Weak-Tilt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

18.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$46

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 05-11 10:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 20% $-25

Politics

3% — —

Other

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	5	$5	7	4	+3	Up	$-1	05-10 11:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	1	$5	76	0	+76	Up	$-5	05-10 10:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Down	$-5	05-10 21:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-10 11:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	3	$3	101	1	+100	Down	$-1	05-10 11:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	3	$3	7	0	+7	Down	$-3	05-10 21:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	Up	$-2	05-11 09:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$2	5	0	+5	Up	$-2	05-10 11:33
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$2	8	8	+0	open	—	05-11 10:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$2	71	71	+0	open	—	05-11 10:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Up	$-1	05-10 21:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	1	$1	84	0	+84	No	$-1	05-10 11:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Down	$-1	05-10 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Down	$-1	05-10 16:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-11 08:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	$-1	05-10 11:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-10 11:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-11 08:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	1	$1	33	0	+33	Down	$-1	05-10 16:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-11 09:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-11 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Up	$-1	05-11 08:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 10:03:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	71	1¢	$1	0xb3efd6…
05-11 10:03:31	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0x1e29b1…
05-11 09:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x4825e6…
05-11 09:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbe65c7…
05-11 09:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x28ec88…
05-11 08:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x3c6227…
05-11 08:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe7260d…
05-11 08:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x7db130…
05-11 08:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xe5a742…
05-10 21:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x9fbec1…
05-10 21:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x5d29ce…
05-10 21:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xfa2a2d…
05-10 21:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd88eee…
05-10 21:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x525094…
05-10 16:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x8120ee…
05-10 16:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x744b21…
05-10 12:09:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0xc4afc7…
05-10 11:41:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	84	1¢	$1	0xb0ca74…
05-10 11:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x22632b…
05-10 11:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb606b1…
05-10 11:29:20	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x88ed9f…
05-10 11:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xc749aa…
05-10 11:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6b7383…
05-10 11:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7c2014…
05-10 11:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x7cd710…
05-10 11:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xedc77b…
05-10 11:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xc70698…
05-10 11:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x8727f5…
05-10 11:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf4d96d…
05-10 11:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xa5af19…
05-10 11:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x537cf0…
05-10 11:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x637b21…
05-10 11:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8e4e2c…
05-10 10:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	76	7¢	$5	0x861a35…