Murky-Screwup — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$409

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

70.6%

Resolved

2,254

Trades

2,805

lifetime

Volume

$18.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 11-08 10:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 249 days

Categories

Other

99% 68% -$413

Sports

1% 100% +$2

Politics

1% 33% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 8?	No		+4	$3	100¢	$4	+$1	11-08 10:39
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C on November 8?	No		+4	$3	86¢	$3	+$0	11-08 08:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C or below on June 3?	5	$132	167	167	+0	Yes	+$103	06-02 21:49
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$102	2,381	2,381	+0	No	+$2	07-02 01:34
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	3	$61	1,004	1,004	+0	No	+$21	01-21 16:55
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$59	228	228	+0	No	+$19	02-09 04:03
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C or higher on May 25?	2	$56	60	60	+0	No	+$28	05-25 00:52
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on May 29?	2	$52	32	32	+0	No	+$13	05-29 23:21
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 30?	2	$50	31	31	+0	No	+$12	05-30 21:16
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on May 28?	2	$49	29	29	+0	No	+$10	05-29 02:02
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on May 30?	2	$49	29	29	+0	No	+$10	05-30 12:28
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 30?	2	$48	28	28	+0	No	+$8	05-30 16:07
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on May 31?	2	$48	29	29	+0	No	+$9	05-31 02:44
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 28?	2	$48	28	28	+0	No	+$9	05-29 02:02
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 30?	2	$48	28	28	+0	No	+$9	05-30 19:39
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 29?	2	$47	28	28	+0	No	+$8	05-29 23:21
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 28?	2	$46	27	27	+0	No	+$8	05-29 02:03
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 31?	2	$46	27	27	+0	No	+$7	05-31 02:44
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 30?	3	$46	26	26	+0	No	+$6	05-30 19:40
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 27?	2	$46	27	27	+0	No	+$7	05-26 21:51
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on May 28?	3	$46	26	26	+0	No	+$6	05-29 11:05
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on May 29?	2	$46	26	26	+0	No	+$6	05-29 23:22
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 28?	2	$45	26	26	+0	No	+$6	05-29 02:02
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on May 28?	2	$45	25	25	+0	No	+$5	05-29 11:18
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on May 28?	3	$45	25	25	+0	No	+$5	05-29 11:17
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 29?	2	$45	25	25	+0	No	+$5	05-29 11:07
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on May 29?	4	$45	25	25	+0	No	+$5	05-29 23:22
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 29?	2	$45	25	25	+0	No	+$5	05-29 23:21
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on May 28?	2	$45	25	25	+0	No	+$6	05-29 11:06
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on May 29?	2	$45	25	25	+0	No	+$6	05-29 11:05
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on May 30?	2	$45	25	25	+0	No	+$5	05-30 13:12
highest temperature in london on march 2 2026 15c	5	$37	25	25	+0	No	+$6	03-02 12:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 10:39:46	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 8?	No	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x0c8035…
11-08 08:58:31	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C on November 8?	No	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x2fcba3…
11-07 19:52:58	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 68-69°F on November 7?	No	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x3041a3…
11-07 04:07:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on November 7?	No	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x3b4941…
11-06 20:56:13	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on November 6?	No	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x87f28c…
11-06 16:58:10	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on November 6?	No	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xfb8b6d…
11-06 15:05:43	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on November 6?	No	BUY	16	74¢	$12	0x5ef304…
11-06 00:58:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on November 6?	No	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x18a26d…
11-05 21:33:12	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on November 5?	No	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x5e060c…
11-05 20:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on November 5?	No	BUY	18	65¢	$12	0xf5a4f9…
11-05 16:02:57	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on November 5?	No	BUY	17	69¢	$12	0x7665f1…
11-05 14:45:01	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on November 5?	No	BUY	16	77¢	$12	0xe7d3a7…
11-05 13:55:09	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on November 5?	No	BUY	17	69¢	$12	0xf071fe…
11-05 13:51:15	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on November 5?	No	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x107d1b…
11-05 07:04:40	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on November 5?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x624a87…
11-05 05:24:18	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on November 5?	No	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x9cde7a…
11-05 04:19:15	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on November 5?	No	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x437567…
11-05 03:37:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on November 5?	No	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x35e233…
11-05 02:17:54	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 14°C on November 5?	No	BUY	9	82¢	$8	0xb8354b…
11-05 02:16:55	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 14°C on November 5?	No	BUY	3	82¢	$2	0x14c60a…
11-05 01:50:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on November 5?	No	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x7fe02b…
11-04 21:17:13	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on November 4?	No	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x1dffed…
11-04 21:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on November 4?	No	BUY	17	72¢	$12	0xcd43a6…
11-04 18:05:12	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on November 4?	No	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xb818bb…
11-04 16:09:01	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on November 4?	No	BUY	15	78¢	$12	0xa1fb88…
11-04 11:22:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C on November 4?	No	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x95e956…
11-04 08:27:18	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on November 4?	No	BUY	17	69¢	$12	0xe8d854…
11-04 07:03:37	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on November 4?	No	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x96ccbb…
11-03 21:03:22	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on November 3?	No	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x157bda…
11-03 19:57:16	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on November 3?	No	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x028bc0…
11-03 19:20:15	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on November 3?	No	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x24d29c…
11-03 15:19:25	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on November 3?	No	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xf30eed…
11-03 11:33:18	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 5°C on November 3?	No	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x0ea3c8…
11-03 11:16:18	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on November 3?	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x16dc9c…
11-03 10:33:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C on November 3?	No	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xdb1dd8…
11-03 02:38:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 17°C on November 3?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xf66323…
