Steel-Mycoplasma — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$617

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.3%

Resolved

198

Trades

8,619

lifetime

Volume

$75.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 07-21 23:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Politics

55% 100% +$21

Crypto

35% 44% $-639

Other

10% 100% +$2

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 66 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	274	$3.2K	3,501	3,840	-340	open	—	04-07 06:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	410	$2.9K	2,547	3,007	-460	open	—	04-21 13:58
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	205	$2.8K	2,233	2,625	-392	open	—	04-08 00:23
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	379	$2.7K	2,414	2,748	-334	open	—	04-23 22:55
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	391	$2.7K	2,451	2,747	-297	open	—	04-16 19:38
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	261	$2.6K	2,268	2,469	-201	open	—	04-07 14:44
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	351	$2.1K	2,048	2,252	-204	open	—	04-22 20:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	352	$1.9K	1,924	1,979	-55	open	—	04-23 22:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	328	$1.9K	1,876	2,105	-229	open	—	04-23 05:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	335	$1.8K	1,731	1,896	-165	open	—	04-23 12:49
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	177	$1.6K	1,545	1,636	-90	open	—	04-12 15:23
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	218	$1.5K	1,337	1,631	-293	open	—	04-19 04:02
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	196	$1.4K	1,300	1,630	-330	open	—	04-19 04:01
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	238	$1.4K	1,390	1,361	+29	open	—	04-22 05:42
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	218	$1.3K	1,101	1,277	-176	open	—	04-19 04:02
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	239	$1.2K	1,194	1,383	-189	open	—	04-21 13:24
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	52	$1.2K	700	710	-10	open	—	04-02 01:19
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	147	$1.2K	1,374	1,414	-40	open	—	04-07 06:13
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	110	$1.2K	1,202	1,285	-83	open	—	04-08 00:18
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	113	$979	930	1,175	-245	open	—	04-08 10:02
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	72	$885	614	828	-214	open	—	04-13 14:02
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	102	$795	685	814	-129	open	—	04-22 00:15
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	43	$749	440	505	-65	open	—	04-01 05:26
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	121	$688	647	794	-147	open	—	04-15 02:27
Iran leadership change by April 30?	56	$663	519	630	-111	open	—	04-08 10:03
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	113	$658	682	709	-27	open	—	04-19 04:02
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	63	$647	541	802	-261	open	—	04-19 04:02
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	71	$628	677	722	-45	open	—	04-08 00:03
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	87	$590	553	665	-112	open	—	04-19 04:00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	110	$535	515	648	-133	open	—	04-23 22:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 23:00:15	bitcoin up or down july 21 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x984be3…
07-21 18:00:55	bitcoin up or down july 21 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x976689…
07-21 15:10:03	bitcoin up or down july 21 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x044610…
07-21 08:00:49	bitcoin up or down july 21 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe0b295…
07-20 12:00:24	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe3b023…
07-20 07:17:52	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x15eb7a…
07-19 10:01:03	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xefd2c6…
07-19 09:03:27	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x34d6f3…
07-18 22:00:13	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0x6e0f82…
07-18 22:00:12	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xbe776f…
07-18 22:00:12	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0x8e1979…
07-18 22:00:10	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xe213c7…
07-18 21:06:21	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x2a9f62…
07-18 20:00:33	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x0771c0…
07-18 19:04:24	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xce6e85…
07-18 09:00:28	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x0ce328…
07-18 01:00:33	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xb6e85f…
07-18 00:04:18	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x19c2d6…
07-17 23:00:10	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x8a0e8a…
07-17 22:03:00	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$0	0x05814d…
07-17 22:02:55	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x0e6b71…
07-17 18:00:10	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x2c30ab…
07-17 17:00:10	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0xeb3e4e…
07-17 16:09:54	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	27	54¢	$14	0x8aeb10…
07-17 16:09:54	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	1	54¢	$1	0x1aaa12…
07-17 12:00:55	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x9c6721…
07-17 11:00:57	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x6e4df9…
07-16 10:00:22	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xcffb4c…
07-16 10:00:20	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xb4b0f7…
07-16 10:00:20	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x88c094…
07-16 10:00:19	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x0d35ce…
07-16 10:00:14	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xdd655d…
