Pale-Destiny — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$30

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.1%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

224 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$158

$5.95K lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 10-27 00:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 47% -$239

Other

8% 32% +$28

Sports

2% 57% -$4

Tech

0% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	3	$473	686	256	+430	Up	+$33	05-04 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$380	283	283	+0	Up	+$180	05-04 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$248	170	170	+0	Up	+$88	05-04 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	4	$185	599	412	+187	Up	-$15	05-04 21:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$174	125	125	+0	Down	+$74	05-04 22:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$169	100	100	+0	Up	+$29	05-04 16:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$165	116	116	+0	Down	+$65	05-04 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	3	$156	253	103	+150	Up	+$50	05-04 16:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$154	106	106	+0	Down	+$54	05-04 22:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$153	104	104	+0	Up	+$53	05-04 23:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	2	$144	125	125	+0	Up	+$104	05-04 12:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	1	$140	206	0	+206	Down	-$140	05-05 17:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 00:05 UTC	2	$132	71	71	+0	Down	+$7	06-04 00:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	4	$108	86	86	+0	Up	+$38	05-30 20:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$108	100	100	+0	Up	+$90	05-31 13:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$100	282	0	+282	Down	-$100	05-04 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	1	$100	232	0	+232	Down	-$100	05-04 22:36
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	2	$97	59	59	+0	Yes	+$18	10-20 20:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$95	65	65	+0	Up	+$35	05-31 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$76	62	62	+0	Up	+$46	05-04 09:50
another us government shutdown by february 14	2	$74	65	65	+0	No	+$34	02-13 20:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$62	65	65	+0	Down	-$18	06-02 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	5	$61	103	36	+67	Up	+$7	10-21 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$60	115	0	+115	Down	-$60	05-04 22:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$60	130	0	+130	Down	-$60	05-04 16:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$60	1,274	0	+1,274	Down	-$60	05-04 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$60	80	0	+80	Up	+$20	06-02 14:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 04:10 UTC	3	$54	74	24	+50	Down	-$6	07-12 04:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$50	152	0	+152	Up	-$50	05-04 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$50	100	0	+100	Down	-$50	06-02 15:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 00:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xb2c33b…
10-27 00:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x8df432…
10-27 00:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x375034…
10-26 23:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x375b1b…
10-26 23:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x7c4595…
10-26 23:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xc06f37…
10-26 23:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x748453…
10-26 23:37:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xf23b0d…
10-26 23:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	17	54¢	$9	0xc24e91…
10-26 23:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xd38259…
10-26 23:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	14	75¢	$11	0x0a25c9…
10-26 23:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0x5868ec…
10-26 23:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xcecaa7…
10-26 23:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x83446f…
10-26 23:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0x28c211…
10-26 23:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4d7c45…
10-26 23:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xb43ba1…
10-26 23:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	22	98¢	$21	0xfd9ef5…
10-26 23:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	22	74¢	$16	0x846bf9…
10-26 22:49:15	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x6b7036…
10-26 22:44:38	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xa4280e…
10-21 22:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x622fc2…
10-21 22:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	15	96¢	$15	0x71eb99…
10-21 22:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xd32f74…
10-21 22:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x3f42d3…
10-21 22:34:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x36af1d…
10-21 22:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x7a6dce…
10-21 22:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xddbef8…
10-21 22:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x2d572a…
10-21 22:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x03f655…
10-21 22:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xd458fa…
10-21 22:27:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x6e8287…
10-21 21:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	16	89¢	$14	0x2e0262…
10-21 21:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x62b53a…
10-21 21:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xf3269c…
10-21 21:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x17e2ed…
10-21 21:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x8fd797…
10-21 21:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	19	70¢	$13	0xfbf4f3…
10-21 21:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xcd12b6…
10-20 20:51:41	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 4 - 3 FC Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x124516…
10-20 20:50:57	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	59	97¢	$58	0x580ce2…
10-20 20:35:39	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	59	67¢	$40	0x03d28e…
10-20 20:35:17	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x03e848…
07-19 21:10:30	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	59	25¢	$15	0x51b45b…
07-19 19:11:49	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	231	4¢	$10	0xa9ca4f…
07-16 23:14:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 23:10 UTC	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xb97cde…
07-16 23:13:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 23:10 UTC	Down	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x0470f1…
07-16 23:06:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 23:05 UTC	Down	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0x7af6bd…
07-16 23:06:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 23:00 UTC	Down	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x829691…
07-16 23:01:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x419144…
07-16 22:59:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 22:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xb292d0…
07-16 22:55:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 22:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x09f106…
07-16 22:55:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 22:50 UTC	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x7a5b87…
07-16 22:53:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 22:50 UTC	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x99f284…
07-16 22:50:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 22:45 UTC	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x0454bc…
07-16 22:48:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xccbc3f…
07-15 19:15:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 19:10 UTC	Up	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xa76fc8…
07-15 19:11:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 19:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x3463b6…
07-15 19:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x593903…
07-15 19:05:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 19:05 UTC	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xfcdd9f…
07-15 18:50:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 18:50 UTC	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xa3a728…
07-15 18:44:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 18:40 UTC	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xc2e99c…
07-15 18:42:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 18:40 UTC	Down	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x3756ae…
07-12 19:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb47faa…
07-12 19:39:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 19:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xee7a77…
07-12 19:34:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 19:30 UTC	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$3	0x61463b…
07-12 19:32:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x0f3c77…
07-12 19:30:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 19:25 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x2936af…
07-12 19:29:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 19:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x611d2b…
07-12 10:16:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x2b489e…
07-12 10:10:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 10:05 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x00c60f…
07-12 10:07:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x916d34…
07-12 10:05:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 10:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x503e93…
07-12 10:04:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x4f99d3…
07-12 10:01:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 09:55 UTC	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd35418…
07-12 09:58:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x56a017…
07-12 09:53:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xade6ec…
07-12 04:48:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x4fd19f…
07-12 04:34:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe6adcb…
07-12 04:15:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0xc7f840…
07-12 04:15:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 04:10 UTC	Down	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x70dc99…
07-12 04:14:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 04:10 UTC	Down	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xb33e6f…
07-12 04:13:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 04:10 UTC	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x97ac3e…
07-12 04:08:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 04:05 UTC	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x5fcefe…
07-12 04:07:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 04:05 UTC	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xc5936c…
07-12 04:05:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x111dbb…
07-12 03:40:14	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0xb32d07…
07-12 01:42:53	ufc cor mar 2026 07 11	Mario Bautista	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0x563d9e…
07-11 23:51:13	ufc rob1 nik2 2026 07 11	Robert Whittaker	BUY	22	53¢	$12	0x057848…
07-11 23:50:50	ufc pad ben8 2026 07 11	Paddy Pimblett	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x87f77a…
07-11 23:49:59	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	107	28¢	$30	0x21157b…
06-04 00:25:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	27	36¢	$10	0xbf30c9…
06-04 00:24:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xaecd6c…
06-04 00:23:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x93101e…
06-04 00:22:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x5917a3…
06-04 00:17:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xb915c8…
06-04 00:16:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x8b826e…
06-04 00:14:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 00:10 UTC	Up	BUY	19	55¢	$10	0x97df75…
06-04 00:14:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 00:10 UTC	Up	BUY	19	55¢	$10	0x3b1f45…
06-04 00:13:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 00:10 UTC	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x8689b5…