Tidy-Negotiation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

14.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,941

lifetime

Volume

$48.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-23 19:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

61% 12% $-14

Politics

25% 0% $-1

Crypto

5% — —

Tech

5% — —

Sports

4% 43% $-6

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	15	$1.3K	1,164	1,164	+0	open	—	03-08 20:11
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	22	$790	717	717	+0	open	—	03-15 20:39
will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 432	24	$758	718	876	-158	open	—	03-22 07:39
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$744	400	400	+0	open	—	06-06 10:04
spx opens up or down on march 18 2026	6	$617	494	794	-300	open	—	03-17 21:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	2	$600	400	400	+0	open	—	06-10 20:52
spx opens up or down on march 19 2026	10	$556	550	550	+0	open	—	03-18 21:09
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	8	$526	500	500	+0	open	—	03-27 06:24
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	4	$478	400	400	+0	open	—	03-09 18:30
will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	8	$473	500	500	+0	open	—	07-09 19:59
will 15 19 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	12	$470	492	492	+0	open	—	03-29 20:24
will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	17	$402	449	460	-11	open	—	03-08 20:53
spx up or down on march 13 2026	4	$398	400	400	+0	open	—	03-13 18:59
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	2	$370	200	200	+0	open	—	04-25 12:27
wti up or down on june 30 2026	7	$365	400	400	+0	open	—	06-30 16:32
will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	2	$363	200	200	+0	open	—	03-22 20:27
donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 80 99	23	$338	360	360	+0	open	—	03-22 15:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	2	$336	183	183	+0	open	—	04-25 17:27
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	4	$326	220	220	+0	open	—	06-13 08:01
wti up or down on june 26 2026	3	$326	200	200	+0	open	—	06-26 09:08
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?	18	$325	200	200	+0	open	—	04-11 20:47
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	2	$321	200	200	+0	open	—	06-06 08:11
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$304	200	200	+0	open	—	03-06 22:23
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	5	$302	280	280	+0	open	—	06-13 08:32
spy up or down on june 25 2026	2	$302	200	200	+0	open	—	06-25 05:47
xauusd up or down on april 13 2026	4	$301	200	200	+0	open	—	04-13 19:34
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	2	$285	150	150	+0	open	—	06-07 19:21
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	3	$272	160	160	+0	No	+$0	05-06 19:57
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	8	$269	250	150	+100	open	—	06-06 01:20
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	6	$269	200	200	+0	open	—	03-15 21:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 19:29:00	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	SELL	40	59¢	$24	0x8b0ee6…
07-23 19:28:31	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0x8b53c4…
07-23 19:28:22	will the houthis successfully target shipping by august 31 2026 20260722224455369	Yes	SELL	18	54¢	$10	0x30fcbf…
07-23 19:28:15	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	40	61¢	$24	0xac202e…
07-23 19:27:42	will the houthis successfully target shipping by august 31 2026 20260722224455369	Yes	BUY	11	59¢	$7	0x613045…
07-23 19:27:39	will the houthis successfully target shipping by august 31 2026 20260722224455369	Yes	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x67a8a7…
07-23 17:40:21	will trump say democrat during dodgers white house visit 20260723135322978	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xca4242…
07-23 17:39:57	will trump say democrat during dodgers white house visit 20260723135322978	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xefbe98…
07-22 20:58:03	will seltzers with 5 thc be legal by november 13 2026 20260721192819155	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0xab4771…
07-22 20:29:12	copper cable hit with secpt 232 tariffs by december 31 2027 20260721191705882	No	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x13460a…
07-22 20:26:42	copper cable hit with secpt 232 tariffs by december 31 2027 20260721191705882	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x6304bc…
07-22 20:22:52	will seltzers with 5 thc be legal by november 13 2026 20260721192819155	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xff4bae…
07-22 06:27:39	wti up or down on july 22 2026	Up	SELL	60	72¢	$43	0x1a6a10…
07-22 05:45:22	wti up or down on july 22 2026	Up	BUY	60	61¢	$37	0x343082…
07-22 04:34:42	spx opens up or down on july 22 2026	Up	SELL	40	41¢	$16	0xf9bcf3…
07-22 04:34:33	spx opens up or down on july 22 2026	Up	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xa1b6c0…
07-22 04:31:00	spx opens up or down on july 22 2026	Up	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xc771ec…
