Frivolous-Guerrilla — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.56K

Unrealized P&L

+$513

Hit rate

49.9%

Resolved

Trades

6,966

lifetime

Volume

$353.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$51

Open exposure

$5.08K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-02 09:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 62% $-1,558

Other

29% — —

Politics

6% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 403 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No		+7,004	$4,565	72¢	$5.1K	+$513	05-31 05:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ice shooter charged by march 31	13	$34.7K	18,947	18,947	+0	open	—	03-27 04:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	9	$23.0K	14,626	12,498	+2,128	open	—	05-20 15:48
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	8	$15.9K	12,351	4,063	+8,288	open	—	03-31 10:39
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	3	$13.7K	13,835	1,051	+12,784	open	—	04-30 19:08
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	2	$8.3K	9,233	0	+9,233	open	—	04-01 07:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	29	$8.2K	4,862	4,861	+0	Down	$-252	05-06 07:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$6.4K	3,559	3,559	+0	open	—	04-25 07:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	4	$5.1K	5,223	0	+5,223	Down	$-44	05-05 17:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	23	$4.6K	7,004	0	+7,004	open	—	05-31 05:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	144	$4.3K	2,380	2,380	+0	Up	+$261	05-06 07:08
btc updown 15m 1767868200	150	$4.2K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	01-08 10:38
btc updown 15m 1767772800	15	$2.3K	3,723	1,204	+2,519	open	—	01-07 08:06
btc updown 15m 1767238200	31	$2.3K	2,483	2,383	+100	open	—	01-01 03:44
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	6	$2.2K	1,838	1,838	+0	open	—	03-11 18:56
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	2	$2.1K	3,030	3,030	+0	open	—	05-01 20:10
bun b04 stu 2026 01 10 total 4pt5	1	$1.7K	2,305	0	+2,305	open	—	01-10 17:51
btc updown 15m 1767551400	74	$1.6K	3,750	0	+3,750	open	—	01-04 18:33
btc updown 15m 1767632400	44	$1.5K	1,630	1,630	+0	open	—	01-05 17:14
nhl nj nsh 2026 03 26	1	$1.4K	2,794	0	+2,794	open	—	03-26 09:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	6	$1.4K	1,620	486	+1,133	Up	$-59	05-05 08:09
btc updown 15m 1767858300	2	$1.4K	1,800	1,772	+28	open	—	01-08 07:55
btc updown 15m 1767609000	63	$1.4K	1,817	1,817	+0	open	—	01-05 10:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	35	$1.4K	963	963	+0	Up	+$166	05-06 07:39
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$1.4K	1,601	1,601	+0	open	—	03-31 01:20
btc updown 15m 1767630600	49	$1.3K	1,839	1,729	+110	open	—	01-05 16:44
btc updown 15m 1767420000	37	$1.2K	1,250	1,202	+48	open	—	01-03 06:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	41	$1.2K	935	935	+0	Up	+$15	05-06 07:18
btc updown 15m 1767514500	23	$1.2K	1,250	1,250	+0	open	—	01-04 08:17
btc updown 15m 1767268800	40	$1.2K	1,250	1,250	+0	open	—	01-01 12:07
btc updown 15m 1767633300	42	$1.1K	1,250	1,250	+0	open	—	01-05 17:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 09:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0x6e49bf…
06-02 09:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x6a2fe5…
05-31 05:43:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	2,246	71¢	$1,600	0x0bce9a…
05-31 05:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	198	17¢	$34	0x0081be…
05-31 05:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	198	51¢	$100	0xcaf7b8…
05-31 05:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xc54c45…
05-31 05:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x2e656a…
05-31 05:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	177	93¢	$165	0x7d85ba…
05-31 05:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	108	93¢	$100	0x8e1196…
05-31 05:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x47c3a2…
05-31 05:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0xb5fc48…
05-31 05:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	74	67¢	$50	0x920cfb…
05-29 14:53:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	400	59¢	$236	0x2b0617…
05-29 14:53:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	400	60¢	$240	0xc6bd45…
05-29 14:52:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0x6de098…
05-29 14:45:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0xeb4013…
05-29 08:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	100	71¢	$71	0x4ebe9c…
05-29 08:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x839310…
05-29 08:48:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0xe43f7c…
05-29 08:47:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	21	15¢	$3	0xc63698…
05-29 08:47:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	24	15¢	$4	0xbf4af4…
05-29 08:47:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x5d5d24…
05-29 08:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xa73002…
05-29 08:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x334832…
05-29 08:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xc543cc…
05-29 07:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	93	66¢	$61	0xf7dac9…
05-29 07:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x2fa561…
05-29 07:43:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1,562	64¢	$1,000	0x2d09de…
05-29 07:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	200	23¢	$45	0x99f1af…
