Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$107

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

42.0%

Resolved

Trades

112

lifetime

Volume

$473

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-09

last 11-01 05:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Other

65% 29% -$87

Tech

13% 60% +$15

Crypto

9% 50% +$7

Politics

7% 0% -$32

Sports

6% 35% -$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes		+24	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	08-02 09:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes 328 877	4	$78	59	103	-44	Yes	-$56	01-25 02:30
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	7	$43	50	52	-2	Yes	+$29	02-20 00:37
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes 363	4	$37	73	36	+37	No	-$13	01-25 02:19
will google gemini be 2 free app in the us apple app store on january 16	5	$37	217	0	+217	No	-$37	01-16 09:16
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes 281	2	$31	352	206	+146	No	+$11	01-25 02:08
will trump say greenland during iowa speech 395 962	3	$30	38	0	+38	No	-$30	01-27 13:25
will bitcoin reach 110k in january 2026	2	$28	357	357	+0	No	+$8	01-13 17:18
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 45 minutes and 2 hours 578 355	2	$21	16	108	-92	No	+$11	01-25 02:03
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in less than 1 hour	1	$16	0	202	-202	No	+$16	01-09 16:50
will chatgpt be out as the 1 free app in the us apple store by february 8	4	$14	47	0	+47	Yes	-$14	02-08 01:28
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	3	$13	325	200	+125	No	+$1	01-24 13:40
bitcoin above 72k on february 7	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$1	02-07 16:57
will grok be 2 free app in the us apple app store on january 16	2	$11	183	0	+183	No	-$11	01-12 15:48
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	2	$6	6	6	+0	Yes	+$2	07-07 00:44
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	5	$6	37	9	+28	No	-$2	02-23 16:15
Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$5	200	0	+200	No	-$5	07-19 12:44
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	1	$5	12	0	+12	Spain	-$5	07-18 12:53
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	1	$5	16	0	+16	Yes	+$11	07-12 16:22
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	1	$5	10	0	+10	Yes	+$5	07-06 16:22
will google have the second best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$5	16	16	+0	No	+$3	02-20 15:14
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	3	$3	11	0	+11	Seahawks	-$3	02-09 00:57
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	1	$3	11	0	+11	No	-$3	07-19 12:40
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	2	$3	13	0	+13	No	-$3	07-08 00:03
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	3	$3	53	0	+53	No	-$3	02-21 04:21
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	1	$2	4	0	+4	Milwaukee Brewers	+$2	10-25 05:39
will bnb dip to 500 in february	2	$2	12	12	+0	No	+$0	02-21 01:39
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$2	9	0	+9	Yes	-$2	01-25 09:30
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	1	$2	8	0	+8	Spain	-$2	07-08 00:04
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	1	$2	7	0	+7	Yes	+$5	07-12 16:21
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	1	$2	15	0	+15	No	-$2	07-07 00:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 05:05:03	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x3d4e7e…
11-01 02:33:57	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa1aee5…
10-25 05:39:05	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x4e48ff…
10-24 14:50:15	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xeb850a…
09-15 23:44:19	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x281a2d…
09-15 23:44:04	Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians	Chicago White Sox	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x6251ce…
09-15 23:43:45	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x838626…
09-15 23:43:06	Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Detroit Tigers	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xe78755…
08-22 02:33:30	mlb pit lad 2026 08 21	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x8fc0b9…
08-08 05:40:48	mlb atl cws 2026 06 11	Chicago White Sox	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa47e46…
08-08 05:40:13	mlb lad ari 2026 08 08	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x1c065f…
08-08 05:39:54	mlb oak bos 2026 08 08	Boston Red Sox	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xc76453…
08-05 12:41:29	mlb nym cle 2026 08 05	New York Mets	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x05d84b…
08-05 12:41:09	mlb cws bos 2026 08 05	Boston Red Sox	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x92b13e…
08-05 12:39:29	mlb lad chc 2026 08 05	Chicago Cubs	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x0e72ac…
08-03 16:00:42	mlb stl nyy 2026 08 03	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xc6f923…
08-03 16:00:30	mlb sf tex 2026 08 03	San Francisco Giants	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf04987…
08-03 15:59:53	wta putints zhang 2026 08 03	Yulia Putintseva	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x482847…
08-03 15:59:39	atp zheng kecmano 2026 08 02	Michael Zheng	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x48e3d5…
08-03 15:59:21	atp fritz jodar 2026 08 02	Taylor Fritz	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x4d97fc…
08-03 15:58:59	atp kovacev borges 2026 08 03	Aleksandar Kovacevic	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x1060e5…
08-02 09:31:51	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xc3b82f…
07-24 18:28:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xb69cc7…
07-19 12:44:10	Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0x2b920a…
07-19 12:40:19	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x271954…
07-18 12:53:28	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x276f02…
07-12 16:22:20	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x361d58…
07-12 16:21:55	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xb53c42…
07-08 23:15:23	Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xbc9241…
07-08 23:15:05	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x52eaba…
07-08 00:04:19	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xddb842…
07-08 00:03:17	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x580e85…
07-07 00:45:25	Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x5bdb17…
07-07 00:44:37	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0xc11e40…
07-06 16:27:20	Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb0ca30…
07-06 16:26:49	Will Norway be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x955ab2…
