Unfortunate-Regime — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$416

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.3%

Resolved

2,502

Trades

8,464

lifetime

Volume

$31.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 10-30 02:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 167 days

Categories

Other

66% 79% -$664

Crypto

34% 85% +$136

Sports

1% 52% +$111

Politics

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 231 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 1pt5	8	$283	158	158	+0	Over	+$31	07-11 23:08
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	9	$237	397	0	+397	Spain	-$237	07-14 09:20
lec clb atl 2026 08 04 team total away 1pt5	2	$190	101	101	+0	Under	+$10	08-05 02:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 11:40 UTC	20	$183	102	102	+0	Up	+$19	08-18 11:44
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	4	$182	217	14	+203	England	+$24	07-11 23:29
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 12:40 UTC	13	$171	179	0	+179	Up	-$168	06-12 12:44
Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-08-09?	6	$170	101	101	+0	Yes	+$16	08-09 12:26
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 11:20 UTC	12	$168	170	0	+170	Up	+$2	06-10 11:24
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 14:40 UTC	16	$160	169	0	+169	Down	+$9	06-09 14:44
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 13:35 UTC	18	$156	159	0	+159	Up	+$2	06-09 13:39
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 06:25 UTC	17	$152	154	0	+154	Up	+$2	06-08 06:29
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 14:35 UTC	17	$149	162	0	+162	Down	+$11	06-09 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 12:40 UTC	9	$145	74	74	+0	Up	+$3	08-17 13:08
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 13:20 UTC	13	$145	147	0	+147	Down	+$2	06-09 13:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 13:30 UTC	13	$145	147	0	+147	Up	+$1	07-20 13:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 14:40 UTC	22	$145	96	94	+2	Down	-$13	08-20 14:44
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 14:25 UTC	17	$143	146	0	+146	Down	+$3	06-09 14:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 08:10 UTC	30	$138	140	0	+140	Up	+$2	07-12 08:14
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-08-08?	2	$137	72	72	+0	Yes	+$7	08-08 13:47
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 14:30 UTC	9	$135	139	0	+139	Down	+$1	06-09 14:34
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 03:10 UTC	9	$135	137	0	+137	Down	+$2	06-10 03:14
chi yun ron 2026 08 08 btts	3	$135	70	70	+0	No	+$5	08-08 13:59
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 00:15 UTC	19	$134	136	0	+136	Up	+$2	06-07 00:19
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	4	$133	246	0	+246	Argentina	-$133	07-15 15:50
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 15:55 UTC	11	$133	136	0	+136	Down	+$3	06-05 15:59
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	3	$132	169	0	+169	France	+$37	07-09 16:23
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 11:20 UTC	10	$132	134	0	+134	Up	+$2	06-06 11:24
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 08:50 UTC	11	$130	131	0	+131	Up	+$1	06-12 08:54
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 14:00 UTC	8	$128	132	0	+132	Down	+$2	06-09 14:04
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 06:35 UTC	10	$127	138	0	+138	Down	+$5	06-06 06:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 02:13:45	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xcd9566…
10-30 01:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x09acc2…
10-30 01:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x8531a8…
10-30 01:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xece152…
10-30 01:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x9c7994…
10-29 12:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xa13286…
10-29 12:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x08f72c…
10-29 05:02:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	18	98¢	$17	0x2ebd64…
10-29 05:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xcd135a…
10-29 03:22:28	Spread: Spurs (-5.5)	Jazz	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x7c27f7…
10-29 03:21:23	Spurs vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x466328…
10-29 00:21:22	Hornets vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xb8298d…
10-29 00:17:25	Warriors vs. Timberwolves	Warriors	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x26cc43…
10-28 05:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x118b52…
10-28 05:38:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xda1df6…
10-28 00:27:44	Nets vs. Celtics	Nets	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x05ec0a…
10-28 00:27:38	Spread: Celtics (-6.5)	Nets	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x161b56…
10-27 01:11:29	Mavericks vs. Heat	Mavericks	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x0c9019…
10-27 01:10:29	Mavericks vs. Heat	Mavericks	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x2c2327…
10-27 01:09:05	Mavericks vs. Heat	Mavericks	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xef2f33…
10-25 08:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x5f878f…
10-25 03:38:05	Warriors vs. Suns	Warriors	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x7da533…
10-25 03:32:08	Pelicans vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x0367cc…
10-24 14:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x266311…
10-24 14:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xae1a4e…
10-24 14:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xaaf516…
10-24 14:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x8a05b0…
10-24 07:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xad1b6f…
10-24 06:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb57708…
10-24 06:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2d976d…
10-23 06:22:03	Knicks vs. Celtics	Knicks	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xf287c9…
10-23 03:05:44	Nuggets vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xf7d76a…
10-23 03:05:36	Nuggets vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x9f9b93…
10-22 01:33:17	Pacers vs. Pelicans	Pacers	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xe37049…
10-21 07:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x316c7e…
10-21 01:19:30	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x3c29c9…
10-18 07:23:32	Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xbe8ea8…
10-16 15:00:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x775d59…
10-16 14:56:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xd71d3b…
10-16 14:44:40	Will SC Delhi win on 2026-10-16?	Yes	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xed0c8a…
10-16 14:39:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xaab0ed…
10-16 14:34:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:30 UTC	Up	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xb90ee7…
10-16 14:31:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x9b327d…
10-16 14:27:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x795ccb…
10-16 14:23:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x2a57f6…
10-06 07:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x54f8e0…
10-06 02:05:55	Timberwolves vs. Bucks	Timberwolves	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x21bd14…
10-04 12:45:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xfe1d71…
10-04 12:45:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa8741f…
10-04 12:45:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xfec75c…
10-04 12:45:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa55b02…
10-04 12:45:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4f74d8…
10-04 12:33:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xaa7eb6…
10-04 12:33:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x10535e…
10-04 12:33:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x9b88cf…
10-04 12:33:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x9964f1…
10-04 12:32:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xa83126…
10-04 12:28:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf7b9fb…
10-04 12:28:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xa17b7d…
10-04 12:28:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x665dea…
10-04 12:22:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc8d72e…
10-04 12:22:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x642276…
10-04 12:22:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc68225…
10-04 12:22:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x839e4c…
10-04 12:22:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x723995…
10-04 12:22:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xfb347a…
10-04 12:22:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xf22f0b…
10-04 12:22:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xeec307…
10-04 12:22:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xd109c6…
10-04 12:22:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xcc25b3…
10-04 12:19:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x6e2c29…
10-04 12:19:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x16408b…
10-04 12:18:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa49c80…
10-04 12:18:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xde35aa…
10-04 12:18:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x9e222f…
10-04 12:18:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xd1d6cc…
10-04 12:18:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x952e6f…
10-04 12:18:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x8118b4…
10-04 12:18:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xa6070b…
10-04 12:18:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x951dc7…
10-04 12:18:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xe409d7…
10-04 12:18:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xbf004f…
10-04 12:18:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x67cc9d…
10-04 12:18:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xa8b231…
10-04 12:18:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x4a879e…
10-04 12:18:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x120138…
10-04 12:18:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x0a8976…
10-04 12:12:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xab69e7…
10-04 12:12:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x8c0f40…
10-04 12:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x919afc…
10-04 12:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x1ceb11…
10-04 12:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0xbd4860…
10-04 12:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0xcbe917…
10-04 12:06:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0xddbd34…
10-04 12:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x8c8f75…
10-04 12:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x248e9e…
10-04 12:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x5fe51f…
10-04 12:02:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xf962e5…
10-04 12:02:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xcde4db…
10-04 12:02:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x5c3a0c…