Identical-Divide — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.3%

Resolved

511

Trades

5,400

lifetime

Volume

$15.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 05-20 12:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 54% +$36

Other

12% 51% $-28

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 501 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $205 Week of April 27 2026?	1	$36	50	+50	open	—	04-27 15:02
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $185 Week of April 27 2026?	1	$33	50	+50	open	—	04-27 15:05
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $207.50 Week of April 27 2026?	1	$30	50	+50	open	—	04-27 15:04
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $210 Week of April 27 2026?	1	$25	50	+50	open	—	04-27 15:22
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $212.50 Week of April 27 2026?	1	$20	50	+50	open	—	04-27 15:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	6	$13	25	+25	open	—	04-29 23:36
eth updown 5m 1776781200	1	$10	19	+19	open	—	04-21 14:20
BNB Up or Down - May 2, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	1	$10	14	+14	open	—	05-02 19:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$10	18	+18	open	—	05-02 17:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	1	$10	15	+15	open	—	05-02 20:34
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	1	$10	15	+15	Up	+$5	05-05 10:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$10	15	+15	open	—	05-02 21:49
BNB Up or Down - May 2, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	1	$10	12	+12	open	—	05-02 20:21
BNB Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	1	$10	14	+14	Down	+$4	05-05 11:42
BNB Up or Down - May 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	1	$10	14	+14	open	—	05-03 10:17
BNB Up or Down - May 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	1	$10	13	+13	open	—	05-02 09:42
BNB Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	1	$10	13	+13	Down	$-10	05-05 11:44
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	1	$10	20	+20	Up	+$10	05-05 11:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	1	$10	16	+16	Down	$-10	05-05 11:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	1	$10	17	+17	Up	$-10	05-05 10:22
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	1	$10	17	+17	Up	$-10	05-05 11:33
BNB Up or Down - May 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$10	14	+14	open	—	05-02 20:22
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	1	$9	12	+12	Down	+$3	05-05 11:08
BNB Up or Down - May 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	1	$9	12	+12	Up	+$3	05-05 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	1	$9	15	+15	Up	+$6	05-05 11:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	1	$9	12	+12	Down	+$3	05-05 09:58
btc updown 15m 1771701300	1	$9	15	+15	open	—	02-21 19:13
eth updown 5m 1776775200	1	$9	17	+17	open	—	04-21 12:39
BNB Up or Down - May 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$9	13	+13	open	—	05-04 19:36
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$9	20	+20	Down	+$11	05-05 10:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 12:09:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa15010…
05-20 11:39:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x8da8d2…
05-20 11:18:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xd2bfb6…
05-20 10:59:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb37ea1…
05-20 10:42:05	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x8bda5b…
05-20 10:29:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0831a9…
05-20 10:12:04	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xc8046a…
05-19 23:42:04	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x29f100…
05-19 23:14:06	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xcd3386…
05-19 23:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x7a07ff…
05-19 23:13:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x7c455d…
05-19 23:04:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc397a2…
05-19 22:59:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x41b17c…
05-19 22:43:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xd0ecd7…
05-19 22:29:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa2fb54…
05-19 22:14:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x84bf94…
05-19 21:52:34	BNB Up or Down - May 19, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xbaee21…
05-19 21:49:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x806b0f…
05-19 21:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x837a46…
05-19 21:38:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0x90297f…
05-19 21:24:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb320f1…
05-19 21:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x452d22…
05-19 21:04:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x543477…
05-19 20:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x2082f7…
05-19 19:16:35	BNB Up or Down - May 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xcc70df…
05-19 16:54:35	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc4af67…
05-19 16:42:04	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 19, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb6d9eb…
05-19 16:24:34	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xadff28…
05-19 15:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xabacb7…
05-19 15:44:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x26f541…
05-19 15:27:05	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 19, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa717c7…
05-19 15:23:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x6e1c0b…
05-19 12:29:04	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x52d733…
05-19 12:27:04	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x5fd3c4…
05-19 01:57:04	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 18, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xac34d8…
05-19 01:16:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x3957de…
05-19 01:14:34	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$2	0xb9ca54…
05-19 01:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x67ce61…
05-19 00:59:34	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4542b5…
05-19 00:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x9f0de4…
05-19 00:51:35	BNB Up or Down - May 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa0b791…
05-19 00:49:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x789a2b…
05-19 00:29:34	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6d9238…
05-18 23:58:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x38e045…
05-18 22:14:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x17e58e…
05-18 22:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x4c50c2…
05-18 22:10:35	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x5bdd87…
05-18 22:07:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x6965d4…
05-18 21:52:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xd9b2d9…
05-18 21:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xedf10b…
05-18 21:05:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x169a5e…
05-18 20:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x75381f…
05-18 19:29:59	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x80909b…
05-18 19:25:04	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x03455a…
05-18 19:19:54	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xe6acfe…
05-18 18:40:03	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x5ddf21…
05-18 17:55:35	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x98ef11…
05-18 17:40:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x4776b2…
05-18 17:37:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xaed1c3…
05-18 17:24:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x2e7115…
05-18 17:11:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x97d644…
05-18 17:05:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x960bda…
05-18 16:57:34	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x464c73…
05-18 16:56:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xd13f61…
05-18 16:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x040b2e…
05-18 16:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xe9d2f3…
05-18 16:35:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x7c60c3…
05-18 16:22:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xa3dbb5…
05-18 16:21:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x148498…
05-18 16:10:36	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x7a5e68…
05-18 16:06:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xb84c6e…
05-18 15:56:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x0a424b…
05-18 15:52:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x713cf4…
05-18 15:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x29475b…
05-18 15:50:03	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xdbdfa2…
05-18 15:40:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xdd9dea…
05-18 15:40:04	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xa41c5c…
05-18 15:36:04	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x0e8584…
05-18 15:32:34	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x4fab48…
05-18 15:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x85d652…
05-18 15:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xa01878…
05-18 15:09:53	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	59¢	$3	0xb583fa…
05-18 15:08:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x25c13c…
05-18 15:00:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x7e4d6e…
05-18 14:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x795676…
05-18 14:52:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x945393…
05-18 14:50:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xaaa5fb…
05-18 14:31:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x33e0bf…
05-18 14:27:48	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xf85183…
05-18 14:25:03	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x7be20c…
05-18 14:22:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xe7ca9d…
05-18 14:20:04	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xc8efd3…
05-18 14:19:53	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xcf50d6…
05-18 14:16:04	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x95a92c…
05-18 14:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xb726aa…
05-18 14:12:50	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x241d2b…
05-18 14:07:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x427fbc…
05-18 14:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xd340af…
05-18 14:01:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x89b94c…
05-18 13:51:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xc5c376…