07-06 16:26:22	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x52e008…
07-06 16:24:43	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x8c8f27…
07-06 16:24:22	Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x4a89bc…
07-06 16:23:55	Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x3d5d55…
07-06 16:23:35	Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xffa701…
07-06 16:22:32	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x49b863…
07-06 16:22:02	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x38a219…
02-23 16:15:52	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x670839…
02-21 18:25:08	will anthropic have the third best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xc4a1e4…
02-21 04:21:48	Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0xa5560e…
02-21 01:39:04	will bnb dip to 500 in february	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0xc56639…
02-20 15:17:22	Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x1b6d8a…
02-20 15:15:16	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x81b9f9…
02-20 15:14:02	will google have the second best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	16	25¢	$4	0x060bb5…
02-20 00:41:12	will google have the second best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x860022…
02-20 00:39:38	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x0c9251…
02-20 00:39:06	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x1cd9c2…
02-20 00:37:44	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	9	82¢	$8	0x5eec70…
02-19 14:23:22	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4c3149…
02-12 05:35:47	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xcaa0dc…
02-11 00:17:03	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x079020…
02-10 17:29:11	will chatgpt be back in as the 1 free app in the us apple store by february 11 569	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xfd819d…
02-10 17:28:57	will chatgpt be back in as the 1 free app in the us apple store by february 10	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xa5ba93…
02-09 05:12:53	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 781	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xda90db…
02-09 00:57:21	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	Patriots	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xbb543e…
02-08 01:35:19	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x80aa89…
02-08 01:35:03	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0x37e8db…
02-08 01:28:55	will chatgpt be out as the 1 free app in the us apple store by february 8	No	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x77e1c8…
02-08 01:16:27	will chatgpt be out as the 1 free app in the us apple store by february 8	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x11e83e…
02-08 01:15:07	will chatgpt be out as the 1 free app in the us apple store by february 8	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x2513d7…
02-07 16:58:51	bitcoin above 70k on february 7	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3b6ad4…
02-07 16:57:59	bitcoin above 72k on february 7	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x55cd65…
02-07 16:56:27	will bnb dip to 500 in february	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x3117cb…
02-07 16:52:33	will chatgpt be out as the 1 free app in the us apple store by february 8	No	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xaa1182…
02-07 16:51:05	Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x76adc5…
02-07 16:50:11	will google gemini be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 13	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x46e107…
02-07 03:37:35	bitcoin above 72k on february 7	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xb6710c…
02-07 03:36:43	bitcoin above 74k on february 7	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xbc9e9e…
02-07 03:07:23	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xb5c2fc…
02-07 03:03:47	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	Patriots	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x30f661…
02-07 03:02:17	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x939ca6…
02-07 03:01:21	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x5bddc4…
02-07 02:59:25	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	43	69¢	$29	0x5ce814…
02-01 03:07:40	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0xaeccc9…
02-01 03:00:40	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0xc744f8…
02-01 02:59:58	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	Patriots	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x7c668d…
01-27 13:25:07	will trump say greenland during iowa speech 395 962	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xb3adaa…
01-26 16:04:31	will trump say greenland during iowa speech 395 962	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x93762f…
01-25 09:30:12	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x3685de…
01-25 02:30:56	will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes 328 877	Yes	BUY	48	84¢	$40	0xd9924b…
01-25 02:28:02	will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes 328 877	Yes	SELL	11	79¢	$9	0xc01722…
01-25 02:19:10	will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes 363	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x5394ec…
01-25 02:10:08	will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes 363	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x253670…
01-25 02:09:04	will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes 363	Yes	SELL	36	35¢	$12	0xde5479…
01-25 02:08:48	will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes 281	Yes	BUY	352	3¢	$10	0x3bc982…
01-25 02:04:16	will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes 363	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x44357c…
01-25 02:03:54	will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 45 minutes and 2 hours 578 355	Yes	SELL	108	15¢	$16	0x3b2661…
01-25 01:59:54	will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes 328 877	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x14da21…
01-25 01:58:38	will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 45 minutes and 2 hours 578 355	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xddb855…
01-24 13:40:36	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x695919…
01-24 13:40:24	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xe78a83…
01-24 13:38:20	will trump say greenland during iowa speech 395 962	Yes	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x076de3…
01-20 05:30:36	will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes 281	Yes	SELL	206	10¢	$21	0xa1ff52…
01-19 23:37:34	will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes 328 877	Yes	SELL	92	26¢	$24	0xff9dbe…