Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22.8K

Unrealized P&L

+$16

Hit rate

22.5%

Resolved

131

Trades

3,049

lifetime

Volume

$48.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

$1.33K

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-27 20:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Politics

55% 1% -$11,420

Other

45% 2% -$11,374

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	+10,420	$1,084	8¢	$781	-$303	10-27 20:24
2026 Balance of Power: Other	Yes	+474,747	$556	0¢	$475	-$81	10-27 20:22
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	+3,164	$101	2¢	$73	-$28	10-24 07:37
France declares state of siege (martial law) by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+2,370	$27	0¢	$4	-$23	10-22 05:22
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	+47	$2	4¢	$2	+$0	09-18 06:35
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	+0	-$452	1¢	$0	+$452	10-12 07:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	93	$7.6K	485,028	485,028	+0	open	—	10-12 07:18
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	142	$7.0K	114,832	0	+114,832	No	-$7,024	01-31 14:20
si hit 110 high jan 2026 293 432 128	20	$4.9K	5,838	5,104	+734	Yes	+$4,189	01-26 08:19
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	8	$3.7K	28,017	17,597	+10,420	open	—	10-27 20:24
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	18	$3.2K	21,661	8,889	+12,772	No	+$189	01-31 15:41
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	83	$2.4K	19,185	0	+19,185	No	-$2,382	03-23 05:27
si hit 150 high jan 2026	66	$2.3K	75,675	0	+75,675	No	-$2,332	01-27 06:20
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	17	$1.3K	7,506	0	+7,506	Yes	-$1,349	10-22 02:15
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	8	$925	6,328	0	+6,328	No	-$925	01-31 18:12
2026 Balance of Power: Other	11	$863	628,308	153,561	+474,747	open	—	10-27 20:22
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	126	$833	200,300	1,918	+198,382	No	-$738	02-25 03:26
us strikes iran by january 11 2026 946	51	$773	24,180	0	+24,180	No	-$773	01-11 23:36
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	40	$658	11,423	0	+11,423	No	-$658	03-17 02:22
israel strikes iran by january 9 2026	7	$647	15,238	0	+15,238	No	-$647	01-08 08:25
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	7	$538	33,021	0	+33,021	No	-$538	01-26 17:36
will the us next strike iran on january 24 2026 et 848	76	$515	8,866	0	+8,866	No	-$515	01-24 19:56
us strikes iran by january 27 2026 458 884 547 617 932	17	$470	37,637	0	+37,637	No	-$470	01-27 12:12
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	28	$416	7,961	0	+7,961	No	-$416	02-11 18:07
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	34	$415	47,603	0	+47,603	No	-$415	02-06 23:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	95	$396	12,848	0	+12,848	No	-$396	04-10 19:40
will silver si hit high 180 by end of february 127 147	5	$369	181,888	0	+181,888	No	-$369	02-22 19:47
will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	97	$318	57,634	0	+57,634	No	-$318	01-31 21:08
us strikes iran by february 7 2026	6	$311	19,582	0	+19,582	No	-$311	02-07 01:43
odds trump acquires greenland before 2027 hit 30 by march 31 645	3	$292	2,662	2,662	+0	No	-$80	02-05 11:34
will silver si hit high 120 by end of february 431 947 594 173 652 316	45	$287	17,024	0	+17,024	No	-$287	02-25 10:23
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	14	$275	2,830	2,830	+0	open	—	10-24 15:27
will the us next strike iran on january 25 2026 et 395	81	$270	7,100	0	+7,100	No	-$270	01-25 19:57
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	7	$245	14,732	1,100	+13,632	Yes	-$108	10-25 18:39
odds trump acquires greenland before 2027 hit 50 by march 31 794	3	$242	4,093	4,743	-650	No	-$17	02-01 05:16
us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	1	$222	1,306	0	+1,306	No	-$222	01-11 23:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 01:46:44	Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by December 31?	Yes	BUY	165	2¢	$4	0xfeba0b…
10-27 20:24:00	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	1,080	8¢	$86	0x84a5e4…
10-27 20:22:17	2026 Balance of Power: Other	Yes	BUY	407,875	0¢	$408	0xf9b612…
10-26 21:05:48	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	9,340	8¢	$747	0x0e8526…
10-25 18:39:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	12,000	0¢	$24	0xc78bac…
10-25 16:08:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	690	0¢	$3	0x163df3…
10-25 16:06:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	942	0¢	$4	0xa736aa…
10-24 15:27:09	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	426	4¢	$15	0xdd5ebf…
10-24 14:43:41	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	426	4¢	$16	0x927abc…
10-24 07:37:48	Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	103	2¢	$3	0xc7063b…
10-24 05:44:33	Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	457	2¢	$11	0x4e683c…
10-24 04:57:00	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	284	5¢	$14	0x6bd06f…
10-24 04:53:11	2026 Balance of Power: Other	Yes	BUY	15,685	0¢	$16	0x5516e2…
10-24 04:48:45	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	220	5¢	$11	0xd22e04…
10-24 02:59:39	Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	528	3¢	$17	0x1027f8…
10-23 22:18:59	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	452	5¢	$22	0x62e476…
10-23 22:17:45	Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,244	2¢	$31	0x7314fb…
10-23 22:17:00	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	602	5¢	$31	0xf65cfd…
10-23 10:28:42	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	5¢	$2	0x7e0f99…
10-23 05:39:08	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xb26f2b…
10-23 05:20:44	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x045373…
10-22 05:22:15	France declares state of siege (martial law) by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	896	1¢	$11	0x081600…
10-22 05:20:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	275	5¢	$15	0x3a8537…
10-22 04:43:35	Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by December 31?	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$2	0x0ceb3b…
10-22 04:42:24	Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by November 30?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0x4606fd…
10-22 04:38:45	France declares state of siege (martial law) by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,475	1¢	$16	0xeac25d…
