Notable-Shield — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

277

lifetime

Volume

$6.16K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

$43

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 07-02 00:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Sports

72% — —

Other

14% — —

Tech

11% — —

Politics

2% 100% +$14

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	+20	$16	100¢	$20	+$4	06-16 01:07
Discord IPO before 2027?	Yes	+20	$11	49¢	$10	$-2	06-04 06:32
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	+32	$19	26¢	$8	$-11	06-17 23:07
Claudio Lotito sells Lazio in 2026?	No	+10	$6	54¢	$5	$-1	06-10 23:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	2	$380	400	0	+400	open	—	06-12 11:17
will france reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134499	1	$243	300	0	+300	open	—	06-30 00:00
will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 250 high 20260608191407795	2	$184	200	0	+200	open	—	06-10 14:32
Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$180	200	0	+200	open	—	06-17 23:54
will france reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120767	3	$132	150	0	+150	open	—	06-29 23:34
will belgium reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120759	3	$113	100	100	+0	open	—	07-01 22:31
Will Argentina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$96	100	0	+100	open	—	06-10 02:59
Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$96	100	0	+100	open	—	06-10 09:47
will japan reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120756	4	$95	150	0	+150	open	—	06-29 17:29
Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$92	100	0	+100	open	—	06-10 08:08
will algeria reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134505	2	$90	100	0	+100	open	—	06-29 00:44
will cape verde reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120766	2	$90	100	0	+100	open	—	06-25 21:26
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$89	100	0	+100	open	—	06-27 23:29
Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$89	100	0	+100	open	—	06-13 19:29
will ecuador reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134484	1	$89	100	0	+100	open	—	06-28 17:38
Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$87	100	0	+100	open	—	06-11 11:12
spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	1	$87	100	0	+100	open	—	06-12 11:07
will 3 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228788	1	$86	100	0	+100	open	—	06-29 20:29
Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$85	100	0	+100	open	—	06-10 11:29
will iran reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120760	2	$83	100	0	+100	open	—	06-27 23:45
will spain reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120763	1	$83	100	0	+100	open	—	06-25 12:48
will uruguay reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120764	4	$83	100	0	+100	open	—	06-25 22:22
Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$82	100	0	+100	open	—	06-10 13:49
will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 200 high 20260608191407796	3	$82	100	0	+100	open	—	06-10 13:09
will senegal reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134500	2	$80	50	50	+0	open	—	07-01 22:31
Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$80	100	0	+100	open	—	06-10 13:07
Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$77	100	0	+100	open	—	06-11 16:53
will austria reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120772	2	$75	100	0	+100	open	—	06-25 22:30
Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$72	100	0	+100	open	—	06-10 19:55
will brazil reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120743	1	$70	100	0	+100	open	—	06-26 10:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 04:03:35	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 extra time	No	BUY	15	70¢	$10	0x29232d…
07-02 03:37:07	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 extra time	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x633035…
07-02 03:14:55	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 corners total 6pt5	Over	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x42d4f0…
07-02 02:31:26	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 extra time	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x3635bb…
07-02 02:11:43	will england reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134511	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x3d1eb8…
07-02 02:11:32	will england reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134511	Yes	BUY	26	56¢	$15	0xdc64a0…
07-02 02:11:22	will england reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134511	Yes	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0x973062…
07-02 00:17:02	will belgium reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134491	No	BUY	37	53¢	$20	0xfeef34…
07-01 23:37:31	will belgium reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134491	No	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0x868ee4…
07-01 22:33:07	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Senegal	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xac3165…
07-01 22:31:28	will senegal reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134500	No	SELL	50	77¢	$39	0xb45161…
07-01 22:31:07	will belgium reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120759	Yes	SELL	100	56¢	$56	0xdb3a2a…
07-01 20:12:59	will belgium reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120759	Yes	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x6889ac…
07-01 17:48:47	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	DR Congo	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x50414e…
07-01 07:08:16	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0x5dc10d…
07-01 02:10:08	will dr congo reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134510	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xaf4e68…
07-01 00:29:19	will dr congo reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134510	Yes	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0xcc7bd9…
07-01 00:01:28	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	40	18¢	$7	0xcbf804…
06-30 21:53:44	will belgium reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120759	Yes	BUY	65	57¢	$37	0x200b4d…
06-30 21:35:02	will france reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149741	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$2	0xbdfad9…
06-30 21:04:47	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xdc606a…
06-30 20:35:17	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 corners total 6pt5	Over	BUY	11	86¢	$10	0x21273f…
06-30 20:31:17	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 corners total 6pt5	Over	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0xa71c09…
06-30 20:22:11	will mexico reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134467	Yes	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x0cc479…
06-30 20:06:52	nke quarterly earnings gaap eps 06 30 2026 0pt12	Yes	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0x0473f4…
06-30 20:01:25	nke quarterly earnings gaap eps 06 30 2026 0pt12	Yes	BUY	36	86¢	$31	0xdc4827…
06-30 20:00:05	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 corners total 6pt5	Over	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0xc5ced1…
06-30 10:12:44	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	Côte d'Ivoire	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0xf20a9a…
06-30 09:30:16	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0x6d1a3b…
06-30 08:07:02	world cup highest scoring match record broken 20260608191032772	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x52f294…
06-30 00:31:35	will netherlands reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149729	No	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0x1e001b…
06-30 00:11:19	will france reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149741	Yes	BUY	22	61¢	$13	0xee80ab…
06-30 00:00:14	will france reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134499	Yes	BUY	300	81¢	$243	0x8d0bf7…
06-29 23:34:23	will france reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120767	Yes	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x4b3ea1…
