Pleasant-Inbox — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

92.1%

Resolved

Trades

598

lifetime

Volume

$2.50K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-26

last 07-06 10:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

53% 100% +$0

Politics

27% 100% +$1

Sports

13% 0% $-1

Crypto

6% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No		+5	$2	50¢	$2	+$0	06-20 02:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	50	$191	923	923	+0	open	—	02-28 21:42
cs2 pain g2 2026 03 04	8	$141	137	137	+0	open	—	03-04 20:00
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	9	$112	77	77	+0	open	—	03-21 12:03
iran strike on israel by february 28	10	$100	64	64	+0	open	—	02-28 20:24
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	6	$90	64	64	+0	open	—	03-23 14:49
nba den uta 2026 03 02	15	$90	62	62	+0	open	—	03-03 04:36
cs2 prv pain 2026 03 02	4	$61	39	30	+9	open	—	03-02 18:05
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	5	$58	58	58	+0	open	—	03-04 14:30
lol jdg blg 2026 03 04	9	$55	41	41	+0	open	—	03-04 13:31
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	6	$53	32	32	+0	open	—	03-04 02:21
cs2 pssnua fut 2026 03 02 game2	6	$47	59	59	+0	open	—	03-02 18:22
lol g2 fox1 2026 03 20	3	$41	36	36	+0	open	—	03-20 14:36
nba hou was 2026 03 02 total 221pt5	4	$37	26	13	+13	open	—	03-03 02:41
deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	2	$37	34	34	+0	open	—	03-04 09:40
cs2 hero mnte 2026 03 03 game2	4	$37	25	25	+0	open	—	03-03 13:10
pakistan military action against afghanistan by march 31	4	$36	29	29	+0	open	—	03-25 00:16
cs2 ast10 3dmax 2026 03 04	6	$35	59	36	+23	open	—	03-04 13:27
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	2	$33	25	25	+0	open	—	03-04 07:58
nba den uta 2026 03 02 total 241pt5	3	$32	38	0	+38	open	—	03-03 03:32
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	6	$31	67	67	+0	open	—	03-23 14:49
lol al ig1 2026 03 03	3	$30	16	16	+0	open	—	03-03 11:34
lal rea get 2026 03 02 rea	4	$28	38	38	+0	open	—	03-02 21:58
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	2	$26	17	17	+0	open	—	02-27 13:40
crint zaf nzl 2026 03 04	2	$25	13	13	+0	open	—	03-04 15:51
will russia enter ternuvate again by february 28	6	$23	18	18	+0	open	—	02-27 03:28
epl ast che 2026 03 04 btts	2	$23	17	17	+0	open	—	03-04 19:46
epl mac not 2026 03 04 spread home 1pt5	2	$23	23	23	+0	open	—	03-04 20:02
crint zwe zaf 2026 03 01	3	$22	16	8	+8	open	—	03-01 12:24
nba bos mil 2026 03 02	5	$21	15	8	+8	open	—	03-03 02:41
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	03-26 08:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 10:35:14	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 24 2026	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x7a66b1…
07-02 12:57:56	gpt 5pt6 released by july 15 2026 272	Yes	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xfa7103…
06-30 02:31:56	will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x2de3ca…
06-28 21:56:25	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0x57a4d7…
06-26 04:28:17	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x8ee557…
06-26 04:12:58	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0x58b28b…
06-26 04:12:23	gpt 5pt6 released by july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xae394b…
06-20 02:41:32	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xbfd2df…
06-18 06:36:43	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8c0a87…
06-15 12:44:22	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xede16d…
06-08 14:33:10	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0x997429…
06-08 06:19:19	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xed0a5c…
06-05 13:43:18	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x18172c…
06-05 13:30:03	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x0ffa56…
06-03 14:51:54	Knicks vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x343aff…
05-31 10:29:47	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x52b8ba…
05-26 12:16:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xa69060…
05-24 00:56:29	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0xfa1e5b…
05-19 04:52:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x2a947e…
05-18 16:08:02	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5	Under	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc217a5…
05-18 16:07:41	Spread: Thunder (-6.5)	Spurs	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9fe9f1…
05-13 11:45:24	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xa250dd…
05-12 10:30:13	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x059fe0…
05-10 06:16:02	Will Russia enter Khatnie by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0xdc6bd7…
05-10 06:14:43	Will Russia enter Khatnie by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xeadb47…
05-06 00:06:06	Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	Lakers	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc0636d…
05-01 16:42:14	Spread: Rockets (-4.5)	Lakers	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x3dd4c0…
05-01 16:41:48	Pistons vs. Magic	Pistons	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xe20f42…
04-27 08:03:10	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	Yes	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0x40bdaf…
04-26 02:15:30	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?	Yes	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0x3ca9fe…
04-25 12:49:02	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0xa477e5…
04-25 06:07:06	Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xb298c9…
04-25 06:05:58	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xec556c…
04-24 13:03:04	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x8c2d3e…
04-24 13:02:38	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xfd9c8b…
04-24 02:19:58	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?	Yes	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0xda8af0…
04-21 11:25:02	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0x890a80…
04-21 11:24:06	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xd944d3…
04-21 11:18:42	Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x814e2b…
04-18 09:33:12	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?	Yes	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0xaa6635…
