Stingy-Present — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.9%

Resolved

Trades

179

lifetime

Volume

$242

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 10-19 19:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 61% -$12

Other

5% 62% -$3

Tech

2% 67% $0

Politics

2% 25% -$4

Sports

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	4	$12	12	12	+0	Up	+$0	05-21 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	3	$11	8	5	+2	Down	-$1	05-21 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	3	$11	8	5	+3	Up	-$1	05-21 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	3	$11	8	5	+2	Up	-$1	05-21 13:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-21 14:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	6	$8	7	4	+3	Up	-$1	05-23 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	5	$8	7	7	+0	Up	+$0	10-18 20:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	5	$6	8	4	+4	Down	-$2	05-23 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	2	$6	8	0	+8	Down	+$0	05-21 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	1	$6	6	0	+6	Down	+$0	05-21 10:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	4	$6	6	6	+0	Down	+$2	10-19 18:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 12:40 UTC	4	$5	8	8	+0	Down	+$1	03-06 12:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 08:30 UTC	5	$5	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	03-06 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	3	$5	4	2	+2	Up	-$1	05-23 13:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	5	$5	6	6	+0	Down	-$1	10-18 20:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	3	$4	10	10	+0	Down	-$4	10-18 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	05-23 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-23 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	2	$4	8	0	+8	Up	+$1	10-18 20:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	4	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-21 11:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	4	$4	9	0	+9	Down	+$0	05-21 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	3	$4	4	2	+2	Up	$0	05-23 12:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 12:30 UTC	3	$3	4	2	+1	Down	$0	03-06 12:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	4	$3	4	4	+0	Down	-$1	10-19 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	3	$3	4	2	+2	Up	+$1	05-23 13:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	4	$3	2	2	+0	Up	$0	05-21 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	3	$3	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-21 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	3	$3	4	2	+2	Up	-$1	05-23 13:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 08:35 UTC	3	$3	4	3	+1	Down	-$1	03-06 08:37
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	02-22 10:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 19:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x3eb8ef…
10-19 19:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7dbe07…
10-19 18:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x4e9317…
10-19 18:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x6294e2…
10-19 18:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x211bdc…
10-19 18:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x757072…
10-19 18:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x0daad6…
10-19 18:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xce0de1…
10-19 18:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0xbe0afd…
10-19 18:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc95f29…
10-18 20:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xf4f6ec…
10-18 20:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x178f78…
10-18 20:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0xcf7788…
10-18 20:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x70ffb5…
10-18 20:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x42d02a…
10-18 20:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0xa89146…
10-18 20:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	14¢	$0	0x10308e…
10-18 20:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xda74e4…
10-18 20:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xcebb81…
10-18 20:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x104a44…
10-18 20:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0x40d76e…
10-18 20:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x7e2a85…
10-18 20:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xe85c2c…
10-18 20:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x1eadb7…
10-18 20:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xeaeaa4…
05-23 13:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0xc577b8…
05-23 13:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x8aada0…
05-23 13:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x16d082…
05-23 13:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x9ed437…
05-23 13:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x29d6b6…
05-23 13:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x97b99b…
05-23 13:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x56eb8a…
05-23 13:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	21¢	$0	0xec258a…
05-23 13:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x0ecd8b…
05-23 13:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x4dd740…
05-23 13:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0x10e0b0…
05-23 13:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x49718a…
05-23 13:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x3992f6…
05-23 13:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x190430…
05-23 13:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x23dfd3…
05-23 13:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xdb0004…
05-23 13:06:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc5e41e…
05-23 13:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x4bdf12…
05-23 13:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x45c4e7…
05-23 12:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xb6ef4e…
05-23 12:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x16cf14…
05-23 12:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x8694cb…
05-23 12:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe9ca0e…
05-23 12:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xb0e350…
05-23 12:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0xb8f8d0…
05-23 12:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xba3131…
05-23 12:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x473a06…
05-23 12:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x560b11…
05-23 12:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf5296d…
05-23 12:26:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb24e69…
05-23 12:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0x4fd879…
05-23 12:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x77a4e0…
05-23 12:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xda8f2a…
05-23 12:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xdf4310…
05-23 12:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xe5df8a…
05-23 12:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x919560…
05-23 12:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xd22498…
05-23 12:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xf68e01…
05-23 12:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xb9d868…
05-21 14:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa943ed…
05-21 14:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x827ff4…
05-21 14:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc359cd…
05-21 14:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0f2116…
05-21 14:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x042936…
05-21 14:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x0270ee…
05-21 14:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xda626c…
05-21 14:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xaeda12…
05-21 14:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf60baf…
05-21 14:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xdb7b9d…
05-21 14:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xb15f8f…
05-21 14:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x1d069b…
05-21 14:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe2dd28…
05-21 13:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x9c7873…
05-21 13:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xccaf3a…
05-21 13:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x75420f…
05-21 13:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x53a580…
05-21 13:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xd87adb…
05-21 13:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa7cfaa…
05-21 11:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xe4d14d…
05-21 11:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xcce6f8…
05-21 11:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x9affbd…
05-21 11:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x73e89f…
05-21 11:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x2e341f…
05-21 11:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x160b6e…
05-21 11:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xef2404…
05-21 11:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xc23bdf…
05-21 11:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc76cb1…
05-21 11:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xb5a9f7…
05-21 11:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd751e9…
05-21 11:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x48052a…
05-21 11:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x74f143…
05-21 11:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x82de6b…
05-21 11:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x308bdd…
05-21 11:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x15fadf…
05-21 11:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3d4a38…