Adolescent-Odyssey — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$425

Unrealized P&L

-$23

Hit rate

17.8%

Resolved

150

Trades

1,036

lifetime

Volume

$7.71K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$106

1 position

First seen

2026-02-10

last 05-30 16:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Politics

55% 29% -$80

Crypto

33% 13% +$150

Other

10% 4% -$364

Sports

1% 0% -$76

Tech

1% 0% -$56

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-30).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes		-124	-$83	85¢	$-106	-$23	05-10 19:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	17	$2.3K	2,208	1,929	+279	Yes	-$13	03-01 00:13
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 1 334	10	$815	4,550	2,500	+2,050	No	-$165	03-01 14:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 19:15 UTC	2	$210	200	200	+0	Up	+$186	02-10 19:30
elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 40 64	7	$208	200	200	+0	Yes	+$192	02-14 17:05
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	3	$187	667	0	+667	No	-$187	03-02 07:16
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 4 844 575	3	$181	355	355	+0	No	-$46	03-04 11:36
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	14	$177	1,247	0	+1,247	No	-$177	02-19 21:41
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$143	200	0	+200	Yes	+$57	03-04 04:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 20:05 UTC	8	$136	200	200	+0	Up	+$76	02-18 20:09
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$134	450	0	+450	Yes	+$316	02-19 15:05
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	4	$100	600	0	+600	No	-$100	02-18 21:36
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	1	$98	200	0	+200	No	-$98	03-01 09:50
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	1	$83	0	124	-124	open	—	05-10 19:22
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?	3	$73	350	0	+350	No	-$73	04-28 19:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 16:45 UTC	3	$71	100	100	+0	Down	+$5	02-11 16:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 20:25 UTC	7	$60	400	0	+400	Down	+$140	02-18 20:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 11:45 UTC	3	$60	400	0	+400	Up	+$140	02-19 11:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 21:40 UTC	4	$58	400	0	+400	Down	+$142	02-18 21:44
gpt 5pt3 released by february 20 2026	6	$56	700	0	+700	No	-$56	02-20 10:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 12:05 UTC	12	$54	500	0	+500	Up	+$246	02-19 12:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 13:40 UTC	38	$50	500	0	+500	Down	-$50	02-19 13:43
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 500 519	58	$46	1,687	0	+1,687	No	-$46	02-11 23:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 19:25 UTC	8	$46	400	0	+400	Up	+$354	02-18 19:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 20:35 UTC	4	$45	300	0	+300	Up	-$45	02-18 20:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 13:50 UTC	9	$43	500	0	+500	Up	-$43	02-19 13:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 19:50 UTC	7	$42	300	0	+300	Down	-$42	02-18 19:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 19:55 UTC	14	$40	400	0	+400	Up	+$160	02-18 19:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 12:20 UTC	10	$38	300	0	+300	Up	-$38	02-19 12:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 20:00 UTC	10	$38	300	0	+300	Up	-$38	02-18 20:03
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	7	$37	3,200	0	+3,200	No	-$37	03-11 03:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 16:27:56	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	130	21¢	$27	0x669c63…
05-10 20:46:37	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 4 - 1 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	111	5¢	$6	0xcce4a9…
05-10 20:40:42	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 4 - 0 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	110	10¢	$11	0x4c4d19…
05-10 20:40:04	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 4 - 1 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xdbface…
05-10 20:40:04	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 4 - 0 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x9746cd…
05-10 20:38:24	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 4 - 1 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	39	5¢	$2	0xc9e9f0…
05-10 20:38:12	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 4 - 0 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0xebbc8b…
05-10 20:36:28	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 4 - 0 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	14	10¢	$1	0x30f04d…
05-10 20:02:24	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 1 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	26	15¢	$4	0x08902c…
05-10 20:00:53	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 4 - 0 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	18	10¢	$2	0x43f747…
05-10 20:00:53	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 1 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x1f4a2b…
05-10 19:34:52	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 1 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0xecf39d…
05-10 19:29:08	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 1 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	43	15¢	$6	0x0b9b83…
05-10 19:28:50	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 1 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xdf99a7…
05-10 19:27:14	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 0 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xd56a7e…
05-10 19:22:15	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	124	67¢	$83	0x131d7a…
05-10 19:18:15	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 1 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xe01cb1…
05-06 20:40:41	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	31	9¢	$3	0xf06b7c…
05-06 20:39:39	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	153	9¢	$14	0x7a58ba…
05-06 20:39:34	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	16	9¢	$1	0xa6db85…
04-28 20:57:10	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	328	6¢	$20	0xb57467…
04-28 20:22:50	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0xffa590…
04-28 19:39:18	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0xa2b22c…
04-28 19:39:18	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?	Yes	BUY	57	21¢	$12	0x732ec1…
04-28 19:39:18	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?	Yes	BUY	292	21¢	$61	0x0ddbfd…
03-12 13:52:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xff04d7…
03-12 13:52:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xe941ef…
03-12 13:52:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	15¢	$1	0xd7fc8b…
03-12 13:52:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	122	15¢	$18	0x7486ce…
03-12 13:52:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	29	15¢	$4	0x4d8a0e…
03-12 13:52:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	25	15¢	$4	0x49c021…
03-11 03:15:39	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	Yes	BUY	1,314	0¢	$1	0x8d6715…
