Ambitious-Endorsement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$131

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.5%

Resolved

341

Trades

738

lifetime

Volume

$19.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 08-13 04:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 118 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 65% -$105

Other

47% 59% -$26

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 76k on april 14	9	$688	363	362	+2	No	+$11	04-14 16:04
bitcoin above 78k on april 18	5	$560	286	286	+1	No	+$11	04-18 16:00
bitcoin above 74k on april 20	2	$410	211	210	+1	Yes	+$10	04-20 16:30
bitcoin above 74k on april 8	2	$410	210	210	+1	No	+$10	04-08 16:07
bitcoin above 64k on march 28	4	$403	210	210	+0	Yes	+$14	03-28 08:33
bitcoin up or down on april 22 2026	2	$399	215	214	+1	Up	+$0	04-22 06:38
bitcoin up or down on april 24 2026	6	$382	200	199	+1	Down	+$17	04-24 16:02
bitcoin above 70k on april 6	2	$335	186	186	+0	No	-$22	04-06 15:51
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 29?	4	$322	217	217	+0	Down	-$94	04-29 16:18
bitcoin above 78k on april 22	4	$244	134	133	+1	Yes	+$22	04-22 16:07
bitcoin above 64k on march 24	3	$216	112	112	+0	Yes	+$6	03-23 18:56
bitcoin above 70k on april 7	2	$214	115	114	+1	No	+$15	04-07 16:09
bitcoin above 72k on april 13	2	$213	113	112	+1	No	+$12	04-13 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 26?	2	$211	113	112	+1	Up	+$13	04-26 16:25
bitcoin above 66k on march 21	2	$210	110	110	+0	Yes	+$10	03-21 10:13
bitcoin above 68k on march 19	4	$208	110	110	+0	Yes	-$3	03-18 16:14
bitcoin above 70k on march 18	2	$207	108	107	+0	Yes	+$7	03-18 16:00
bitcoin above 66k on march 16	3	$205	105	105	+0	Yes	+$5	03-16 07:56
bitcoin above 66k on march 22	2	$205	105	105	+0	Yes	+$5	03-22 16:37
bitcoin above 72k on april 3	2	$205	106	105	+0	No	+$5	04-02 17:53
bitcoin above 66k on march 25	3	$205	105	105	+0	Yes	+$5	03-25 06:56
bitcoin above 72k on april 2	2	$205	105	105	+0	No	+$5	04-02 06:53
bitcoin above 64k on february 27	2	$205	105	105	+0	Yes	+$5	02-27 17:04
bitcoin above 66k on march 20	2	$205	105	105	+0	Yes	+$5	03-20 04:27
bitcoin above 64k on march 26	2	$204	104	104	+0	Yes	+$4	03-25 14:56
bitcoin above 64k on march 29	6	$200	209	0	+209	Yes	+$9	03-28 09:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 28?	3	$196	101	101	+0	No	+$6	04-28 14:55
bitcoin above 70k on march 17	2	$196	100	100	+0	Yes	+$4	03-17 08:11
bitcoin above 66k on march 27	2	$195	107	107	+0	Yes	-$6	03-27 15:41
bitcoin above 76k on april 17	2	$188	207	205	+2	Yes	-$180	04-17 14:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 04:44:54	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x714a67…
08-13 04:04:55	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xa36995…
08-13 03:49:51	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 12?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd79df0…
08-11 20:49:03	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 12?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x8a48dc…
07-30 12:57:21	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xf18ee3…
07-30 10:57:11	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on July 30?	No	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x54744d…
07-30 08:50:03	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on July 30?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x61a3c0…
07-30 08:38:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 30?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x6877e5…
07-30 02:46:39	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 30?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x973f06…
07-29 09:49:11	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 29?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4e0701…
07-28 23:24:32	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 29?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x7ebdaa…
07-27 11:33:34	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 27?	No	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x4a2708…
07-27 10:15:40	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 27?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x44d726…
07-27 09:09:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 27?	No	SELL	31	99¢	$30	0x8a7e7d…
07-27 04:02:15	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 27?	No	BUY	31	74¢	$23	0x3f9fa9…
07-27 03:50:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 27?	No	SELL	27	84¢	$23	0xa49278…
07-27 02:38:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 27?	No	BUY	21	83¢	$18	0x3b0c27…
07-27 01:42:06	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 27?	No	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0x07be2b…
07-27 00:40:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 27?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x2e0360…
07-26 20:05:51	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on July 26?	No	SELL	23	98¢	$23	0xd91e4f…
07-26 16:23:06	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on July 26?	No	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0xd38990…
07-26 16:23:06	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on July 26?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x113408…
07-26 05:53:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 26?	No	BUY	26	82¢	$21	0x7a808d…
07-26 05:04:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 26?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x63cf70…
07-26 04:52:48	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 26?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x530c2c…
07-25 14:31:52	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 26?	No	BUY	28	79¢	$22	0x664076…
07-25 12:22:46	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on July 25?	No	SELL	36	60¢	$22	0x3632bf…
07-25 06:52:52	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on July 25?	No	BUY	21	83¢	$17	0x160a11…
07-25 05:59:31	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on July 25?	No	BUY	15	83¢	$12	0x1b2072…
07-25 01:53:45	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 24?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x30abd2…
07-24 12:51:15	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 24?	No	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0xed8e39…
07-24 08:30:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 24?	No	SELL	39	99¢	$38	0x5e8755…
07-24 00:54:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 24?	No	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0x38241c…
07-24 00:16:52	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 23?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x64ae2c…
07-23 12:14:13	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 23?	No	BUY	37	82¢	$30	0xb56901…
07-23 00:27:40	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 22?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$37	0xab47f5…
07-22 12:46:51	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 22?	No	BUY	38	80¢	$30	0x1c0681…
07-22 08:37:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 22?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x4dd68b…
07-21 16:23:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 22?	No	BUY	26	83¢	$21	0x703cf7…
