Tidy-Negotiation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

14.1%

Resolved

Trades

2,018

lifetime

Volume

$49.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-15 08:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

62% 12% $-14

Politics

24% 0% $-1

Crypto

5% — —

Tech

4% — —

Sports

4% 43% $-6

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	15	$1.3K	1,164	1,164	+0	open	—	03-08 20:11
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	22	$790	717	717	+0	open	—	03-15 20:39
will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 432	24	$758	718	876	-158	open	—	03-22 07:39
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$744	400	400	+0	open	—	06-06 10:04
spx opens up or down on march 18 2026	6	$617	494	794	-300	open	—	03-17 21:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	2	$600	400	400	+0	open	—	06-10 20:52
spx opens up or down on march 19 2026	10	$556	550	550	+0	open	—	03-18 21:09
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	8	$526	500	500	+0	open	—	03-27 06:24
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	4	$478	400	400	+0	open	—	03-09 18:30
will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	8	$473	500	500	+0	open	—	07-09 19:59
will 15 19 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	12	$470	492	492	+0	open	—	03-29 20:24
will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	3	$460	588	588	+0	open	—	08-09 05:23
will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	17	$402	449	460	-11	open	—	03-08 20:53
spx up or down on march 13 2026	4	$398	400	400	+0	open	—	03-13 18:59
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	2	$370	200	200	+0	open	—	04-25 12:27
wti up or down on june 30 2026	7	$365	400	400	+0	open	—	06-30 16:32
will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	2	$363	200	200	+0	open	—	03-22 20:27
donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 80 99	23	$338	360	360	+0	open	—	03-22 15:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	2	$336	183	183	+0	open	—	04-25 17:27
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	4	$326	220	220	+0	open	—	06-13 08:01
wti up or down on june 26 2026	3	$326	200	200	+0	open	—	06-26 09:08
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?	18	$325	200	200	+0	open	—	04-11 20:47
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	2	$321	200	200	+0	open	—	06-06 08:11
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$304	200	200	+0	open	—	03-06 22:23
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	5	$302	280	280	+0	open	—	06-13 08:32
spy up or down on june 25 2026	2	$302	200	200	+0	open	—	06-25 05:47
xauusd up or down on april 13 2026	4	$301	200	200	+0	open	—	04-13 19:34
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	2	$285	150	150	+0	open	—	06-07 19:21
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	3	$272	160	160	+0	No	+$0	05-06 19:57
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	8	$269	250	150	+100	open	—	06-06 01:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-15 08:05:19	will angela murray be evicted in big brother season 28 week 6	Yes	SELL	40	38¢	$15	0xfae9d1…
08-15 05:54:22	will angela murray be evicted in big brother season 28 week 6	Yes	BUY	40	44¢	$18	0x399352…
08-14 07:39:33	will risex launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174012703	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x0ff30f…
08-14 04:21:39	will openais astra model debut on the arena leaderboard at a score of at least 1490	No	SELL	60	42¢	$25	0xfa216e…
08-14 04:21:07	will openais astra model debut on the arena leaderboard at a score of at least 1490	No	BUY	60	44¢	$26	0xc72270…
08-09 05:23:10	will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	Yes	SELL	588	30¢	$174	0x35cde1…
08-08 18:15:39	will rio ferdinand attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806201203759	Yes	SELL	60	26¢	$16	0x4e226a…
08-08 18:15:28	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	Yes	SELL	115	23¢	$27	0x1dc0d8…
08-08 05:20:19	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	Yes	BUY	115	26¢	$30	0x4f29a2…
08-08 05:12:51	will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	Yes	BUY	488	41¢	$200	0xd1c5ad…
08-07 21:56:51	will nininho vaz maia attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260807000540828	No	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0x759e77…
08-07 21:56:51	will nininho vaz maia attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260807000540828	No	SELL	32	80¢	$26	0x4c61cc…
08-07 08:44:33	will jorge jesus attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260807000254153	No	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x6587e7…
08-07 08:16:10	will jorge jesus attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260807000254153	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x58ee43…
08-07 08:08:00	will jorge jesus attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260807000254153	Yes	SELL	40	20¢	$8	0x8f4fe2…
08-07 08:07:55	will jorge jesus attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260807000254153	No	SELL	20	79¢	$15	0x7b11b3…
08-07 07:58:19	will jorge jesus attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260807000254153	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x48daa8…
08-07 07:28:27	will jorge jesus attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260807000254153	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x56310c…
08-07 06:33:30	will nininho vaz maia attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260807000540828	No	BUY	13	81¢	$11	0xd316a0…