05-29 07:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	200	33¢	$67	0x4cfc28…
05-28 14:31:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x38801b…
05-28 14:25:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	72	61¢	$44	0x8510ad…
05-28 14:25:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	64	61¢	$39	0x3bb245…
05-28 14:24:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	18	61¢	$11	0xb5c687…
05-28 14:23:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	17	61¢	$10	0x2bb442…
05-28 14:23:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	30	61¢	$18	0xa52924…
05-28 14:22:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0xfa569f…
05-28 14:22:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xaf7929…
05-28 14:21:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xd088b9…
05-28 14:21:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x87476f…
05-28 14:21:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	364	61¢	$222	0x812e20…
05-28 14:17:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	600	62¢	$372	0x8da1f9…
05-28 14:16:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	380	63¢	$239	0xf21d56…
05-28 14:16:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x2a2a72…
05-28 14:16:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x0852c1…
05-28 14:15:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x1cdbc9…
05-28 08:04:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	400	64¢	$256	0xf26a78…
05-28 06:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	91	70¢	$64	0xb43c3f…
05-28 06:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0xdeccc8…
05-28 06:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x690af7…
05-28 06:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x2f890e…
05-28 06:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0xe0437e…
05-28 06:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x9c83b9…
05-25 06:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0xdf879f…
05-25 06:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	207	58¢	$120	0x06b073…
05-25 06:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	207	48¢	$100	0xbf4fa5…
05-21 17:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x2ec8d0…
05-21 17:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	124	81¢	$100	0xa403ab…
05-21 17:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	146	99¢	$144	0xe23ace…
05-21 17:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	188	10¢	$19	0x3ecb52…
05-21 17:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	188	53¢	$100	0x1822ce…
05-21 17:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	146	69¢	$100	0x1eec74…
05-21 17:31:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	175	31¢	$54	0x78156a…
05-21 17:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x000d90…
05-21 17:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	89	99¢	$88	0xb91348…
05-21 17:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xaeeb0f…
05-21 17:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa01b57…
05-21 17:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x947328…
05-21 17:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x511eb4…
05-21 17:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	75	99¢	$74	0x4034e5…
05-21 17:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x0f9b00…
05-21 17:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x5708c2…
05-21 17:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0xfa4df5…
05-21 17:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	200	39¢	$78	0x9c3fb7…
05-21 17:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	56¢	$12	0xfe38d6…
05-21 17:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	23	56¢	$13	0xad26ce…
05-21 17:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x9f9f3d…
05-21 17:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	32	56¢	$18	0x82a1de…
05-21 17:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	56¢	$12	0x7d2201…
05-21 17:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x75a7be…
05-21 17:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	33	56¢	$19	0x67da4c…
05-21 17:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	33	56¢	$19	0x3eb6c9…
05-21 17:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xadb855…
05-21 17:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	30	82¢	$25	0xff6d83…
05-21 17:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0x3aa40c…
05-21 17:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	12	82¢	$10	0xf66394…
05-21 17:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xeedb8c…
05-21 17:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xd50c2c…
05-21 17:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0xcbd56f…
05-21 17:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xbb1ce8…
05-21 17:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	24	82¢	$20	0xb5d2b2…
05-21 17:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x3d8717…
05-21 17:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x3d1ee2…
05-21 17:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x313426…
05-21 17:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x22001a…
05-21 17:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0x19a41b…
05-21 17:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x0a04cb…
05-21 17:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x0caf8e…
05-21 17:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0xed0184…
05-21 17:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x5c5999…