Focused-Caffeine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

129

lifetime

Volume

$339

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 06-12 12:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 100% +$0

Other

18% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No		+8	$8	100¢	$8	+$0	06-10 18:00
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+2	$2	99¢	$2	$-0	06-11 15:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	6	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	05-24 21:10
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	6	$19	13	6	+8	open	—	06-10 18:00
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 380 399	5	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	04-21 10:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?	3	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	06-02 18:00
will bitcoin reach 76k on march 23	4	$12	13	0	+13	open	—	03-23 12:40
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 420 439	3	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-16 04:40
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 460 479	3	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-04 12:40
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 12?	5	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-11 18:00
bitcoin above 68k on february 24	2	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	02-24 07:36
bitcoin above 78k on march 16	4	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	03-16 04:40
bitcoin above 66k on march 18	2	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	03-17 18:00
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 460 479	2	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	03-09 07:20
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 13?	3	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	05-13 04:40
bitcoin above 82k on april 22	3	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	04-21 10:00
bitcoin above 76k on april 6	2	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	04-06 04:40
will bitcoin reach 75k on march 27	3	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	03-27 12:40
ethereum above 1600 on march 7	2	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	03-06 15:20
bitcoin above 56k on march 6	2	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	03-04 18:00
ethereum above 2100 on february 23	2	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	02-23 07:20
bitcoin above 60k on march 7	2	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	03-06 15:20
ethereum above 1400 on february 26	2	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	02-25 18:00
will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 4	2	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	04-03 18:00
bitcoin above 78k on april 13	2	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-12 12:40
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 400 419	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-01 10:00
bitcoin above 80k on april 17	2	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-16 15:20
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 16?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 10:00
ethereum above 1600 on march 5	2	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-04 18:00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	2	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-19 12:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 23?	2	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	05-22 18:00
bitcoin above 56k on february 26	2	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	02-25 18:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 12:40:16	bitcoin above 70k on june 13 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8e0ea4…
06-11 15:20:16	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa45717…
06-10 18:00:18	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8584d0…
06-10 18:00:18	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x53e129…
06-10 18:00:18	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x2544ae…
06-08 12:40:10	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xb357f0…
06-05 15:20:15	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x501d25…
06-05 15:20:15	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x09049b…
06-02 18:00:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x4ed9eb…
06-02 18:00:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb152eb…
06-02 18:00:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x38dcf7…
05-27 17:21:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xff7ff0…
05-24 21:10:43	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xdc55f2…
05-24 07:20:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x86abb2…
05-22 18:11:29	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 23?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8dd558…
05-22 18:00:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x96b0ea…
05-22 18:00:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x75fb3a…
05-22 18:00:27	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x091043…
05-22 18:00:17	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xcccfed…
05-22 18:00:17	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc0ba4c…
05-21 15:20:19	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x869c55…
05-19 12:40:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x67dd40…
05-19 12:40:09	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf99d20…
05-16 18:00:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xedab3c…
05-15 10:00:19	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x82bec8…
05-15 10:00:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 16?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x87cc3f…
05-13 04:40:25	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 13?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x510716…
05-13 04:40:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 13?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xeff676…
05-13 04:40:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 13?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x38c2b0…
05-11 18:00:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8e466b…
05-11 18:00:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3cd971…
05-11 18:00:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x84eb80…
05-11 18:00:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc6d9a7…
05-11 18:00:13	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 12?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x3c44c5…
05-10 14:09:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xec3a77…
04-21 10:00:32	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 380 399	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0e6915…
04-21 10:00:22	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 380 399	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x91bd51…
04-21 10:00:20	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 380 399	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6e2dc3…
04-21 10:00:20	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 380 399	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x498409…
