Awkward-Developer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

96.2%

Resolved

Trades

195

lifetime

Volume

$9.59K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$49

Open exposure

$95

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-09 14:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

77% — —

Crypto

13% 0% $-2

Tech

8% — —

Sports

2% 100% +$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes		-100	$-93	95¢	$-95	$-1	05-29 16:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will backpack launch a token on march 23	9	$854	445	445	+0	open	—	03-23 12:37
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 10 million	8	$658	639	639	+0	open	—	01-14 13:35
elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 40 64	2	$572	298	298	+0	open	—	04-06 11:40
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 65 89	3	$513	270	270	+0	open	—	04-03 21:27
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$469	243	243	+0	open	—	03-27 05:06
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 0 39	2	$459	300	300	+0	open	—	04-15 06:27
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	2	$388	200	200	+0	open	—	03-13 11:02
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	5	$386	202	202	+0	open	—	03-11 19:09
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 200 219	3	$376	200	200	+0	open	—	04-09 09:47
elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 40 64	5	$374	250	250	+0	open	—	04-11 13:47
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	11	$368	247	247	+0	open	—	04-02 19:58
elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 0 39	3	$368	270	107	+163	open	—	04-05 16:31
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 40 64	5	$331	200	200	+0	open	—	04-12 12:37
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	8	$298	394	394	+0	open	—	01-08 01:05
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 40 64	5	$241	200	100	+100	open	—	04-17 19:13
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$233	120	120	+0	open	—	05-23 04:09
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	3	$191	100	100	+0	open	—	01-02 16:32
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	4	$189	100	100	+0	open	—	04-29 22:05
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	4	$185	100	100	+0	open	—	01-04 17:26
will sofi technologies sofi be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	6	$185	145	145	+0	open	—	01-08 05:25
elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 90 114	3	$178	100	97	+3	open	—	04-10 14:54
elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 40 64	1	$178	200	0	+200	open	—	04-07 16:01
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	2	$167	120	120	+0	open	—	05-18 22:31
bitcoin above 94k on january 5	3	$154	80	80	+0	open	—	01-05 18:18
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	9	$143	100	100	+0	open	—	01-10 08:46
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	7	$124	72	72	+0	open	—	04-03 16:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?	1	$122	0	124	-124	open	—	05-15 15:38
Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?	1	$117	117	0	+117	open	—	05-25 10:40
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	4	$110	0	408	-408	open	—	01-10 08:21
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	7	$93	0	100	-100	open	—	05-29 16:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 14:32:31	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	98	94¢	$93	0xedd75f…
06-08 17:36:16	bitcoin above 74k on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	10,500	0¢	$10	0x3c2520…
05-29 16:59:15	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	83	94¢	$78	0x61b500…
05-29 14:15:16	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	11	94¢	$11	0x3a2bde…
05-29 04:58:52	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xb9f9a3…
05-29 04:58:50	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x4a5edc…
05-29 04:58:48	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x9810c8…
05-29 04:58:46	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xfbe434…
05-29 04:58:45	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x2dbbdf…
05-25 10:40:53	Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xeebf49…
05-23 04:09:03	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	120	97¢	$117	0x74a765…
05-22 16:15:01	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	120	97¢	$116	0x913c4c…
05-19 14:35:48	GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Angela Fita Boluda	Yulia Starodubtseva	BUY	37	92¢	$34	0x21d27d…
05-19 14:35:45	GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Angela Fita Boluda	Yulia Starodubtseva	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x3b65dd…
05-19 14:33:16	GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Angela Fita Boluda	Angela Fita Boluda	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x76195f…
05-19 12:12:08	Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Harmony Tan vs Karman Thandi	Karman Thandi	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x5569b1…
05-19 11:42:26	Bengaluru 3: S D Prajwal Dev vs Ilya Ivashka	S D Prajwal Dev	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x7a380b…
05-19 11:33:36	Bengaluru 3: S D Prajwal Dev vs Ilya Ivashka	S D Prajwal Dev	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x756ad3…
05-18 22:31:40	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	SELL	120	69¢	$83	0x465cd6…
05-18 16:59:49	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	120	70¢	$84	0xda1e0d…
05-15 15:38:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?	No	SELL	124	98¢	$122	0x4a2669…
05-12 12:47:09	Ethereum Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x907b6e…
05-06 19:57:03	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0x5d0f3e…
04-30 10:02:06	Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	62	13¢	$8	0x2cbb46…
04-30 09:59:58	Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0x3b4c0b…
04-30 09:56:08	Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0x529854…
04-29 22:05:54	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xcff0eb…
04-23 15:44:12	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	90¢	$67	0xc0edc7…
04-23 15:43:52	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	90¢	$17	0x1686f5…
04-23 15:43:48	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xde8a66…
04-21 12:59:08	USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	33	49¢	$16	0xa0388a…
04-21 12:57:56	USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	17	49¢	$8	0x3763a8…
04-20 07:28:16	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 65 89	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x74a643…
04-19 20:57:56	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 65 89	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x30bfd4…
04-19 20:56:52	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 65 89	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x8809b2…
04-19 20:54:40	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 65 89	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x693f49…
04-19 20:53:34	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 65 89	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x8df754…
