Notable-Shield — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

-$19

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

430

lifetime

Volume

$9.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

$18

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 07-19 14:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Sports

65% — —

Other

26% — —

Tech

7% — —

Politics

1% 100% +$14

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Discord IPO before 2027?	Yes	+20	$11	34¢	$7	$-5	06-04 06:32
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	+32	$19	20¢	$6	$-13	06-17 23:07
Claudio Lotito sells Lazio in 2026?	No	+10	$6	54¢	$5	$-1	06-10 23:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	6	$386	250	250	+0	open	—	07-07 20:02
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	2	$380	400	0	+400	open	—	06-12 11:17
will 5 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228790	5	$342	457	0	+457	open	—	07-12 03:53
will france reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134499	1	$243	300	0	+300	open	—	06-30 00:00
will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 250 high 20260608191407795	2	$184	200	0	+200	open	—	06-10 14:32
Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$180	200	0	+200	open	—	06-17 23:54
will france reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120767	3	$132	150	0	+150	open	—	06-29 23:34
will argentina reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134503	2	$113	100	50	+50	open	—	07-07 17:15
will belgium reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120759	3	$113	100	100	+0	open	—	07-01 22:31
will canada reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134471	2	$112	150	0	+150	open	—	07-04 04:54
will england reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149753	2	$98	100	100	+0	open	—	07-10 23:02
Will Argentina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$96	100	0	+100	open	—	06-10 02:59
Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$96	100	0	+100	open	—	06-10 09:47
will japan reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120756	4	$95	150	0	+150	open	—	06-29 17:29
Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$92	100	0	+100	open	—	06-10 08:08
will cape verde reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120766	2	$90	100	0	+100	open	—	06-25 21:26
will algeria reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134505	2	$90	100	0	+100	open	—	06-29 00:44
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$89	100	0	+100	open	—	06-27 23:29
Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$89	100	0	+100	open	—	06-13 19:29
will ecuador reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134484	1	$89	100	0	+100	open	—	06-28 17:38
spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	1	$87	100	0	+100	open	—	06-12 11:07
Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$87	100	0	+100	open	—	06-11 11:12
will 3 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228788	1	$86	100	0	+100	open	—	06-29 20:29
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 extra time	2	$86	100	0	+100	open	—	07-04 19:08
Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$85	100	0	+100	open	—	06-10 11:29
will spain reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120763	1	$83	100	0	+100	open	—	06-25 12:48
will iran reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120760	2	$83	100	0	+100	open	—	06-27 23:45
will uruguay reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120764	4	$83	100	0	+100	open	—	06-25 22:22
Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$82	100	0	+100	open	—	06-10 13:49
will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 200 high 20260608191407796	3	$82	100	0	+100	open	—	06-10 13:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 14:29:48	f1 belgian grand prix h2h leclerc vs verstappen 2026 07 19	Leclerc	SELL	19	96¢	$18	0xcde2fe…
07-19 14:28:52	f1 belgian grand prix h2h leclerc vs verstappen 2026 07 19	Leclerc	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xa41e0c…
07-19 14:28:24	f1 belgian grand prix h2h norris vs hamilton 2026 07 19	Hamilton	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0x2322c1…
07-19 14:27:21	f1 belgian grand prix h2h norris vs hamilton 2026 07 19	Hamilton	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x81112a…
07-19 14:26:57	f1 belgian grand prix h2h leclerc vs verstappen 2026 07 19	Leclerc	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd843be…
07-18 19:38:06	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals jude bellingham gte1	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xa7ce1a…
07-18 19:37:33	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals jude bellingham gte1	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x6521ab…
07-18 15:13:33	f1 belgian grand prix h2h leclerc vs verstappen 2026 07 19	Leclerc	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x8e7d5c…
07-18 14:56:18	f1 belgian grand prix h2h norris vs hamilton 2026 07 19	Hamilton	BUY	6	40¢	$3	0xe9520e…
07-18 11:41:13	f1 belgian grand prix h2h norris vs hamilton 2026 07 19	Hamilton	BUY	24	40¢	$9	0x316ed1…
07-18 11:15:21	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0xa65d95…
07-17 14:29:16	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals ousmane dembele gte1	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x14af4e…
07-17 11:27:40	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals ousmane dembele gte1	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xa3dcda…
07-17 10:23:37	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xaf4f34…
07-17 03:55:57	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals ousmane dembele gte1	Yes	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xb54d81…
07-16 22:18:04	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals jude bellingham gte1	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x472bdc…
07-16 22:17:37	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals jude bellingham gte1	Yes	BUY	19	23¢	$4	0x2202ce…
07-16 21:58:35	f1 belgian grand prix driver podium verstappen 2026 07 19	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xbe46e8…
07-16 21:34:19	f1 belgian grand prix driver podium verstappen 2026 07 19	No	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0xd9d8ab…
07-16 21:28:52	f1 belgian grand prix driver podium verstappen 2026 07 19	No	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x79b631…
07-16 20:17:11	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals jude bellingham gte1	Yes	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0x804aaf…
07-16 19:13:47	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	40	56¢	$22	0x6c2742…
07-16 19:12:59	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0xedcaa5…
07-16 19:10:20	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals jude bellingham gte1	Yes	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0x9ecea8…
07-15 20:20:58	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 corners total 9pt5	Under	SELL	30	89¢	$27	0xd87e1c…
07-15 18:58:19	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 corners total 6pt5	Over	BUY	30	72¢	$22	0xfe47e1…
07-15 18:53:35	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0xfed21a…
07-15 18:46:11	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 shots lionel messi gte3	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x31582b…
07-15 13:02:13	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	England	BUY	29	54¢	$15	0x7a252a…
07-15 13:02:10	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	England	BUY	41	54¢	$22	0xc4f81d…