07-21 16:02:13	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 22?	No	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xc59803…
07-21 15:59:37	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 22?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xd01a5a…
07-21 09:19:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 21?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xe551f0…
07-21 07:47:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 21?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x071fab…
07-20 19:33:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x8fca52…
07-20 19:32:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x14cb77…
07-20 19:00:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x78742e…
07-20 15:29:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 21?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x3c7102…
07-20 15:22:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 21?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x990123…
07-20 14:01:01	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 20?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x9da691…
07-20 07:54:07	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 20?	No	BUY	31	83¢	$26	0xea9fb2…
07-20 06:38:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 20?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x04d02c…
07-19 15:36:19	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 20?	No	BUY	25	83¢	$21	0x01be45…
07-18 10:07:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 18?	No	SELL	36	58¢	$21	0x88830e…
07-18 02:19:28	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 18?	No	BUY	16	81¢	$13	0xb2218f…
07-18 02:18:43	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 18?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x97a38d…
07-18 01:53:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 18?	No	SELL	35	91¢	$32	0x0a795d…
07-18 00:43:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 18?	No	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0xe9dc2c…
07-17 06:28:57	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on July 17?	No	BUY	36	85¢	$31	0x327784…
07-17 04:02:42	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 17?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xb63ad2…
07-17 02:13:25	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 17?	No	SELL	18	32¢	$6	0x721e5f…
07-16 23:30:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 17?	No	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0x17067a…
07-16 19:09:28	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 17?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x08c57d…
07-16 18:53:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 17?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x60fe06…
07-16 18:36:31	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 17?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x15bd26…
07-16 17:21:58	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on July 16?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x728583…
07-16 10:39:26	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on July 16?	No	BUY	36	85¢	$31	0x680ba0…
07-16 06:45:56	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 16?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x4d1f7e…
07-15 23:06:34	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 16?	No	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0x0f0411…
07-15 15:17:08	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 15?	No	SELL	33	91¢	$30	0x03a706…
07-15 06:23:52	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 15?	No	BUY	28	85¢	$24	0x722a21…
07-15 06:16:11	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 15?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x85f494…
07-15 06:13:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 15?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xdf89bf…
07-15 03:08:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 15?	No	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xeddcc3…
07-14 18:16:08	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 14?	No	SELL	27	77¢	$21	0x7bc446…
07-14 17:37:47	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 14?	No	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0xadf1e2…
07-14 17:11:58	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 14?	No	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0x312e2b…
07-14 17:06:22	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 14?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x066f7a…
07-14 14:20:23	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 14?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x46670d…
07-14 08:48:22	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 14?	No	BUY	23	83¢	$19	0x494c79…
07-14 08:34:41	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 14?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$19	0xe3fd6d…
07-14 00:12:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 14?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xeb9c10…
07-13 16:03:13	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 13?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x45e897…
07-13 06:42:04	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 13?	No	BUY	36	82¢	$30	0x3c920c…
07-13 01:23:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 13?	No	SELL	30	75¢	$22	0xeb6e70…
07-12 22:43:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 13?	No	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x9e57d4…
07-12 15:37:17	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on July 12?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xe64119…
07-12 10:27:17	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on July 12?	No	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0x2f09cb…
07-12 07:38:14	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 12?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x9853c5…
07-12 02:40:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 12?	No	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0x78d9e2…
07-10 14:15:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 10?	No	SELL	34	92¢	$31	0x841f60…
07-10 10:48:19	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 10?	No	SELL	30	79¢	$24	0xbc1b3f…
07-10 10:25:43	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 10?	No	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x4e2c9d…
07-10 05:29:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 10?	No	BUY	34	76¢	$26	0x0a6fad…
07-10 05:07:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 10?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0xc7c99b…
07-09 19:24:13	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on July 9?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x915012…
07-09 14:59:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 10?	No	BUY	26	85¢	$22	0x622998…
07-09 11:17:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 10?	No	SELL	25	87¢	$22	0x3cc97b…
07-09 11:13:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 10?	No	BUY	25	88¢	$22	0xd94a10…
07-09 10:45:32	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 9?	No	SELL	27	0¢	$0	0xb9b342…
07-09 10:43:40	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on July 9?	No	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0xe032f7…