04-16 15:56:26	Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	96¢	$7	0x778694…
04-16 13:35:36	Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x2f10ef…
04-15 15:52:12	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xd0b037…
04-15 15:50:32	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x8e7990…
04-15 15:37:24	Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x2c496c…
04-15 11:51:36	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x07400d…
04-15 11:49:02	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x05f1ea…
04-13 12:36:57	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x14f793…
04-09 00:00:07	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x591aa9…
04-08 23:57:33	will the indian national congress inc win the most seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	Yes	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0xc3e789…
04-07 07:34:07	Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xb67e03…
04-06 21:51:13	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?	Yes	BUY	23	10¢	$2	0xc92e8c…
04-06 21:08:37	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?	Yes	BUY	27	10¢	$3	0xc2f554…
04-06 02:11:11	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x283fdd…
04-06 02:10:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x90cad7…
04-06 02:08:17	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	Yes	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x05e8b5…
04-06 02:07:47	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x67373f…
03-30 00:42:58	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0xeb6153…
03-30 00:20:44	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	25	12¢	$3	0x28a09d…
03-29 15:57:30	nba bos cha 2026 03 29	Hornets	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb34006…
03-29 15:57:16	nba orl tor 2026 03 29	Magic	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xbccc95…
03-29 15:55:44	will benot payan win the marseille mayor election	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3a9682…
03-29 15:55:20	will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of march	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf829ce…
03-29 12:50:52	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xd5f373…
03-29 12:13:20	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	34	12¢	$4	0x39946e…
03-29 07:32:56	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xad9458…
03-26 16:11:27	nba nop det 2026 03 26 spread home 5pt5	Pelicans	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xd478a0…
03-26 16:10:23	nba nop det 2026 03 26	Pelicans	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x776a88…
03-26 13:19:25	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x8af938…
03-26 11:27:33	highest temperature in warsaw on march 26 2026 11c	Yes	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0x1a5d24…
03-26 11:27:29	highest temperature in warsaw on march 26 2026 10c	Yes	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x3e1597…
03-26 08:21:25	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	12	87¢	$11	0xbc72a8…
03-26 04:23:11	nba hou min 2026 03 25	Timberwolves	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x2cdb04…
03-26 04:19:49	highest temperature in warsaw on march 26 2026 11c	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xa7a1ba…
03-26 04:03:59	highest temperature in warsaw on march 26 2026 10c	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb612cf…
03-26 04:03:45	highest temperature in warsaw on march 26 2026 11c	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x90673b…
03-26 03:57:49	nba bkn gsw 2026 03 25 total 217pt5	Under	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x561572…
03-26 03:52:23	nba bkn gsw 2026 03 25	Warriors	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xd72beb…
03-26 03:14:49	nba bkn gsw 2026 03 25	Warriors	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xd010a9…
03-26 02:58:13	nba hou min 2026 03 25	Timberwolves	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x00443e…
03-26 02:07:35	nba bkn gsw 2026 03 25 total 217pt5	Under	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x13e42a…
03-26 01:19:27	nba okc bos 2026 03 25	Celtics	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x09e000…
03-26 00:55:57	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0x9f7f1b…
03-25 16:48:43	nba okc bos 2026 03 25 spread away 2pt5	Thunder	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x9afd3f…
03-25 16:46:59	nba lal ind 2026 03 25 spread away 12pt5	Pacers	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x0315e7…
03-25 16:21:25	nba okc bos 2026 03 25 spread away 2pt5	Thunder	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5ff98d…
03-25 16:19:57	nba okc bos 2026 03 25	Celtics	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x893c4c…
03-25 12:02:41	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x2e7591…
03-25 08:03:07	will the indian national congress inc win the most seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x5fc7ae…
03-25 08:02:35	will peoples party win the most seats in the lgting in the 2026 faroese general election	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xfe7ffb…
03-25 07:59:57	will beinir johannesen be the next lgmaur of the faroe islands following the 2026 faroese general election	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xe1a2ec…
03-25 07:57:57	will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x02c7e2…
03-25 06:21:15	highest temperature in shanghai on march 25 2026 16c	Yes	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x2ddc64…
03-25 06:17:05	highest temperature in shanghai on march 25 2026 16c	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x5df0a2…
03-25 05:11:17	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xc7093b…
03-25 00:29:39	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xfdfef9…
03-25 00:16:59	pakistan military action against afghanistan by march 31	Yes	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0x363f78…
03-25 00:15:45	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0xa38d80…
03-25 00:14:37	nba den phx 2026 03 24	Nuggets	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x9ea2d4…
03-25 00:13:57	nba sac cha 2026 03 24 total 229pt5	Over	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb6897c…