Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.75K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

29.9%

Resolved

571

Trades

2,357

lifetime

Volume

$33.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 09-26 22:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 29% -$3,699

Other

23% 39% -$500

Politics

17% 26% -$548

Tech

0% 50% -$2

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 584 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	12	$1.7K	21,285	21,285	+0	No	-$132	03-18 20:32
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	6	$1.5K	4,020	4,020	+0	No	-$50	03-17 20:53
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$1.5K	1,449	1,449	+0	No	-$14	09-03 10:43
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$1.4K	2,771	2,771	+0	No	-$72	03-17 14:30
Solana Up or Down - September 2, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	6	$1.2K	1,283	1,283	+0	Up	+$38	09-03 02:25
Solana Up or Down - September 2, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	5	$976	1,468	1,468	+0	Up	+$77	09-03 02:10
Solana Up or Down - September 2, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	10	$838	1,957	1,094	+863	Down	-$83	09-03 03:27
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	3	$708	801	801	+0	Yes	-$118	02-28 19:17
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?	111	$658	1,113	1,108	+5	Yes	-$9	09-15 19:08
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	4	$518	2,251	2,251	+0	No	-$23	03-17 19:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 22:30 UTC	2	$501	408	405	+3	Down	+$304	03-16 22:36
will iran strike dimona by march 31	14	$485	2,731	2,731	+0	No	-$61	03-08 21:30
will uae strike iran by march 31	2	$479	2,441	2,441	+0	No	-$40	03-17 16:46
Solana Up or Down - September 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	3	$464	1,320	555	+765	Up	+$599	09-03 11:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 23:15 UTC	4	$463	683	456	+227	Down	+$34	03-08 23:19
Solana Up or Down - September 2, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	3	$459	363	363	+0	Down	+$259	09-03 03:29
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$426	1,292	1,292	+0	No	-$13	03-17 16:56
Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	4	$368	944	944	+0	Down	-$32	09-03 00:14
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 21:10 UTC	4	$352	283	281	+2	Down	+$207	03-08 21:16
Solana Up or Down - September 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	4	$298	763	339	+424	Up	+$1	09-03 03:49
ethereum up or down august 28 2026 1pm et	5	$291	461	401	+60	Up	+$35	08-28 18:05
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	7	$289	778	778	+0	No	-$7	03-18 18:30
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 23:00 UTC	2	$277	630	628	+3	Up	+$87	03-08 23:12
Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	5	$275	1,985	0	+1,985	Down	-$275	09-03 00:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	5	$240	2,570	0	+2,570	Down	-$240	09-06 23:29
Solana Up or Down - September 3, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	1	$228	759	0	+759	Down	+$531	09-03 10:07
Solana Up or Down - September 3, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	3	$223	830	0	+830	Down	-$223	09-03 09:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$221	642	642	+0	Down	+$21	09-03 00:13
Solana Up or Down - September 2, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	1	$206	501	0	+501	Up	+$294	09-03 03:01
Solana Up or Down - September 2, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	16	$201	630	86	+544	Down	-$75	09-03 01:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-26 22:40:42	will bitget resume withdrawals by september 27 2026	Yes	BUY	89	2¢	$2	0xa5634a…
09-26 22:40:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 22:30 UTC	Up	SELL	53	4¢	$2	0x9666b8…
09-26 22:37:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 22:35 UTC	Up	BUY	33	12¢	$4	0x3ec158…
09-26 22:37:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 22:35 UTC	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xdb2156…
09-26 22:34:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x4b9f66…
09-26 22:34:11	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x5461d8…
09-26 22:33:41	will bitget resume withdrawals by september 27 2026	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0xea39b1…
09-26 03:02:54	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% in September?	Yes	SELL	35	73¢	$25	0x607744…
09-19 21:36:21	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	839	12¢	$100	0xd13293…
09-19 21:34:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1,000	3¢	$26	0x0c463e…
09-19 21:33:59	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	5¢	$1	0xeb8589…
09-19 21:33:53	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $95 in September?	Yes	SELL	26	5¢	$1	0x9eb38a…
