Good-Leptocephalus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.6%

Resolved

278

Trades

279

lifetime

Volume

$3.26K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-28 07:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 226 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$5

Politics

3% 80% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C or higher on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 14:27
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 05:31
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 06:17
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on May 12?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-12 07:36
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C or higher on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-11 11:42
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 10?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-10 09:39
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C or higher on May 9?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$0	05-09 09:35
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on May 8?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-08 12:24
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 30°C on May 8?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-08 06:46
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 7?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-07 17:06
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 7?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-07 06:31
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C or higher on May 6?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-06 15:27
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on May 5?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 11:46
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 02:52
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 3?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-03 15:12
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-04 15:56
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 2?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-02 13:14
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$1	04-12 02:33
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:28
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 07:06
highest temperature in wuhan on april 5 2026 27corhigher	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-05 09:19
highest temperature in lucknow on april 3 2026 37c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 14:11
highest temperature in wellington on april 3 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 07:38
highest temperature in seoul on april 2 2026 14c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 10:31
highest temperature in los angeles on april 1 2026 68 69f	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-02 03:31
highest temperature in istanbul on april 1 2026 15c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-01 15:15
highest temperature in wellington on april 1 2026 17c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 08:49
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-31 10:23
highest temperature in san francisco on march 30 2026 70 71f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	03-31 01:53
highest temperature in lucknow on march 30 2026 37c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	03-30 14:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 07:36:13	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdb83bf…
10-27 08:21:03	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdaa17d…
10-26 09:14:47	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc57a42…
10-22 10:09:27	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdb9a9b…
10-20 07:29:11	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x460556…
10-19 08:46:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa5517a…
10-18 09:04:57	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3b27af…
10-17 11:24:02	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeb920b…
10-16 08:57:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaf2db2…
10-15 09:15:47	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x01f8b7…
10-14 09:14:01	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa02733…
10-13 09:07:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb85914…
10-12 08:20:07	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb083de…
10-11 08:15:34	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa71d54…
10-08 08:23:10	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x30bad7…
10-07 14:17:04	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1945f6…
10-06 07:44:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc85102…
10-04 15:06:50	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2a24e3…
10-03 05:48:17	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6db6b5…
10-02 07:39:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x935487…
10-01 08:15:44	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x56e2a5…
09-30 12:06:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xae329a…
09-29 14:07:41	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcc1df2…
09-28 09:25:21	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C or below on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1d7843…
09-27 08:42:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x23ed38…
09-25 12:22:39	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb0ca4d…
09-24 08:24:03	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x70673d…
09-23 06:49:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x86b047…
09-22 07:47:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x30e35c…
09-21 09:14:05	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3b7aa3…
09-20 05:38:25	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1287f0…
09-19 08:17:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x338cd1…
09-18 06:15:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7890be…
09-17 03:59:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe96d13…
09-16 08:10:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe36172…
09-15 09:05:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7572ae…
09-14 08:20:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xea2940…
09-12 16:18:36	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x39bc4b…
09-11 07:13:52	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb64c00…
09-10 06:02:33	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x16eb2b…
09-09 02:35:12	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc8099d…
09-08 02:33:37	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x291a6d…
09-07 08:16:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x483efe…
09-06 17:31:13	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x05b266…
09-06 09:12:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xce40ca…
09-05 09:55:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x00c79c…
09-04 17:34:18	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x78c329…
09-03 09:45:34	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0f3743…
09-02 07:35:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbc8cac…
08-30 08:28:00	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x399fd8…
08-29 07:56:34	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4f427d…
08-28 07:22:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa90e5e…
08-27 08:35:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc3f685…
08-26 08:20:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc11be0…
08-25 09:06:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0f4454…
08-24 09:49:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc274ef…
08-23 14:44:07	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x789e9b…
08-22 08:43:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6ab2d3…
08-21 07:08:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa0af34…
08-20 08:37:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x038fb2…
08-19 10:57:58	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x934ffe…
08-18 08:10:54	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x13def0…
08-17 07:17:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xef7ace…
08-16 11:08:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf1d0a7…
08-15 09:43:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5f365b…
08-14 06:41:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf6a5a2…
08-13 07:46:36	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdf8929…
08-12 07:45:15	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2d1e54…
08-11 06:49:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfce8da…
08-10 06:51:43	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7890f8…
08-09 01:20:16	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd378f2…
08-08 07:25:06	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x812c3b…
08-07 01:07:43	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x67d60f…
08-06 06:33:57	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0e4b87…
08-05 07:48:29	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdae56e…
08-04 08:09:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbd944f…
08-03 07:14:56	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x76a5cc…
08-02 01:33:12	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5ffcec…
08-01 06:57:26	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x325281…
07-31 08:22:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8b1328…
07-30 06:46:11	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa9b04d…
07-29 06:09:26	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf1b636…
07-28 06:18:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4a134c…
07-27 08:08:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x54d50d…
07-26 06:29:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x468a4e…
07-25 07:47:13	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe16270…
07-24 09:42:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x31cb28…
07-23 07:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9168b0…
07-22 01:49:46	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x44d473…
07-20 23:52:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa04488…
07-20 07:42:13	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe89377…
07-18 23:11:40	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5d9334…
07-18 00:23:06	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x22bb41…
07-17 06:33:13	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x996992…
07-15 22:01:14	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb1d053…
07-15 07:13:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xead554…
07-14 07:26:11	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x663926…
07-13 07:22:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x8d1de0…
07-12 02:13:37	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 11?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd4da5b…
07-11 07:43:49	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 11?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3b2356…