Bogus-Feather — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$490

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.7%

Resolved

375

Trades

1,887

lifetime

Volume

$16.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 08-05 17:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 64% -$330

Other

22% 50% -$153

Politics

7% 29% +$16

Sports

2% 9% -$24

Tech

1% 67% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-05).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	4	$1.3K	865	865	+0	No	+$372	06-30 17:20
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	51	$953	535	535	+0	Yes	+$116	06-21 21:06
will bitcoin reach 61k on july 1	17	$929	1,295	0	+1,295	Yes	-$929	07-01 21:37
will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 30	54	$777	772	535	+237	Yes	+$56	06-30 23:48
spy up or down on july 2 2026	32	$585	503	469	+34	Down	-$134	07-02 19:16
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	20	$564	491	491	+0	Yes	-$3	07-01 16:59
will bitcoin reach 66k on june 22	6	$553	365	365	+0	No	+$133	06-22 18:29
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	11	$539	580	471	+109	No	+$38	06-30 14:45
Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?	40	$462	308	308	+0	No	-$12	06-24 22:22
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	31	$397	303	303	+0	No	+$30	06-30 11:04
bitcoin up or down on june 26 2026	8	$385	487	487	+0	Up	-$137	06-26 13:57
will bitcoin reach 62k on june 25	4	$382	277	277	+0	No	+$137	06-25 17:27
will bitcoin reach 60k on july 1	5	$380	849	0	+849	Yes	-$380	07-01 14:11
bitcoin above 60k on june 26 2026	4	$361	219	219	+0	Yes	+$47	06-26 15:56
will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	498	$358	397	388	+9	No	-$36	07-22 01:22
will bitcoin reach 60k on june 30	10	$358	226	226	+0	No	+$78	06-30 22:56
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?	38	$291	384	0	+384	No	+$93	06-22 17:33
will bitcoin reach 61k on june 29	12	$228	202	151	+50	No	+$101	06-30 00:21
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 26 2026 20260622191708358	5	$219	114	114	+0	No	+$1	06-26 15:53
will bitcoin reach 61k on june 26	3	$216	145	145	+0	No	+$58	06-26 20:40
will bitcoin dip to 59k on june 24	7	$216	146	146	+0	No	+$62	06-24 20:56
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	14	$183	104	104	+0	Yes	+$6	06-21 22:50
will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 25	4	$174	125	125	+0	No	+$62	06-25 22:26
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	28	$161	194	194	+0	No	-$9	07-15 19:20
will bitcoin reach 66k on july 15	2	$161	82	82	+0	No	+$4	07-16 03:46
will bitcoin reach 65k on july 10	5	$155	108	108	+0	No	+$48	07-10 18:11
will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	6	$139	78	78	+0	No	+$12	06-29 08:45
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	4	$137	102	102	+0	No	$0	07-17 18:05
will bitcoin reach 65k on july 14	7	$135	137	137	+0	Yes	-$26	07-14 21:01
will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	43	$120	383	383	+0	Yes	-$43	07-14 15:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-05 17:24:02	col bra al 2026 08 05 btts	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xc66d4f…
08-05 15:33:29	uwcl ft pao 2026 08 05 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	57	87¢	$49	0xfb3fbd…
08-04 20:14:36	uel shr egn 2026 08 06 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x3d401a…
08-04 20:13:44	uel shr egn 2026 08 06 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	3	83¢	$2	0x208c00…
08-03 19:43:09	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	No	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x6e282d…
08-03 19:43:08	will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	No	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xf6997b…
08-03 19:43:08	will ethereum reach 2000 in august 2026	No	SELL	4	41¢	$2	0xc30133…
08-03 19:43:08	Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x8ad054…
08-03 19:43:06	Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xf1fdfb…
08-03 19:43:06	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	No	SELL	5	71¢	$3	0x8b3fb0…
08-03 19:43:06	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + UDMR?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x7a5d23…
08-03 19:43:05	Exact Score: MFK Ružomberok 3 - 3 FK Železiarne Podbrezová?	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0xded074…
08-03 19:43:05	Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	72¢	$8	0x6ff1be…
08-03 19:43:03	Will Aq Jol win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?	Yes	SELL	38	13¢	$5	0xea513a…
08-03 19:43:03	Will Chris Hill win the 2026 Collin County Judge election?	No	SELL	24	10¢	$2	0x478400…
08-03 19:43:03	Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?	Yes	SELL	13	8¢	$1	0x0d422b…
08-03 17:37:50	Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0xb46eee…
08-03 16:50:14	Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x200854…
08-03 16:47:17	Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0xda9d08…
08-03 13:46:23	will ethereum reach 2000 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf8e904…
08-03 10:05:35	will ethereum reach 2000 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x4b6ddf…
08-03 06:57:14	Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0xe626ee…
08-03 01:44:20	Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x7c5b63…
08-03 01:44:20	Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x070b79…
08-02 22:16:33	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2267bc…
08-02 15:16:27	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x70e916…
08-02 12:30:54	Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0xfcd997…
08-02 11:46:18	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x2029ad…
08-02 11:34:59	bitcoin up or down on august 2 2026	Down	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0xc92ef3…
08-02 11:34:59	bitcoin up or down on august 2 2026	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x71c415…
08-02 11:33:26	bitcoin up or down on august 2 2026	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd7bdbc…
08-02 10:01:35	will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x9653bf…
08-02 09:00:42	Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0xb886cb…
08-02 08:18:50	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 51.0 and 51.9 in July?	No	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0xf2dd61…