07-20 20:36:07	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	32	93¢	$30	0xae62d9…
07-19 08:59:45	will qualcomm qcom q3 qct chip revenue be above 8pt25b 20260718031350622	Yes	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x4fe424…
07-19 07:15:46	will qualcomm qcom q3 qct chip revenue be above 8pt25b 20260718031350622	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x3ad83a…
07-19 05:25:36	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 20 20260717052446993	No	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x6f8079…
07-18 22:30:25	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 20 20260717052446993	No	BUY	95	14¢	$13	0x698a6c…
07-18 22:30:25	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 20 20260717052446993	No	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x1db47d…
07-18 19:23:31	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 21 20260717052446994	No	SELL	100	11¢	$11	0xf82d96…
07-18 19:23:04	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 21 20260717052446994	No	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x59460e…
07-18 19:22:45	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 20 20260717052446993	No	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0xd61c8b…
07-18 19:21:13	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 20 20260717052446993	No	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0x85890b…
07-18 15:44:07	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 20 20260717052446993	No	SELL	15	15¢	$2	0x3e228f…
07-18 15:44:01	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	SELL	91	9¢	$8	0x2b82c4…
07-18 14:48:04	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 20 20260717052446993	No	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0x6cdba4…
07-18 13:40:33	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	BUY	91	10¢	$9	0xe1d34b…
07-18 11:57:39	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	SELL	9	10¢	$1	0x36afb4…
07-18 11:19:19	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x852171…
07-17 08:00:55	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	SELL	50	66¢	$33	0x601bed…
07-17 07:59:31	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x6e5a07…
07-17 07:55:07	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	No	SELL	50	32¢	$16	0x3602ab…
07-17 07:55:01	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	SELL	50	67¢	$34	0xeb3260…
07-17 07:16:40	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0xcd7770…
07-17 06:58:40	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	No	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x4decda…
07-17 06:47:55	will drake attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357127	No	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x2e76f2…
07-17 06:39:51	will drake attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357127	No	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x4c39da…
07-17 06:19:18	will drake attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357127	No	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0x938012…
07-16 17:02:35	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	SELL	40	56¢	$22	0xbfab1d…
07-16 09:36:31	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	BUY	40	56¢	$22	0x53fac8…
07-16 09:07:46	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	Yes	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0xb48dca…
07-16 09:06:47	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xfe049b…
07-16 09:06:44	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	Yes	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0x5ea338…
07-16 09:01:32	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xccc337…
07-16 09:01:04	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	Yes	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0x30a0e7…
07-16 09:00:32	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xcf2fa8…
07-16 07:54:20	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	Yes	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x998e62…
07-16 07:28:11	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xe98966…
07-15 22:13:56	wti up or down on july 16 2026	Up	SELL	11	46¢	$5	0x43a78d…
07-15 22:13:49	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	90	79¢	$71	0xbf59fb…
07-15 22:11:35	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	90	79¢	$71	0x01a104…
07-15 22:10:01	wti up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	11	49¢	$6	0xd3f8a9…
07-15 22:05:47	wti up or down on july 16 2026	Up	SELL	14	48¢	$7	0xf7a50b…
07-15 22:04:41	wti up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x3c7e01…
07-15 22:04:32	wti up or down on july 16 2026	Up	SELL	14	49¢	$7	0x0131cd…
07-15 22:04:25	will clavicular visit the philippines in 2026 20260714153003045	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xcb1bd3…
07-15 22:01:04	wti up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x21b695…
07-15 22:00:05	wti up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0xf19697…
