Willing-Mirror — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$175

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.7%

Resolved

321

Trades

719

lifetime

Volume

$1.79K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-06

last 07-11 10:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 73 days

Categories

Other

84% 86% -$48

Sports

8% 54% -$113

Crypto

5% 0% -$14

Politics

3% 83% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-11).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 100m and 125m views in its first 7 days	2	$105	173	0	+173	No	-$105	02-13 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	3	$58	56	30	+26	Down	-$2	05-09 19:34
will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	11	$36	20	20	+0	No	+$2	02-27 18:38
crint sco wst 2026 02 07	5	$28	15	15	+0	West Indies	+$2	02-07 13:10
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	5	$27	15	15	+0	Yes	+$3	04-12 19:24
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $390 Week of May 11 2026?	4	$22	13	12	+0	Yes	+$2	05-11 19:57
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 11?	4	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-11 21:38
msft close above 410 on february 10 2026	3	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	02-10 21:04
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	5	$20	11	11	+0	No	+$2	04-12 19:23
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 Week of May 4 2026?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-08 23:11
tsla above 420 on february 6 2026	3	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$0	02-06 22:04
crint afg zaf 2026 02 11	3	$19	10	10	+0	South Africa	+$1	02-11 09:49
amzn close above 210 on march 3 2026	4	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$1	03-03 21:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	3	$18	23	17	+6	Down	-$2	05-09 19:23
nvda close above 190 on february 10 2026	7	$17	11	11	+0	No	+$1	02-10 21:08
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $435 Week of May 4 2026?	4	$17	9	9	+0	No	+$1	05-08 23:10
nvda above 210 on february 27 2026	8	$16	7	10	-3	No	+$1	02-27 10:06
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 8?	3	$15	16	0	+16	No	+$1	05-08 17:52
will crude oil cl hit high 75 by end of march 216 621 736 725 922 826 757	4	$15	7	7	+0	Yes	+$0	03-05 19:23
crint gbr wst 2026 02 11	5	$14	14	14	+0	West Indies	+$2	02-11 17:10
crint ind usa 2026 02 07	2	$13	16	0	+16	India	+$3	02-07 15:24
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on May 26?	3	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	05-26 14:45
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	5	$12	6	6	+0	No	+$0	02-25 18:15
nvda above 195 on march 6 2026	4	$12	6	6	+0	No	+$0	03-03 18:18
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 12?	3	$12	6	6	+0	No	+$0	05-12 21:38
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on May 18?	4	$12	12	0	+12	Yes	+$0	05-18 15:07
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 14?	2	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	05-14 14:05
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 20?	4	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	05-20 14:14
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 20?	3	$12	12	0	+12	Yes	+$0	05-20 14:14
crint lka irl 2026 02 08	6	$11	6	6	+0	Sri Lanka	+$1	02-08 17:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-11 10:38:49	Will Dragoș Pîslaru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x4feb24…
07-11 10:38:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x14ea1e…
07-11 10:38:41	Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x1f88b0…
07-07 00:58:32	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4de42d…
07-07 00:58:22	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xcbd3ff…
06-28 16:33:16	crint irl4 ind4 2026 06 28	India	SELL	15	9¢	$1	0x1a5a73…
06-28 14:52:58	crint irl4 ind4 2026 06 28	India	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xda2aa1…
06-28 14:52:46	crint irl4 ind4 2026 06 28	India	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x938149…
06-28 12:57:22	crint irl4 ind4 2026 06 28	India	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x41063b…
06-28 12:56:52	crint irl4 ind4 2026 06 28	India	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xff7c69…
06-24 01:40:17	Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf35add…
06-23 18:40:31	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xef7230…
06-23 13:27:05	will googl reach 395 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa9e346…
06-23 13:12:59	will nvda reach 236 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x477970…
06-23 13:12:50	will nvda dip to 204 by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x40b2c6…
06-23 13:09:38	Will Dragoș Pîslaru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9b0c1e…
06-23 12:59:41	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe79d34…
06-23 12:58:35	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x06d6cd…
05-28 15:46:40	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $220 on May 28?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3144be…
05-28 15:45:47	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on May 28?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x2fd60e…
05-28 15:45:18	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $380 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xcbfbf2…
05-27 16:03:43	Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of May 25 above $142?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xe57b5e…
05-27 16:03:36	Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of May 25 above $143?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x03e132…
05-27 16:02:43	msft close above 420 on may 27 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xcfa59d…
05-27 16:02:08	msft close above 440 on may 28 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc17d04…
05-27 14:00:24	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xf0fbfc…
05-27 14:00:17	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x731625…
05-27 14:00:11	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 27?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa9bb74…
05-27 13:59:57	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x68a266…
05-27 13:59:52	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x466d02…
05-26 14:48:28	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $400 on May 26?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x15853f…
05-26 14:48:10	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $400 on May 26?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x91f6f8…
05-26 14:47:21	msft close above 410 on may 26 2026	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xbba428…
05-26 14:46:39	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $275 on May 26?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf7e9e8…
05-26 14:46:29	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $275 on May 26?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xff41b0…
05-26 14:45:50	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $225 on May 26?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xbe906b…
05-26 14:45:22	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on May 26?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xdc4c22…
