Steel-Mycoplasma — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$617

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.3%

Resolved

198

Trades

8,714

lifetime

Volume

$76.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 08-11 10:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Politics

54% 100% +$21

Crypto

36% 44% $-639

Other

10% 100% +$2

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	274	$3.2K	3,501	3,840	-340	open	—	04-07 06:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	410	$2.9K	2,547	3,007	-460	open	—	04-21 13:58
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	205	$2.8K	2,233	2,625	-392	open	—	04-08 00:23
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	379	$2.7K	2,414	2,748	-334	open	—	04-23 22:55
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	391	$2.7K	2,451	2,747	-297	open	—	04-16 19:38
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	261	$2.6K	2,268	2,469	-201	open	—	04-07 14:44
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	351	$2.1K	2,048	2,252	-204	open	—	04-22 20:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	352	$1.9K	1,924	1,979	-55	open	—	04-23 22:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	328	$1.9K	1,876	2,105	-229	open	—	04-23 05:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	335	$1.8K	1,731	1,896	-165	open	—	04-23 12:49
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	177	$1.6K	1,545	1,636	-90	open	—	04-12 15:23
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	218	$1.5K	1,337	1,631	-293	open	—	04-19 04:02
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	196	$1.4K	1,300	1,630	-330	open	—	04-19 04:01
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	238	$1.4K	1,390	1,361	+29	open	—	04-22 05:42
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	218	$1.3K	1,101	1,277	-176	open	—	04-19 04:02
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	239	$1.2K	1,194	1,383	-189	open	—	04-21 13:24
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	52	$1.2K	700	710	-10	open	—	04-02 01:19
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	147	$1.2K	1,374	1,414	-40	open	—	04-07 06:13
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	110	$1.2K	1,202	1,285	-83	open	—	04-08 00:18
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	113	$979	930	1,175	-245	open	—	04-08 10:02
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	72	$885	614	828	-214	open	—	04-13 14:02
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	102	$795	685	814	-129	open	—	04-22 00:15
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	43	$749	440	505	-65	open	—	04-01 05:26
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	121	$688	647	794	-147	open	—	04-15 02:27
Iran leadership change by April 30?	56	$663	519	630	-111	open	—	04-08 10:03
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	113	$658	682	709	-27	open	—	04-19 04:02
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	63	$647	541	802	-261	open	—	04-19 04:02
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	71	$628	677	722	-45	open	—	04-08 00:03
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	87	$590	553	665	-112	open	—	04-19 04:00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	110	$535	515	648	-133	open	—	04-23 22:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 10:03:16	bitcoin up or down august 11 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x8d9adc…
08-11 07:06:58	bitcoin up or down august 11 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x50a738…
08-10 07:03:49	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x024730…
08-09 15:04:45	bitcoin up or down august 9 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$4	0x529531…
08-09 15:04:43	bitcoin up or down august 9 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x579db8…
08-09 15:04:42	bitcoin up or down august 9 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$4	0x3d2fc2…
08-09 04:50:21	bitcoin up or down august 9 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x2a5c52…
08-08 15:00:46	bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc0144c…
08-08 11:09:30	bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x8bb67f…
08-07 16:23:58	bitcoin up or down august 7 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x56054e…
08-07 11:00:10	bitcoin up or down august 7 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	35	55¢	$19	0xa2c26a…
08-07 10:03:43	bitcoin up or down august 7 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x2627e5…
08-05 23:00:09	bitcoin up or down august 5 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xf3c2e9…
08-05 14:05:06	bitcoin up or down august 5 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x7b15d4…
08-03 22:00:12	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xd4a425…
08-03 21:02:03	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x6d0659…
08-03 09:00:24	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x3fa5f7…
08-03 04:00:12	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xbb79c9…
08-03 03:00:17	bitcoin up or down august 2 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x55f739…
08-02 19:00:11	bitcoin up or down august 2 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0x20d0ba…
08-02 18:00:42	bitcoin up or down august 2 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xe03285…
08-02 04:00:11	bitcoin up or down august 2 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0xf29cee…
08-02 03:21:11	bitcoin up or down august 1 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x8db0e3…
08-01 23:00:11	bitcoin up or down august 1 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	11	50¢	$5	0xdd49ab…
08-01 23:00:11	bitcoin up or down august 1 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0x1148d5…
08-01 19:01:11	bitcoin up or down august 1 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x5b318a…
08-01 18:00:38	bitcoin up or down august 1 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xcb0d46…
08-01 13:10:12	bitcoin up or down august 1 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x8baded…
07-31 22:00:12	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0x4db312…