04-19 20:52:40	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 65 89	Yes	BUY	33	10¢	$3	0x3cac57…
04-19 18:05:58	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 40 64	No	BUY	12	27¢	$3	0xf5c9b1…
04-19 18:05:58	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 40 64	No	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0xa3e445…
04-19 18:03:16	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 65 89	Yes	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x2d360a…
04-17 19:13:00	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 40 64	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x8b100d…
04-17 16:42:46	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 40 64	No	SELL	100	77¢	$77	0x875209…
04-17 16:20:20	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 40 64	No	BUY	71	77¢	$55	0x7d6102…
04-17 16:19:32	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 40 64	No	BUY	22	77¢	$17	0x6d331b…
04-17 16:18:14	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 40 64	No	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0x24f3ef…
04-17 14:48:02	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 320 339	Yes	BUY	25	10¢	$3	0x621777…
04-17 14:46:32	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 320 339	Yes	BUY	25	10¢	$2	0x966ed0…
04-15 06:27:22	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 0 39	No	SELL	300	56¢	$167	0x3be5e3…
04-13 17:43:59	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 0 39	No	BUY	300	97¢	$292	0x432ae8…
04-12 12:37:17	elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 40 64	No	SELL	200	99¢	$199	0xa238ab…
04-11 16:53:11	elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 40 64	No	BUY	171	66¢	$113	0xb231b9…
04-11 16:52:43	elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 40 64	No	BUY	16	66¢	$11	0xa258ad…
04-11 16:52:27	elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 40 64	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x2be0d9…
04-11 16:51:47	elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 40 64	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xdbc9a1…
04-11 13:47:23	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 40 64	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0x27afed…
04-10 20:00:57	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 40 64	No	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0xd08fe0…
04-10 16:18:33	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 40 64	No	SELL	200	72¢	$144	0x6685b2…
04-10 14:54:13	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 90 114	No	SELL	97	93¢	$90	0xd0b5e1…
04-10 08:53:39	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 90 114	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xf44a80…
04-10 08:03:15	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 90 114	No	BUY	97	88¢	$85	0x702a77…
04-09 18:52:23	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 40 64	No	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0xc93e1b…
04-09 18:34:25	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 40 64	No	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0xdc9740…
04-09 09:47:21	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 200 219	No	SELL	200	96¢	$193	0x9ef2ae…
04-09 02:11:27	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 200 219	No	BUY	173	91¢	$158	0xdfb5ec…
04-09 02:10:59	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 200 219	No	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x707d71…
04-07 16:01:53	elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 40 64	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x509ed2…
04-06 11:40:05	elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 40 64	No	SELL	298	100¢	$298	0xe1328c…
04-06 08:59:43	elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 40 64	No	BUY	298	92¢	$274	0xcd5186…
04-05 16:31:07	elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 0 39	No	SELL	107	100¢	$106	0x8ddca2…
04-05 16:29:15	elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 0 39	No	BUY	163	97¢	$158	0x6aa8b0…
04-05 13:41:37	elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 0 39	No	BUY	107	97¢	$104	0x26672d…
04-03 21:27:33	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 65 89	No	SELL	270	98¢	$265	0x018e64…
04-03 19:22:47	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 65 89	No	BUY	260	92¢	$239	0x2243cd…
04-03 19:22:03	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 65 89	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x754a6e…
04-03 16:36:05	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	40	90¢	$36	0xd6b66e…
04-03 12:30:01	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x0baca2…
04-03 11:24:37	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x0af960…
04-03 05:47:59	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x9e984c…
04-03 02:03:07	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x0dcd61…
04-02 19:58:19	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	247	75¢	$185	0x668308…
04-01 12:06:07	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	140	75¢	$105	0x39e057…
04-01 11:50:41	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x4bef5b…
04-01 11:50:39	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xdee288…
04-01 11:50:39	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0x0c25a8…
04-01 11:48:07	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x4e38c3…
04-01 11:45:53	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0xf3f171…
04-01 10:26:51	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xc26422…
04-01 09:36:33	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x41c712…
04-01 09:26:31	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x533675…
04-01 09:18:27	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$3	0xadee11…
03-31 08:29:47	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	17	83¢	$14	0x5802cf…
03-30 12:26:24	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	55	82¢	$45	0x502e8f…
03-27 05:06:15	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	243	99¢	$241	0x2fec6b…
03-25 16:12:33	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	243	94¢	$228	0xfcd82d…
03-23 12:37:49	will backpack launch a token on march 23	Yes	SELL	230	100¢	$229	0x195f7d…
03-22 20:33:49	will backpack launch a token on march 23	Yes	BUY	18	91¢	$16	0xa2dc12…
03-22 20:31:45	will backpack launch a token on march 23	Yes	BUY	157	91¢	$143	0x56b044…
03-22 20:11:31	will backpack launch a token on march 23	Yes	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0x5b62da…
03-22 20:08:19	will backpack launch a token on march 23	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xb00dec…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	45	$125.1K	3,460	06-09 15:00
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	37	$13.6K	5,240	04-19 19:09
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	31	$59.2K	5,265	06-01 03:36
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	31	$33.5K	3,659	03-28 06:16
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	31	$8.87K	1,530	06-08 16:05
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	30	$3.44K	1,822	06-09 07:01
Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a	29	$39.3K	977	06-09 05:14
Vacant-Challenge 0x3078…0389	28	$7.29K	2,334	05-28 21:37