Phony-Notebook — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.6%

Resolved

Trades

729

lifetime

Volume

$29.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 06-29 21:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 58% $-23

Other

3% — —

Sports

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1774636200	5	$1.1K	1,795	786	+1,010	open	—	03-27 18:34
btc updown 5m 1774635600	4	$931	569	564	+5	open	—	03-27 18:23
btc updown 5m 1774635300	6	$895	524	521	+3	open	—	03-27 18:18
btc updown 5m 1774611900	4	$815	553	548	+6	open	—	03-27 11:47
btc updown 5m 1774635900	2	$794	672	662	+10	open	—	03-27 18:26
btc updown 5m 1774588200	5	$794	691	290	+401	open	—	03-27 05:14
btc updown 5m 1774560000	2	$715	367	367	+0	open	—	03-26 21:23
btc updown 5m 1774644600	2	$615	381	377	+3	open	—	03-27 20:53
btc updown 5m 1776085200	5	$530	288	286	+2	open	—	04-13 13:04
btc updown 5m 1774528200	2	$517	335	332	+3	open	—	03-26 12:33
btc updown 5m 1774653900	2	$509	338	333	+4	open	—	03-27 23:29
btc updown 5m 1774651200	9	$463	286	285	+1	open	—	03-27 22:43
btc updown 5m 1774512900	2	$439	288	285	+3	open	—	03-26 08:17
btc updown 5m 1774561200	4	$403	333	329	+5	open	—	03-26 21:44
btc updown 5m 1774597500	2	$398	513	0	+513	open	—	03-27 07:49
btc updown 5m 1776088500	3	$386	335	148	+188	open	—	04-13 13:57
btc updown 5m 1774608300	2	$346	428	0	+428	open	—	03-27 10:49
btc updown 5m 1776085500	4	$339	184	183	+1	open	—	04-13 13:08
btc updown 5m 1776089100	3	$318	269	146	+124	open	—	04-13 14:08
btc updown 5m 1774511700	4	$313	214	212	+2	open	—	03-26 07:56
btc updown 5m 1774552800	4	$313	219	216	+3	open	—	03-26 19:23
btc updown 5m 1774502100	2	$309	214	211	+3	open	—	03-26 05:20
btc updown 5m 1774560300	5	$284	200	198	+3	open	—	03-26 21:29
btc updown 5m 1774530600	1	$280	432	0	+432	open	—	03-26 13:15
btc updown 5m 1776110400	4	$280	204	198	+5	open	—	04-13 20:04
btc updown 5m 1776081600	4	$276	149	148	+1	open	—	04-13 12:04
btc updown 5m 1774609500	4	$273	185	183	+2	open	—	03-27 11:07
btc updown 5m 1774527000	4	$271	207	204	+3	open	—	03-26 12:13
btc updown 5m 1776088200	3	$264	192	133	+59	open	—	04-13 13:52
btc updown 5m 1774528500	5	$254	212	189	+23	open	—	03-26 12:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 21:04:34	btc updown 5m 1782766800	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x5ad516…
06-29 21:03:23	btc updown 5m 1782766800	Up	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0xd15107…
06-29 21:03:04	btc updown 5m 1782766800	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x631ef5…
06-29 21:02:28	btc updown 5m 1782766800	Up	SELL	3	79¢	$3	0xbcd607…
06-29 21:00:56	btc updown 5m 1782766800	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xe5a5eb…
06-29 20:59:25	btc updown 5m 1782766500	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x87d294…
06-29 20:58:08	btc updown 5m 1782766500	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x7dcec3…
05-12 11:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x583ab8…
05-12 11:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x7868ff…
05-12 11:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x2ac2d1…
05-12 11:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	8	81¢	$7	0x34668b…
05-12 11:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x65fae8…
05-12 11:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf439b0…
05-12 11:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xdec328…
05-07 08:22:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x466c1c…
05-07 08:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	8	83¢	$6	0x310f69…
05-07 08:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x621a5b…
05-07 06:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x322e0d…
05-05 15:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x7eafe1…
05-05 14:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	12	98¢	$11	0xd4e02e…
05-05 14:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xb2eee9…
05-05 12:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x09c61f…
05-05 12:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x368e4c…
05-05 12:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x0fb119…
05-05 07:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x69ed65…
05-05 07:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xfc9890…
05-05 06:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x650f2f…
05-05 06:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xf657f2…
05-04 13:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x2b5c60…
05-04 13:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x98948d…
05-04 11:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x817851…
05-04 11:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x91a105…
05-04 11:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x3ceeed…
05-04 11:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	9	78¢	$7	0x22918c…
05-04 11:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x5877a0…
05-04 11:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x6736b0…
05-04 10:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xafdcb5…
