Talkative-Courage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

5.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,166

lifetime

Volume

$3.88K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 05-14 21:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

63% 33% $-12

Politics

25% 38% $-1

Crypto

6% — —

Sports

5% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 101 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	27	$221	248	248	+0	Yes	$-6	04-22 20:54
Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?	25	$179	210	210	+0	open	—	04-21 22:29
will arvell reese be the second pick in the 2026 nfl draft	15	$116	180	180	+0	open	—	04-24 00:00
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	21	$96	200	200	+0	open	—	04-27 08:52
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	12	$87	100	100	+0	open	—	04-26 17:15
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	15	$87	300	250	+50	open	—	04-27 23:17
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 6-9%?	23	$87	183	183	+0	open	—	04-21 23:21
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	16	$79	114	114	+0	open	—	04-25 14:35
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	12	$78	80	80	+0	open	—	04-17 22:02
spx opens up or down on april 17 2026	5	$64	61	61	+0	open	—	04-17 06:02
Will Eric Swalwell drop out before California primary?	22	$62	200	200	+0	open	—	04-12 16:47
trump approval up or down this week 715	2	$58	50	50	+0	open	—	04-15 16:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?	11	$58	83	83	+0	open	—	04-22 10:42
amzn up or down on april 16 2026	4	$52	50	50	+0	open	—	04-16 02:58
spy up or down on april 16 2026	2	$48	50	50	+0	open	—	04-15 22:30
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	8	$47	60	60	+0	open	—	04-10 23:06
will kailera therapeuticss market cap be greater than 2pt1b at market close on ipo day	2	$45	50	50	+0	open	—	04-17 08:07
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 19 2026	10	$43	100	100	+0	open	—	04-18 21:09
spx up or down on april 17 2026	5	$42	50	50	+0	open	—	04-17 05:20
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	8	$42	62	62	+0	open	—	04-26 22:36
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 in April?	20	$40	180	180	+0	open	—	04-26 07:44
Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Nick Szabo as Satoshi?	4	$40	40	40	+0	open	—	04-20 22:40
will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	4	$38	100	100	+0	open	—	04-12 18:10
will britney win at hustler casino on friday	4	$38	40	20	+20	open	—	04-18 03:08
will david bailey be the third pick in the 2026 nfl draft	9	$38	60	60	+0	open	—	04-24 00:05
any of the stolen kitkats recovered by april 5	5	$38	40	40	+0	open	—	03-30 18:11
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	9	$37	98	98	+0	open	—	04-19 18:47
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	14	$37	132	132	+0	open	—	04-21 03:30
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 24?	3	$36	50	50	+0	open	—	04-24 02:28
Will gas hit (High) $4.05 by April 30?	3	$36	20	20	+0	open	—	04-01 04:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 21:19:06	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x18cb49…
05-12 03:38:28	Will SD Eibar achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0xb74dd4…
05-10 12:01:41	Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.30 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x7c6f8d…
05-10 11:52:58	Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.20 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x0638e3…
05-10 09:02:50	Will SD Eibar achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x93cea6…
05-10 08:35:02	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Viktor Orbán by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x886471…
05-10 06:04:13	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x2084bb…
05-10 02:45:02	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x21d17a…
05-08 12:52:16	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x56382b…
05-08 08:35:17	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x2b6178…
05-07 21:23:32	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x9b40b8…
05-07 20:25:25	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x7bf4a2…
05-07 19:10:31	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xf224b8…
05-07 18:59:47	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9f576b…
05-07 18:58:16	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc15460…
05-07 18:47:42	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xff1f43…
05-07 10:43:23	Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x081ba4…
05-07 07:14:42	Will Ground Zero Gaming qualify for EWC 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xe96b42…
05-06 23:05:28	Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x6590c4…
05-06 23:04:42	Will Ground Zero Gaming qualify for EWC 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x36578c…
05-06 20:43:23	Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	9¢	$1	0x53975e…
05-06 20:26:44	Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc9d99a…
05-06 18:19:15	Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	15	16¢	$2	0x1e7485…
05-06 18:15:47	Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xea7a4b…
05-06 10:11:20	Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x526385…
05-06 06:04:10	Will "Batman" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xbb2a98…
05-05 22:41:42	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x6315e2…
05-05 12:35:34	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xba5c71…
05-05 08:38:58	Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xc3817f…
05-05 07:50:00	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?	No	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x57557e…
05-05 06:54:12	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x9219fb…
05-05 01:47:02	Will Anna Wintour be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xdf27ba…
05-04 20:37:20	Will "Batman" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xfb0e6b…
05-03 19:30:56	Will Russia enter Stinky by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xaef60a…
05-03 19:30:28	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x60601e…
05-03 15:03:50	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xd1f875…
05-03 13:04:00	Will Hess Midstream (HESM) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x9014a2…