11-03 02:30:18	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 17°C on November 3?	No	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x9503fb…
11-02 13:15:18	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on November 2?	No	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x2673a6…
11-02 13:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 2?	No	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xc81de0…
11-02 13:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 2?	No	BUY	17	69¢	$12	0x65e7bf…
11-02 12:57:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 2?	No	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x8995bb…
11-02 03:41:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on November 2?	No	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x492c9f…
11-01 19:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on November 1?	No	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0x7765d9…
11-01 18:03:10	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on November 1?	No	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x8e441d…
11-01 17:13:09	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C or higher on November 1?	Yes	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xcd8886…
11-01 17:13:06	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on November 1?	No	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xdab845…
11-01 15:58:49	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on November 1?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x995b02…
11-01 15:58:48	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on November 1?	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x9733ba…
11-01 14:01:21	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 1?	No	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xa9d685…
11-01 13:01:21	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 1?	No	BUY	19	62¢	$12	0x187673…
11-01 10:51:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on November 1?	No	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xa41aff…
11-01 09:45:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 1?	No	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x0821a9…
11-01 05:07:15	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 14°C on November 1?	No	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x8bbb36…
10-31 15:58:51	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 31?	No	BUY	19	63¢	$12	0x6f014d…
10-31 11:30:15	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on October 31?	No	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0xf4287c…
10-31 08:35:42	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on October 31?	No	BUY	17	72¢	$12	0xaa7c50…
10-31 07:04:03	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 31?	No	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x1dc97f…
10-31 02:19:13	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 31?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x699d93…
10-30 20:00:33	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 30?	No	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x8caffb…
10-30 18:58:27	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 30?	No	BUY	17	72¢	$12	0xa5f7de…
10-30 07:55:34	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 30?	No	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x7a6d67…
10-29 01:06:40	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 29?	No	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x92ca0a…
10-29 01:06:37	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 29?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x062a05…
10-29 01:06:19	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 29?	No	BUY	0	84¢	$0	0xcf55b3…
10-28 09:25:31	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 28?	No	BUY	19	64¢	$12	0x3d9a2c…
10-28 02:36:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0xdfcaab…
10-27 20:48:29	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 27?	No	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x6bb5c5…
10-27 08:27:23	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on October 27?	No	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0x635c39…
10-27 02:41:47	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 27?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x486cf3…
10-26 14:13:45	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 26?	No	BUY	19	62¢	$12	0x992834…
10-26 10:27:35	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 26?	No	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x70eb25…
10-26 07:09:11	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 26?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x2752e9…
10-26 03:21:21	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C or below on October 26?	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xac218a…
10-26 03:08:39	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 26?	No	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0x270b83…
10-25 15:05:39	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 25?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xba2ee0…
10-25 07:43:11	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 25?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xb01e10…
10-25 07:23:27	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 25?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x162748…
10-25 04:10:03	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 25?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x873778…
10-24 20:58:20	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on October 24?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xf5b351…
10-24 18:58:38	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 24?	No	BUY	17	69¢	$12	0xb57ac1…
10-24 09:55:50	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 24?	No	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x80dc0b…
10-23 19:55:15	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on October 23?	No	BUY	13	66¢	$9	0x53b925…
10-23 18:15:36	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on October 23?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xe9cd56…
10-23 06:04:23	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 23?	No	BUY	16	73¢	$12	0xbf0b5f…
10-22 07:04:08	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 22?	No	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x0edf94…
10-21 07:15:21	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 21?	No	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x885fbb…
10-21 07:03:59	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 21?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x7f09e7…
10-21 03:08:30	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 21?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xb28433…
10-20 16:12:33	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 20?	No	BUY	16	74¢	$12	0x50440f…
10-20 16:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 20?	No	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0x2706d9…
10-20 06:34:14	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 20?	No	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0xa3873e…
10-20 01:15:03	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 20?	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0xeff7cf…
10-20 01:11:30	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 20?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x3189a6…
10-20 01:10:42	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 20?	No	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x2a396b…
10-19 20:58:47	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 19?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0x67e965…
10-19 20:58:44	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 19?	No	BUY	9	73¢	$7	0x190ba8…
10-19 20:58:42	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 19?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x4f27d9…
10-19 20:57:51	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 19?	No	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0xc4fa35…
10-19 18:11:27	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 19?	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x32cc77…
10-19 07:03:38	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 19?	No	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0xa46cc9…