Hasty-Necklace — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$81

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 05-25 13:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 17% $-4

Politics

15% 100% +$1

Other

5% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	4	$8	18	15	+3	open	—	04-29 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	3	$3	6	2	+4	open	—	04-25 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	05-25 13:34
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	2	$3	3	3	+0	No	+$1	04-26 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	3	$3	6	6	+0	open	—	04-29 15:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	3	$3	5	3	+2	open	—	04-29 16:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-29 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	2	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-25 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-26 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$2	46	0	+46	open	—	05-25 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$2	8	0	+8	open	—	05-25 13:39
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	04-26 10:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$2	8	8	+0	open	—	04-29 15:13
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-25 17:38
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$2	4	4	+0	open	—	04-29 14:44
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	04-26 10:43
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-25 17:37
Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	05-14 15:53
Trump approval Up or Down this week?	2	$2	2	1	+0	open	—	04-26 10:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$1	3	1	+1	open	—	04-25 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	04-25 17:16
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$1	36	36	+0	open	—	05-14 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	04-25 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	1	$1	12	0	+12	open	—	04-25 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-11 19:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	04-29 14:52
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	05-14 12:42
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$1	33	0	+33	open	—	04-29 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	05-14 12:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$1	9	0	+9	open	—	04-25 14:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 13:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x1bc944…
05-25 13:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x5f04ad…
05-25 13:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x94b8a7…
05-25 13:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xc04516…
05-25 13:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x21f3d8…
05-25 13:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	84¢	$2	0x198992…
05-25 13:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x8d5d20…
05-25 13:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa54b45…
05-25 13:25:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x33d70f…
05-14 15:54:39	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb0fddc…
05-14 15:53:27	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0xe0398a…
05-14 15:53:15	Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	36	0¢	$0	0xc49972…
05-14 12:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x571bde…
05-14 12:49:59	Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0xb02f32…
05-14 12:43:59	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x962812…
05-14 12:43:01	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xee2d8a…
05-14 12:42:35	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xb49d74…
05-14 12:42:21	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x51d488…
05-11 19:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf656e9…
05-11 19:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xaea1f5…
05-11 19:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x469fa1…
05-11 19:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xd17f95…
05-11 19:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x14574a…
05-11 18:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x51b28c…
04-29 16:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x820b0a…
04-29 16:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0xbc9697…
04-29 16:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x4c0ce5…
04-29 16:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2b3427…
04-29 15:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0x035747…
04-29 15:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x276ee3…
04-29 15:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x3da4f8…
04-29 15:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0xe3516b…
04-29 15:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x9b979a…
04-29 15:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x67cf39…
04-29 14:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x772f7d…
04-29 14:53:58	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x3a5854…
04-29 14:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x412551…
04-29 14:50:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	No	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xd76ea4…
04-29 14:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x6fe79b…
04-29 14:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	15	36¢	$5	0x36bfe9…
04-29 14:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5d66b2…
04-29 14:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa758ff…
04-29 14:44:42	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x3ae1cf…
04-26 10:43:56	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x58e279…
04-26 10:42:46	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0x570d25…
04-26 10:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x469418…
04-26 10:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xed7665…
04-26 10:39:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x375dfd…
04-26 10:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xdfe3f9…
04-26 10:33:20	Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Down	SELL	1	43¢	$1	0x5db442…
04-25 18:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa9da5b…
04-25 18:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x124bcf…
04-25 18:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x8e92a5…
04-25 17:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2bff1e…
04-25 17:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x9b0746…
04-25 17:38:04	US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	No	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x0e42f2…
04-25 17:37:30	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0xefa49e…
04-25 17:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x67a041…
04-25 17:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0x632eae…
04-25 17:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xfb45e5…
04-25 17:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x51d03f…
04-25 17:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x1f682b…
04-25 16:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x7060f0…
04-25 14:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x67ad3b…
04-25 14:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x5624e1…
04-25 14:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe33c5e…
04-25 14:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0x7c2cc3…
04-25 14:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xbb1a83…
04-25 13:40:16	Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa91c9c…
04-25 13:38:06	US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x40ef07…
04-25 13:35:36	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xbf0156…
04-25 13:33:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x284101…
04-25 13:25:22	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x3dc1e2…
04-25 13:25:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xcb341d…
04-25 13:23:52	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x5a4a36…
04-25 13:22:56	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xfdb780…