Low-Synergy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$42

Unrealized P&L

+$20

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$366

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$47

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 07-10 12:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

71% — —

Crypto

20% 0% $-42

Politics

9% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	-65	$-45	38¢	$-24	+$20	05-31 10:49
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	+21	$15	72¢	$15	$-0	07-12 10:00
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	-17	$-8	46¢	$-8	+$0	07-07 07:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$60	72	72	+0	Down	$-40	05-12 21:19
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June?	2	$51	47	47	+0	open	—	04-18 18:23
Fed rate hike in 2026?	1	$45	0	65	-65	open	—	05-31 10:49
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?	2	$26	17	16	+0	open	—	04-25 16:20
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	1	$20	27	0	+27	open	—	07-10 12:13
will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	2	$18	14	14	+0	open	—	04-12 19:31
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	3	$17	56	55	+1	open	—	05-11 20:35
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	1	$16	67	0	+67	open	—	04-12 11:17
btc updown 5m 1775991900	2	$15	12	12	+1	open	—	04-12 11:09
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	1	$15	21	0	+21	open	—	07-12 10:00
fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	1	$15	22	0	+22	open	—	06-28 17:09
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?	2	$12	18	18	+0	open	—	04-25 15:10
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	1	$10	17	0	+17	open	—	07-12 09:47
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	1	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	04-13 18:12
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$8	34	0	+34	open	—	05-12 20:54
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	1	$8	0	17	-17	open	—	07-07 07:29
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$5	14	14	+0	open	—	04-13 18:00
Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?	2	$4	56	0	+56	open	—	05-04 15:36
bx quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 23 2026 1pt34	1	$3	12	0	+12	open	—	04-20 21:12
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	1	$3	9	0	+9	open	—	07-07 07:35
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	1	$3	33	0	+33	open	—	04-15 20:27
Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	05-12 21:00
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-12 20:59
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	05-12 21:00
Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	05-04 14:32
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	1	$2	29	0	+29	open	—	04-22 20:17
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	1	$2	8	0	+8	open	—	07-08 09:58
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	04-26 14:05
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	1	$2	9	0	+9	open	—	04-27 20:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$1	2	2	+0	Down	$-1	05-12 21:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-12 10:00:31	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0x89b1f9…
07-12 09:47:07	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xc32662…
07-10 12:13:44	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x3ebdf0…
07-08 09:58:22	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x5527ae…
07-07 07:35:11	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x2796f9…
07-07 07:29:41	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	46¢	$8	0x4f89c4…
06-28 17:09:11	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	Norway	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0xfa9aa9…
06-13 20:23:39	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xa10cce…
05-31 10:49:02	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	65	69¢	$45	0xcf2488…
05-12 21:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	72	14¢	$10	0x923f1a…
05-12 21:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0x30896e…
05-12 21:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0x7bba62…
05-12 21:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa2de5c…
05-12 21:00:48	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xda3d8f…
05-12 21:00:06	Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xa157a2…
05-12 20:59:47	Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x88082a…
05-12 20:54:13	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x51718c…
05-11 20:47:57	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	43¢	$7	0xecea42…
05-11 20:35:09	US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	Yes	SELL	55	2¢	$1	0xbc69aa…
05-06 21:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5edc17…
05-04 15:41:24	Will "Six Seven" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xdbff01…
05-04 15:36:34	Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?	Yes	BUY	39	8¢	$3	0xb20d4b…
05-04 15:35:48	Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?	Yes	BUY	16	8¢	$1	0x2e4e0a…
05-04 14:32:04	Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xe06179…
05-02 17:43:48	US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x27c6e1…
04-27 20:37:48	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x5c7533…
04-26 14:05:46	Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	No	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xf2c72b…
04-25 16:20:44	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x8fb967…
04-25 15:10:04	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	18	11¢	$2	0x238e12…
04-25 13:36:08	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xaa1875…
04-25 13:35:32	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x8d2d2f…
04-22 20:17:58	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xc8c3ce…
04-22 20:08:44	US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	Yes	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x4b3a96…
04-20 21:12:36	bx quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 23 2026 1pt34	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x00f644…
04-18 18:32:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x38b54b…
04-18 18:23:50	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	SELL	47	77¢	$36	0x1e5012…
04-15 20:27:00	Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x9def73…
04-15 20:13:32	Netanyahu out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xd315ee…
04-13 19:59:49	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	BUY	47	32¢	$15	0xc5f78c…
04-13 18:12:53	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x392531…
04-13 18:00:05	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0x401c25…
04-12 19:31:55	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	14	95¢	$13	0x3211d8…
04-12 14:18:47	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x5430c7…
04-12 11:17:15	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	BUY	67	24¢	$16	0x5cffaa…
04-12 11:09:55	btc updown 5m 1775991900	Down	SELL	12	87¢	$10	0xfd4d22…
04-12 11:05:39	btc updown 5m 1775991900	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x5080fa…
04-06 08:56:35	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x839664…