10-22 04:29:17	Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	156	5¢	$7	0x469ec6…
10-22 03:11:11	Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	147	5¢	$7	0xd520f9…
10-22 02:35:56	Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	529	5¢	$25	0xca8794…
10-22 02:24:36	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,269	5¢	$109	0x5d7fc3…
10-22 02:21:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	825	7¢	$54	0x38f088…
10-22 02:15:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	250	14¢	$35	0xaddff7…
10-22 01:37:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	13	14¢	$2	0xbaa37d…
10-22 01:15:53	2026 Balance of Power: Other	Yes	SELL	153,561	0¢	$154	0xec49f8…
10-22 00:43:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	145	15¢	$22	0x5302fb…
10-22 00:42:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	80	15¢	$12	0xf5d7b6…
10-22 00:41:50	Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	776	3¢	$27	0xbd36b9…
10-22 00:32:53	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0x5593ea…
10-22 00:32:02	Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	147	5¢	$7	0xf0c225…
10-22 00:31:17	Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	14,747	0¢	$15	0x24791d…
10-22 00:29:12	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	421	5¢	$19	0x79f2b6…
10-21 23:40:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	880	18¢	$158	0x4195e4…
10-21 23:27:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	2,392	19¢	$452	0x5d47b1…
10-21 23:26:11	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	8,597	7¢	$602	0x4d19b4…
10-21 23:18:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	108	13¢	$14	0xddc393…
10-21 23:17:59	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	992	13¢	$131	0x20e535…
10-21 23:14:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	3,000	19¢	$566	0xe9f60d…
10-21 23:11:59	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	9,000	8¢	$720	0x60b138…
10-21 21:09:03	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x9de43e…
10-21 10:02:39	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	1,123	8¢	$90	0xa6135e…
10-20 08:24:31	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in October?	Yes	BUY	942	1¢	$10	0xfadf99…
10-20 00:04:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	16	11¢	$2	0xa27cfc…
10-19 23:57:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0xe1c53b…
10-19 22:47:59	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0xca7bfe…
10-19 22:24:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0xff1178…
10-19 22:23:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0x26554e…
10-19 21:56:31	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	14	11¢	$2	0xd66063…
10-19 21:32:30	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	308	8¢	$26	0xb49d9d…
10-19 21:24:10	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xc49352…
10-19 21:22:16	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x20a168…
10-19 21:21:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	296	11¢	$33	0xcbb03f…
10-19 19:18:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	191	15¢	$29	0x94794f…
10-19 18:46:21	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	1,123	9¢	$101	0x693904…
10-19 18:41:33	Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	147	6¢	$9	0x4fa724…
10-19 18:36:38	Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	273	4¢	$10	0x22d2bc…
10-19 18:34:27	Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$20	0xae7b39…
10-17 05:11:19	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $74 in October?	Yes	BUY	133	1¢	$2	0x140ced…
10-17 04:43:38	2026 Balance of Power: Other	Yes	BUY	9,798	0¢	$20	0x8c64a0…
10-15 16:31:19	2026 Balance of Power: Other	Yes	BUY	1,350	0¢	$1	0x3e3f8f…
10-15 16:08:22	2026 Balance of Power: Other	Yes	BUY	46,125	0¢	$46	0xccae12…
10-15 15:55:07	2026 Balance of Power: Other	Yes	BUY	9,658	0¢	$10	0x4d5bb2…
10-15 14:52:50	2026 Balance of Power: Other	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x6ad411…
10-15 14:48:52	2026 Balance of Power: Other	Yes	BUY	66,323	0¢	$66	0x1a3d7a…
10-12 14:48:44	2026 Balance of Power: Other	Yes	BUY	20,346	0¢	$41	0x93a947…
10-12 07:18:40	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	226	1¢	$2	0xec6478…
10-12 07:02:05	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	278	1¢	$3	0xb11aad…
10-12 06:51:02	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	470	1¢	$4	0xffc750…
10-12 06:39:45	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	349	1¢	$3	0x8684ac…
10-12 06:38:18	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	44,444	1¢	$400	0x4a1bce…
10-12 06:25:38	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	460	1¢	$4	0xb92881…
10-12 06:22:57	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	212	1¢	$2	0xcc1954…
10-12 06:17:36	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	448	1¢	$4	0x1564af…
10-12 06:12:59	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	212	1¢	$2	0xc12ae4…
10-12 06:08:38	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	255	1¢	$2	0x1c13a8…
10-12 06:05:41	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	212	1¢	$2	0xf0ad53…
10-12 06:00:21	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	351	1¢	$3	0x56b796…
10-12 05:57:17	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	212	1¢	$2	0x235be7…
10-12 05:47:15	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	274	1¢	$2	0x0c0c7c…
10-12 05:44:06	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	212	1¢	$2	0xbf8e48…
10-12 05:34:02	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	289	1¢	$3	0x493324…
10-12 05:30:29	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	212	1¢	$2	0x17b2ff…
10-12 04:54:29	Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	4,747	0¢	$24	0x273bb3…
10-12 04:50:17	Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	92	3¢	$3	0x4f4f19…
10-12 04:49:53	Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	411	3¢	$13	0x597cac…
10-12 03:38:15	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	113	1¢	$1	0x65cc54…
10-12 02:35:35	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	14,747	9¢	$1,327	0x51dc0f…
10-12 02:27:15	2026 Balance of Power: Other	Yes	BUY	51,129	0¢	$102	0x169bcc…
10-12 01:33:18	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	312	1¢	$3	0xb086d7…
10-12 01:32:39	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	850	1¢	$8	0x82817c…
10-12 01:32:39	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	347,475	1¢	$2,780	0x61323b…