Unequaled-Outside — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$136

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.4%

Resolved

122

Trades

1,852

lifetime

Volume

$5.60K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 05-16 14:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 48% +$136

Politics

2% — —

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 813 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	27	$190	136	136	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	19	$143	120	70	+50	Up	$-19	05-13 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	19	$132	83	83	+0	Down	+$16	05-13 11:59
btc updown 15m 1770624900	11	$124	146	63	+83	open	—	02-09 08:22
btc updown 15m 1770624000	17	$118	262	98	+164	open	—	02-09 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	18	$117	88	81	+7	Down	+$13	05-13 15:39
bitcoin up or down on february 7	39	$111	257	96	+161	open	—	02-07 14:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	11	$99	57	54	+3	Down	+$7	05-13 15:13
bitcoin up or down february 8 1am et	15	$90	199	128	+70	open	—	02-08 06:56
btc updown 15m 1770623100	16	$89	78	77	+1	open	—	02-09 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	23	$74	55	54	+0	Up	+$24	05-13 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	12	$73	62	62	+0	Down	+$43	05-13 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	12	$71	144	44	+100	Up	+$9	05-13 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	16	$71	43	43	+0	open	—	05-14 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	8	$67	36	36	+0	Up	+$5	05-13 12:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	7	$66	41	41	+0	open	—	05-14 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	9	$64	43	43	+0	open	—	05-14 11:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	7	$64	36	36	+0	Down	+$4	05-13 11:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	20	$63	49	49	+0	Down	+$5	05-13 06:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	18	$62	51	51	+0	Up	+$8	05-13 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	11	$60	52	41	+11	open	—	05-14 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	27	$60	58	58	+0	Down	+$8	05-12 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	12	$59	43	43	+0	Down	+$27	05-13 07:19
bitcoin above 92k on january 13	17	$56	79	35	+45	open	—	01-13 14:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	17	$55	32	32	+0	Up	+$7	05-13 07:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	13	$54	51	40	+11	Up	$-5	05-13 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	21	$52	62	45	+16	Up	+$33	05-13 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	8	$50	46	46	+0	Down	+$14	05-13 16:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	17	$47	61	54	+7	Down	+$7	05-13 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	14	$47	30	30	+0	open	—	05-14 11:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 14:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x47399c…
05-16 14:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xc66bec…
05-16 14:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x02c000…
05-16 14:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xfca074…
05-16 14:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x3e863d…
05-16 14:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x1b8c6f…
05-16 14:28:45	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x44f793…
05-16 14:25:27	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x4e875f…
05-16 14:24:31	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x5f0b1d…
05-16 14:21:42	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x5943b2…
05-16 14:21:07	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x39fda0…
05-15 17:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xdb6fc2…
05-15 17:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xbc7e27…
05-15 17:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x8debc2…
05-15 17:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xbbde1b…
05-15 17:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xf54fa2…
05-15 17:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd8d1d8…
05-15 17:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x7f3713…
05-15 17:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x8bae3d…
05-15 17:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x682ddd…
05-15 17:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc50aed…
05-15 17:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc388ef…
05-15 17:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x35aa64…
05-15 17:18:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x14552b…
05-15 17:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x37e5dc…
05-15 17:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x4381bb…
05-15 17:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2677f7…
05-15 17:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	66¢	$4	0x1ab323…
05-15 17:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x141be7…
05-15 17:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xe65667…
05-15 17:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x9a2603…
05-15 17:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xd4553f…
05-15 17:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x684351…
05-15 17:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x213d41…
05-15 17:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x0c613a…
05-15 17:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0x77581f…
05-15 17:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x14f81f…
05-15 17:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0x241dbd…
05-15 17:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xaf54f6…
05-15 17:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x1044c1…
05-15 17:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xb53f2a…
05-15 17:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xd3c71c…
05-15 16:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x987d9a…
05-15 16:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	53¢	$2	0x6c62c4…
05-15 16:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x8b575f…
05-15 16:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x6915a3…
05-15 16:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x64de8b…
05-15 16:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x366adf…
05-15 16:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0x9661f2…
05-15 16:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xe8872c…
05-15 16:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x716761…
05-15 16:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x018960…
05-15 16:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x5f408c…
05-15 16:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0xd1a7a9…
05-15 16:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xfa28c7…
05-15 16:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x5012a3…
05-15 16:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x709401…
05-15 16:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0x08d4f0…
05-15 16:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xba65c9…
05-15 15:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xd5d331…
05-15 15:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x053a0d…
05-15 15:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x796310…
05-15 15:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x5af60d…
05-15 15:48:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xd2ba87…
05-15 07:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf80ad8…
05-15 07:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xec26bb…
05-15 07:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x70f8b2…
05-15 07:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x72656e…
05-15 07:11:33	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	SELL	7	22¢	$1	0x277e2e…
05-15 06:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc98f56…
05-15 06:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1a8c69…
05-15 06:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x846095…
05-15 06:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x5f3b10…
05-15 06:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x8fefe3…
05-15 06:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb3e78f…
05-15 06:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xd3cf4e…
05-15 06:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xce219a…
05-15 06:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xe3b069…
05-15 06:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xfd62c9…
05-15 06:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x4a3cca…
05-15 06:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xb63857…
05-15 06:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb7083b…
05-15 06:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x50026d…
05-15 06:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	12	81¢	$10	0x602093…
05-15 06:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xb0c219…
05-15 06:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xa0f1df…
05-15 06:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x0e13d2…
05-15 06:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x7343c0…
05-15 06:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x6848b2…
05-15 06:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xfa0814…
05-15 05:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x1a37f2…
05-15 05:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x015e40…
05-15 05:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x4e79c2…
05-15 05:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x847615…
05-15 05:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x2ada09…
05-15 05:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4ac167…
05-15 05:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd69173…
05-15 05:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xb15497…
05-15 05:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xc074d4…
05-15 05:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5ed7fe…