07-16 10:00:13	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xd0d6ec…
07-16 10:00:13	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xc57ac5…
07-16 10:00:11	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xd2498f…
07-16 10:00:11	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x0b1700…
07-16 10:00:10	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x853f9a…
07-16 09:07:50	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0xff6a85…
07-16 09:07:49	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x2071a2…
07-16 09:07:47	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0xbd5ee2…
07-16 09:07:46	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	1	53¢	$1	0x69cfac…
07-15 19:18:11	bitcoin up or down july 15 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x9f8a0d…
07-14 13:20:49	bitcoin up or down july 14 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x13f0f8…
07-14 08:00:37	bitcoin up or down july 14 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x1736f9…
07-14 05:06:53	bitcoin up or down july 14 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x138bf0…
07-13 23:00:44	bitcoin up or down july 13 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x71c3fa…
07-13 05:00:16	bitcoin up or down july 13 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	24	56¢	$14	0x9be7ad…
07-13 05:00:16	bitcoin up or down july 13 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x5cca23…
07-13 05:00:13	bitcoin up or down july 13 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xef4636…
07-13 05:00:13	bitcoin up or down july 13 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x769b74…
07-13 04:02:44	bitcoin up or down july 13 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x211a34…
07-13 00:00:11	bitcoin up or down july 12 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xa3e863…
07-12 23:00:29	bitcoin up or down july 12 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x4cc1f7…
07-12 23:00:29	bitcoin up or down july 12 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0x450ff4…
07-12 07:01:43	bitcoin up or down july 12 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x5e39d1…
07-12 07:01:41	bitcoin up or down july 12 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x102068…
07-12 07:01:40	bitcoin up or down july 12 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x12be43…
07-12 07:01:38	bitcoin up or down july 12 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x9ab971…
07-12 00:08:47	bitcoin up or down july 11 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x3c741e…
07-11 19:10:31	bitcoin up or down july 11 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	1	53¢	$0	0x536a80…
07-11 19:09:47	bitcoin up or down july 11 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xde73e5…
07-11 19:09:43	bitcoin up or down july 11 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa9ab86…
07-11 19:07:37	bitcoin up or down july 11 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x5ff321…
07-11 19:06:40	bitcoin up or down july 11 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x999243…
07-11 19:06:31	bitcoin up or down july 11 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0xb37c14…
07-11 19:06:31	bitcoin up or down july 11 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x66cb5e…
07-11 07:02:35	bitcoin up or down july 11 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xfd3f68…
07-10 12:00:10	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xa4c0ed…
07-10 11:00:11	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x502943…
07-10 10:24:08	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x39bcdf…
07-09 21:00:11	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x8500df…
07-09 20:00:41	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x3f1879…
07-09 17:05:31	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x8bac91…
07-09 08:00:10	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xa1154f…
07-09 07:01:26	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x2631b7…
07-09 06:01:10	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x9b2528…
07-09 03:00:11	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x9ee4a0…
07-09 02:02:13	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x4339c4…
07-08 16:00:10	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x5f1d36…
07-08 15:01:16	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x727839…
07-08 12:05:16	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x31480b…
07-08 04:02:10	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf992df…
07-07 17:00:53	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x60f30e…
07-07 12:02:23	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xab4052…
07-07 11:45:07	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xb9d7f5…
07-07 05:02:02	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x8d3985…
07-07 04:02:19	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xc9b764…
07-07 04:02:17	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xe44f41…
07-06 21:01:10	bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xcdc2ec…
07-06 17:00:58	bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xfb2ce5…
07-06 16:08:19	bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x405ce3…
07-05 18:09:01	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x967375…
07-05 18:08:58	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xba9f6f…
07-05 15:03:28	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x6574f6…
07-05 03:23:41	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x469f72…
07-05 02:02:04	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x59d2bb…
07-05 01:05:14	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x63714c…
07-05 01:05:13	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0xd33c9d…
07-05 01:05:13	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xd23850…
07-03 21:01:34	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x81c706…