Unacceptable-Proposal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.0%

Resolved

432

Trades

810

lifetime

Volume

$10.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-05

last 10-19 19:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 120 days

Categories

Other

77% 82% -$24

Crypto

16% 83% +$1

Politics

5% 71% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Sports

1% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C or below on July 30?	4	$106	53	53	+0	No	$0	07-30 09:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 12?	2	$70	35	35	+0	Yes	$0	10-12 14:44
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 4?	3	$70	35	35	+0	No	+$0	05-04 03:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 13?	2	$69	35	35	+0	No	+$0	10-12 14:46
will googl dip to 290 by july 27 2026	3	$69	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-31 14:43
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 91°F or below on July 23?	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-23 02:47
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 26?	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-25 16:06
bitcoin above 72k on july 22 2026	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-21 15:33
Will the #1 global Netflix movie have between 20 and 24 million views this week?	2	$65	33	33	+0	Yes	$0	10-13 18:53
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on July 20?	4	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-21 03:43
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	3	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-27 16:40
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 21?	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	$0	07-21 13:56
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 23?	4	$62	31	31	+0	No	$0	07-22 18:58
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 3?	7	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$0	05-03 14:45
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 26?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-25 07:13
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on July 20?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-19 21:48
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	4	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	05-26 07:14
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C or higher on July 20?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-20 15:03
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on July 25?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-25 04:31
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-21 03:42
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on July 26?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-25 21:14
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 26?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-25 18:22
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	3	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-20 05:12
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 30?	5	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-30 00:56
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C or below on July 28?	2	$53	26	26	+0	No	$0	07-27 23:15
will ethereum dip to 1600 july 13 19 2026	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	$0	07-19 02:15
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C or below on July 31?	2	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$0	07-30 18:44
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C or below on July 31?	4	$49	24	24	+0	No	+$0	07-30 18:36
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 5?	2	$47	47	0	+47	No	+$0	09-05 02:26
will bitcoin reach 68k july 13 19 2026	2	$47	23	23	+0	No	+$0	07-19 23:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 19:07:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb3930d…
10-18 21:18:56	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C or below on October 19?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x278bbe…
10-16 11:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on October 16?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x529385…
10-13 18:53:37	Will the #1 global Netflix movie have between 20 and 24 million views this week?	Yes	SELL	33	100¢	$32	0x999f73…
10-13 00:33:48	Will the #1 global Netflix movie have between 20 and 24 million views this week?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$32	0x81083c…
10-12 14:48:21	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x491e07…
10-12 14:46:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 13?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x05509f…
10-12 14:44:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 12?	Yes	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x75a0ee…
10-12 09:27:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 13?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x3df393…
10-12 08:56:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xdc706a…
10-12 07:45:56	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xef0eb5…
10-10 05:19:09	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C or higher on October 10?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xcfaabe…
10-10 01:21:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xf9116b…
10-05 09:06:50	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on October 5?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0b81aa…
10-02 01:46:56	Will the price of Solana be above $140 on October 2?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x64817b…
10-01 22:41:42	Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$30	0x263280…
10-01 06:24:26	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 37°C or higher on October 2?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x8b4c3d…
09-28 04:08:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 28?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x808bd4…
09-27 22:42:45	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd953cb…
09-23 20:59:17	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 13°C or below on September 24?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xb0af21…
09-23 01:03:40	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 86°F or higher on September 23?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x6da68c…
09-22 16:52:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C or higher on September 23?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd06551…
09-22 16:42:03	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd73df9…
09-21 21:10:01	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C or higher on September 22?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x9c47bd…
09-17 23:39:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 18?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x7e9f52…
09-17 12:53:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xe05850…
09-13 05:29:42	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C or higher on September 13?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xb18025…
09-11 01:22:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 11?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x6d54c6…
09-10 20:39:07	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C or below on September 11?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x55109c…
09-07 14:31:48	Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x18531f…
09-06 14:51:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on September 7?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x519c37…
09-06 08:51:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 6?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xfea299…
09-05 23:17:16	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 67°F or below on September 6?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x8d3073…
09-05 05:58:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf608a8…
09-05 02:26:36	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 5?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xe91433…