08-01 17:09:15	bitcoin up or down on august 2 2026	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x449c38…
08-01 17:07:51	bitcoin up or down on august 2 2026	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xaee973…
08-01 16:56:05	Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x877d34…
08-01 16:48:39	Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x18c5f9…
08-01 15:38:05	bitcoin up or down on august 2 2026	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x202f78…
08-01 15:30:39	bitcoin up or down on august 2 2026	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8bd56a…
08-01 00:20:08	Exact Score: MFK Ružomberok 3 - 3 FK Železiarne Podbrezová?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x64ea5e…
08-01 00:19:51	Exact Score: MFK Ružomberok 3 - 3 FK Železiarne Podbrezová?	Yes	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x9a5628…
08-01 00:18:24	Exact Score: MFK Ružomberok 3 - 3 FK Železiarne Podbrezová?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x42e049…
08-01 00:18:15	Exact Score: MFK Ružomberok 3 - 3 FK Železiarne Podbrezová?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x73bd03…
08-01 00:18:03	Exact Score: MFK Ružomberok 3 - 3 FK Železiarne Podbrezová?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xfd6841…
07-31 23:51:33	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 51.0 and 51.9 in July?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xdfdef3…
07-31 23:51:33	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 51.0 and 51.9 in July?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x380f4d…
07-31 23:51:33	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 51.0 and 51.9 in July?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x0fa47c…
07-31 23:51:32	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 51.0 and 51.9 in July?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x9b5c73…
07-31 23:51:32	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 51.0 and 51.9 in July?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x47d872…
07-31 16:10:30	will ethereum reach 2000 in july 2026	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x946cfc…
07-31 02:31:11	Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x27aa8b…
07-31 02:16:54	Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x8a6c60…
07-31 02:16:29	Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0xc32daa…
07-30 08:21:08	Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x05ec82…
07-30 07:43:12	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026 from july 28	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x423e3e…
07-30 02:48:23	Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0xec1e7e…
07-29 15:41:14	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xad2926…
07-29 09:55:11	Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x47a445…
07-29 05:54:21	Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0xfd3410…
07-29 03:18:48	Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x355d55…
07-28 18:36:31	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + UDMR?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0e9aae…
07-28 15:50:46	Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0xca687b…
07-28 15:12:04	Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0xba7043…
07-28 15:06:31	Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0xcb3fe5…
07-28 14:49:23	Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0xc8bafe…
07-28 13:02:52	Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0xd3b9f2…
07-28 12:50:55	Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x1c7ec3…
07-28 03:58:00	Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x662f14…
07-28 01:06:15	Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x07c390…
07-27 16:54:18	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x85274e…
07-27 16:43:12	Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x9e38c0…
07-27 15:06:24	Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x694ad1…
07-27 14:54:40	Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0xa25b4c…
07-27 14:22:31	Will Aq Jol win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x844433…
07-27 14:03:31	Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0xa5e918…
07-27 13:38:03	Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x00997b…
07-27 13:19:45	Will Aq Jol win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x602c24…
07-27 13:11:13	Will Aq Jol win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x7dc423…
07-27 13:08:01	Will Aq Jol win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xbcfcfa…
07-27 12:33:28	Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0xa6fdda…
07-27 12:19:33	Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x908011…
07-27 11:02:54	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	Yes	SELL	234	1¢	$3	0x1d89e8…
07-27 10:28:10	Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x5a06fd…
07-27 09:58:57	Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0xb0661c…
07-27 09:37:25	Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x58b0af…
07-27 09:36:28	Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x935331…
07-27 09:36:06	Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x238ce8…
07-27 09:35:27	Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x52a90f…
07-27 09:35:07	Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x616a4c…
07-27 09:30:22	Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x5aaade…
07-27 09:21:48	Will Aq Jol win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?	Yes	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0x96abc7…
07-27 09:21:46	Will Aq Jol win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?	Yes	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0xa1f6df…
07-27 09:10:48	Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x714ff7…
07-27 09:10:45	Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xec1d71…
07-27 09:10:45	Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x308225…
07-27 09:10:43	Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0xc057a2…
07-27 09:10:37	Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xc5db62…
07-27 09:10:36	Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x22b2cd…
07-27 08:20:30	Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x3e5335…