereum up or down april 13 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x9ea93e…
04-13 08:59:21	ethereum up or down april 13 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xcc71bd…
04-13 08:58:51	ethereum up or down april 13 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x7e3578…
04-13 08:58:49	ethereum up or down april 13 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xe12eb4…
04-13 08:58:03	ethereum up or down april 13 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x34b1be…
04-13 08:57:39	ethereum up or down april 13 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x2ba8c5…
04-08 07:41:41	btc updown 15m 1775633400	Up	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x3e78ed…
04-08 07:31:01	will bitcoin reach 72k on april 8	No	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0x88e8dc…
04-08 05:55:37	sol updown 15m 1775627100	Up	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0xf0dc1e…
04-08 05:54:09	ethereum up or down april 8 2026 1am et	Down	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x941a02…
04-08 05:53:41	ethereum up or down april 8 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xbfcd85…
04-08 05:51:27	xrp up or down april 8 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x024d5a…
04-08 05:51:11	xrp up or down april 8 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	54	0¢	$0	0x6b8cc6…
04-08 05:51:11	bitcoin up or down april 8 2026 1am et	Down	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x232726…
04-08 05:51:07	xrp up or down april 8 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x4ec0b9…
04-08 05:50:57	xrp up or down april 8 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x675420…
04-08 05:50:19	xrp up or down april 8 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xadb336…
04-08 05:50:19	xrp up or down april 8 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x4f7591…
04-08 05:50:09	bitcoin up or down april 8 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xbbbf80…
04-08 05:48:17	bitcoin up or down april 8 2026 1am et	Down	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x9b7136…
04-08 05:48:11	bitcoin up or down april 8 2026 1am et	Down	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x71a1f7…
04-08 05:47:49	bitcoin up or down april 8 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x797f24…
04-08 05:46:33	btc updown 5m 1775627100	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x8dd2a7…
04-08 05:46:11	btc updown 5m 1775627100	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xe82aeb…
04-08 05:41:53	xrp updown 5m 1775626800	Down	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0xe679f3…
04-08 05:41:31	xrp updown 5m 1775626800	Down	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x9631e5…
04-08 05:40:19	xrp updown 5m 1775626800	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xac3e92…
04-08 05:38:49	xrp updown 5m 1775626500	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb1b388…
04-08 05:37:19	xrp updown 5m 1775626500	Down	SELL	0	25¢	$0	0x7873fa…
04-08 05:37:17	xrp updown 5m 1775626500	Down	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x3aff82…
04-08 05:36:37	xrp updown 5m 1775626500	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xcdd6f4…
04-08 05:34:27	xrp updown 5m 1775626200	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xde03ce…
04-08 05:33:59	xrp updown 5m 1775626200	Down	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x45ca94…
04-08 05:33:05	xrp updown 5m 1775626200	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x9b95c3…
04-08 05:32:33	xrp updown 5m 1775626200	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xafc3cb…
04-08 05:32:19	xrp updown 5m 1775626200	Up	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x0bebe6…
04-08 05:31:37	xrp updown 5m 1775626200	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xefedbe…
04-08 05:29:49	xrp updown 5m 1775625900	Up	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x956702…
04-08 05:28:57	xrp updown 5m 1775625900	Up	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xe1e9c4…
04-08 05:28:05	xrp updown 5m 1775625900	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x15affc…
04-08 05:27:57	xrp updown 5m 1775625900	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xcb88f3…
04-08 05:27:31	xrp updown 5m 1775625900	Up	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xaff1d1…