Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$927

Unrealized P&L

+$17

Hit rate

96.7%

Resolved

2,695

Trades

18,341

lifetime

Volume

$149.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$13

1 position

First seen

2026-02-13

last 07-29 02:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 93% -$600

Politics

1% 75% -$171

Other

0% 60% -$155

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-29).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes		-200	-$30	6¢	$-13	+$17	06-19 15:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down february 19 12pm et	2	$551	279	279	+0	Up	+$7	02-19 18:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	72	$499	504	0	+504	Down	+$5	06-24 07:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 23:45 UTC	69	$406	411	0	+411	Up	+$4	06-23 23:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 14:45 UTC	82	$406	410	0	+410	Up	+$4	06-20 14:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 23:20 UTC	1	$396	400	0	+400	Up	+$4	02-19 23:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 13:35 UTC	6	$396	400	0	+400	Down	+$4	02-20 13:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 10:15 UTC	10	$396	400	0	+400	Up	+$4	02-20 10:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 13:55 UTC	9	$396	400	0	+400	Down	+$4	02-20 13:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-20 08:00 UTC	10	$396	400	0	+400	Up	+$4	02-20 08:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 10:30 UTC	4	$394	400	0	+400	Down	+$6	02-20 10:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 21:50 UTC	1	$392	400	0	+400	Down	+$8	02-19 21:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 11:00 UTC	65	$385	389	0	+389	Up	+$4	06-23 11:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 20:45 UTC	26	$374	380	0	+380	Down	+$6	02-20 20:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 04:45 UTC	54	$374	378	0	+378	Up	+$4	06-24 04:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 00:00 UTC	20	$374	380	0	+380	Down	+$6	02-21 00:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 03:15 UTC	62	$368	372	0	+372	Down	+$4	06-24 03:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 23:00 UTC	18	$355	360	0	+360	Up	+$5	02-20 23:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 17:10 UTC	19	$354	360	0	+360	Up	+$6	02-22 17:14
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	3	$329	274	154	+120	No	+$43	04-04 19:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 22:05 UTC	7	$325	415	0	+415	Up	-$110	06-20 22:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 17:20 UTC	17	$325	330	0	+330	Up	+$5	02-24 17:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 07:50 UTC	46	$319	322	0	+322	Up	-$319	06-24 07:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 20:45 UTC	64	$317	320	0	+320	Up	+$3	06-19 20:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 06:10 UTC	64	$317	320	0	+320	Down	+$3	06-22 06:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 17:50 UTC	18	$316	320	0	+320	Up	+$4	02-20 17:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 22:00 UTC	19	$314	320	0	+320	Down	+$6	02-20 22:05
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	7	$312	400	0	+400	Yes	+$88	03-30 10:59
Iran leadership change by April 30?	4	$303	244	116	+128	No	+$36	04-07 13:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 03:00 UTC	61	$302	305	0	+305	Down	+$3	06-22 03:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 18:10 UTC	3	$297	300	0	+300	Up	+$3	02-25 18:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-29 02:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4dee43…
07-29 02:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x150eb1…
07-29 02:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x9b239a…
07-29 02:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x486992…
07-29 02:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd7dbcb…
07-29 02:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd7ab52…
07-29 02:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf4eb57…
07-29 02:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x53d496…
07-29 01:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x11c083…
07-29 01:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0x10487e…
07-29 01:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x50c0bb…
07-29 01:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5cafb0…
07-29 01:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xfb93a3…
07-29 01:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0xbc3b60…
07-29 01:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x846bc7…
07-29 01:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa9ef67…
07-29 01:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x6212fe…
07-29 01:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1f842d…
07-29 01:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x3fd7e1…
07-29 01:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5fe7f7…
07-29 01:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x0c98b0…
07-29 01:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xdcb519…
07-29 01:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x00e755…
07-29 01:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x279222…
07-29 01:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x731f7e…
07-29 01:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x3c2280…
07-29 01:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0xa28f7e…
07-29 01:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xfc7006…
07-29 01:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x7de09f…
07-29 01:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe929eb…
07-29 01:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xf96dd4…
07-29 01:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x422da2…
07-29 01:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xfa3bda…
07-29 01:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf68af1…
07-29 01:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x9db184…
07-29 00:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x31263e…
07-29 00:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x015fe1…
07-29 00:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb95f72…
07-29 00:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf964ef…
07-29 00:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x1b0621…
07-29 00:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x31e865…
07-29 00:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x3b8bb2…
07-29 00:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0xc5bfc9…
07-29 00:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x8ce6fa…
07-29 00:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xcde5b9…
07-29 00:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd96b55…
07-29 00:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x79a317…
07-29 00:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xae7349…
07-29 00:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x2bdf02…
07-29 00:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x458cbd…
07-29 00:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xa15872…
07-29 00:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x63aa83…
07-29 00:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb6dbf8…
07-29 00:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0xf0e8d5…
07-29 00:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8cfc0d…
07-29 00:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x7b04a5…
07-29 00:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4004a8…
07-29 00:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xfe0f63…
07-29 00:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5719b8…
07-29 00:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x9541b5…
07-29 00:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x06a807…
07-29 00:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xedc37d…
07-29 00:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xfd2b83…
07-29 00:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1a8492…
07-29 00:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x2fe10a…
07-28 23:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xacfdf1…
07-28 23:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x02e7b8…
07-28 23:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x87177e…
07-28 23:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xec1f2d…
07-28 23:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc00ef5…
07-28 23:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd05ac9…
07-28 23:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x63e2da…
07-28 23:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x8e826b…
07-28 23:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x43a502…
07-28 23:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x260acd…
07-28 23:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb9f102…
07-28 23:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x726f98…
07-28 23:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x30435b…
07-28 05:10:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x02a426…
07-28 05:09:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xfe7153…
07-28 05:06:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xc2e9f3…
07-28 05:06:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0xb50995…
07-28 05:04:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 05:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb9fae8…
07-28 05:00:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x02053a…
07-28 05:00:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5c8ed0…
07-28 04:55:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 04:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xadbc34…
07-28 04:53:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 04:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x088f23…
07-28 04:50:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 04:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x075cf1…
07-28 04:50:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 04:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x932833…
07-28 04:45:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x06d73b…
07-28 04:44:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb99169…
07-28 04:44:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x154a45…
07-28 04:40:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 04:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x9e09ab…
07-28 04:40:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 04:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7a8c5d…
07-28 04:39:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 04:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x06269c…
07-28 04:35:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 04:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x771a84…
07-28 04:35:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 04:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x25ff42…
07-28 04:30:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf5c4ad…
07-28 04:28:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x56b109…
07-28 04:25:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 04:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x135648…