Deficient-Balaclava — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.9%

Resolved

Trades

369

lifetime

Volume

$875

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 05-19 22:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 55% $-8

Other

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1774738800	4	$24	16	16	+0	open	—	03-28 23:03
sol updown 5m 1775075400	6	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 20:33
btc updown 5m 1775073900	6	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	04-01 20:09
btc updown 5m 1774737300	4	$13	15	14	+0	open	—	03-28 22:39
btc updown 5m 1775254800	4	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	04-03 22:25
btc updown 5m 1775074200	6	$11	9	8	+1	open	—	04-01 20:13
sol updown 5m 1775085900	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	04-01 23:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	05-18 19:00
btc updown 5m 1774738500	2	$10	8	7	+0	open	—	03-28 22:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	4	$10	11	5	+6	open	—	05-19 14:27
btc updown 5m 1775070900	4	$10	9	9	+0	open	—	04-01 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	3	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	05-14 10:54
sol updown 5m 1775075100	4	$9	7	7	+0	open	—	04-01 20:27
btc updown 5m 1775073300	4	$9	7	7	+0	open	—	04-01 19:59
btc updown 5m 1775071500	4	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	04-01 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	3	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	05-18 19:06
sol updown 5m 1775076300	4	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	04-01 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$9	7	7	+0	open	—	05-19 13:36
btc updown 5m 1774738200	2	$9	7	7	+0	open	—	03-28 22:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	2	$8	7	7	+0	open	—	05-19 13:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-19 14:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	05-19 13:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	05-18 18:48
btc updown 5m 1775072400	4	$8	8	8	+0	open	—	04-01 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-19 14:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	05-19 13:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	2	$7	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 12:00
btc updown 5m 1774737900	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	03-28 22:49
btc updown 5m 1774739100	1	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	03-28 23:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	05-19 13:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 22:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x10de47…
05-19 14:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0xa7d997…
05-19 14:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	54¢	$1	0xf28a1a…
05-19 14:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xab9e44…
05-19 14:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xf2d3a0…
05-19 14:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	85¢	$5	0xa1631b…
05-19 14:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x0f93de…
05-19 14:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	6	56¢	$3	0xa7e4d9…
05-19 14:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	61¢	$3	0x3ee569…
05-19 14:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x45337b…
05-19 14:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x213b87…
05-19 14:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x3cbb75…
05-19 13:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xf6db22…
05-19 13:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x8f80d9…
05-19 13:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0xaedbad…
05-19 13:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x6c0b0a…
05-19 13:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	58¢	$3	0xb96b79…
05-19 13:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x14b1c3…
05-19 13:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x947ad3…
05-19 13:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0xc8d3f6…
05-19 13:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	9	24¢	$2	0x85ff19…
05-19 13:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x6bd7f6…
05-19 13:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0x4be3bb…
05-19 13:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	6	74¢	$4	0xd9c986…
05-19 13:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x9414f5…
05-19 13:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	7	65¢	$5	0x5399ce…
05-19 13:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x6a53e5…
05-19 13:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0xdbf8a9…
05-19 13:11:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0xa2d019…
05-19 12:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	7	44¢	$3	0xfa34af…
05-19 12:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$3	0xe62bc8…
05-18 19:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	59¢	$3	0xf937d2…
05-18 19:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x334399…
05-18 19:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	58¢	$1	0x0cfa55…
05-18 19:06:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x892107…
05-18 19:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x3b3a3b…
05-18 18:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$3	0x0aae35…
05-18 18:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	74¢	$4	0x6329ca…
05-18 18:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	61¢	$3	0xafea95…
05-16 12:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x4ff696…
05-16 11:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x28b24b…
05-16 11:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xf0583e…
05-16 11:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0xf70486…
05-16 11:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xab5b98…
05-15 19:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	7	44¢	$3	0x19aacf…
05-15 19:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0xda5dfb…
05-15 19:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	7	38¢	$3	0x219c17…
05-15 19:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0x503e83…
05-15 19:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xe66cab…
05-15 19:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0x578796…
05-15 19:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe75be6…
05-15 19:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xafd3a7…
05-15 18:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x22e3dd…
05-15 18:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x7498c7…
05-15 18:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$1	0xf7b468…
05-15 18:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf08f92…
05-15 17:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x2e63cc…
05-15 17:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xda4304…
05-15 13:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x9eade3…
05-15 13:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x1fa1cc…
05-15 13:23:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xbfc50e…
05-15 13:21:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x3c0592…
05-15 13:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xbd15ea…
05-15 13:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x17d9b2…
05-15 13:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x3d5a6d…
05-15 13:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x859ad7…
05-15 13:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xad398f…
05-15 13:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x51c736…
05-15 12:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xe903b7…
05-15 12:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x537276…
05-15 12:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x548391…
05-15 12:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x642dd3…
05-14 22:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x925192…
05-14 22:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xfbdb25…
05-14 22:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x1d92c5…
05-14 22:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xf3d456…
05-14 22:11:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xff92e3…
05-14 22:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0xb6048c…
05-14 22:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x95cdca…
05-14 21:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0xcba41e…
05-14 21:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xec294e…
05-14 10:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x2aec2d…
05-14 10:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x12461c…
05-14 10:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x531afa…
05-14 10:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xdb5fa5…
05-14 10:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x3b0d23…
05-14 10:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	95¢	$2	0x47e4e8…
05-14 10:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x68a1fb…
05-14 10:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x2293f1…
05-14 10:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xccf97f…
05-14 10:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	86¢	$2	0x3004f7…
05-14 10:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xcbcb37…
05-14 10:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc0afd1…
05-14 10:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x060373…
05-12 12:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x3ca445…
05-12 12:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xcd02f4…
05-12 11:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x43084a…
05-11 18:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x9ecbc1…
05-11 16:10:36	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x3ebe39…
05-11 16:08:08	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xe420ba…