Hopeful-Pack — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.9%

Resolved

Trades

155

lifetime

Volume

$344

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-17 21:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 48% $-12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3PM ET	3	$35	28	28	+0	Up	+$20	05-13 20:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5PM ET	3	$19	285	0	+285	Down	$-19	05-13 21:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	4	$17	11	11	+0	Down	+$3	05-13 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2PM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Up	+$4	05-13 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	3	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	05-16 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-12 07:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1PM ET	4	$11	12	12	+0	open	—	05-17 17:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 20:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12PM ET	5	$8	9	9	+0	open	—	05-17 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	3	$8	6	6	+0	Up	+$4	05-13 18:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	2	$7	18	0	+18	Down	$-7	05-14 02:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5PM ET	5	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-16 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10PM ET	1	$6	13	0	+13	Down	$-6	05-14 02:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6PM ET	1	$6	21	0	+21	Up	+$15	05-13 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$6	8	0	+8	Up	$-6	05-11 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$2	05-14 03:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-14 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-14 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Down	$-5	05-12 09:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Down	$-5	05-12 07:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-13 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	4	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	05-17 16:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	3	$5	4	3	+2	open	—	05-16 20:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	05-14 02:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 07:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 17:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	3	$4	6	6	+0	open	—	05-16 21:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 08:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$4	8	8	+0	open	—	05-16 20:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-14 01:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 21:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x16544d…
05-17 21:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe3fa84…
05-17 20:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf84dc6…
05-17 20:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x986e59…
05-17 17:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0x883a48…
05-17 17:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x383ba0…
05-17 17:22:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x2dbf00…
05-17 17:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x51333f…
05-17 17:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	9	50¢	$4	0x8af614…
05-17 17:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x585644…
05-17 17:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xdb0a05…
05-17 16:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb60741…
05-17 16:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0xf435f3…
05-17 16:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb39ae0…
05-17 16:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x1fab27…
05-17 16:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xa57d0d…
05-17 16:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xc7c076…
05-17 16:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x812c7e…
05-17 16:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xebf2c2…
05-17 16:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x8c891c…
05-17 16:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x583ae5…
05-17 10:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x3afa46…
05-17 04:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xfbe2b2…
05-17 04:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x1837e0…
05-17 04:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x9beade…
05-16 21:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x36d9b1…
05-16 21:54:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3b495a…
05-16 21:53:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5PM ET	Down	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x1f775f…
05-16 21:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x5567b5…
05-16 21:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xdfa4af…
05-16 21:45:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x866c9d…
05-16 21:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xea4fb9…
05-16 21:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x12ad5f…
05-16 21:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x46cbde…
05-16 21:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x94aa20…
05-16 21:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	25	6¢	$2	0x35893d…
05-16 21:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xe65a42…
05-16 21:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0xa30727…
05-16 21:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd004a8…
05-16 21:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x56bc5f…
05-16 20:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x446917…
05-16 20:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf2a26b…
05-16 20:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3c5d2b…
05-16 20:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0xbd6d0e…
05-16 20:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x947093…
05-16 20:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xcd2011…
05-16 20:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x4b66ff…
05-16 20:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0xf82bab…
05-16 20:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x878a36…
05-16 20:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xe20fa8…
05-16 20:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x9999bd…
05-16 20:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x4129af…
05-16 20:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x947ad4…
05-16 19:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x36a193…
05-16 18:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x005cb3…
05-16 16:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x0ea854…
05-16 12:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xbcb73d…
05-15 21:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x480014…
05-15 20:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x5a5a0e…
05-14 09:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xf6b2b7…
05-14 09:46:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x2273cc…
05-14 09:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x8ea33b…
05-14 09:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xb7fb0c…
05-14 09:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x134e91…
05-14 06:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x73ba89…
05-14 06:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x73ba3c…
05-14 05:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xc7b130…
05-14 05:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x070ab2…
05-14 05:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x35e8dd…
05-14 05:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4eb06d…
05-14 05:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0xcc77d8…
05-14 05:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x313e51…
05-14 05:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0x32d652…
05-14 05:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x55487b…
05-14 05:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x34300f…
05-14 05:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x9e57e3…
05-14 05:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x857d8d…
05-14 05:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc70573…
05-14 05:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x688e4d…
05-14 04:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x51befb…
05-14 04:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x0bc4a5…
05-14 03:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0xc2b928…
05-14 03:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xe105fa…
05-14 03:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xe13aea…
05-14 03:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x2998c0…
05-14 03:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x6f4748…
05-14 03:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x7bd03e…
05-14 03:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xa550a4…
05-14 02:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xa404ef…
05-14 02:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x2b9365…
05-14 02:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x5a8297…
05-14 02:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xcb9fb9…
05-14 02:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0xa09b11…
05-14 02:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x72d478…
05-14 01:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x4bf181…
05-14 01:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb23c65…
05-14 01:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x66db5a…
05-14 01:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa4e9e5…
05-13 22:24:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0x9775b1…
05-13 21:32:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x511a97…