09-19 21:33:47	Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	7¢	$2	0xff0990…
09-19 21:33:41	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% in September?	Yes	SELL	30	7¢	$2	0x0da53a…
09-19 21:33:36	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in September?	Yes	SELL	40	6¢	$3	0x93653d…
09-19 21:33:30	Mistral matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	Yes	SELL	26	14¢	$4	0x9806e4…
09-19 21:33:26	Will Solana dip to $90 in September?	Yes	SELL	47	5¢	$2	0x81dd7d…
09-19 21:33:20	Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September 2026?	No	SELL	29	11¢	$3	0xdc3f02…
09-19 21:33:09	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.00 in September?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0x8b601b…
09-19 21:33:05	Will Solana reach $130 in September?	Yes	SELL	29	12¢	$4	0xdd11fb…
09-19 21:32:59	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.21% in September?	Yes	SELL	33	13¢	$4	0x43913e…
09-19 21:32:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	SELL	18	24¢	$4	0x471c88…
09-19 21:32:47	SpaceXAI matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	Yes	SELL	25	19¢	$5	0x9ce1b9…
09-19 21:32:41	Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in September 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	11¢	$4	0xd3dfe8…
09-19 21:32:36	Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	29¢	$6	0x334336…
09-19 21:32:30	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $480 end of September?	No	SELL	23	14¢	$3	0xeee6b2…
09-19 21:32:23	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	Yes	SELL	19	35¢	$7	0x91a197…
09-19 21:32:14	Will Trump meet with Mark Carney by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	23¢	$7	0x04e5f4…
09-19 21:32:08	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in September?	Yes	SELL	33	28¢	$9	0x191b59…
09-19 21:31:56	will wti reach 105 in september 2026 from september 16	Yes	SELL	37	25¢	$9	0x73be65…
09-19 21:31:44	Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x7d7b8f…
09-19 21:31:36	will elon post tweak on x this week 20260927	Yes	SELL	55	10¢	$6	0xbcaba9…
09-19 21:31:30	Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in September 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	8¢	$5	0xb9457e…
09-19 21:31:24	ChatGPT Full Outage by September 30?	Yes	SELL	60	3¢	$2	0x187d8f…
09-19 21:31:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	Yes	SELL	64	10¢	$6	0x8a4e04…
09-19 21:31:14	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?	Yes	SELL	78	12¢	$9	0x1114fd…
09-19 21:31:02	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?	Yes	SELL	93	4¢	$4	0x29cfb6…
09-19 21:30:35	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September?	Yes	SELL	557	15¢	$84	0xed1db5…
09-19 20:42:59	Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 14, 2026?	No	SELL	27	69¢	$19	0xa402fb…
09-19 20:40:48	Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xdac4b0…
09-19 20:37:54	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $184 in September?	No	SELL	16	18¢	$3	0xfce7ae…
09-19 20:37:50	Will $LAPTOP dip to $0.05 by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	18	51¢	$9	0xb4af3a…
09-19 20:37:44	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.24% in September?	Yes	SELL	15	18¢	$3	0x26cad1…
09-19 20:37:36	Will "Primetime" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	15	18¢	$3	0x837d09…
09-19 20:37:27	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 in September?	No	SELL	15	12¢	$2	0xa72437…
09-19 20:37:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?	Yes	SELL	13	45¢	$6	0xdaa8f8…
09-19 20:37:15	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $188 in September?	No	SELL	13	45¢	$6	0x043907…
09-19 20:37:00	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	Yes	SELL	14	91¢	$13	0x5c914c…
09-19 20:36:47	will the greenland agreement text be released by september 23 2026 copy copy	Yes	SELL	12	41¢	$5	0xa32b9b…
09-19 20:36:39	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 in September?	Yes	SELL	11	20¢	$2	0xcaeaf7…
09-19 20:36:33	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0xb9a7ba…
09-19 20:36:26	Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	9	65¢	$6	0x384f6f…
09-19 20:36:15	Will CarMax (KMX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x33adcf…
09-19 20:36:09	Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 99.50 in September?	No	SELL	9	61¢	$5	0x505221…
09-19 20:36:05	Will Trump praise Warren Buffett in September?	No	SELL	9	72¢	$6	0x4d4d1a…
09-19 20:35:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?	No	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0x5e9284…
09-19 20:35:51	Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	8	32¢	$3	0x1779b5…
09-19 20:35:44	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by September 30?	No	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0x0df128…
