Mild-Smelting — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$316

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.4%

Resolved

1,249

Trades

2,569

lifetime

Volume

$26.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 10-28 01:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 207 days

Categories

Other

50% 65% -$29

Sports

49% 55% -$279

Politics

0% 25% -$8

Crypto

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nhl sj bos 2026 03 12	4	$196	184	105	+79	Sharks	+$12	03-13 01:13
nhl fla cal 2026 03 20 spread home 1pt5	3	$173	158	101	+56	Flames	+$28	03-21 03:37
nba tor den 2026 03 20 spread home 6pt5	3	$142	148	68	+80	Raptors	-$7	03-21 03:20
nba phi atl 2026 03 07 spread home 6pt5	2	$139	93	93	+0	Hawks	+$45	03-08 01:29
nba was nop 2026 03 08 spread home 11pt5	2	$137	90	90	+0	Pelicans	+$43	03-09 01:15
nba dal nop 2026 03 16 spread home 8pt5	2	$134	88	88	+0	Pelicans	+$41	03-17 02:14
nba det tor 2026 03 15 spread away 3pt5	2	$134	88	88	+0	Raptors	+$41	03-15 21:58
nba uta sac 2026 03 15 spread home 2pt5	2	$132	86	86	+0	Kings	+$39	03-16 04:17
nhl sj nsh 2026 03 24	2	$130	84	84	+0	Predators	+$36	03-25 01:31
nba dal mem 2026 03 12	5	$125	113	67	+46	Mavericks	+$7	03-13 02:11
nba bos sas 2026 03 10	2	$124	78	78	+0	Spurs	+$30	03-11 02:23
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	5	$120	160	160	+0	No	-$3	03-26 22:51
nba sas mem 2026 03 25 total 234pt5	2	$118	78	78	+0	Under	+$37	03-26 00:47
nhl col sea 2026 03 12	2	$118	72	72	+0	Avalanche	+$25	03-13 04:16
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 27?	6	$117	111	111	+0	Yes	+$79	10-27 13:25
nba ind mil 2026 03 15 spread home 6pt5	4	$116	121	56	+65	Bucks	-$5	03-15 21:50
nhl cbj mon 2026 03 26	4	$113	104	59	+45	Canadiens	+$4	03-27 01:32
nhl cal det 2026 03 16 spread home 1pt5	2	$111	80	80	+0	Red Wings	+$48	03-17 01:31
nhl sea cbj 2026 03 21 spread home 1pt5	2	$109	78	78	+0	Blue Jackets	+$46	03-21 23:32
nhl car ott 2026 04 05	8	$108	92	92	+0	Senators	+$23	04-05 23:18
nhl nj car 2026 03 28	3	$108	65	65	+0	Hurricanes	+$22	03-28 23:23
nhl cal ana 2026 04 04	5	$107	100	100	+0	Flames	+$18	04-05 04:35
nba hou den 2026 03 11	3	$106	63	63	+0	Nuggets	+$18	03-12 03:53
nba lac ind 2026 03 27 spread away 9pt5	2	$106	70	70	+0	Pacers	+$33	03-28 01:06
nhl wsh nyr 2026 04 05	6	$106	87	87	+0	Rangers	+$18	04-06 00:41
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 27?	5	$105	100	50	+50	Yes	-$13	10-27 07:19
nba bkn phi 2026 03 14	2	$105	60	60	+0	76ers	+$13	03-14 17:58
nhl sj mon 2026 03 14	2	$104	74	74	+0	Sharks	+$42	03-15 01:49
nba ind mil 2026 03 15 spread home 7pt5	3	$104	88	59	+29	Bucks	+$14	03-15 21:49
nba por den 2026 03 22 spread home 8pt5	2	$104	70	70	+0	Nuggets	+$35	03-22 23:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 03:53:58	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	33	88¢	$29	0x716eb8…
10-28 03:39:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0x400adf…
10-28 03:39:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xab83d0…
10-28 03:31:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	12	89¢	$10	0x735ec4…
10-28 03:30:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0x1e3abc…
10-28 03:30:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0xa3a2b7…
10-28 03:30:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x2508bf…
10-28 03:30:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0xaf91b5…
10-28 01:13:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	4	17¢	$1	0xf60fec…
10-27 21:02:26	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	33	99¢	$32	0xb636f3…
10-27 21:02:26	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on October 27?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9b6c1d…
10-27 21:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on October 27?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xf53ebf…
10-27 20:11:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xee54b8…
10-27 19:00:26	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on October 27?	No	BUY	76	26¢	$20	0xaeaea2…
10-27 17:57:33	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xd94667…
10-27 17:57:33	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on October 27?	No	BUY	31	63¢	$20	0x5f7db3…
10-27 15:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	27	71¢	$20	0x15ea80…
10-27 13:29:56	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	No	BUY	24	80¢	$19	0x24fff6…
10-27 13:25:23	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	44	95¢	$42	0xaee1c2…
10-27 13:25:21	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	19	79¢	$15	0xf24848…
10-27 13:25:21	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x2d55f6…
10-27 13:25:08	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0x23c88d…
10-27 13:24:15	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	29	67¢	$20	0x583f2b…
10-27 13:24:15	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	111	17¢	$19	0x1ecaa9…
10-27 13:20:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xcf35f8…
10-27 12:31:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0x83281b…
10-27 12:31:06	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 27?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x8ad09d…
10-27 12:01:11	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	23	82¢	$19	0x3ff587…
10-27 12:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 27?	No	BUY	23	83¢	$19	0xb1da47…
10-27 07:55:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0xb011fa…
10-27 07:54:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 27?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xe145b1…
10-27 07:19:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xfdab47…
10-27 06:58:51	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 27?	No	SELL	19	98¢	$19	0x42351d…
10-27 06:49:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 27?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x9bd047…
10-27 06:39:14	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0xc6206d…
10-27 06:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 27?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xb237e4…
10-27 05:49:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 27?	No	BUY	22	86¢	$19	0x5bf58a…
10-27 05:05:27	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	25	87¢	$22	0xd3fb2c…
10-27 05:05:17	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 27?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$21	0x32a3d5…