09-04 23:24:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 5?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x59bb2b…
09-04 17:11:07	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x18538d…
09-04 06:41:10	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on September 4?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb8c497…
09-04 02:04:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 4?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xfd8f9d…
09-03 14:56:34	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on September 4?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x561fb7…
09-03 07:00:31	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on September 4?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc8bcd0…
09-03 03:30:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 3?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x73315a…
09-02 20:23:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 3?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x1839c2…
09-02 13:03:51	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 10°C or below on September 3?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x908793…
09-02 12:17:13	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0x22b7d6…
09-02 05:32:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 2?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x5c31af…
09-01 07:22:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 1?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xec4af9…
09-01 06:25:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on September 1?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x9e9b1b…
08-31 04:35:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x6e86b1…
08-30 22:51:55	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x99e5ea…
08-30 19:31:19	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x6659b9…
08-30 13:00:36	ethereum above 2600 on august 30 2026	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x420efd…
08-30 00:58:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa3b282…
08-29 18:39:28	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 37°C on August 30?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xe88aeb…
08-29 08:23:03	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 37°C on August 29?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x1dfbd8…
08-28 17:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on August 29?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xeec1c5…
08-28 11:23:48	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 28?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xdffe05…
08-27 19:17:52	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be at least 0.8%?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf6bd21…
08-27 05:50:13	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x141fec…
08-27 00:35:37	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.7%?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb8acb6…
08-26 21:34:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on August 27?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xf702b9…
08-26 12:19:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 26?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x451141…
08-26 11:47:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on August 27?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xe7b80e…
08-25 10:30:37	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on August 25?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb45a41…
08-25 02:18:33	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C on August 25?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb4c920…
08-25 01:30:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xf6b86a…
08-24 17:13:12	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1fa3da…
08-24 07:30:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 24?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x7dba65…
08-24 04:35:46	Will Zelenskyy post 140-159 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x02ba58…
08-23 20:37:28	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on August 24?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xd8dae6…
08-14 15:43:39	will bitcoin reach 66k on august 14	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x658838…
08-14 06:43:49	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x0d6958…
08-13 22:30:33	will taylor brown be evicted in big brother season 28 week 5 20260806195432958	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x27b3b4…
08-13 16:30:21	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on August 14?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x8bb168…
08-13 09:03:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 13?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xa96877…
08-13 06:22:13	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 15, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5bf380…
08-12 21:42:22	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on August 13?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xc8497c…
08-12 07:07:39	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on August 13?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb04e66…
08-12 04:21:15	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 12?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xccfcf0…
08-11 23:23:28	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on August 12?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x962164…
08-11 20:01:04	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.5% in July?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0xfa1953…
08-11 13:29:52	bitcoin above 62k on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd252e6…
08-10 22:23:33	ethereum above 2100 on august 11 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x437c6a…
08-10 18:59:15	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 87°F or below on August 11?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xfeba2f…
08-10 13:00:36	Will Amy Klobuchar win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xd0800c…
08-10 12:44:12	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0x3b6005…
08-09 12:51:07	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 65°F or below on August 10?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb2d5e8…
08-09 10:49:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 9?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x4452e4…
08-09 04:32:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C or below on August 10?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xe5c802…
08-09 03:41:15	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 9?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xcaa7cb…
08-08 18:51:06	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on August 9?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0x32a167…
08-08 04:14:58	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on August 8?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x47e452…
08-08 03:07:40	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on August 8?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xc8216a…
08-07 21:17:34	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 8?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x67f0a2…
08-07 10:59:13	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on August 7?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x2ae9d1…
08-07 08:23:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 8?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa6ac2b…
08-06 07:12:50	ethereum above 1700 on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xaeb5a0…
08-06 02:17:38	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x3cadad…
08-05 22:49:48	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on August 6?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$26	0x96fb07…
08-05 21:19:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on August 6?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xbe1e4a…