Expert-Afoul — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.33K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.6%

Resolved

51,571

Trades

200,826

lifetime

Volume

$788.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 10-28 04:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 235 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 46% -$5,344

Other

3% 36% +$1,019

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 6785 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 08:05 UTC	62	$871	961	957	+4	Up	+$19	06-27 08:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 08:00 UTC	35	$686	608	551	+57	Up	+$252	08-22 08:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 16:40 UTC	66	$641	617	617	+0	Down	+$105	07-04 16:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 00:10 UTC	44	$637	592	464	+128	Down	+$152	07-04 00:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 00:40 UTC	66	$632	1,137	791	+346	Up	-$58	07-04 00:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 00:50 UTC	15	$596	458	429	+29	Down	+$196	07-04 00:53
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 11:50 UTC	126	$533	1,212	472	+739	Up	+$91	07-17 11:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:50 UTC	41	$518	383	374	+9	Up	+$215	08-20 08:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 00:35 UTC	13	$441	319	319	+0	Down	+$165	07-04 00:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 10:00 UTC	36	$415	528	528	+0	Up	-$35	06-27 10:04
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 08:10 UTC	21	$412	343	343	+0	Down	+$268	08-27 08:14
lol ns fox1 2026 08 27 game2	5	$405	225	225	+0	BNK FEARX	+$45	08-27 09:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 09:50 UTC	25	$373	851	0	+851	Up	-$167	06-27 09:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 06:30 UTC	52	$369	302	302	+0	Down	+$114	07-20 06:33
lol tes lgd 2026 08 29	13	$361	502	51	+450	LGD Gaming	-$339	08-29 13:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 01:20 UTC	27	$356	568	247	+321	Up	-$114	06-27 01:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 03:40 UTC	19	$354	258	258	+0	Down	+$140	08-10 03:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 12:10 UTC	19	$353	414	358	+56	Up	+$53	07-04 12:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 23:25 UTC	26	$347	784	0	+784	Down	-$94	06-30 23:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 10:05 UTC	21	$336	237	237	+0	Up	+$134	08-20 10:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 05:25 UTC	44	$313	729	0	+729	Up	+$224	07-04 05:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 05:35 UTC	14	$309	331	272	+59	Down	+$60	07-03 05:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 17:30 UTC	22	$306	223	223	+0	Up	+$123	08-19 17:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 11:25 UTC	27	$302	345	345	+0	Down	+$43	08-27 11:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 10:05 UTC	16	$300	363	252	+111	Up	-$29	07-06 10:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 05:30 UTC	36	$297	683	0	+683	Down	-$7	07-04 05:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 22:20 UTC	32	$294	335	335	+0	Down	+$45	08-21 22:19
lol jdg we 2026 08 30 game4	12	$287	193	155	+38	Team WE	+$7	08-30 12:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 09:35 UTC	14	$286	640	0	+640	Down	+$147	06-27 09:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 08:30 UTC	23	$281	573	122	+451	Up	+$247	06-27 08:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 05:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0xfbc133…
10-28 05:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	0	26¢	$0	0xb90ca5…
10-28 05:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	0	26¢	$0	0xb1c1ee…
10-28 05:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x940eda…
10-28 05:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x81b4ac…
10-28 05:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x6410b1…
10-28 05:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x6f315a…
10-28 05:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	46¢	$0	0xc118e1…
10-28 05:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x99efb0…
10-28 05:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x2fd982…
10-28 04:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xd757c7…
10-28 04:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x610f0d…
10-28 04:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x4fb5f5…
10-28 04:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x624b1b…
10-28 04:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x481111…
10-28 04:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xd90ea8…
10-28 03:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0x5274c1…
10-28 03:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x34c44d…
10-28 03:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x4efbed…
10-28 03:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xa5b837…
10-28 03:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xf3a710…
10-28 03:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xcf7581…
10-28 03:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x882a8d…
10-28 03:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x34d6ee…
10-28 03:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x3fe6b8…
10-28 03:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xe881c8…
10-28 03:46:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	0	26¢	$0	0xf1f82d…
10-28 03:46:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x6d6373…
10-28 03:46:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0x57eae5…
10-28 03:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	21	36¢	$7	0x3f9dcf…
10-28 03:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	0	57¢	$0	0x12f615…
10-28 03:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x8001eb…
10-28 03:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0xa3ca8d…
10-28 03:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0x5d3ecd…
10-28 03:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x0f9b5a…
10-28 03:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0x04b535…
10-28 03:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x6eb4fa…
10-28 03:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x5af29f…
10-28 03:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	21¢	$1	0x9c38cd…
10-28 03:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x36abbe…
10-28 03:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	0	26¢	$0	0x19bdbd…
10-28 03:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x92338c…
10-28 03:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	26¢	$5	0x799633…
10-28 03:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x741128…
10-28 03:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x260567…
10-28 03:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x125e4c…
10-28 03:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x124831…
10-28 03:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	36¢	$4	0xc0f939…
10-28 03:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0x6bf9d3…
10-28 03:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x4c98f9…
10-28 03:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x2eeba9…
10-28 03:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xf6b888…
10-28 03:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	36¢	$1	0x9ab54f…
10-28 03:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0x7248d4…
10-28 03:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x40a357…
10-28 03:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xdc5e6d…
10-28 03:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x506877…
10-28 03:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x9d53ce…
10-28 03:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x6dadb1…
10-28 03:34:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x2e6f45…
10-28 03:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0x8d4c1f…
10-28 03:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0xdd389a…
10-28 03:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	11¢	$2	0xb06e51…
10-28 03:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0x719546…
10-28 03:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x3b626c…
10-28 03:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0xbf0f76…
10-28 03:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x560223…
10-28 03:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x09859f…
10-28 03:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0xcd02ec…
10-28 03:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb8098e…
10-28 03:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	26¢	$4	0xf51c69…
10-28 03:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x91248f…
10-28 03:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x37c1d0…
10-28 03:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0x047cbd…
10-28 03:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xd5e492…
10-28 03:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xffad7b…
10-28 03:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0xa271ab…
10-28 03:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0x8348c8…
10-28 03:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x9f2c4f…
10-28 03:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	21¢	$0	0x244cd4…
10-28 03:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0xd9a61c…
10-28 03:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	21¢	$2	0x822e09…
10-28 03:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x42990c…
10-28 03:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0xb0c29b…
10-28 03:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x43c27c…
10-28 03:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x344034…
10-28 03:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	0	26¢	$0	0x1c804c…
10-28 03:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	0	26¢	$0	0x03ac7b…
10-28 03:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xc0a66b…
10-28 03:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x0eca64…
10-28 03:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x7fe17d…
10-28 02:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x510452…
10-28 02:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0x856245…
10-28 02:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x7f23c3…
10-28 02:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0x6af754…
10-28 02:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x2e6775…
10-28 02:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xe0d31b…
10-28 02:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x8dbdb5…
10-28 02:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x1c2bd4…
10-28 02:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xca6281…