05-26 14:45:13	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf5de7a…
05-26 14:45:01	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x07021b…
05-26 14:44:47	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on May 26?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xc80b17…
05-26 14:44:44	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on May 26?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x19a801…
05-26 14:44:35	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xcffa4d…
05-22 17:06:07	meta close above 630 on may 22 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xef10f8…
05-22 17:05:06	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $440 on May 22?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x833fb4…
05-22 17:04:59	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $440 on May 22?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5193cb…
05-22 17:03:03	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xbf82b3…
05-21 17:53:47	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0xcb9894…
05-21 13:45:23	Will Meta (META) close above $620 on May 21?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x84a2f8…
05-21 13:44:11	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $400 on May 21?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x286471…
05-21 13:41:18	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $146 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x85ac38…
05-21 13:41:04	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $142 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x6b94a9…
05-21 13:39:59	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on May 22?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd23b49…
05-21 13:39:50	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on May 22?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6c12f8…
05-21 13:39:40	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $715 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x12dec2…
05-21 13:39:26	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on May 22?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x37fdfd…
05-21 13:38:56	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $244 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xf6493f…
05-21 13:38:47	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf64930…
05-21 13:38:33	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x6bc016…
05-21 13:38:19	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $244 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x940f79…
05-21 13:37:32	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $440-$450 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xdc9e63…
05-21 13:37:23	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $370-$380 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3e945f…
05-20 15:26:52	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe388f4…
05-20 15:26:27	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7981a4…
05-20 14:14:46	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xd3f5f5…
05-20 14:14:32	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 20?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x113bcb…
05-20 14:14:25	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xe63c04…
05-20 14:14:18	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xf3c047…
05-20 14:14:11	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 20?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xdcf8f4…
05-20 14:14:02	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 20?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xd60224…
05-20 14:13:48	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 20?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5f3590…
05-20 14:13:39	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x61cdc2…
05-20 14:13:30	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xd432d1…
05-20 14:12:45	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on May 20?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xace345…
05-20 14:12:27	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on May 20?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xbf63b9…
05-20 14:11:33	Will Meta (META) close above $620 on May 20?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x7a649f…
05-20 14:10:41	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x8581a3…
05-19 17:19:38	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 19?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x9e215a…
05-19 15:10:55	Will Meta (META) close above $620 on May 19?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x24aa77…
05-19 15:10:13	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $405 on May 19?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xac241f…
05-19 15:10:08	googl close above 400 on may 19 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x4db91b…
05-19 15:09:17	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on May 19?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x7ecce2…
05-19 15:08:47	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 19?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xb500a0…
05-19 15:08:40	spy closes above 720 on may 19 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb60396…
05-19 15:08:25	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 19?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcc67cf…
05-18 15:07:40	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 18?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x7ab157…
05-18 15:07:24	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe5a505…
05-18 15:07:19	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xebffe6…
05-18 15:07:14	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x7a03fd…
05-18 15:07:08	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xdcd45e…
05-18 15:06:54	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 18?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x054fb0…
05-18 15:06:46	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 18?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd13a9f…
05-18 15:06:40	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 18?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf36180…
05-15 19:10:05	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on May 15?	No	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x9029de…
05-15 18:53:55	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on May 15?	No	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0xb715de…
05-15 13:03:57	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $148 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0xc19bc3…
05-15 13:03:39	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $148 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x78bc8f…
05-15 13:02:19	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xfed4de…
05-15 13:01:23	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $420 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6e3d4e…
05-15 13:01:11	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $420 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xecc5d8…
05-15 13:01:04	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xc87549…