Taut-Antler — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.19K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.9%

Resolved

2,041

Trades

5,935

lifetime

Volume

$103.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 09-15 21:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 78 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 53% -$2,128

Politics

5% 26% -$132

Other

4% 24% -$1,622

Sports

2% 12% -$311

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	108	$2.7K	2,213	2,213	+0	Yes	+$6	04-03 20:35
ucl spo1 bog1 2026 03 17 bog1	32	$1.6K	6,436	1,358	+5,078	No	-$1,087	03-17 14:47
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	27	$857	24,621	14,142	+10,479	No	-$240	06-29 18:20
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	47	$773	14,002	14,002	+0	No	-$54	03-16 23:00
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	35	$482	331	331	+0	No	-$6	04-16 21:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 03:00 UTC	6	$463	419	412	+7	Down	-$10	03-30 03:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 18:15 UTC	4	$404	295	284	+11	Down	+$130	03-31 18:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:30 UTC	10	$387	307	301	+6	Up	-$65	03-31 15:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 20:40 UTC	4	$370	314	312	+2	Up	+$252	03-10 20:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 19:55 UTC	3	$290	369	243	+126	Down	-$116	04-02 19:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 19:25 UTC	7	$288	421	403	+18	Down	-$53	03-31 19:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:25 UTC	4	$278	181	177	+4	Down	+$24	03-31 15:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 17:30 UTC	6	$275	243	233	+10	Up	+$80	04-06 17:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 03:05 UTC	6	$271	242	238	+4	Up	-$33	03-30 03:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 21:30 UTC	8	$251	265	257	+8	Up	-$39	04-01 21:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 20:35 UTC	6	$248	378	160	+218	Up	+$71	03-10 20:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 20:15 UTC	3	$247	229	229	+0	Up	+$207	03-10 20:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 19:50 UTC	2	$241	131	130	+1	Up	+$17	04-02 19:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 17:30 UTC	7	$236	217	184	+33	Down	-$64	03-31 17:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 17:20 UTC	4	$235	187	181	+6	Up	-$13	04-06 17:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:20 UTC	2	$233	139	137	+2	Up	+$21	03-31 15:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 16:30 UTC	9	$229	207	204	+3	Down	-$12	03-25 16:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 13:45 UTC	7	$229	178	176	+2	Up	+$10	03-13 13:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?	30	$225	434	434	+0	Yes	-$63	06-14 23:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 17:50 UTC	8	$223	148	145	+3	Down	+$3	04-21 17:54
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	41	$220	179	179	+0	No	-$4	04-16 17:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 18:45 UTC	4	$218	153	149	+4	Down	+$15	04-21 18:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 01:25 UTC	3	$215	177	131	+46	Up	-$14	04-02 01:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 18:30 UTC	2	$214	129	126	+3	Up	+$38	04-02 18:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 18:40 UTC	5	$211	168	166	+2	Down	+$1	03-25 18:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-15 21:21:15	Will Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0x415eb0…
09-15 21:20:37	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?	Yes	SELL	111	29¢	$32	0xba3d21…
09-15 21:10:45	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?	Yes	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x3a86e6…
07-14 12:35:29	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	132	19¢	$25	0xde1d2c…
07-14 12:34:58	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	107	19¢	$20	0x3cef46…
07-14 12:32:41	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	Yes	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x93e3bd…
07-14 08:29:29	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	Yes	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0xe4dd00…
06-29 19:20:13	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	81	74¢	$60	0x887e92…
06-29 18:20:37	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,553	2¢	$56	0x94ee60…
06-29 18:20:11	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team total away 1pt5	Over	SELL	132	25¢	$33	0x055877…
06-29 18:20:01	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Japan	SELL	88	26¢	$23	0x8b1f98…
06-29 17:35:37	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Japan	BUY	88	51¢	$45	0x966e65…
06-29 17:35:05	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0xcb7daa…
06-29 17:34:23	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5,067	2¢	$102	0x87cd85…
06-29 11:47:34	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,500	2¢	$50	0x767844…
06-29 11:46:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 11:45 UTC	Up	SELL	14	65¢	$9	0xfb26ff…
06-29 11:45:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0x803a2f…
06-29 11:44:41	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2,789	2¢	$53	0x72ab38…
06-29 11:10:46	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	11,720	2¢	$234	0x421c86…
06-24 12:28:22	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,563	3¢	$48	0x37bf25…
06-18 11:46:37	Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0x36bf0a…
06-18 01:08:32	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	38	73¢	$28	0x8c5d6a…
06-17 11:44:49	Will England win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	28	57¢	$16	0x35222d…
06-17 00:59:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0xcccdd9…
06-17 00:56:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 00:55 UTC	Up	SELL	13	90¢	$12	0x507edd…
06-17 00:56:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 00:55 UTC	Up	SELL	21	90¢	$18	0x309181…
06-17 00:55:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x57eb60…
06-17 00:52:05	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	978	3¢	$25	0xd126f1…
06-17 00:50:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 00:50 UTC	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x460bc4…
06-17 00:50:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 00:50 UTC	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xdc5ba5…
06-17 00:49:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xd604d0…
