Back-Fender — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$143

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-29

last 06-14 11:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 100% +$0

Other

17% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+1	$1	99¢	$1	$-0	06-11 14:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 68k on february 24	4	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	02-24 08:00
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	3	$6	3	3	-0	open	—	06-08 10:58
bitcoin above 66k on march 20	3	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-20 06:38
bitcoin above 72k on june 6 2026	2	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	06-05 13:07
will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 10	2	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	04-10 11:06
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-21 14:10
will the price of ethereum be less than 1900 on march 24	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	03-24 09:10
ethereum above 1700 on february 11	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	02-11 06:24
ethereum above 2100 on february 23	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	02-23 05:37
elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 240plus	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	02-14 17:31
bitcoin above 60k on march 7	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	03-06 14:20
ethereum above 1400 on march 3	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	03-02 12:43
will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 4	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-03 15:43
ethereum above 2300 on february 10	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	02-10 10:33
will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 18	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	03-17 17:06
will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 25	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	03-25 05:00
bitcoin above 78k on april 11	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-11 07:43
bitcoin above 56k on march 6	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	03-04 17:30
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 16?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-15 10:33
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 460 479	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	03-25 05:00
ethereum above 1600 on february 24	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	02-24 07:23
bitcoin above 78k on march 16	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	03-16 02:03
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 12?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	05-11 17:06
bitcoin above 72k on february 22	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	02-22 07:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 25?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-24 06:00
bitcoin above 66k on march 18	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	03-17 16:43
will no government funding bill be passed by january 31 2026 823	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-31 09:13
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 380 399	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-21 09:00
bitcoin above 76k on march 10	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	03-10 12:10
ethereum above 1400 on february 26	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	02-25 16:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 11:56:51	bitcoin above 72k on june 15 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x842863…
06-12 12:53:01	bitcoin above 70k on june 13 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb0b163…
06-11 14:43:34	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0923cf…
06-08 10:58:42	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x6559c7…
06-07 12:35:48	ethereum above 1900 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf417b9…
06-05 13:07:03	bitcoin above 72k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf076d1…
06-05 13:07:03	bitcoin above 72k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0084fd…
06-05 13:06:54	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xba15c0…
06-05 13:06:54	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa067de…
05-27 16:43:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x33f072…
05-24 06:00:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6150c5…
05-21 14:10:35	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x435c5b…
05-19 11:56:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2dcbc9…
05-16 17:30:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x790f20…
05-15 10:33:39	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x302aa7…
05-15 10:33:29	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 16?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xbadc36…
05-13 04:36:55	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 13?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x415571…
05-11 17:06:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x31ae98…
05-10 13:56:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1cb720…
04-24 04:13:44	bitcoin above 84k on april 24	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5c61ff…
04-21 09:00:30	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 380 399	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xbea73b…
04-21 09:00:20	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xff2f48…
04-16 12:57:10	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 400 419	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x731c00…
04-16 12:57:00	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb9eb7a…
04-12 12:57:11	bitcoin above 78k on april 13	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4157b4…
04-11 07:43:17	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 380 399	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb8a055…
04-11 07:43:07	bitcoin above 78k on april 11	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x70b9c9…
04-10 11:06:27	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 10	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc3261c…
04-10 10:33:45	bitcoin above 76k on april 10	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbfda67…
04-10 10:33:31	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 10	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb8020e…
04-08 08:47:05	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 380 399	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd700f4…
04-07 10:47:09	bitcoin above 78k on april 8	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa432ee…
04-07 10:46:59	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on april 8	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xeade9d…
