Basic-Ethyl — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

28.6%

Resolved

Trades

359

lifetime

Volume

$558

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$11

1 position

First seen

2026-01-24

last 06-04 02:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 27% $-27

Other

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 186 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-31	$-16	34¢	$-11	+$6	06-04 02:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	1	$16	0	31	-31	open	—	06-04 02:06
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	3	$6	10	0	+10	Down	$-6	05-11 18:34
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	05-16 04:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 22:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 23:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 20:31
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	2	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 22:31
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	3	$4	10	0	+10	Down	$-4	05-11 18:34
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 21:42
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	2	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	05-15 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$4	10	0	+10	Down	$-4	05-11 18:38
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Down	$-4	05-11 18:34
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 22:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 22:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Down	$-4	05-12 01:02
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 22:55
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 21:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 22:30
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 21:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-16 00:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 21:41
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 21:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 23:11
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-16 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 21:10
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	2	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	05-15 21:50
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	2	$3	5	0	+5	Down	$-3	05-12 06:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 23:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 02:06:58	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	52¢	$16	0x0cbf2a…
05-16 04:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x26d1da…
05-16 04:49:11	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x50282e…
05-16 04:47:38	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xadf9be…
05-16 04:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x1b433f…
05-16 04:46:30	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x670ce1…
05-16 04:46:00	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xb4599d…
05-16 00:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x4bea61…
05-16 00:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x1feb48…
05-16 00:15:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xf64c5e…
05-16 00:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x0d3ae5…
05-16 00:11:24	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x39daf3…
05-16 00:11:22	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	44¢	$0	0xf12e5e…
05-16 00:11:22	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x4c6072…
05-16 00:06:14	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x10df2d…
05-16 00:05:53	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x21e712…
05-16 00:05:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xd1896e…
05-16 00:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x6b0d25…
05-15 23:57:52	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x299b2e…
05-15 23:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x5ffbd0…
05-15 23:55:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x8d926b…
05-15 23:55:41	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xe37edf…
05-15 23:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xbf9c63…
05-15 23:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x94b590…
05-15 23:52:21	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xa5943a…
05-15 23:52:00	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xe9ed8d…
05-15 23:51:37	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0xc58d03…
05-15 23:51:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xbe28c2…
05-15 23:47:20	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0xbf5ea8…
05-15 23:47:01	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x1f937b…
05-15 23:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x4b0777…
05-15 23:46:52	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x476f0d…
05-15 23:46:14	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x9e1e11…
05-15 23:46:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0xcad898…
05-15 23:46:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xc6c306…
05-15 23:46:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x033e24…
05-15 23:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xa72089…
05-15 23:41:14	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xd126d9…
05-15 23:39:33	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x7ebcca…
05-15 23:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x99f8a0…
05-15 23:36:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0xc702b0…
05-15 23:33:52	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xfd6eb6…
05-15 23:33:52	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x2e632c…
05-15 23:33:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x6f91f7…
05-15 23:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x2c9bd6…
05-15 23:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xa97df1…
05-15 23:31:25	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x9e1a1d…
05-15 23:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x1ec3e2…
05-15 23:21:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x5f7f96…
05-15 23:21:12	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0xfd90db…
05-15 23:21:10	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x3c26ec…
05-15 23:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xe142f3…
05-15 23:17:04	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xaefc01…
05-15 23:16:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x6240de…
05-15 23:15:57	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xa818b2…
05-15 23:12:18	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc673fa…
05-15 23:12:18	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0x8686fc…
05-15 23:12:06	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x46ab01…
05-15 23:12:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x1f2f8d…
05-15 23:11:07	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xff9c87…
05-15 23:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xa7325d…
05-15 23:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xd4009c…
05-15 23:05:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x97f118…
05-15 23:05:43	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xa84ca8…
05-15 23:05:43	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x32fbe3…
05-15 23:02:16	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xdb2c89…
05-15 23:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0xb05aa6…
05-15 23:01:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xdd0bc9…
05-15 23:01:05	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xca257f…
05-15 22:58:48	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	9¢	$1	0x0d9926…
05-15 22:58:27	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0x80c1ad…
05-15 22:55:53	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x74d61d…
05-15 22:53:54	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xddda98…
05-15 22:53:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xa16872…
05-15 22:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xef574c…
05-15 22:51:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0x73f95e…
05-15 22:51:01	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x077360…
05-15 22:41:48	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$2	0x7d9470…
05-15 22:41:09	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x63fc4b…
05-15 22:40:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x672675…
05-15 22:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xa26cf3…
05-15 22:35:51	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x6995ac…
05-15 22:35:42	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf96fa8…
05-15 22:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x2e9eac…
05-15 22:35:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xb5062d…
05-15 22:35:33	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x6e5ea7…
05-15 22:34:09	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x966a83…
05-15 22:31:49	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	0	84¢	$0	0x686d11…
05-15 22:31:49	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x174fdb…
05-15 22:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x21b3a3…
05-15 22:26:57	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x550fea…
05-15 22:26:01	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc547f6…
05-15 22:25:59	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x5fc381…
05-15 22:25:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x14feca…
05-15 22:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe2c57c…
05-15 22:21:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xb9afc8…
05-15 22:20:30	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x187221…
05-15 22:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x083b14…
05-15 22:20:27	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x7eb2cd…
05-15 22:16:43	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0x3830d2…