05-03 13:03:28	Will Hess Midstream (HESM) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xd30b41…
05-03 13:02:26	Will Hess Midstream (HESM) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x5a960f…
05-03 13:01:22	Will Hess Midstream (HESM) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x124f2e…
05-03 11:24:24	Will Russia capture Pokrovka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x955db8…
05-03 11:22:50	Will Russia capture Pokrovka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xc60e97…
05-03 08:42:00	Will Russia enter Stinky by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xb0d908…
05-03 08:10:18	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x4171cd…
05-03 08:09:26	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x9b7dd9…
05-03 08:08:56	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xf251c2…
05-03 07:49:14	Will Drake feature Metro Boomin on ICEMAN?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x215a90…
05-03 07:48:14	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xf53df8…
05-03 03:55:24	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x67ec91…
05-03 03:55:22	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xbd4cec…
05-03 03:18:32	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	13	10¢	$1	0xe2329b…
05-03 02:24:16	Will Drake feature Metro Boomin on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xba34c0…
05-03 00:50:16	Kash Patel out by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0x2c68b9…
05-03 00:33:48	Kash Patel out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xbb6ea0…
05-02 21:10:42	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x2b6fab…
05-02 20:23:14	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xd37340…
05-02 20:22:30	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x238ce8…
05-02 19:57:16	Gemini 3.2 released by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x24c244…
05-02 19:44:16	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x3a3efb…
05-02 19:38:02	Will James Comey leave the country by May 15?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x36645b…
05-02 09:55:26	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x92320c…
05-02 08:34:36	Will Zendaya be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0xd02a1d…
05-02 00:13:40	Will James Comey leave the country by May 15?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x43b061…
05-01 19:07:40	Will Zendaya be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x58e391…
05-01 18:12:14	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe5f3dd…
05-01 13:25:24	Gemini 3.2 released by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x22ca22…
05-01 09:47:04	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x39ca82…
05-01 09:31:16	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x99dcc6…
05-01 05:24:32	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0xc7b6e1…
05-01 04:50:24	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0xe511f0…
05-01 03:18:54	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xf95289…
05-01 03:18:54	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xe3d812…
04-30 21:49:44	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x3e6be8…
04-30 21:47:22	Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.5% in April?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x69f533…
04-30 21:46:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x8fdef3…
04-30 11:42:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x51e870…
04-30 08:43:34	Will Trump say "NASA" 5+ times during astronaut greeting?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x47af22…
04-30 04:59:08	Will Trump say "Zero" during astronaut greeting?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x72362a…
04-30 04:58:46	Will Trump say "Baby" during astronaut greeting?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xec25da…
04-30 04:10:20	Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during astronaut greeting?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x3d3100…
04-30 03:57:34	Will Trump say "Moon" 5+ times during astronaut greeting?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xb40f16…
04-30 03:00:52	Will Trump say "NASA" 5+ times during astronaut greeting?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x3b83fd…
04-29 23:46:52	Will Trump say "Apollo" during astronaut greeting?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0xc079ba…
04-29 23:22:54	Will Trump say "Apollo" during astronaut greeting?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xa0a36b…
04-29 23:18:44	Will Trump say "Record" during astronaut greeting?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xea58ca…
04-29 21:49:50	Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.5% in April?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x326a3e…
04-29 20:37:10	Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 30?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x5dd114…
04-29 20:30:14	Will James Comey leave the country by May 15?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x03037e…
04-29 20:29:34	Will Comey smile in his mugshot?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xb0a967…
04-29 20:28:54	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x6b1681…
04-29 20:22:24	Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xe98f6a…
04-29 20:16:06	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xdede08…
04-29 16:01:50	Will Comey smile in his mugshot?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x8be395…
04-29 14:14:38	Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.5% in April?	Yes	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0xd1c3e6…
04-29 10:21:12	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $5.50 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0x143737…
04-29 09:56:24	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $5.50 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0x03fd92…
04-29 09:56:12	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $5.50 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0xb5dec1…
04-29 09:02:24	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x4e2ab8…
04-29 08:45:50	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $5.50 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0xabd86f…
04-29 08:45:48	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $5.50 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0x645552…