04-06 04:37:07	will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on april 6	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8013f2…
04-06 04:36:57	bitcoin above 76k on april 6	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6d90ba…
04-04 11:33:33	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 460 479	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfd996c…
04-03 16:06:51	will bitcoin dip to 60k on april 3	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x92c5ce…
04-03 15:43:45	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 4	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x36b3df…
03-31 16:57:13	will bitcoin dip to 60k on march 31	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x74ad68…
03-28 09:10:25	will bitcoin reach 74k on march 28	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7e5e40…
03-28 09:10:15	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 480 499	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4b026e…
03-27 11:33:43	will bitcoin reach 75k on march 27	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x20d2ff…
03-25 05:00:17	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 25	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf51e26…
03-25 05:00:09	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 460 479	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x40d532…
03-24 09:10:21	will bitcoin reach 78k on march 24	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x521f3a…
03-24 09:10:11	will the price of ethereum be less than 1900 on march 24	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x999895…
03-20 09:03:59	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 20	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x441d0e…
03-20 06:38:23	bitcoin above 66k on march 20	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x63117c…
03-20 06:38:19	bitcoin above 66k on march 20	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xab9fd7…
03-20 06:38:17	bitcoin above 66k on march 20	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb22bf4…
03-17 17:06:55	will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 18	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x40abf4…
03-17 16:43:47	bitcoin above 66k on march 18	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x24d8f0…
03-17 16:43:37	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 460 479	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x564921…
03-16 02:26:55	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 420 439	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x99c24a…
03-16 02:03:51	bitcoin above 78k on march 16	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0eca39…
03-16 02:03:41	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 16	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xad3067…
03-10 12:10:25	bitcoin above 76k on march 10	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x553176…
03-09 05:13:55	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on march 10	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x85809e…
03-09 05:13:45	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 460 479	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfb9b6b…
03-06 14:20:23	bitcoin above 60k on march 7	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa1b4b2…
03-06 14:20:13	ethereum above 1600 on march 7	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd695b0…
03-04 17:30:35	bitcoin above 56k on march 6	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xde18a8…
03-04 17:30:23	ethereum above 1600 on march 5	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa61ab2…
03-02 12:43:41	bitcoin above 54k on march 3	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x74ea85…
03-02 12:43:31	ethereum above 1400 on march 3	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe8b907…
02-25 16:07:08	bitcoin above 56k on february 26	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x32a476…
02-25 16:06:56	ethereum above 1400 on february 26	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc235a5…
02-24 08:00:26	bitcoin above 68k on february 24	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf44635…
02-24 07:47:06	bitcoin above 68k on february 24	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x628700…
02-24 07:23:54	ethereum above 1600 on february 24	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xce253c…
02-24 07:23:42	bitcoin above 68k on february 24	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xcba478…
02-24 07:00:22	bitcoin above 68k on february 24	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x065b2f…
02-23 05:37:00	ethereum above 2100 on february 23	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x05227f…
02-22 07:23:40	bitcoin above 72k on february 22	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x806b63…
02-21 03:13:32	bitcoin above 72k on february 21	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xee9a37…
02-20 06:23:30	ethereum above 1600 on february 20	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x72ab37…
02-15 09:10:23	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 460 479	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x67507e…
02-15 09:10:13	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on february 15	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0b9e47…
02-14 17:31:25	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x10e79a…
02-14 17:31:13	elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 240plus	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe373df…
02-13 03:19:31	ethereum above 1600 on february 13	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x38d392…
02-13 03:19:21	bitcoin above 60k on february 13	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5ad3a5…
02-11 06:24:01	ethereum above 1700 on february 11	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x068030…
02-11 06:23:51	bitcoin above 72k on february 11	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xca5579…
02-10 10:33:39	ethereum above 2300 on february 10	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb60729…
02-09 07:05:05	bitcoin above 82k on february 10	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5b9312…
02-09 07:04:55	will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x784dde…
02-06 07:34:53	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 300 319	No	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0xb7cf39…
01-31 09:13:26	will no government funding bill be passed by january 31 2026 823	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x98e4a1…
01-30 04:54:24	gc hit 6000 high jan 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc3e768…
01-30 02:38:42	will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve on january 29 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x044c99…
01-29 09:32:12	will bitcoin reach 125k in january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa9b44d…