09-19 20:35:29	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 in September?	Yes	SELL	7	44¢	$3	0x14a3c3…
09-19 20:35:18	Will XRP reach $1.60 in September?	No	SELL	7	65¢	$5	0x6edcea…
09-19 20:35:12	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?	No	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0x481edd…
09-19 20:35:02	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $58 in September?	No	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0xff7de1…
09-19 20:34:56	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $184 in September?	Yes	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0x6378fe…
09-19 20:34:50	will bitcoin dip to 80k in september 2026 from september 18	Yes	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0x2eea58…
09-19 20:34:36	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0x1e85b4…
09-19 20:34:30	Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	No	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0x4c3b42…
09-19 20:34:23	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 in September?	No	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0xc8e09d…
09-19 20:34:15	Will Carnival (CCL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0x1bd6db…
09-19 20:34:08	Will Solana reach $120 in September?	No	SELL	7	56¢	$4	0x56dc37…
09-19 20:33:57	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0x09db99…
09-19 20:33:50	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.39% in September?	No	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xfb60a9…
09-19 20:33:41	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in September?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xe7a488…
09-19 20:33:33	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in September?	No	SELL	4	13¢	$1	0x900b47…
09-19 20:33:24	Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	83¢	$4	0x79e232…
09-19 20:33:12	Will Trump say "Darth Vader" in September?	Yes	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0xe3df3e…
09-19 20:31:09	OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by September 30?	Yes	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0x069508…
09-19 18:57:12	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	557	17¢	$95	0xed2e27…
09-19 14:44:39	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% in September?	Yes	SELL	21	65¢	$14	0x2c5248…
09-19 13:20:38	Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	17¢	$6	0x949b2b…
09-19 11:10:35	will elon post tweak on x this week 20260927	Yes	BUY	55	11¢	$6	0x36dd01…
09-19 11:05:12	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.39% in September?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x75e7f4…
09-19 10:52:29	greenland agreement text released by september 30 2026	No	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0xcb2e3a…
09-19 10:47:23	greenland agreement text released by september 30 2026	No	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xd02248…
09-19 10:47:22	greenland agreement text released by september 30 2026	No	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xf19012…
09-19 10:14:52	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in September?	No	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0x7899be…
09-19 09:37:04	greenland agreement text released by september 30 2026	No	BUY	46	13¢	$6	0x65411c…
09-19 08:14:31	will the greenland agreement text be released by september 23 2026 copy copy	Yes	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x8f9178…
09-19 07:08:13	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in September?	No	BUY	4	18¢	$1	0x135a2f…
09-19 07:03:03	Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	10¢	$6	0xef03f5…
09-19 05:27:49	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	60¢	$9	0xe35dcc…
09-19 04:34:42	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 in September?	Yes	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x806e0e…
09-19 03:42:49	Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0xfb3f57…
09-19 02:45:15	Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	21¢	$4	0x68dbd8…
09-19 00:27:55	Will CarMax (KMX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x374bca…
09-18 23:36:07	Will Solana reach $130 in September?	Yes	BUY	29	21¢	$6	0xcac074…
09-18 21:28:06	will bitcoin dip to 80k in september 2026 from september 18	Yes	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xc1ecb9…
09-18 20:13:07	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 in September?	Yes	SELL	13	54¢	$7	0xe7faf0…
09-18 19:57:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0x377775…
09-18 19:50:07	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $660 in September?	Yes	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0x921305…
09-18 19:18:55	Will Solana reach $130 in September?	Yes	SELL	38	20¢	$8	0xf7559e…