06-29 23:23:43	will germany reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149725	Yes	BUY	32	12¢	$4	0x6fd25d…
06-29 23:23:11	will germany reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149725	Yes	BUY	18	12¢	$2	0x7234cd…
06-29 23:18:29	will germany reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134483	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xa1df01…
06-29 23:18:28	will germany reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134483	Yes	BUY	30	21¢	$6	0x8e9fc7…
06-29 21:35:28	will germany reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120751	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x128921…
06-29 20:29:16	will 3 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228788	Yes	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x306dd5…
06-29 20:12:53	will usa reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134479	Yes	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x4eb2cc…
06-29 17:29:04	will japan reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120756	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xc8c3d4…
06-29 17:29:02	will japan reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120756	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x53997c…
06-29 16:54:58	will 4 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228789	Yes	BUY	44	77¢	$34	0xcfe7e1…
06-29 16:48:50	will japan reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134488	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x0d8e7f…
06-29 15:47:16	will 6 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228791	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x65c43b…
06-29 13:03:37	will morocco reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134476	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x80d518…
06-29 12:52:14	will dr congo reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120778	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x9c2286…
06-29 12:50:41	will senegal reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134500	No	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0xe70919…
06-29 09:08:14	will japan reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149730	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x4b6855…
06-29 00:44:08	will algeria reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134505	No	BUY	69	90¢	$62	0xe768dd…
06-28 22:42:01	will brazil reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149717	Yes	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0x222524…
06-28 22:31:52	will 7 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228792	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x313351…
06-28 21:02:34	will algeria reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134505	No	BUY	31	90¢	$28	0x65d2ae…
06-28 20:58:56	will 9 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228794	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0x2bc24c…
06-28 20:51:34	will canada reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134471	No	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0xe4c821…
06-28 20:47:23	will 4 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228789	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xb1e486…
06-28 20:02:14	will brazil reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134475	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xafa266…
06-28 19:44:53	will ivory coast reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134485	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x073f43…
06-28 18:59:56	will germany reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134483	Yes	BUY	23	29¢	$7	0x7fb7a0…
06-28 18:42:46	will germany reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134483	Yes	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x6cb7b0…
06-28 17:38:17	will ecuador reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134484	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0xdf11d9…
06-28 17:36:47	will germany reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134483	Yes	BUY	26	29¢	$7	0x6285ea…
06-28 08:57:04	will france reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120767	Yes	BUY	49	89¢	$43	0xf0ff1f…
06-28 08:21:58	will france reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120767	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xbf7bd4…
06-28 02:39:10	will paraguay reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120749	No	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x6c9d1c…
06-28 02:13:35	will ecuador reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120752	No	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0xfb8485…
06-28 01:24:53	will portugal reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149749	Yes	BUY	33	27¢	$9	0x7d5ff7…
06-28 01:02:59	will japan reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120756	No	BUY	35	70¢	$24	0xf99e0c…
06-28 00:29:59	will japan reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120756	No	BUY	15	70¢	$11	0xd5dd08…
06-27 23:45:17	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x78ca51…
06-27 23:45:14	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	40	73¢	$29	0x90ad74…
06-27 23:45:07	will iran reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120760	No	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0xbb0a03…
06-27 23:44:28	will iran reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120760	No	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0x40b754…
06-27 23:37:49	will ghana reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120782	No	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0x677d02…
06-27 23:29:43	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x380455…
06-27 22:25:02	will usa reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149721	Yes	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0xe5d4fd…
06-27 22:22:02	will usa reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149721	Yes	BUY	11	16¢	$2	0x557724…
06-27 22:21:37	will usa reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149721	Yes	BUY	44	16¢	$7	0x732992…
06-27 22:18:37	will usa reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149721	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x20be65…
06-27 22:18:35	will usa reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149721	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x94cc92…
06-27 21:43:40	will croatia reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120780	No	BUY	40	61¢	$24	0xfb7337…
06-27 21:32:23	will croatia reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120780	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xe4f120…
06-27 21:04:38	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 spread away 1pt5	England	BUY	50	67¢	$33	0x2af9b3…
06-27 10:59:49	Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	30	26¢	$8	0x23ee20…
06-27 10:47:59	Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x5a5215…
06-27 10:46:58	Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	13	26¢	$3	0xf847aa…
06-27 10:44:08	Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	120	26¢	$31	0x8ca354…
06-27 10:03:02	Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0xff79ab…
06-27 09:57:38	Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0xf20d32…
06-27 09:53:43	Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	16	26¢	$4	0xb32162…
06-27 09:44:40	Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0xd5eee6…
06-27 09:39:31	Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0x10da1d…
06-27 09:34:26	Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	25	86¢	$22	0xcd60a7…
06-27 09:34:05	Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	25	86¢	$21	0x27afa7…
06-27 09:32:19	Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	13	26¢	$3	0x167ac6…
06-27 09:14:01	will germany reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149725	Yes	BUY	63	19¢	$12	0xd79fe7…
06-27 08:48:08	will germany reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149725	Yes	BUY	18	19¢	$3	0xef4b83…
06-27 04:16:47	will portugal reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149749	Yes	BUY	67	27¢	$18	0xfdeb6f…
06-27 00:12:19	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xc0fe79…