06-17 00:47:35	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	978	2¢	$24	0xbdc08d…
06-17 00:47:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 00:45 UTC	Up	SELL	57	34¢	$19	0xd483c6…
06-17 00:46:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x7940ea…
06-17 00:46:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x1683b8…
06-17 00:45:31	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	962	3¢	$25	0x0d31fb…
06-17 00:44:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 00:40 UTC	Up	SELL	23	97¢	$22	0x1a3ee3…
06-17 00:44:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 00:40 UTC	Up	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0xcad98d…
06-17 00:44:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 00:40 UTC	Up	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x9bebe8…
06-17 00:41:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0xc92fc2…
06-17 00:23:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x249bc3…
06-17 00:13:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	56	47¢	$26	0x70f765…
06-17 00:12:40	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	995	3¢	$26	0xd8f1d8…
06-16 15:30:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x11cc95…
06-16 15:19:46	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,219	2¢	$29	0x053480…
06-15 18:27:34	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	775	2¢	$19	0x8a4aef…
06-15 08:19:31	Spread: Spain (-2.5)	Spain	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0xa6e44d…
06-15 08:16:34	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	800	2¢	$20	0x98f400…
06-14 23:31:34	Sweden to score first vs. Tunisia?	Yes	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0x4bd2f6…
06-14 23:27:21	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	No	SELL	298	3¢	$8	0xc86e47…
06-14 23:26:51	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	220	22¢	$49	0xd8d63a…
06-14 23:06:03	fifwc civ ecu 2026 06 14 btts	Yes	BUY	109	45¢	$49	0x159396…
06-14 23:05:31	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	SELL	128	39¢	$50	0xedb018…
06-14 22:08:16	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0x619ce2…
06-14 22:06:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	44	23¢	$10	0xd42d23…
06-14 22:05:51	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	No	BUY	186	11¢	$20	0x83e84b…
06-14 22:05:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	176	23¢	$40	0x8c8e15…
06-14 21:23:37	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 btts	Yes	SELL	136	99¢	$135	0x39fe02…
06-14 19:16:55	Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	136	55¢	$75	0xd6aa73…
06-14 19:15:12	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$10	0xc44917…
06-14 19:10:43	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 first half team total home 1pt5	Over	SELL	83	100¢	$83	0x981189…
06-14 14:34:58	Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x69224e…
06-14 13:01:54	Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6,667	0¢	$13	0x093a7a…
06-14 13:01:37	Germany leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	48	83¢	$40	0xdb398d…
06-14 12:52:03	Germany leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	48	84¢	$40	0xef7039…
06-13 09:08:55	Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0xee1242…
06-13 09:08:45	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x64e8ca…
06-13 09:02:42	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x66f9c4…
06-13 09:00:16	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 btts	No	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0xc8de51…
06-13 08:56:54	Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3,333	0¢	$10	0xcaaa24…
06-13 01:28:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 01:25 UTC	Up	SELL	15	90¢	$14	0xc814e9…
06-13 01:28:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 01:25 UTC	Up	SELL	24	90¢	$22	0x7b0b93…
06-13 01:27:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0x594559…
06-13 01:27:28	Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3,333	0¢	$10	0x33202d…
06-13 01:27:15	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$10	0xaed0bf…
06-13 01:21:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 01:20 UTC	Up	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0xfe9c0d…
06-13 01:20:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	No	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x57eef9…
06-13 01:18:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	96	42¢	$40	0x6b1f67…
06-12 13:18:58	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x8bec0b…
06-12 13:18:12	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	70	20¢	$14	0x7813ae…
06-12 13:17:18	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0x9b158d…
06-12 13:10:24	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x30a505…
06-12 13:09:27	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xc991f2…
06-12 13:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	29	88¢	$25	0x5774d0…
06-12 13:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	11	88¢	$10	0x25c7e6…
06-12 13:05:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xaa5615…
06-12 13:04:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	23	88¢	$20	0x0f8066…
06-12 13:02:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xfc0baa…
06-12 13:02:07	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xcad69e…
06-12 12:46:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0xcd839f…
06-12 12:45:12	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x4fdb1f…
06-12 12:43:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 12:40 UTC	Up	SELL	9	88¢	$8	0xc5b299…
06-12 12:43:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 12:40 UTC	Up	SELL	11	88¢	$9	0x81da1d…
06-12 12:43:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 12:40 UTC	Up	SELL	21	88¢	$18	0x578fac…
06-12 12:41:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0xef5263…
06-12 12:05:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 12:05 UTC	Up	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x863540…
06-12 11:59:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 11:55 UTC	Down	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0xf194b5…
06-12 11:56:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 11:55 UTC	Down	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0x45bf5e…
06-12 11:54:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	44	90¢	$40	0x4891fb…
06-12 11:54:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 11:50 UTC	Down	SELL	35	16¢	$6	0xbfc759…