10-27 04:41:57	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	27	72¢	$19	0xa3dffd…
10-27 04:41:57	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 27?	No	BUY	22	88¢	$19	0x9fd1a7…
10-27 04:00:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	32	61¢	$19	0x00b31a…
10-27 03:57:20	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 27?	No	BUY	21	90¢	$19	0xbc58b3…
10-27 03:48:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x52df7f…
10-27 03:47:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	25	78¢	$20	0x6bbff3…
10-27 03:37:53	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 27?	No	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0xc0c0d8…
10-27 03:31:39	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 27?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0ebeb7…
10-27 03:26:11	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 27?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x889460…
10-27 03:23:51	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 27?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xc8583f…
10-27 03:23:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 27?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x5b60be…
10-27 03:03:50	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	24	80¢	$19	0xe8044a…
10-27 02:42:53	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 27?	No	BUY	22	88¢	$19	0xcb1f1e…
10-26 18:15:27	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	22	99¢	$21	0x46b28f…
10-26 17:31:17	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 26?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x9de749…
10-26 17:21:05	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 26?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x6b6458…
10-26 16:43:09	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 26?	No	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0x822cb9…
10-26 16:35:57	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	22	89¢	$19	0x452ae5…
10-26 13:05:56	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xb231d6…
10-26 12:24:03	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	4	95¢	$3	0x275418…
10-26 05:59:41	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	25	95¢	$24	0x373bfe…
10-26 05:41:56	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 26?	No	SELL	27	99¢	$26	0xfee943…
10-26 05:41:54	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xb66fe1…
10-26 05:40:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	17	89¢	$15	0xefcd4d…
10-26 04:31:59	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	19	79¢	$15	0x4d6648…
10-26 04:23:06	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	112	18¢	$20	0x363e37…
10-26 04:15:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 26?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xd9deb5…
10-26 04:15:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 26?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xd9bf11…
10-26 03:52:47	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x6cdf4c…
10-26 02:59:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 26?	No	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x94c8d2…
10-26 02:54:35	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 26?	No	BUY	22	87¢	$19	0xff0719…
10-25 18:00:41	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 25?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x154328…
10-25 18:00:00	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 25?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x4269a3…
10-25 17:59:45	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 25?	No	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0x276876…
10-25 16:53:35	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	81	24¢	$20	0xd8ecd9…
10-25 14:35:26	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x048ab3…
10-25 14:23:39	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x45bb88…
10-24 20:26:36	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x92132b…
10-24 20:01:02	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 24?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xfd3693…
10-24 20:00:54	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	13	89¢	$12	0x366e81…
10-24 20:00:53	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	14	95¢	$13	0xd73565…
10-24 20:00:53	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x587b6c…
10-24 20:00:48	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 24?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xdaa111…
10-24 20:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	13	79¢	$11	0x17b3d6…
10-24 19:30:32	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	34	0¢	$0	0xb7224f…
10-24 18:07:36	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xf31fa2…
10-24 17:01:14	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on October 24?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x1df2d2…
10-24 16:59:45	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x323dad…
10-24 16:52:44	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on October 24?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x119ae3…
10-24 16:52:30	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0xf58400…
10-24 16:52:30	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	34	28¢	$10	0x5bc77b…
10-24 16:09:06	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x5aa057…
10-24 09:11:00	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 24?	No	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0xbe9f58…
10-24 09:09:15	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$14	0xf9d4a2…
10-24 05:46:11	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xeaf52e…
10-24 05:22:39	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 24?	No	BUY	13	72¢	$10	0x2eb017…
10-24 05:22:33	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x9092e4…
10-24 05:22:24	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 24?	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x70c0fc…
10-23 20:01:33	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on October 23?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x2967ea…
10-23 20:00:44	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on October 23?	No	BUY	13	72¢	$9	0x8b18b9…
10-23 18:58:27	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0x56a389…