07-15 02:14:41	will otto lopez record a hit at the 2026 mlb all star game 20260714022249842	Yes	BUY	32	42¢	$13	0x78d21d…
07-15 02:14:37	will otto lopez record a hit at the 2026 mlb all star game 20260714022249842	Yes	BUY	8	42¢	$4	0x237d5e…
07-15 00:33:11	will shea langeliers record a hit at the 2026 mlb all star game 20260714022249814	No	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xd48053…
07-15 00:33:05	will shea langeliers record a hit at the 2026 mlb all star game 20260714022249814	No	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x385dc4…
07-15 00:32:56	will shea langeliers record a hit at the 2026 mlb all star game 20260714022249814	No	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0xc297d4…
07-15 00:32:52	will shea langeliers record a hit at the 2026 mlb all star game 20260714022249814	No	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x97157f…
07-14 23:28:37	will shea langeliers record a hit at the 2026 mlb all star game 20260714022249814	No	BUY	29	54¢	$16	0x562735…
07-14 20:39:10	will shea langeliers record a hit at the 2026 mlb all star game 20260714022249814	Yes	BUY	60	43¢	$26	0xc5255c…
07-14 17:37:13	will otto lopez record a hit at the 2026 mlb all star game 20260714022249842	No	BUY	60	54¢	$32	0x08f150…
07-14 17:22:46	will clavicular visit the philippines in 2026 20260714153003045	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x1ff72a…
07-14 17:22:34	will clavicular visit thailand in 2026 20260714153003044	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x6092ff…
07-12 20:15:37	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	No	SELL	40	84¢	$34	0x3960f2…
07-12 20:13:56	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	No	BUY	40	85¢	$34	0x2475ab…
07-11 20:58:50	btc updown 5m 1783803300	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xb2a435…
07-11 20:12:20	will the announcers say possession or on the ball 10 times during the argentina vs switzerland fifa world cup match 20260710214414587 474	Yes	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0xb822fc…
07-11 19:36:29	will the announcers say possession or on the ball 10 times during the argentina vs switzerland fifa world cup match 20260710214414587 474	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xa080c9…
07-11 19:24:31	will the announcers say possession or on the ball 10 times during the argentina vs switzerland fifa world cup match 20260710214414587 474	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x0e1d65…
07-10 12:14:53	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x29f1e5…
07-10 12:07:13	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x17fae1…
07-10 12:07:01	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xdf42b6…
07-10 12:05:17	will the announcers say gianni or infantino during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901502	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x27975e…
07-10 11:53:20	will the announcers say gianni or infantino during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901502	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x1267a6…
07-10 11:24:07	will the announcers say what a save during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901509	No	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0xc3296f…
07-09 20:13:28	will the announcers say what a save during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901509	Yes	SELL	9	50¢	$5	0x08d743…
07-09 20:12:53	will the announcers say what a save during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901509	Yes	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x4b88b7…
07-09 20:11:28	will the announcers say what a save during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901509	No	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x98c31f…
07-09 19:59:35	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	200	36¢	$72	0x8ad866…
07-09 19:33:28	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xfdfacc…
07-09 19:28:13	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0x05d6f5…
07-09 10:26:05	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by july 31 20260707233859433	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x0f751c…
07-09 10:25:58	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x72498c…
07-08 19:47:58	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x37d73f…
07-08 19:47:40	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by july 31 20260707233859433	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x685084…
07-08 19:46:08	will risex launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174012703	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x447173…
07-08 08:37:37	will graham platner drop out by july 8	Yes	SELL	3	15¢	$0	0x97fac2…
07-07 21:06:26	will graham platner drop out by july 8	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x33ae39…
07-07 20:58:50	will graham platner drop out by july 8	Yes	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x1b46c7…
07-07 20:52:52	will graham platner drop out by july 8	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x2b8b10…