04-21 10:00:20	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 380 399	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0d59b9…
04-21 10:00:10	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x816104…
04-21 10:00:10	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7ab88e…
04-21 10:00:10	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x3f2995…
04-16 15:20:20	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x718d3e…
04-16 15:20:10	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xdeb770…
04-12 12:40:11	bitcoin above 78k on april 13	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x53e742…
04-12 12:40:09	bitcoin above 78k on april 13	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x5670f7…
04-11 06:42:53	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 380 399	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x5c92e8…
04-11 06:42:45	bitcoin above 78k on april 11	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8ee708…
04-11 06:42:45	bitcoin above 78k on april 11	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2d891e…
04-07 12:40:23	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on april 8	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x44d0f0…
04-07 12:40:21	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on april 8	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0b5077…
04-06 04:40:25	will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on april 6	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x42ae51…
04-06 04:40:19	bitcoin above 76k on april 6	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x2ed1fb…
04-06 04:40:15	bitcoin above 76k on april 6	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2f5445…
04-04 12:40:19	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 460 479	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x751c67…
04-04 12:40:15	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 460 479	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb95be4…
04-04 12:40:15	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 460 479	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x2cc228…
04-03 18:00:17	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 4	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x11429a…
04-03 18:00:09	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 4	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5dff86…
04-01 10:00:17	will bitcoin dip to 61k on april 1	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x42cd84…
04-01 10:00:09	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 400 419	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7a5c21…
03-27 12:40:33	will bitcoin reach 75k on march 27	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x7d8779…
03-27 12:40:11	will bitcoin reach 75k on march 27	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4eae71…
03-27 12:40:11	will bitcoin reach 75k on march 27	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x3445c0…
03-24 10:00:17	will bitcoin reach 78k on march 24	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x10bf3c…
03-24 10:00:09	will the price of ethereum be less than 1900 on march 24	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x14cd4f…
03-23 12:40:21	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 23	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x8a2818…
03-23 12:40:19	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 500 519	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb181e0…
03-23 12:40:15	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 23	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xe036ec…
03-23 12:40:15	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 23	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xca921f…
03-23 12:40:09	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 23	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x1661d6…
03-20 10:00:11	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 20	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd89b27…
03-17 18:00:27	will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 18	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x009a85…
03-17 18:00:19	bitcoin above 66k on march 18	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x407c84…
03-17 18:00:17	bitcoin above 66k on march 18	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd6cbbb…
03-16 04:40:31	bitcoin above 78k on march 16	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd2bf25…
03-16 04:40:23	bitcoin above 78k on march 16	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf1cd23…
03-16 04:40:23	bitcoin above 78k on march 16	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x995cdd…
03-16 04:40:23	bitcoin above 78k on march 16	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x6aa5cd…
03-16 04:40:11	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 420 439	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb84e7a…
03-16 04:40:11	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 420 439	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x6d718c…
03-16 04:40:11	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 420 439	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x3b9d30…
03-09 07:20:39	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on march 10	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xda5f74…
03-09 07:20:31	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on march 10	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6fdd40…
03-09 07:20:29	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 460 479	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe50ab9…
03-09 07:20:21	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 460 479	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x74d5a9…
03-06 15:20:29	bitcoin above 60k on march 7	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x90881c…
03-06 15:20:29	bitcoin above 60k on march 7	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x73fad2…
03-06 15:20:19	ethereum above 1600 on march 7	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd4d436…
03-06 15:20:19	ethereum above 1600 on march 7	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x00665b…
03-04 18:00:21	bitcoin above 56k on march 6	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb07153…
03-04 18:00:21	bitcoin above 56k on march 6	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x2fd817…
03-04 18:00:11	ethereum above 1600 on march 5	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8f2f0e…
03-04 18:00:09	ethereum above 1600 on march 5	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x41d5b7…
02-25 18:00:24	bitcoin above 56k on february 26	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb60347…
02-25 18:00:22	bitcoin above 56k on february 26	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x66147c…
02-25 18:00:12	ethereum above 1400 on february 26	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x75c34e…
02-25 18:00:12	ethereum above 1400 on february 26	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x430d89…
02-24 07:36:30	bitcoin above 68k on february 24	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xe4ec60…