Active-Origin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.2%

Resolved

445

Trades

828

lifetime

Volume

$11.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-05

last 10-19 19:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 122 days

Categories

Other

76% 78% +$2

Crypto

19% 83% +$1

Politics

2% 73% +$0

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Tech

1% 50% $0

Pop-Culture

1% 75% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 55°F or below on May 27?	5	$97	49	49	+0	No	+$0	05-27 17:58
bitcoin above 68k on july 20 2026	3	$96	48	48	+0	No	+$0	07-20 10:34
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on July 29?	3	$82	41	41	+0	No	+$0	07-29 11:30
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 23?	6	$76	38	38	+0	No	$0	07-23 10:51
bitcoin above 60k on july 27 2026	2	$70	35	35	+0	Yes	$0	07-26 21:56
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on July 25?	4	$68	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-25 12:27
sinaloa govpt ruben rocha extradited to us by july 31 20260626164958846	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-30 02:48
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 91°F or below on July 28?	2	$67	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-28 06:42
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	3	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-21 04:49
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $2.00 and $3.00 on July 31, 2026?	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-31 02:29
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 43°C on July 21?	4	$65	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-21 04:53
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on July 21?	3	$64	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-21 11:53
will wti dip to 55 by july 20 2026	3	$64	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-23 18:33
bitcoin above 60k on july 25 2026	2	$63	32	32	+0	Yes	$0	07-25 03:00
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on July 19?	2	$63	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-19 01:09
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on July 26?	4	$63	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-26 10:43
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C or below on July 25?	4	$62	31	31	+0	No	$0	07-24 05:38
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on August 8?	2	$60	61	0	+61	No	+$0	08-07 15:35
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C on May 13?	4	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-13 08:04
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 20?	4	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-20 01:15
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 25?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-24 09:06
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 22?	4	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-21 12:45
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C or below on July 25?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-24 17:55
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C or higher on July 24?	3	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-23 21:32
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on July 18?	4	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-17 23:15
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 31?	4	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-30 12:04
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-19 01:10
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 23?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-23 02:34
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C or higher on July 19?	2	$53	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-19 13:53
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 93°F or below on July 23?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	$0	07-22 22:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 19:14:24	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C or higher on October 20?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x3d5de8…
10-18 18:33:35	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 12-18?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x214007…
10-16 10:28:24	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on October 16?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xeea8f5…
10-13 12:22:17	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x7304a9…
10-13 09:59:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xe2de0f…
10-12 07:52:33	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C or higher on October 12?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x847659…
10-12 07:50:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 12?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x72a033…
10-12 07:40:49	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C or higher on October 12?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xac2a71…
10-12 04:12:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xc8c038…
10-12 01:48:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 5-11?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x84f48c…
10-11 22:24:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xbfad79…
10-10 09:25:52	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C or higher on October 10?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x4cb348…
10-07 19:06:54	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or higher on October 8?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x93228e…
10-05 10:08:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 5?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xee4517…
10-02 01:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C on October 2?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x38a232…
10-01 23:03:20	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on October 2?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x884bf6…
10-01 05:01:20	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on October 1?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x5a901a…
09-28 02:28:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 28?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xaa945c…
09-27 20:42:05	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C or higher on September 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5e49cb…
09-23 17:35:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on September 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8c7adb…
09-23 15:39:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 24?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x54305b…
09-23 03:45:01	Will the price of Solana be above $105 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8a3970…
09-23 01:46:01	Will the price of Solana be above $105 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5006c2…
09-22 22:34:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x020ba1…
09-22 00:14:00	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C or below on September 23?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x8b2aaa…
09-18 21:01:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on September 18?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x143d5b…
09-17 23:53:28	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 18?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x492f21…
09-17 11:34:21	Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #1 song this week?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x34129c…
09-13 03:08:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on September 13?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x3b6032…
09-11 01:26:34	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 11?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xf3be90…
09-10 19:34:00	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on September 10?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc593d1…
09-07 13:47:48	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0xd40ce2…
09-06 12:38:25	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xe0e16f…
