Afraid-Providence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.79K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.6%

Resolved

4,617

Trades

9,723

lifetime

Volume

$181.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 08-02 18:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 109 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 55% -$6,703

Other

1% 58% -$82

Politics

0% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-02).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 11:30 UTC	42	$2.7K	1,841	1,840	+1	Down	+$486	07-23 11:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 07:00 UTC	3	$2.0K	2,813	0	+2,813	Up	-$1,962	04-04 07:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 11:00 UTC	6	$1.7K	1,414	1,394	+21	Up	+$439	03-27 11:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 07:15 UTC	6	$1.6K	2,283	1,201	+1,082	Up	-$405	03-27 07:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 16:45 UTC	7	$1.5K	1,110	1,110	+0	Up	-$90	07-24 16:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 02:15 UTC	2	$1.4K	895	881	+14	Down	+$386	03-27 02:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	22	$1.3K	1,076	1,075	+1	Up	+$99	07-21 09:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 07:30 UTC	15	$1.2K	768	767	+1	Up	+$44	07-21 07:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-05 16:30 UTC	5	$1.2K	1,642	1,365	+277	Up	+$207	04-05 16:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 08:30 UTC	13	$1.2K	727	726	+1	Up	+$233	07-21 08:43
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 02:00 UTC	6	$1.1K	735	722	+13	Down	+$225	03-31 02:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 06:45 UTC	7	$1.0K	2,189	0	+2,189	Up	-$1,048	04-04 06:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 06:15 UTC	2	$986	1,972	0	+1,972	Up	-$986	03-27 06:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 04:00 UTC	4	$951	665	640	+25	Down	+$342	04-09 04:13
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 17:30 UTC	44	$867	585	585	+1	Up	+$268	07-21 17:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 10:15 UTC	30	$859	525	525	+0	Down	+$159	07-25 10:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 11:45 UTC	11	$840	925	925	+0	Up	-$140	06-15 11:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-19 16:30 UTC	21	$784	538	538	+0	Down	+$225	07-19 16:42
Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	6	$779	488	488	+0	Up	+$119	07-21 08:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 17:25 UTC	1	$777	1,499	0	+1,499	Up	-$777	04-08 17:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	25	$763	474	473	+1	Down	+$165	05-30 14:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 16:15 UTC	8	$757	549	496	+52	Down	+$163	04-06 16:28
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 16:30 UTC	2	$722	506	491	+15	Down	+$142	04-08 16:39
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 14:15 UTC	7	$721	482	468	+14	Up	+$155	04-07 14:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 06:15 UTC	4	$716	472	457	+15	Down	+$203	04-04 06:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 14:15 UTC	6	$706	491	476	+15	Up	+$161	04-07 14:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 06:30 UTC	3	$695	398	394	+3	Down	+$93	03-27 06:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 11:30 UTC	28	$692	474	474	+0	Down	+$152	06-15 11:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 17:00 UTC	11	$686	643	580	+63	Up	+$69	07-24 17:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 06:15 UTC	1	$678	826	0	+826	Up	-$678	03-27 06:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-02 18:07:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xf97c16…
08-02 18:07:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x1814d6…
08-02 18:07:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xcc5e3d…
08-02 18:07:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xefe908…
08-02 18:07:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xabd462…
07-30 18:30:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x312aeb…
07-30 18:30:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xe7a692…
07-30 18:15:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x70d1ad…
07-30 18:15:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x027130…
07-30 18:15:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x1c6788…
07-30 18:00:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf51384…
07-30 18:00:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x78a733…
07-30 17:45:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x351992…
07-30 17:45:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x42a085…
07-30 17:29:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x515050…
07-30 17:29:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x276b0a…
07-30 14:09:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 14:00 UTC	Down	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0xc275c2…
07-30 14:09:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 14:00 UTC	Down	SELL	37	98¢	$36	0x1d58ae…
07-30 14:08:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 14:00 UTC	Down	SELL	19	96¢	$18	0x88083c…
07-30 14:00:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	27	53¢	$14	0x6a7328…
07-30 14:00:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	27	54¢	$15	0x517425…
07-30 14:00:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	37	53¢	$20	0x7b8168…
07-30 13:45:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xf7c8e4…
07-30 13:45:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x8f349c…
07-30 13:45:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x8ca50f…
07-30 13:41:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x4d9de0…
07-30 13:41:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x2dc253…
07-30 13:40:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1afee7…
07-30 13:40:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x331316…
07-30 06:36:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x697f04…
07-30 02:30:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xc3a40d…
07-30 02:15:06	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xb05185…
07-30 02:15:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x159dd2…
07-30 02:15:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xd91eb5…
07-30 02:15:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x49f375…
07-30 02:14:08	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x44290a…
07-30 02:14:08	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x3c25e1…
07-30 02:14:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x50b1d6…
07-30 02:04:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xd6b8e0…
07-30 02:04:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x5a80c4…
07-29 21:27:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-29 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xe710d2…
07-29 18:57:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-29 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xffb411…
07-29 18:15:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-29 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xfac3af…
07-29 18:15:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-29 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x0ad567…
07-29 17:55:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-29 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x9ecd07…
07-29 17:55:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-29 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x13a7a7…
07-29 13:08:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-29 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x85fba4…
07-29 13:08:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-29 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x92b5cc…
07-29 10:33:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-29 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xb037a0…
07-29 10:33:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-29 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xee2b70…
07-29 06:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xd41de1…
07-29 06:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x1154e8…
07-29 06:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xe31473…
07-29 06:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xa0c26b…
07-29 06:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xa59a3d…
07-29 06:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x0f87b2…
07-29 06:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xbab254…
07-29 06:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x187289…
07-29 05:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x86a5a6…
07-29 05:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x55f192…
07-29 05:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x0b17f8…
07-29 04:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd404dc…
07-29 04:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xcfc9cc…
07-29 02:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x69b2fb…
07-29 02:02:56	Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0xcba977…
07-29 02:02:45	Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x3b2993…
07-29 02:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xea586f…
07-29 02:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x638fa5…
07-29 02:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x737548…
07-29 02:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x2c5040…
07-29 02:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x5a5ccb…
07-29 02:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x080b3f…
07-28 14:45:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x8ded31…
07-28 14:45:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xa97a7a…
07-28 14:30:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xfab729…
07-28 14:30:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x48e7ee…
07-28 14:11:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xe4f964…
07-28 14:11:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x938377…
07-28 13:45:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x7b8551…
07-28 13:45:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x56e7f7…
07-28 13:45:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xc0e4b4…
07-28 13:44:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xe2fdc4…
07-28 13:44:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xed963c…
07-28 13:44:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xd63fe1…
07-28 08:15:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x3c6aac…
07-28 08:15:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x9620f7…
07-28 08:06:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xd8a499…
07-28 08:06:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x620421…
07-28 08:06:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xfbda5b…
07-28 08:06:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x9b98d8…
07-28 08:05:58	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xdc787a…
07-28 07:52:58	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x05ecfb…
07-28 07:52:57	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xac3c98…
07-28 07:52:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x0bb76c…
07-27 16:48:21	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xfc8636…
07-27 16:48:21	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x1b4c3b…
07-27 16:48:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x70ef09…
07-27 16:48:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x91ad96…
07-27 16:18:18	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xdb59dc…
07-27 16:18:18	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xb126ca…