Ill-Spectacles — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$679

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

20.7%

Resolved

Trades

1,278

lifetime

Volume

$34.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 06-15 04:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

58% — —

Other

26% 0% $-226

Sports

8% 0% $-454

Crypto

8% 50% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	30	$2.3K	4,789	4,789	+0	open	—	03-08 21:15
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	23	$1.9K	2,663	2,126	+538	open	—	04-21 12:29
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	12	$1.4K	2,473	2,473	+0	open	—	05-23 18:10
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	21	$1.3K	1,130	1,130	+0	open	—	04-16 18:17
us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	19	$1.2K	1,023	1,023	+0	open	—	03-12 14:12
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	19	$1.2K	1,121	1,121	+0	open	—	04-20 10:49
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	27	$1.1K	985	985	+0	open	—	03-08 12:53
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	6	$1.0K	753	753	+0	open	—	04-07 23:33
will uae strike iran by march 31	17	$800	604	604	+0	open	—	03-14 00:38
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	12	$768	919	664	+255	open	—	04-16 18:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	18	$733	708	708	+0	open	—	04-18 07:46
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 Winner	14	$694	437	437	+0	open	—	05-17 21:35
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	26	$690	3,220	203	+3,018	open	—	03-24 09:04
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	2	$653	445	445	+0	open	—	05-11 18:25
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	26	$639	1,225	222	+1,004	open	—	05-27 22:07
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	9	$589	578	578	+0	open	—	03-20 18:02
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?	9	$564	322	322	+0	open	—	04-14 16:52
Fight to Go the Distance?	10	$544	678	77	+601	Yes	$-444	05-05 17:50
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	16	$494	432	382	+50	open	—	03-28 23:16
Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	3	$459	254	254	+0	Yes	+$43	05-05 14:25
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	21	$452	724	724	+0	open	—	04-19 17:17
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner	4	$438	252	252	+0	open	—	05-17 20:11
usisrael strike yemen by march 31	5	$433	278	278	+0	open	—	03-31 22:39
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	15	$356	609	552	+57	open	—	05-23 23:07
Will Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?	20	$346	572	572	+0	No	$-6	04-16 13:37
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	9	$315	421	74	+347	open	—	04-15 21:02
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	5	$308	301	301	+0	open	—	04-18 07:47
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	8	$295	356	356	+0	open	—	04-07 21:51
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	4	$294	251	251	+0	open	—	04-18 11:57
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	5	$288	201	201	+0	open	—	04-19 20:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 04:07:55	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14 topuria win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	191	67¢	$128	0x9b7326…
06-15 04:04:09	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Ciryl Gane	SELL	115	99¢	$114	0x1df9ee…
06-15 03:58:48	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Ciryl Gane	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0x402048…
06-15 03:52:03	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Alex Pereira	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x191744…
06-15 03:33:34	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Ciryl Gane	BUY	102	50¢	$51	0x72f6a3…
06-15 03:28:01	ufc aie sea1 2026 06 14	Sean O'Malley	SELL	74	99¢	$74	0xe0d07f…
06-15 02:04:07	ufc mic12 mau4 2026 06 14 totals 2pt5	Under	BUY	44	82¢	$36	0xc1c337…
06-15 01:27:03	ufc kyl3 bon 2026 06 14	Bo Nickal	BUY	83	84¢	$70	0x405d3b…
06-15 01:18:28	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14 totals 1pt5	Over	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xf0d1fe…
06-14 23:42:07	ufc kyl3 bon 2026 06 14	Kyle Daukaus	SELL	40	24¢	$10	0x3a3026…
06-14 23:42:03	ufc aie sea1 2026 06 14	Aiemann Zahabi	SELL	45	21¢	$10	0x4c67e2…
06-14 23:27:43	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14 go the distance	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x87744b…
06-14 23:27:39	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14 totals 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x169821…
06-14 23:27:31	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14 totals 1pt5	Over	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xc586b9…
06-14 23:27:01	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14 go the distance	Yes	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0x3f5b66…
06-14 23:26:45	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14 totals 2pt5	Over	BUY	19	43¢	$8	0x58085a…
06-14 23:26:22	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14 totals 1pt5	Over	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x858f37…
06-14 23:25:54	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843	No	SELL	56	16¢	$9	0xecdef2…
06-14 23:25:49	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216 619	No	SELL	25	38¢	$10	0x14e5dd…
06-14 23:25:45	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	SELL	36	80¢	$29	0x711baa…
06-14 22:37:06	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	21	89¢	$19	0xd34299…
06-14 22:24:18	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x7549ad…
06-14 22:24:09	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xf95f3b…
06-14 22:23:45	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216 619	No	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x7ce7b1…
06-14 22:23:42	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843	No	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xe77356…
06-14 22:23:24	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xf78b2c…
06-14 22:23:06	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xf67787…
05-30 12:45:01	UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Zhang Mingyang	BUY	28	69¢	$19	0x678ad1…
05-30 12:44:33	Will Zhang Mingyang win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	39	59¢	$23	0xd06313…
05-30 12:18:32	UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card)	Alex Perez	SELL	64	50¢	$32	0xd6e440…