08-07 06:30:19	will nininho vaz maia attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260807000540828	No	BUY	27	81¢	$22	0xaa5c40…
08-07 06:24:54	will rio ferdinand attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806201203759	Yes	BUY	60	63¢	$38	0x84affd…
08-07 06:07:12	will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	Yes	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0xedaca3…
08-07 05:43:58	will jorge jesus attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260807000254153	Yes	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0x316788…
08-07 05:27:24	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x652cb0…
08-06 13:46:32	will super troopers 3 score at least 35 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260805173713611	Yes	SELL	18	47¢	$8	0x618a6b…
08-06 13:40:05	will super troopers 3 score at least 35 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260805173713611	Yes	SELL	22	47¢	$10	0x36c3ee…
08-06 12:59:27	will super troopers 3 score at least 35 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260805173713611	Yes	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0xcb10e9…
08-06 07:07:23	will russia capture shevchenko by october 31 20260805162837389	No	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x2c6a23…
08-06 07:07:17	will russia capture svitle by october 31 20260805161409631	No	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x225002…
08-06 05:06:51	will russia capture svitle by october 31 20260805161409631	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x95aa97…
08-06 04:59:30	will russia capture shevchenko by october 31 20260805162837389	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xf2b06e…
08-04 21:01:54	will sergio ramos attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630257	Yes	SELL	60	45¢	$27	0x6c2830…
08-04 20:54:23	will sergio ramos attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630257	Yes	BUY	60	46¢	$28	0xe34504…
08-02 15:48:29	val g21 sen 2026 08 02	G2 Esports	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xf01149…
08-02 15:48:09	val fnc1 th1 2026 08 02	Team Heretics	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xd5a7f8…
08-01 09:15:44	will trump speak to xi jinping in august 20260731154203516	Yes	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0xae0518…
08-01 05:27:36	will trump speak to xi jinping in august 20260731154203516	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x1f281b…
07-29 19:14:45	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	33	1¢	$0	0x6df475…
07-29 11:23:30	will warsh say holding during july press conference 20260728013709204	Yes	SELL	11	46¢	$5	0xbd5c75…
07-29 11:12:15	will warsh say holding during july press conference 20260728013709204	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x4de2be…
07-29 11:07:41	will warsh say holding during july press conference 20260728013709204	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xee5890…
07-29 11:02:48	will warsh say holding during july press conference 20260728013709204	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x0c3e93…
07-29 10:39:08	will warsh say holding during july press conference 20260728013709204	No	SELL	11	53¢	$6	0x234e02…
07-29 09:28:09	will warsh say holding during july press conference 20260728013709204	No	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x303185…
07-28 10:37:44	will trump say communist or communism during fox friends appearance 20260728022316511	No	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0xe2cf31…
07-28 05:34:12	will trump say communist or communism during fox friends appearance 20260728022316511	No	SELL	16	46¢	$8	0x850505…
07-28 05:32:33	will trump say communist or communism during fox friends appearance 20260728022316511	Yes	SELL	2	25¢	$0	0x3be8e8…
07-28 05:32:03	will trump say stock market during fox friends appearance 20260728022316514	No	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x1134a4…
07-28 05:30:37	will trump say communist or communism during fox friends appearance 20260728022316511	Yes	SELL	15	43¢	$6	0xfa24da…
07-28 05:30:36	will trump say communist or communism during fox friends appearance 20260728022316511	Yes	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0xbfd595…
07-28 04:56:07	will trump say stock market during fox friends appearance 20260728022316514	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x6ba24d…
07-28 04:55:42	will trump say communist or communism during fox friends appearance 20260728022316511	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x7c4fec…
07-28 04:54:55	will trump say communist or communism during fox friends appearance 20260728022316511	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x49f4e6…
07-27 10:58:22	will trump say job 20 times during michigan remarks 20260725221549593	No	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x5b50ea…
07-27 10:57:49	another nato article 4 invocation by december 31 2026 20260726214511854	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x148421…
07-27 09:02:06	will trump say job 20 times during michigan remarks 20260725221549593	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x9f3d3a…
07-27 08:55:51	will mu dip to 870 by july 27 2026	No	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x5f1f44…
07-27 08:53:39	will mu dip to 870 by july 27 2026	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x2a50a2…
