Idealistic-Bail — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$91

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.9%

Resolved

108

Trades

7,124

lifetime

Volume

$38.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-01

last 05-07 06:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 57% +$91

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 282 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1775876400	7	$88	155	+155	open	—	04-11 03:00
btc updown 15m 1776032100	5	$86	165	+165	open	—	04-12 22:14
btc updown 15m 1776642300	6	$86	155	+155	open	—	04-19 23:45
btc updown 15m 1776781800	5	$84	165	+165	open	—	04-21 14:27
btc updown 15m 1775287800	3	$83	155	+155	open	—	04-04 07:29
btc updown 15m 1775719800	3	$82	155	+155	open	—	04-09 07:29
btc updown 15m 1775910600	3	$82	155	+155	open	—	04-11 12:26
btc updown 15m 1775117700	9	$80	155	+155	open	—	04-02 08:14
btc updown 15m 1776381300	8	$80	155	+155	open	—	04-16 23:13
btc updown 15m 1775669400	7	$80	155	+155	open	—	04-08 17:28
btc updown 15m 1776967200	10	$80	155	+155	open	—	04-23 17:56
btc updown 15m 1776520800	12	$80	155	+155	open	—	04-18 13:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	6	$80	153	+153	open	—	04-25 13:14
btc updown 15m 1775992500	4	$79	155	+155	open	—	04-12 11:14
btc updown 15m 1777050000	5	$79	155	+155	open	—	04-24 17:14
btc updown 15m 1775655000	13	$79	155	+155	open	—	04-08 13:29
btc updown 15m 1776462300	7	$79	155	+155	open	—	04-17 21:40
btc updown 15m 1776916800	2	$79	155	+155	open	—	04-23 03:59
btc updown 15m 1776402000	5	$79	155	+155	open	—	04-17 04:59
btc updown 15m 1775953800	3	$79	155	+155	open	—	04-12 00:29
btc updown 15m 1776249000	8	$79	155	+155	open	—	04-15 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	6	$79	155	+155	open	—	04-26 04:14
btc updown 15m 1775244600	11	$79	155	+155	open	—	04-03 19:30
btc updown 15m 1776606300	4	$79	155	+155	open	—	04-19 13:45
btc updown 15m 1776851100	8	$78	155	+155	open	—	04-22 09:45
btc updown 15m 1776717000	9	$78	155	+155	open	—	04-20 20:30
btc updown 15m 1775752200	7	$78	155	+155	open	—	04-09 16:29
btc updown 15m 1775343600	6	$78	155	+155	open	—	04-04 22:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	8	$78	155	+155	open	—	04-27 14:55
btc updown 15m 1776709800	21	$78	155	+155	open	—	04-20 18:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 06:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x42c9a6…
05-07 06:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x10076d…
05-07 06:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x518497…
05-07 00:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xd2da05…
05-06 23:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x20bef8…
05-06 23:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x2f39f4…
05-06 23:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0xabb818…
05-06 23:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xfcdccf…
05-06 22:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x205013…
05-06 22:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x7707b0…
05-06 22:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x139d7b…
05-06 22:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	53¢	$0	0x85a9cd…
05-06 22:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xc1f8ea…
05-06 22:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xaebfef…
05-06 22:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9fb83b…
05-06 22:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0x654b65…
05-06 22:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0xeb68de…
05-06 22:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xa9a8b7…
05-06 22:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xad4c46…
05-06 22:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xdf41a7…
05-06 21:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xb8d6fd…
05-06 21:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7b0dbf…
05-06 21:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x99d78d…
05-06 21:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x6ff980…
05-06 21:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x826d35…
05-06 21:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8c80d6…
05-06 21:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4ee736…
05-06 21:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x559248…
05-06 20:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x0b075d…
05-06 20:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xda4a53…
05-06 20:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x47a3a0…
05-06 20:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x451ff2…
05-06 20:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xcc4d4e…
05-06 20:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xcf8266…
05-06 20:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xb5998f…
05-06 20:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x9181e6…
05-06 20:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$5	0xdaaf81…
05-06 20:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x78d4fe…
05-06 20:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xa90cf1…
05-06 20:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x70198b…
05-06 20:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x147628…
05-06 19:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4a6c77…
05-06 19:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x49c202…
05-06 19:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xf77165…
05-06 19:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x0cd6a9…
05-06 19:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc12d17…
05-06 19:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x830fbc…
05-06 19:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	75	47¢	$35	0x7c4d20…
05-06 19:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0x2864b6…
05-06 19:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xb558de…
05-06 19:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xb5fbae…
05-06 19:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xab3ed5…
05-06 19:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x219023…
05-06 19:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xef7ff4…
05-06 19:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa0fc8a…
05-06 19:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x95f9f6…
05-06 19:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xec9732…
05-06 19:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x497cae…
05-06 19:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x1d57fe…
05-06 19:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x0f1fb6…
05-06 19:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc65f9a…
05-06 19:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x2dbfbd…
05-06 19:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x207d9b…
05-06 19:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xe5de76…
05-06 19:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x40bb94…
05-06 19:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x3d59de…
05-06 19:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xc6073b…
05-06 19:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x88f364…
05-06 18:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa56a37…
05-06 18:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xf10755…
05-06 18:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xc6f321…
05-06 18:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x6cac52…
05-06 18:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xf89b3f…
05-06 18:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x8b0bd8…
05-06 18:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x5b9a7a…
05-06 18:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x46d349…
05-06 18:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x3f2dfd…
05-06 18:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0ecda5…
05-06 18:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0x167963…
05-06 18:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x036b02…
05-06 17:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x4036da…
05-06 17:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xa54ed6…
05-06 17:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0xc14084…
05-06 17:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x0adb9d…
05-06 17:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0xbd6f24…
05-06 17:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xfe8f75…
05-06 17:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xeac745…
05-06 17:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x7d610e…
05-06 17:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xfba026…
05-06 17:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x3a2152…
05-06 17:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x6036d3…
05-06 16:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x999124…
05-06 16:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0x6cbaa2…
05-06 16:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x63b00d…
05-06 16:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x5db75e…
05-06 16:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xb94657…
05-06 16:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x585445…
05-06 16:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x6fa09c…
05-06 16:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x396d6a…
05-06 16:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xb5556f…