Muffled-Recreation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.5%

Resolved

Trades

1,172

lifetime

Volume

$9.08K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-20

last 05-19 16:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 25% $-12

Politics

10% — —

Other

0% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 125 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	4	$595	506	506	+0	open	—	04-01 00:30
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$317	171	171	+0	open	—	03-29 03:44
btc updown 15m 1775047500	5	$41	30	14	+16	open	—	04-01 12:55
btc updown 15m 1774968300	4	$39	25	20	+5	open	—	03-31 14:51
btc updown 15m 1776105900	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	04-13 18:58
btc updown 15m 1776178800	3	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	04-14 15:10
btc updown 15m 1776098700	3	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	04-13 16:58
btc updown 15m 1776158100	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	04-14 09:26
btc updown 15m 1776174300	6	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	04-14 13:57
btc updown 15m 1776146400	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	04-14 06:10
btc updown 15m 1776134700	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	04-14 02:58
btc updown 15m 1776183300	3	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	04-14 16:25
btc updown 15m 1776149100	3	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	04-14 06:55
btc updown 15m 1776087000	3	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	04-13 13:43
btc updown 15m 1774953900	8	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	03-31 10:59
btc updown 15m 1774948500	3	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	03-31 09:26
btc updown 15m 1775004300	3	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	04-01 00:54
btc updown 15m 1776239100	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	04-15 07:57
btc updown 15m 1776247200	3	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	04-15 10:12
btc updown 15m 1775054700	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	04-01 14:57
btc updown 15m 1774984500	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	03-31 19:28
btc updown 15m 1775672100	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	04-08 18:23
btc updown 15m 1775595600	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	04-07 21:06
btc updown 15m 1775687400	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	04-08 22:43
btc updown 15m 1775664900	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	04-08 16:27
btc updown 15m 1775027700	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	04-01 07:23
btc updown 15m 1774951200	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	03-31 10:10
btc updown 15m 1775007000	3	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	04-01 01:42
btc updown 15m 1776046500	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	04-13 02:25
btc updown 15m 1775582100	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	04-07 17:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 16:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20?	Down	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xf8be2d…
05-19 15:31:34	Ethereum Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xb607f7…
05-19 15:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x3ce1f4…
05-19 15:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x08c028…
05-19 15:27:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xe30c02…
05-19 15:27:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	44¢	$0	0x36d5c7…
05-19 15:25:55	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Down	SELL	35	30¢	$10	0x5f518b…
05-19 15:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x52f804…
05-19 15:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x02a700…
05-18 20:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	35	27¢	$9	0x0a8699…
05-18 04:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x4cca48…
05-18 04:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xb9a1a0…
05-18 04:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x6c125b…
05-18 04:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x06b09d…
05-18 04:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xe4e9e0…
05-18 04:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x74654f…
05-18 04:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x2b559f…
05-18 03:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	19	45¢	$9	0x74cbf7…
05-18 03:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	45¢	$0	0x153dc8…
05-18 03:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x9f6da1…
05-18 03:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0xd13521…
05-18 03:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0x37eae9…
05-18 03:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x27026b…
05-18 03:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x1ec7af…
05-18 03:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	30¢	$3	0x0aa0e7…
05-18 03:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x13d3d1…
05-18 03:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x284260…
05-18 03:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	75¢	$7	0xf5c1fd…
05-18 03:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x8a57fb…
05-18 03:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x50f686…
05-18 03:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0xce8f22…
05-18 03:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0xb3198e…
05-18 03:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x9e6226…
05-18 03:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x26bcc5…
05-18 03:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xc21a85…
05-18 03:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x0a328a…
05-18 02:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0xb2b91a…
05-18 02:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0x8aad8a…
05-18 02:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x0ac7cb…
05-18 02:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x0c8134…
05-18 02:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x85627f…
05-18 02:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x096a30…
05-18 02:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xbbdb45…
05-18 02:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0x9c4370…
05-18 02:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x9363a9…
05-18 02:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x893712…
05-18 02:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x9bf901…
05-18 02:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	14	30¢	$4	0x2f6b18…
05-18 02:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x63d7c8…
05-18 02:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0x7a663f…
05-18 02:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0x153f43…
05-18 02:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0xed4b8b…
05-18 02:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0xe3240d…
05-18 02:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x24c6d6…
05-18 02:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0x527c70…
05-18 02:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x114ce2…
05-18 02:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x7aaf25…
05-18 02:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xa62196…
05-18 02:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x3f8f2d…
05-18 02:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x227506…
05-18 02:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0x1f2e35…
05-18 02:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	12	50¢	$6	0xf3fbb2…
05-18 02:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xc72af5…
05-18 02:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	130	4¢	$5	0xb8b76d…
05-18 02:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x6fcb60…
05-18 02:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x25d052…
05-18 02:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x0bb4b4…
05-18 02:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	26¢	$4	0x715c31…
05-18 02:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x217b4d…
05-18 02:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xb6156a…
05-18 01:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x297d20…
05-18 01:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xad8627…
05-17 10:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17?	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x181f40…
05-16 21:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0xead024…
05-16 21:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xe54c79…
05-16 21:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x6e12cb…
05-16 21:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0x8de8e6…
05-16 21:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0x668bb2…
05-16 21:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xa20ac1…
05-16 21:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x3eeb54…
05-16 21:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x29d066…
05-16 21:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x4b2505…
05-16 21:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xe696d4…
05-16 21:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x6cc807…
05-16 21:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0xcbcbea…
05-16 21:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0x5ce1f4…
05-16 21:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xd14567…
05-16 21:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xc970b9…
05-16 21:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xe87f93…
05-16 21:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x47feb2…
05-16 21:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xa0cc6a…
05-16 21:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x8d2a5c…
05-16 21:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xf725df…
05-16 21:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc6f038…
05-16 20:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x193211…
05-16 19:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x0b1216…
05-16 19:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x0c33b4…
05-16 19:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x6e34da…
05-16 19:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x9b7311…
05-16 18:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xb6cc9f…