07-27 08:37:16	will mu reach 1020 by july 27 2026	Yes	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x9974ea…
07-27 08:37:10	will msft reach 405 by july 27 2026	No	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0xb11139…
07-27 08:34:36	will msft reach 405 by july 27 2026	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x662bc5…
07-27 08:22:33	will airbnb abnb q2 gross booking value be above 26pt7b 20260725020755862	Yes	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0xbde9e5…
07-27 08:22:09	will airbnb abnb q2 gross booking value be above 26pt7b 20260725020755862	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xeeb790…
07-27 08:16:13	will mu reach 1020 by july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xcd0e2f…
07-27 06:26:30	another nato article 4 invocation by december 31 2026 20260726214511854	Yes	BUY	17	39¢	$7	0x4947c2…
07-27 04:41:33	another nato article 4 invocation by december 31 2026 20260726214511854	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb20c56…
07-26 21:12:39	will trump say toyota during michigan remarks 20260724162420362	No	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x9be4bf…
07-26 21:12:19	will trump say toyota during michigan remarks 20260724162420362	No	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x1d96a7…
07-26 21:01:34	will trump say toyota during michigan remarks 20260724162420362	No	SELL	49	41¢	$20	0xd532b5…
07-26 20:44:42	will trump say toyota during michigan remarks 20260724162420362	No	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x26b0cf…
07-26 19:28:25	will trump say toyota during michigan remarks 20260724162420362	No	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0xa9c9c9…
07-26 19:16:28	will trump say toyota during michigan remarks 20260724162420362	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xb426fd…
07-26 19:15:01	will the highest score achieved by an openai model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 50 or higher 20260723225144063	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xc689e7…
07-26 19:14:45	will trump say supreme court during michigan remarks 20260724162420375	Yes	SELL	60	48¢	$29	0xd1515e…
07-26 17:53:49	will trump say supreme court during michigan remarks 20260724162420375	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x53dbab…
07-26 17:34:10	will the highest score achieved by an openai model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 50 or higher 20260723225144063	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x4e1fc8…
07-26 17:29:28	will trump say supreme court during michigan remarks 20260724162420375	Yes	BUY	56	50¢	$28	0xb13f2e…
07-23 19:29:00	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	SELL	40	59¢	$24	0x8b0ee6…
07-23 19:28:31	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0x8b53c4…
07-23 19:28:22	will the houthis successfully target shipping by august 31 2026 20260722224455369	Yes	SELL	18	54¢	$10	0x30fcbf…
07-23 19:28:15	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	40	61¢	$24	0xac202e…
07-23 19:27:42	will the houthis successfully target shipping by august 31 2026 20260722224455369	Yes	BUY	11	59¢	$7	0x613045…
07-23 19:27:39	will the houthis successfully target shipping by august 31 2026 20260722224455369	Yes	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x67a8a7…
07-23 17:40:21	will trump say democrat during dodgers white house visit 20260723135322978	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xca4242…
07-23 17:39:57	will trump say democrat during dodgers white house visit 20260723135322978	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xefbe98…
07-22 20:58:03	will seltzers with 5 thc be legal by november 13 2026 20260721192819155	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0xab4771…
07-22 20:29:12	copper cable hit with secpt 232 tariffs by december 31 2027 20260721191705882	No	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x13460a…
07-22 20:26:42	copper cable hit with secpt 232 tariffs by december 31 2027 20260721191705882	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x6304bc…
07-22 20:22:52	will seltzers with 5 thc be legal by november 13 2026 20260721192819155	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xff4bae…
07-22 06:27:39	wti up or down on july 22 2026	Up	SELL	60	72¢	$43	0x1a6a10…
07-22 05:45:22	wti up or down on july 22 2026	Up	BUY	60	61¢	$37	0x343082…
07-22 04:34:42	spx opens up or down on july 22 2026	Up	SELL	40	41¢	$16	0xf9bcf3…
07-22 04:34:33	spx opens up or down on july 22 2026	Up	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xa1b6c0…
07-22 04:31:00	spx opens up or down on july 22 2026	Up	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xc771ec…
07-20 20:36:07	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	32	93¢	$30	0xae62d9…
07-19 08:59:45	will qualcomm qcom q3 qct chip revenue be above 8pt25b 20260718031350622	Yes	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x4fe424…
07-19 07:15:46	will qualcomm qcom q3 qct chip revenue be above 8pt25b 20260718031350622	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x3ad83a…
07-19 05:25:36	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 20 20260717052446993	No	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x6f8079…
07-18 22:30:25	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 20 20260717052446993	No	BUY	95	14¢	$13	0x698a6c…
07-18 22:30:25	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 20 20260717052446993	No	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x1db47d…