Taut-Antler — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$95

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

59.9%

Resolved

172

Trades

5,758

lifetime

Volume

$98.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$14

1 position

First seen

2026-03-05

last 06-08 19:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 52% +$95

Politics

5% — —

Other

3% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 647 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No		+41	$14	34¢	$14	$-0	06-02 12:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	108	$2.7K	2,213	2,213	+0	open	—	04-03 20:35
ucl spo1 bog1 2026 03 17 bog1	32	$1.6K	6,436	1,358	+5,078	open	—	03-17 14:47
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	47	$773	14,002	14,002	+0	open	—	03-16 23:00
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	35	$482	331	331	+0	open	—	04-16 21:08
btc updown 5m 1774839600	6	$463	419	412	+7	open	—	03-30 03:05
btc updown 5m 1774980900	4	$404	295	284	+11	open	—	03-31 18:20
btc updown 5m 1774971000	10	$387	307	301	+6	open	—	03-31 15:34
btc updown 5m 1773175200	4	$370	314	312	+2	open	—	03-10 20:45
btc updown 5m 1775159700	3	$290	369	243	+126	open	—	04-02 19:58
btc updown 5m 1774985100	7	$288	421	403	+18	open	—	03-31 19:28
btc updown 5m 1774970700	4	$278	181	177	+4	open	—	03-31 15:27
btc updown 5m 1775496600	6	$275	243	233	+10	open	—	04-06 17:34
btc updown 5m 1774839900	6	$271	242	238	+4	open	—	03-30 03:10
btc updown 5m 1775079000	8	$251	265	257	+8	open	—	04-01 21:35
btc updown 5m 1773174900	6	$248	378	160	+218	open	—	03-10 20:40
btc updown 5m 1773173700	3	$247	229	229	+0	open	—	03-10 20:20
btc updown 5m 1775159400	2	$241	131	130	+1	open	—	04-02 19:54
btc updown 5m 1774978200	7	$236	217	184	+33	open	—	03-31 17:34
btc updown 5m 1775496000	4	$235	187	181	+6	open	—	04-06 17:23
btc updown 5m 1774970400	2	$233	139	137	+2	open	—	03-31 15:23
btc updown 5m 1774456200	9	$229	207	204	+3	open	—	03-25 16:34
btc updown 5m 1773409500	7	$229	178	176	+2	open	—	03-13 13:50
btc updown 5m 1776793800	8	$223	148	145	+3	open	—	04-21 17:54
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	41	$220	179	179	+0	open	—	04-16 17:14
btc updown 5m 1776797100	4	$218	153	149	+4	open	—	04-21 18:48
btc updown 5m 1775093100	3	$215	177	131	+46	open	—	04-02 01:28
btc updown 5m 1775154600	2	$214	129	126	+3	open	—	04-02 18:34
btc updown 5m 1774464000	5	$211	168	166	+2	open	—	03-25 18:44
btc updown 5m 1774984800	4	$210	138	136	+2	open	—	03-31 19:24
btc updown 5m 1774465500	4	$204	162	160	+2	open	—	03-25 19:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 19:47:28	btc updown 5m 1780947900	Down	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x9594d4…
06-08 19:46:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	No	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x0531d4…
06-08 19:42:45	btc updown 5m 1780947600	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x8ab90c…
06-08 19:41:37	btc updown 5m 1780947600	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x9b6978…
06-08 19:36:49	btc updown 5m 1780947300	Down	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x0e4753…
06-08 19:36:28	btc updown 5m 1780947300	Up	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x97f894…
06-08 19:36:03	btc updown 5m 1780947300	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x799f7c…
06-08 19:32:54	btc updown 5m 1780947000	Up	BUY	22	36¢	$8	0x00e966…
06-08 19:32:21	btc updown 5m 1780947000	Down	SELL	32	24¢	$8	0xb17a45…
06-08 19:30:48	btc updown 5m 1780947000	Down	BUY	32	53¢	$17	0x440458…
06-08 19:29:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	No	SELL	17	58¢	$10	0x6b71a5…
06-08 19:20:18	btc updown 5m 1780946400	Up	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xcd750c…
06-08 19:19:01	btc updown 5m 1780946100	Down	BUY	21	61¢	$13	0x22f8f8…
06-08 19:18:39	btc updown 5m 1780946100	Down	SELL	26	92¢	$24	0x0e5d2d…
06-08 19:15:36	btc updown 5m 1780946100	Down	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x76fa3a…
06-08 19:14:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x385c17…
06-08 19:13:58	btc updown 5m 1780945800	Up	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x741a6c…
06-08 19:11:10	btc updown 5m 1780945800	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x1ee72d…
06-08 19:08:43	btc updown 5m 1780945500	Up	SELL	33	16¢	$5	0xd073ef…
06-08 19:06:21	btc updown 5m 1780945500	Up	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xb45364…
06-08 19:04:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xc2d83f…
06-08 19:04:10	btc updown 5m 1780945200	Up	SELL	29	98¢	$28	0x91be3f…
06-08 19:01:57	btc updown 5m 1780945200	Up	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x8a6970…
06-08 18:57:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	No	SELL	61	57¢	$35	0x454494…
06-08 18:56:13	btc updown 5m 1780944900	Down	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0x4bb125…
06-08 18:51:16	btc updown 5m 1780944600	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x029685…
06-08 18:50:52	btc updown 5m 1780944600	Down	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xb5d938…
06-08 18:46:36	btc updown 5m 1780944300	Up	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0x1d0ee6…
06-08 17:50:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xdc7bb3…
06-08 17:49:34	btc updown 5m 1780940700	Up	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x5b0815…
06-08 17:46:15	btc updown 5m 1780940700	Up	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x8579b8…
06-08 17:45:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x1818ca…
06-08 16:47:58	btc updown 5m 1780937100	Down	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x6cb718…
06-08 13:11:18	btc updown 5m 1780924200	Down	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x304762…