07-31 21:01:00	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x834789…
07-31 18:00:47	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xf54d5a…
07-31 15:00:12	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	58	51¢	$29	0x387b47…
07-31 14:02:17	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	21	51¢	$11	0x9e7905…
07-31 14:02:17	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$3	0x93dfc2…
07-31 14:02:17	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x249871…
07-31 10:00:11	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0x7dd906…
07-31 09:05:23	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0xfbfc14…
07-31 09:05:23	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x6dc66c…
07-31 09:05:23	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x192e57…
07-31 03:00:11	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0x70d3a9…
07-31 02:01:45	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x61f127…
07-30 18:03:26	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x62ec74…
07-30 18:03:24	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x8e4d1b…
07-30 18:02:59	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x0f288c…
07-30 11:00:11	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0x04b9b0…
07-30 10:01:39	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xbc736a…
07-30 05:02:05	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xee81bb…
07-30 05:02:05	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x35c10c…
07-30 05:01:50	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x94fd21…
07-30 05:01:50	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6f00a7…
07-30 05:01:44	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5c0c6f…
07-30 00:00:41	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x873651…
07-29 17:02:42	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0x30136c…
07-29 17:02:41	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x2d7a3c…
07-28 22:00:10	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x2ca024…
07-28 21:00:16	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	11	50¢	$5	0xf17a41…
07-28 21:00:16	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0xe2ed22…
07-28 21:00:16	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd34966…
07-28 21:00:16	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa5bbcb…
07-28 21:00:16	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x1b1a55…
07-28 07:02:55	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x5dc8a2…
07-28 07:02:16	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	1	55¢	$1	0x72c62f…
07-28 06:17:39	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xc3ad16…
07-28 06:17:37	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x8072a9…
07-28 00:00:09	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0x0106d2…
07-27 23:00:19	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x89b97a…
07-27 09:00:15	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x138843…
07-26 16:00:43	bitcoin up or down july 26 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	17	50¢	$8	0x7fdf3c…
07-26 16:00:42	bitcoin up or down july 26 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xbd2370…
07-26 16:00:42	bitcoin up or down july 26 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x595ca0…
07-26 16:00:19	bitcoin up or down july 26 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x31f1d5…
07-26 13:02:36	bitcoin up or down july 26 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x4e71f9…
07-25 19:02:01	bitcoin up or down july 25 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x4b10eb…
07-25 15:06:39	bitcoin up or down july 25 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xb894d8…
07-25 09:00:09	bitcoin up or down july 25 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x11bc89…
07-25 08:02:06	bitcoin up or down july 25 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe936b8…
07-25 08:02:04	bitcoin up or down july 25 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x21cf56…
07-25 03:00:10	bitcoin up or down july 24 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	36	54¢	$20	0xca0c4f…
07-25 02:15:00	bitcoin up or down july 24 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xaf91f4…
07-25 02:13:49	bitcoin up or down july 24 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0xfafa69…
07-25 02:13:49	bitcoin up or down july 24 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0xc93573…
07-24 22:00:13	bitcoin up or down july 24 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x2aa529…
07-24 22:00:07	bitcoin up or down july 24 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xb99b9a…
07-24 15:00:36	bitcoin up or down july 24 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xba644e…
07-24 11:00:45	bitcoin up or down july 24 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x055088…
07-24 08:09:12	bitcoin up or down july 24 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x246469…
07-23 23:02:52	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x02cb0d…
07-23 23:02:51	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xfd99fd…
07-23 23:02:51	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x932ded…
07-23 14:09:18	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	14	54¢	$7	0xda1e14…
07-23 14:09:18	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xcc7306…
07-23 11:16:21	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	17	55¢	$9	0x776d6e…
07-23 11:15:40	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	1	55¢	$1	0x488ab8…
07-23 04:00:10	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xf7497a…
07-23 03:01:18	bitcoin up or down july 22 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x83f01d…
07-21 23:00:15	bitcoin up or down july 21 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x984be3…
07-21 18:00:55	bitcoin up or down july 21 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x976689…
07-21 15:10:03	bitcoin up or down july 21 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x044610…
07-21 08:00:49	bitcoin up or down july 21 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe0b295…
07-20 12:00:24	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe3b023…