03-11 02:42:17	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x504f63…
03-11 02:42:15	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xada82d…
03-11 02:28:01	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	Yes	BUY	170	0¢	$0	0xce37d0…
03-11 02:22:35	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x8b3137…
03-11 02:07:33	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	Yes	BUY	1,494	0¢	$1	0xe83e36…
03-10 22:28:23	will any european country expel an israeli ambassador by march 31	Yes	BUY	137	6¢	$8	0xd78318…
03-10 22:16:59	will any european country expel an israeli ambassador by march 31	Yes	BUY	22	6¢	$1	0xbb10e0…
03-10 22:16:59	will any european country expel an israeli ambassador by march 31	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x20a4ba…
03-10 22:16:59	will any european country expel an israeli ambassador by march 31	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x107a49…
03-10 20:48:53	will any european country expel an israeli ambassador by march 31	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0xbf182c…
03-10 20:17:03	will any european country expel an israeli ambassador by march 31	Yes	BUY	14	6¢	$1	0x57269d…
03-10 20:06:45	will any european country expel an israeli ambassador by march 31	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x2d8984…
03-10 19:24:27	will any european country expel an israeli ambassador by march 31	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0xc5611d…
03-10 17:11:39	will any country expel a us ambassador by march 31	Yes	BUY	198	8¢	$16	0xfe2b71…
03-10 16:02:37	will any european country expel a us ambassador by march 31	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x1ee35a…
03-10 15:30:35	will any country expel a us ambassador by march 31	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xccc406…
03-05 11:14:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 11:10 UTC	Down	BUY	34	2¢	$1	0x0e205b…
03-05 11:14:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 11:10 UTC	Down	BUY	63	2¢	$1	0x602a57…
03-05 11:14:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 11:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x1fa310…
03-05 11:13:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 11:10 UTC	Down	BUY	150	16¢	$24	0xebccb5…
03-05 09:30:33	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	Yes	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0xcaafa4…
03-05 09:24:29	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3a837b…
03-05 09:09:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x6fd336…
03-04 11:36:57	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 4 844 575	Yes	SELL	355	19¢	$67	0x9337e7…
03-04 04:26:27	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 4 844 575	Yes	BUY	227	32¢	$73	0x70bc46…
03-04 04:23:55	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 4 844 575	Yes	BUY	128	32¢	$41	0xc657db…
03-04 04:22:21	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	200	72¢	$143	0xcc4e72…
03-02 07:16:09	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	Yes	BUY	210	7¢	$15	0xf3a421…
03-01 14:28:31	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	Yes	BUY	400	38¢	$152	0x945dc1…
03-01 14:25:19	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	Yes	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x04faae…
03-01 14:24:55	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 1 334	Yes	BUY	59	4¢	$2	0xbbfcef…
03-01 14:24:27	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 1 334	Yes	BUY	92	4¢	$4	0xbb3cb8…
03-01 14:23:03	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 1 334	Yes	BUY	349	4¢	$14	0xa83efb…
03-01 10:50:07	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 1 334	Yes	BUY	72	22¢	$16	0x613943…
03-01 10:42:17	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 1 334	Yes	BUY	60	22¢	$13	0x76ffe9…
03-01 10:40:11	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 1 334	Yes	BUY	187	22¢	$41	0xb1a199…
03-01 10:29:03	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 1 334	Yes	BUY	1,230	16¢	$200	0x8b2e2e…
03-01 09:50:15	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	Yes	BUY	200	49¢	$98	0x1e7875…
03-01 09:18:25	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 1 334	Yes	SELL	2,500	13¢	$325	0xcc811a…
03-01 01:08:27	us forcibly removes khamenei from power by march 31	Yes	BUY	349	5¢	$18	0xe72d33…
03-01 01:05:33	us forcibly removes khamenei from power by march 31	Yes	BUY	51	5¢	$3	0x59db81…
03-01 00:27:43	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 1 334	Yes	BUY	2,490	8¢	$199	0xfcabdc…
03-01 00:16:05	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 1 334	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x2b900b…
03-01 00:13:29	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	279	97¢	$271	0xb62d02…
02-28 19:30:31	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	558	83¢	$463	0x67b24a…
02-28 15:39:35	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	600	72¢	$432	0xa547a5…
02-28 15:00:09	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	97	72¢	$69	0x2cf76a…
02-28 15:00:01	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	73	72¢	$52	0xa35ced…
02-28 15:00:01	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	260	72¢	$186	0x35501a…
02-28 14:59:59	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	105	72¢	$75	0xa170b6…
02-28 14:59:59	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	65	72¢	$47	0x683ae7…
02-28 14:59:31	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	190	29¢	$55	0x6ff403…
02-28 14:59:21	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0xfb64b6…
02-28 14:59:21	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	112	29¢	$33	0x2b1d17…
02-28 14:59:19	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	35	29¢	$10	0x77a0c6…
02-28 14:59:19	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	648	29¢	$188	0x70fa99…
02-28 14:59:19	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0x09805e…
02-28 14:59:15	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	51	29¢	$15	0xc2c49f…
02-28 14:54:25	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0x88c170…
02-28 14:50:29	will elon musks net worth be between 660b and 670b on march 31	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xdc18c6…
02-28 14:50:29	will elon musks net worth be between 650b and 660b on march 31	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xd71199…
02-28 14:50:29	will elon musks net worth be between 650b and 660b on march 31	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x7992a9…
02-28 14:50:29	will elon musks net worth be between 650b and 660b on march 31	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x72f58b…
02-28 14:50:29	will elon musks net worth be between 660b and 670b on march 31	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x59ee6b…
02-28 14:50:29	will elon musks net worth be between 660b and 670b on march 31	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x1fb616…
02-28 14:49:43	will elon musks net worth be between 650b and 660b on march 31	Yes	BUY	53	8¢	$4	0xebfa53…
02-28 14:41:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xf73bec…
02-28 14:41:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0xf5e781…