05-30 11:35:22	UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card)	Alex Perez	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x710c9c…
05-30 11:25:20	UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card)	Sumudaerji	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0x536866…
05-30 11:25:10	UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card)	Alex Perez	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0xe2666d…
05-30 11:24:24	UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card)	Sumudaerji	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xaa4a97…
05-30 10:41:25	UFC Fight Night: Luis Felipe Dias vs. Yi Sak Lee (Middleweight, Prelims)	Yi Sak Lee	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe7e242…
05-30 10:40:27	UFC Fight Night: Luis Felipe Dias vs. Yi Sak Lee (Middleweight, Prelims)	Yi Sak Lee	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xeaf495…
05-30 10:40:11	UFC Fight Night: Luis Felipe Dias vs. Yi Sak Lee (Middleweight, Prelims)	Yi Sak Lee	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x05bdb0…
05-30 10:31:23	UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)	Jose Henrique	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xa5db35…
05-30 10:30:37	UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)	Ding Meng	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1606db…
05-30 10:20:37	UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)	Jose Henrique	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x2545f3…
05-27 22:07:29	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	BUY	53	30¢	$16	0xa96c97…
05-27 21:52:52	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	BUY	33	24¢	$8	0xc599b7…
05-27 21:50:49	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x750e8f…
05-27 21:50:44	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xd1c8db…
05-27 21:50:39	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	BUY	52	25¢	$13	0x07a58f…
05-27 21:50:30	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	BUY	96	25¢	$24	0xb5af9d…
05-27 21:50:18	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	BUY	80	23¢	$18	0x085531…
05-27 18:42:24	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x5b1aa4…
05-27 18:42:16	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x48066f…
05-27 18:26:22	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x6ffdaf…
05-27 18:26:13	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	BUY	89	45¢	$40	0xbccae6…
05-26 17:59:53	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	BUY	40	53¢	$21	0x442d09…
05-26 16:28:53	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xc09f95…
05-26 16:03:22	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xbfb88d…
05-26 16:03:15	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x2f7aa9…
05-23 23:08:55	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	BUY	148	62¢	$91	0xdda60f…
05-23 23:07:13	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x0277eb…
05-23 23:06:45	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	SELL	319	33¢	$106	0xcca35e…
05-23 22:58:23	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0xcd7db2…
05-23 22:57:43	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xba28cf…
05-23 22:57:27	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x24de4f…
05-23 22:57:16	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xe8b8a5…
05-23 22:54:32	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	BUY	11	41¢	$5	0x83ad23…
05-23 22:54:11	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0xe450d1…
05-23 22:41:49	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0x92aed6…
05-23 22:39:13	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	SELL	222	10¢	$22	0x74ee4b…
05-23 22:38:31	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	BUY	101	89¢	$90	0x9025d8…
05-23 22:38:08	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	SELL	186	54¢	$100	0x631540…
05-23 22:37:53	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0xf6ddbd…
05-23 22:30:53	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x07ac21…
05-23 22:30:33	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	SELL	18	57¢	$10	0x9de0c9…
05-23 22:29:36	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xc5e6d3…
05-23 22:28:19	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xca6f15…
05-23 22:27:45	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	SELL	18	58¢	$11	0x877b79…
05-23 22:12:23	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xbb6edf…
05-23 22:01:25	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x2ce79d…
05-23 18:34:39	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	BUY	49	45¢	$22	0x0e9dbf…
05-23 18:33:47	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	BUY	101	45¢	$45	0x908406…
05-23 18:33:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	SELL	101	32¢	$32	0x67e7ff…
05-23 18:32:44	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	BUY	36	44¢	$16	0x52f119…
05-23 18:32:39	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	BUY	102	44¢	$45	0x68e53c…
05-23 18:12:05	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	BUY	113	40¢	$45	0x908178…
05-23 18:10:09	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	530	5¢	$27	0x2a7acf…
05-23 18:10:08	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	750	17¢	$127	0x32e64f…
05-23 14:24:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	31	56¢	$17	0xe6d4ed…
05-22 22:40:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xcea544…
05-22 22:39:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x3e925e…
05-22 22:39:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x0a7995…
05-22 22:39:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0xb6d392…
05-22 22:10:51	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xd92b6f…
05-22 22:10:34	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x026437…
05-22 22:05:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	63	96¢	$61	0xe7ecd9…
05-22 21:29:44	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x6ec185…
05-22 21:29:30	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa00fb8…
05-22 21:29:00	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	98	17¢	$17	0x7b90b1…
05-22 21:28:13	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x73a7c8…
05-20 21:57:45	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	97	25¢	$24	0xeac820…
05-20 14:42:33	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x9f0cab…
05-19 19:28:54	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	100	70¢	$70	0xf787a5…
05-19 18:27:07	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x34a5b3…