Careless-Peen — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.6%

Resolved

274

Trades

276

lifetime

Volume

$3.22K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-28 07:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 227 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$5

Politics

3% 80% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C or higher on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 14:26
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 05:31
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 06:17
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 12?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-12 07:31
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-11 11:38
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 10?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-10 09:39
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 9?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-09 09:27
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-08 06:38
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 17:04
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-07 06:31
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 6?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$0	05-06 09:34
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on May 5?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 11:46
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 02:55
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 3?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-03 15:11
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-04 15:54
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 2?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-02 13:14
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$1	04-12 02:33
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:27
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 07:06
highest temperature in seoul on april 5 2026 12c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-05 09:14
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 3 2026 23c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-03 16:30
highest temperature in wellington on april 3 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 07:37
highest temperature in seoul on april 2 2026 14c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 10:31
highest temperature in los angeles on april 1 2026 68 69f	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-02 03:31
highest temperature in istanbul on april 1 2026 15c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-01 15:14
highest temperature in wellington on april 1 2026 17c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 08:49
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-31 10:23
highest temperature in san francisco on march 30 2026 70 71f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	03-31 01:52
highest temperature in chongqing on march 30 2026 23c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-30 09:43
highest temperature in los angeles on march 29 2026 84forhigher	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-30 01:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 07:36:41	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe5d85f…
10-27 08:21:30	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3c6103…
10-26 09:15:14	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd86453…
10-22 10:09:54	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7bb398…
10-20 07:29:38	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4374ed…
10-19 09:08:15	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x194aab…
10-18 09:05:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6a3e78…
10-17 14:47:03	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x54bb80…
10-16 08:57:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x572c41…
10-15 09:16:16	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbc0b7a…
10-14 09:14:29	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa6bad8…
10-13 09:08:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe8a20b…
10-12 08:20:36	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x757e7c…
10-11 08:16:01	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9584e0…
10-08 08:23:38	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0d17d1…
10-07 14:17:34	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x84479e…
10-06 07:44:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4b41b0…
10-04 15:07:19	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7ffc9c…
10-03 05:48:44	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x10969e…
10-02 07:40:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x49bd7e…
10-01 08:16:08	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd213cd…
09-30 12:06:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd03f8e…
09-29 14:08:06	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc11ef4…
09-28 09:25:47	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C or below on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8a2f4e…
09-27 08:42:53	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x553207…
09-25 12:23:05	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbe43fb…
09-24 08:24:29	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfc5091…
09-23 06:49:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3b207e…
09-22 07:48:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd0ce9e…
09-21 09:15:20	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcdbb65…
09-20 05:38:49	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x539b78…
09-19 08:18:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa094f4…
09-18 06:15:43	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbdc9a8…
09-17 04:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5d7ad9…
09-16 08:10:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x032382…
09-15 09:05:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdb4597…
09-14 08:20:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9c4ce6…
09-12 16:19:00	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x812e59…
09-11 07:14:18	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1b6ccb…
09-10 06:18:31	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x54853f…
09-09 02:35:39	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x09257c…
09-08 02:34:03	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x88e237…
09-07 08:16:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4733f7…
09-06 17:31:40	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2e9935…
09-06 09:13:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd1572d…
09-05 09:55:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x767b0d…
09-04 17:34:43	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb759cb…
09-03 09:46:01	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xec3aa1…
09-02 07:36:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x77ae0d…
08-30 08:28:25	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2eee83…
08-29 07:57:00	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfb2220…
08-28 07:27:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xefde5b…
08-27 08:35:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc24600…
08-26 08:21:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7c7dcd…
08-25 09:07:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbd233f…
08-24 09:49:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfeb5cf…
08-23 14:44:33	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x919556…
08-22 08:43:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0a129a…
08-21 07:08:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x01c559…
08-20 08:37:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7a2776…
08-19 11:00:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x54865b…
08-18 08:11:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x88a7ab…
08-17 07:19:39	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8da3f2…
08-16 11:14:42	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4577f9…
08-15 09:43:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x22909e…
08-14 06:42:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x15e2f1…
08-13 07:47:01	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x95d0d9…
08-12 07:45:39	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xea4665…
08-11 06:50:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2ea40e…
08-10 06:52:09	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x422b9d…
08-09 01:20:42	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb89e84…
08-08 07:25:30	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3c5701…
08-07 01:08:09	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd9c467…
08-06 06:34:23	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1f7fa4…
08-05 07:48:54	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd59989…
08-04 08:10:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6cad93…
08-03 07:15:23	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6b7828…
08-02 01:33:38	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8dd684…
08-01 06:57:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2ae35a…
07-31 08:22:53	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1e1d9f…
07-30 06:46:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5daeae…
07-29 06:09:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x71395f…
07-28 06:19:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8d3b88…
07-27 08:08:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcac7b4…
07-26 06:29:45	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x42df2b…
07-25 07:47:39	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xad120a…
07-24 09:42:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf74b37…
07-23 07:01:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfe9ffc…
07-22 01:50:12	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x844ea0…
07-20 23:52:43	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x025a9b…
07-20 07:48:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xce4506…
07-18 23:12:04	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf5734c…
07-18 00:23:31	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfc7165…
07-17 06:33:37	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x672a69…
07-15 22:01:40	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6994ee…
07-15 07:13:29	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd13dfe…
07-14 07:26:37	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x45881c…
07-13 07:23:25	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0xd92805…
07-12 02:14:02	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 11?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x37a809…
07-11 07:44:14	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 11?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1f39d1…