Crafty-Vanilla — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$727

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

14.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$12.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$358

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 05-15 07:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Sports

86% 33% +$1

Other

10% 100% +$728

Crypto

5% 96% -$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-15).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Chelsea be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	2	$5.3K	2,649	2,649	+0	No	+$0	03-18 06:48
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$5.2K	2,594	2,594	+0	No	-$3	03-09 11:08
aapl up or down on march 20 2026	1	$1.1K	1,820	0	+1,820	Down	+$728	03-20 10:39
BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 06:30 UTC	1	$33	34	0	+34	Down	+$0	04-13 06:43
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 06:15 UTC	1	$33	33	0	+33	Up	+$0	04-13 06:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 07:10 UTC	1	$31	38	0	+38	Down	+$7	03-31 07:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-16 08:15 UTC	1	$31	32	0	+32	Up	+$0	04-16 08:28
Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 7?	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	05-07 07:13
will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on april 23	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	04-23 07:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	05-15 07:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 07:15 UTC	1	$30	31	0	+31	Down	+$0	03-31 07:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?	1	$30	31	0	+31	No	+$0	05-09 06:46
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 190 214	1	$30	31	0	+31	No	+$0	04-21 06:29
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 30?	1	$30	31	0	+31	No	+$0	04-30 07:40
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 07:05 UTC	1	$30	31	0	+31	Up	+$0	04-08 07:08
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 08:35 UTC	1	$30	31	0	+31	Down	+$0	04-16 08:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	05-12 05:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on April 28?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-28 07:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 07:00 UTC	1	$30	31	0	+31	Down	+$1	04-08 07:03
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 07:00 UTC	1	$21	22	0	+22	Up	+$0	04-08 07:13
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 06:40 UTC	1	$13	15	0	+15	Up	-$13	04-13 06:42
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 08:40 UTC	1	$13	13	0	+13	Down	+$0	04-16 08:43
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 7?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	05-07 07:17
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 30?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	04-30 07:46
will solana reach 105 on april 23	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	04-23 08:01
will bitcoin reach 81k on april 21	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	04-21 06:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88,000 on May 10?	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	05-09 06:47
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 12?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-12 05:21
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-28 07:31
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 15?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-15 07:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 07:34:10	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x079d6a…
05-15 07:27:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x42eb44…
05-14 07:33:32	Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,125	0¢	$3	0x54b8f8…
05-12 05:21:12	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 12?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe73d0e…
05-12 05:16:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xed83d5…
05-09 06:47:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x35a610…
05-09 06:46:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$30	0x37a90d…
05-07 07:17:35	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 7?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xdd9643…
05-07 07:13:06	Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 7?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x44a0d1…
04-30 07:46:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 30?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x225e5a…
04-30 07:40:52	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 30?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0x70d3f2…
04-28 07:31:10	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe350a3…
04-28 07:28:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xc9acdc…
04-23 08:01:56	will solana reach 105 on april 23	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x36cfc0…
04-23 07:59:54	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on april 23	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x0b92c5…
04-21 06:32:06	will bitcoin reach 81k on april 21	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7f5468…
04-21 06:29:14	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 190 214	No	BUY	31	100¢	$30	0x27eaba…
04-16 08:43:14	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x7762f4…
04-16 08:39:48	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 08:35 UTC	Down	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0x5e6055…
04-16 08:28:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-16 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	32	99¢	$31	0x211d3c…
04-13 06:43:33	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	34	99¢	$33	0x8534c5…
04-13 06:42:41	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	15	92¢	$13	0x8481d5…
04-13 06:25:47	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x4ece7b…
04-08 07:13:07	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	22	98¢	$21	0x2c8bfa…
04-08 07:08:49	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0x4e8c96…
04-08 07:03:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x2237bb…
03-31 07:18:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0x5060bf…
03-31 07:12:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 07:10 UTC	Down	BUY	38	82¢	$31	0x92558a…
03-20 10:39:49	aapl up or down on march 20 2026	Down	BUY	1,820	60¢	$1,092	0x831f90…
03-18 06:48:09	Will Chelsea be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	SELL	2,649	100¢	$2,641	0xbef44f…
03-18 06:25:03	Will Chelsea be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	BUY	2,649	100¢	$2,641	0xc30663…
03-09 11:10:55	bitcoin above 62k on march 9	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6da66c…
03-09 11:08:35	Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	2,594	100¢	$2,581	0xd85d4c…
03-09 10:15:57	Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	2,594	100¢	$2,584	0xc991c0…