09-06 06:15:46	Will Grüne win less than 3% of all valid second votes?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xcc1401…
09-05 23:18:52	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C or below on September 6?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x6c9656…
09-05 07:13:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x643045…
09-05 01:18:48	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on September 5?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x14b66e…
09-04 21:09:06	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x492fbf…
09-04 13:53:06	bitcoin above 84k on september 4 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb7301d…
09-04 12:38:00	bitcoin above 86k on september 4 2026	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x8cd477…
09-04 02:34:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 4?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x57e8ba…
09-03 14:03:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 4?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0xf44664…
09-03 04:59:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x59489f…
09-03 02:29:13	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on September 3?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x1141ea…
09-02 15:19:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 3?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf25b51…
09-02 12:36:13	Will there be a 6.0+ earthquake in Peru by August 31?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x240879…
09-02 06:48:24	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 2?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$24	0x1638ba…
09-01 20:28:04	Will Julian Alvarez join Chelsea?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x1f78b2…
09-01 06:11:34	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x0ab581…
09-01 04:51:00	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on September 1?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x44d1ed…
08-31 05:03:12	Will Solana reach $140 in August?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xcd820f…
08-31 01:13:30	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x74b14c…
08-30 17:53:22	Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be 44 or more?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x75966f…
08-30 11:15:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 30?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x14da58…
08-30 06:02:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 30?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xf630de…
08-29 17:43:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 30?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x240a97…
08-29 14:23:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 29?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x75c0dc…
08-28 17:04:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C or higher on August 29?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0xbbb668…
08-28 09:22:28	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3779ce…
08-27 15:08:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xec5f5c…
08-27 05:25:24	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on August 27?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x8b414d…
08-26 21:33:22	will bitcoin reach 84k on august 26 2026	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x6efb25…
08-26 18:09:31	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on August 27?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb37d3a…
08-26 11:40:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 26?	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x75a757…
08-26 09:11:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xda33fd…
08-26 09:01:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on August 26?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x352c9e…
08-25 03:54:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 25?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x16dbdc…
08-24 21:39:00	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on August 25?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x7dcf48…
08-24 18:17:43	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 36°C or higher on August 25?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x78eb3f…
08-24 12:19:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xb4cd34…
08-24 02:09:03	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x22a68f…
08-23 18:57:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x6852b4…
08-14 19:03:48	will bitcoin reach 65k on august 14	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x5a76b2…
08-14 06:38:03	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on August 14?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x4546b7…
08-13 18:54:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	29	100¢	$28	0x051dfa…
08-13 17:13:24	ethereum above 2000 on august 14 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x019120…
08-13 09:20:33	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on August 14?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x19e9d5…
08-12 23:29:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C or higher on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1c0998…
08-12 22:35:19	bitcoin above 60k on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x210455…
08-12 08:52:42	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 38°C on August 13?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x9cb7ea…
08-12 04:36:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 42°C or higher on August 13?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$18	0x46349f…
08-11 23:23:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 12?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xa55aee…
08-11 14:42:55	bitcoin above 62k on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x195281…
08-11 14:30:45	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on August 11?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4328d2…
08-10 22:40:01	bitcoin above 68k on august 11 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd573c0…
08-10 20:08:07	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 11?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd2117e…
08-10 13:43:31	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on August 11?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x292daf…
08-10 11:08:07	will super troopers 3 score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260804175312532	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x3f4631…
08-09 11:37:51	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on August 10?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x690654…
08-09 10:08:18	will bitcoin reach 70k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xc0269f…
08-09 04:17:51	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C or below on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe7ca38…
08-09 01:54:19	bitcoin above 62k on august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4b2181…
08-08 18:34:55	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 90°F or higher on August 9?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4b3f0d…
08-08 16:57:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 9?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7dd3a1…
08-08 01:57:52	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on August 8?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$24	0xc1cdcd…
08-07 22:05:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C or higher on August 8?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x13e6f9…
08-07 15:35:57	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on August 8?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x0c61bb…
08-07 12:27:04	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on August 8?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xa5bdbe…
08-07 08:44:33	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C or below on August 7?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xfd39a8…
08-06 05:59:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 40°C on August 7?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x4a367f…