07-15 13:02:10	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	England	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x551005…
07-15 13:02:07	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	England	BUY	8	54¢	$5	0x6a30ee…
07-14 20:53:31	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 corners total 8pt5	Over	SELL	38	45¢	$17	0x066bad…
07-14 09:27:46	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x4ad25e…
07-13 18:50:07	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	64	17¢	$11	0xd58e54…
07-13 18:29:53	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x44c0f1…
07-13 16:58:04	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0x6319a3…
07-13 16:24:05	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x1ba115…
07-13 16:18:04	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	Spain	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x5559b5…
07-13 13:19:38	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x922d3e…
07-13 10:55:49	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	25	17¢	$4	0x49936c…
07-12 04:05:25	will 6 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228791	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x143358…
07-12 03:53:32	will 5 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228790	Yes	BUY	59	56¢	$33	0xe2bb58…
07-12 01:31:11	will 5 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228790	Yes	BUY	41	56¢	$23	0xa1b5e9…
07-12 00:13:10	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	Yes	SELL	100	24¢	$24	0xf8965a…
07-11 23:39:49	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 penalty shootout	Yes	SELL	51	11¢	$5	0x9918bc…
07-11 21:32:28	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	56	14¢	$8	0xb0dcb9…
07-11 21:09:02	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	27	14¢	$4	0x9b3ecf…
07-11 21:04:01	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	17	14¢	$2	0x7fe885…
07-10 23:02:16	will england reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149753	Yes	SELL	100	65¢	$65	0x3f1f09…
07-10 04:47:47	dal quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 10 2026 1pt48	Yes	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0xfade66…
07-10 04:35:47	atp sinner djokovi 2026 07 08 match total 38pt5	Over	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x3dd4a3…
07-10 03:42:26	atp sinner djokovi 2026 07 08 match total 38pt5	Over	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0xa61070…
07-10 02:06:38	atp sinner djokovi 2026 07 08 match total 38pt5	Over	BUY	17	51¢	$9	0x3d8ca2…
07-09 22:07:07	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Spain	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0xa4fd00…
07-09 20:05:04	wdfc quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 09 2026 1pt57	No	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xe094e0…
07-09 18:37:13	will belgium reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149733	No	BUY	34	74¢	$26	0x2ca24d…
07-09 17:44:25	dal quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 10 2026 1pt48	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x36bc03…
07-09 17:06:53	will belgium reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149733	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xe62619…
07-09 16:31:20	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x65f6ac…
07-09 16:31:05	will belgium reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149733	No	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0x26b164…
07-09 14:34:56	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0x1f2907…
07-09 14:33:07	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x1c1569…
07-09 14:33:05	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xfad77e…
07-07 23:06:40	will 6 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228791	Yes	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x76bf28…
07-07 22:55:28	will 7 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228792	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$9	0xd9e86b…
07-07 22:46:02	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x5bd469…
07-07 22:45:35	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xd7cd4b…
07-07 22:42:08	will 5 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228790	Yes	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x7cda14…
07-07 22:41:46	will 5 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228790	Yes	BUY	300	80¢	$240	0xf5e943…
07-07 22:39:44	will 5 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228790	Yes	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0x57a573…
07-07 22:34:37	will colombia reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149750	No	SELL	50	81¢	$40	0xae7522…
07-07 20:06:43	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xb1f069…
07-07 20:04:50	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xb423e9…
07-07 20:04:04	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	48	20¢	$10	0x985a10…
07-07 20:02:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	250	100¢	$249	0xfa00d4…
07-07 20:02:29	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x17da37…
07-07 17:22:47	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Egypt	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0x9db7f5…
07-07 17:21:14	will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	Yes	SELL	50	38¢	$19	0xd8fcaa…
07-07 17:15:23	will argentina reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134503	Yes	SELL	50	62¢	$31	0xdd1728…
07-07 16:16:26	will colombia reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149750	No	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x94ddeb…
07-07 15:23:02	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	33	25¢	$8	0x8e6d4e…
07-07 15:21:17	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x99918c…
07-07 15:19:52	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x750ac6…
07-07 02:32:16	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	41	22¢	$9	0x6cfb05…
07-07 02:32:02	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0xd15da1…
07-07 02:31:59	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x410d41…
07-07 00:09:10	will belgium reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149733	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0x4e1d56…
07-06 21:33:52	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0xad9cb5…
07-06 21:27:34	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0x23f554…
07-06 20:09:40	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 corners total 12pt5	Over	BUY	18	19¢	$3	0x66f087…
07-06 19:57:52	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 corners total 12pt5	Over	BUY	12	19¢	$2	0x83033a…
07-06 19:48:41	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 corners total 10pt5	Over	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x6fe140…
07-06 19:46:35	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 corners total 10pt5	Over	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x4b1074…
07-06 18:52:37	will portugal reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134507	Yes	BUY	60	34¢	$20	0xa95cb7…
07-06 18:43:07	will spain reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134495	Yes	SELL	50	65¢	$32	0xbb1b48…
07-05 22:44:08	will england reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149753	Yes	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0xaafecc…
07-05 22:41:31	will mexico reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134467	Yes	SELL	50	49¢	$24	0xd2ab62…
07-05 21:15:40	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x31294a…
07-05 19:59:19	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 goals vinicius junior gte1	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xd94e49…