06-08 13:09:34	btc updown 5m 1780923900	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xc4810e…
06-08 13:06:43	btc updown 5m 1780923900	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x99545a…
06-08 13:03:06	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	No	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xe5e520…
06-07 22:31:21	btc updown 5m 1780871400	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x421c45…
06-07 22:11:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x890543…
06-07 22:10:48	btc updown 5m 1780870200	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x38ad3e…
06-07 22:09:06	btc updown 5m 1780869900	Up	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x0ff304…
06-07 22:07:57	btc updown 5m 1780869900	Down	SELL	23	22¢	$5	0xfed3d1…
06-07 22:06:36	btc updown 5m 1780869900	Down	BUY	23	65¢	$15	0x5ce172…
06-07 22:01:33	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xa1c0b6…
06-07 22:01:09	btc updown 5m 1780869600	Up	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xa07a5d…
06-07 21:57:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xf8d1ba…
06-07 21:57:03	btc updown 5m 1780869300	Up	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xe697fd…
06-07 21:52:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	No	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xf0dd9c…
06-07 21:52:04	btc updown 5m 1780869000	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x22ba32…
06-07 21:51:46	btc updown 5m 1780869000	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xc20b79…
06-07 21:49:18	btc updown 5m 1780868700	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xa3a72b…
06-07 21:48:58	btc updown 5m 1780868700	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x2b9a5f…
06-04 20:22:13	btc updown 5m 1780604400	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x038e43…
06-04 20:21:13	btc updown 5m 1780604400	Up	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0xd77b6e…
06-04 17:25:33	btc updown 5m 1780593900	Up	BUY	13	67¢	$9	0x041b84…
06-04 17:21:49	btc updown 5m 1780593600	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x595316…
06-04 17:21:18	btc updown 5m 1780593600	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x087c39…
06-04 15:26:04	btc updown 5m 1780586700	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xc08029…
06-04 15:21:24	btc updown 5m 1780586400	Down	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xc0d2f4…
06-04 14:18:30	btc updown 5m 1780582500	Down	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x2804f2…
06-03 23:20:28	btc updown 5m 1780528800	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xcc5ad3…
06-03 22:32:46	btc updown 5m 1780525800	Up	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0xac6ea7…
06-03 22:04:03	btc updown 5m 1780524000	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x824d8c…
06-03 22:03:43	btc updown 5m 1780524000	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x4a9b26…
06-03 21:53:27	btc updown 5m 1780523400	Down	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x6123aa…
06-03 21:51:45	btc updown 5m 1780523400	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xfe6432…
06-03 19:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xf871ec…
06-03 19:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x45943d…
06-03 19:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x551e3a…
06-03 19:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x214ff7…
06-03 19:06:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	63¢	$11	0x4df70a…
06-03 18:40:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	64¢	$11	0x8a45a6…
06-03 18:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x3a3f2d…
06-03 18:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x589e15…
06-03 18:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	12	83¢	$10	0x6383e5…
06-03 18:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x29013c…
06-03 17:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x86778e…
06-03 17:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x8feb56…
06-03 17:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x295012…
06-03 17:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xc8bc18…
06-03 17:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x0298b6…
06-03 17:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x754aa9…
06-03 17:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xad7e24…
06-03 17:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	28	79¢	$22	0x40a42d…
06-03 17:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	24	16¢	$4	0x76016f…
06-03 17:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	28	70¢	$20	0x9de6ef…
06-03 17:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x187225…
06-03 17:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xa17c89…
06-03 17:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	38	20¢	$7	0x89b57f…
06-03 17:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0xe1b9b8…
06-03 17:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	31	88¢	$28	0x77982f…
06-03 17:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x4d6b55…
06-02 22:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x6853e2…
06-02 22:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	80¢	$5	0x3237e9…
06-02 22:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x5cbff2…
06-02 22:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x8a0f6b…
06-02 22:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	39	3¢	$1	0xbba3f3…
06-02 22:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xa6ee16…
06-02 22:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	43	98¢	$43	0x076c1e…
06-02 22:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0x657e5c…