05-04 10:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x9dd941…
05-04 10:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	19	53¢	$10	0x881db0…
05-04 10:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xee4860…
05-04 10:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	22	61¢	$14	0x174926…
05-04 10:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x84f745…
05-04 10:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	21	60¢	$12	0xc4db9c…
05-04 10:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x7481a3…
05-04 10:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	35	80¢	$28	0x57ca0f…
05-04 10:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xd9de45…
05-04 10:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	17	66¢	$11	0xbd41d0…
05-04 10:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x3e643a…
05-04 10:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x8425d8…
05-04 08:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x40e41c…
05-04 08:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x1257da…
05-04 08:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0x3b6d3b…
05-04 08:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x11dc01…
04-29 15:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xbf282f…
04-29 15:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xbfa699…
04-29 11:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x54afc2…
04-29 11:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x061d3f…
04-29 11:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xe318ca…
04-29 11:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x26a2b6…
04-29 11:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x9a369b…
04-29 11:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	18	75¢	$13	0xf0b1ad…
04-29 11:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x622545…
04-29 11:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	7	93¢	$6	0xabd920…
04-29 11:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x9ff517…
04-29 11:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	15	91¢	$14	0xf95db2…
04-29 11:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x06727c…
04-29 11:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x7cf33c…
04-28 13:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x76895e…
04-27 08:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xcc4843…
04-27 07:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x3039b9…
04-27 07:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	9	76¢	$7	0xd3d016…
04-27 07:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x529f6f…
04-27 06:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x1a0b6a…
04-27 06:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xe354e4…
04-27 06:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	7	86¢	$6	0xbc7470…
04-27 06:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x1adfa6…
04-24 15:48:42	btc updown 5m 1777045500	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xa3f775…
04-24 15:48:16	btc updown 5m 1777045500	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x985421…
04-24 12:32:34	btc updown 5m 1777033800	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xe53b38…
04-24 12:32:26	btc updown 5m 1777033800	Down	SELL	15	76¢	$11	0x9e2bd4…
04-24 12:30:46	btc updown 5m 1777033800	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x71ba66…
04-24 12:28:40	btc updown 5m 1777033500	Down	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0x10a1f9…
04-24 12:27:46	btc updown 5m 1777033500	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xb18ac7…
04-24 12:27:38	btc updown 5m 1777033500	Down	SELL	16	77¢	$12	0x9b6e24…
04-24 12:25:54	btc updown 5m 1777033500	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xa2660d…
04-23 13:42:20	btc updown 5m 1776951600	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xc15068…
04-23 11:48:52	btc updown 5m 1776944700	Up	BUY	39	95¢	$37	0x477c2f…
04-23 11:48:20	btc updown 5m 1776944700	Up	SELL	27	92¢	$25	0x35cde8…
04-23 11:47:40	btc updown 5m 1776944700	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xe15efe…
04-23 11:46:08	btc updown 5m 1776944700	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x0ff63d…
04-23 09:37:00	btc updown 5m 1776936900	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xe9aad0…
04-23 08:39:38	btc updown 5m 1776933300	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xf84cd5…
04-23 08:39:28	btc updown 5m 1776933300	Down	SELL	15	88¢	$13	0xb66686…
04-23 08:38:00	btc updown 5m 1776933300	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x37b11d…
04-23 08:26:34	btc updown 5m 1776932700	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xab93e8…
04-23 08:26:20	btc updown 5m 1776932700	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xbc77b9…
04-23 07:24:26	btc updown 5m 1776928800	Up	BUY	18	71¢	$13	0x4d6785…
04-23 07:21:36	btc updown 5m 1776928800	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xaa1667…
04-23 06:50:54	btc updown 5m 1776927000	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xdcb61e…
04-22 14:30:38	btc updown 5m 1776868200	Down	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0xc74971…