Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.89K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

41.4%

Resolved

6,533

Trades

15,752

lifetime

Volume

$24.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-19 16:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 16% -$3,011

Other

5% 13% +$124

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 561 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.0 but below 2.25?	Yes		+10	$0	4¢	$0	+$0	10-19 16:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	35	$5.6K	3,366	3,441	-75	Yes	-$322	01-31 10:14
will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	37	$5.1K	5,012	2,203	+2,809	Yes	-$1,830	01-27 20:23
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	13	$1.7K	1,200	1,200	+0	No	+$105	01-12 12:20
will bitcoin reach 94k january 19 25	22	$1.7K	992	813	+179	No	+$93	01-24 00:54
will bitcoin dip to 86k january 19 25	16	$1.7K	1,511	700	+811	No	-$247	01-26 00:48
will bitcoin reach 96k december 29 january 4	8	$1.3K	800	500	+300	No	+$29	01-03 05:21
will bitcoin dip to 86k january 26 1	15	$1.1K	1,710	0	+1,710	Yes	-$1,148	01-29 07:17
will bitcoin reach 95k in january 2026	26	$1.1K	1,305	1,305	+0	Yes	+$31	01-11 21:04
gc hit 5500 high jan 2026	24	$1.0K	1,167	901	+266	No	+$143	01-28 22:56
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	4	$945	600	600	+0	No	+$51	05-12 08:03
will bitcoin reach 92k december 29 january 4	6	$732	600	450	+150	Yes	-$66	01-03 01:26
will bitcoin dip to 86k december 29 january 4	8	$692	500	500	+0	No	+$223	01-02 14:50
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	4	$507	600	600	+0	No	+$39	05-12 08:06
bitcoin up or down on april 8 2026	1	$499	500	0	+500	Up	+$1	04-08 15:12
will bitcoin reach 94k december 29 january 4	6	$371	200	200	+0	No	+$12	01-02 22:35
will bitcoin dip to 84k december 29 january 4	4	$356	200	195	+5	No	+$33	01-02 14:50
bitcoin above 70k on march 19	2	$11	30	30	+0	No	-$6	03-19 15:20
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 31?	2	$1	10	10	+0	No	+$1	08-30 20:16
Will MrBeast's next video get between 38.5 and 39 million views in week 1?	17	$1	593	6	+587	No	-$1	08-01 15:44
Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	7	$1	27	27	+0	No	+$1	09-07 03:55
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on September 2?	8	$1	32	32	+0	No	+$0	09-01 01:44
bitcoin above 64400 on august 1 2026 10am et	2	$1	100	15	+85	No	+$0	08-01 13:59
bitcoin above 64600 on august 1 2026 10am et	2	$1	100	15	+85	No	+$0	08-01 13:59
bitcoin above 64800 on august 1 2026 10am et	2	$1	100	15	+85	No	+$0	08-01 13:59
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 2?	15	$1	95	95	+0	No	+$0	09-01 07:03
will bitcoin dip to 59k on august 1	2	$0	100	100	+0	No	+$0	08-01 18:55
will ethereum dip to 1700 on august 1	2	$0	100	100	+0	No	+$0	08-01 18:35
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 3?	22	$0	190	180	+10	No	+$0	09-02 12:15
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 30?	3	$0	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-28 20:37
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C or higher on August 30?	4	$0	20	20	+0	No	+$0	08-29 14:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 16:44:23	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.0 but below 2.25?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x08be0e…
10-16 03:40:51	Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 8.8 – 8.9?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xaa79b9…
10-07 10:46:21	Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x1a7957…
10-07 09:02:59	Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Leah?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xec586b…
10-07 06:09:51	Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x8625f6…
10-06 20:43:57	Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Leah?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x8ddc53…
10-06 20:43:57	Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Leah?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x6ccdb7…
09-25 23:45:21	Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Nana?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x9e8db2…
09-19 03:11:24	Will exactly 6 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xe067a1…
09-19 03:10:30	Will exactly 6 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x605931…
09-19 03:10:30	Will fewer than 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x4fe9b6…
09-19 03:10:22	Will exactly 6 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xb45955…
09-19 03:10:21	Will fewer than 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xa50181…
09-19 03:10:15	Will exactly 6 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x73db27…
09-19 03:10:13	Will fewer than 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x3391e8…
09-19 03:10:06	Will exactly 6 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xa82c17…
09-19 03:10:04	Will fewer than 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xb96fdc…
09-19 03:09:58	Will exactly 6 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xff2385…
09-19 03:09:58	Will fewer than 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xf69c1a…
09-19 03:09:52	Will fewer than 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x361c3c…
09-19 03:09:51	Will exactly 6 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x03b356…
09-19 01:26:55	Will exactly 6 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0xfc189b…
09-19 01:26:55	Will fewer than 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0xf3b67e…
09-19 01:25:28	Will exactly 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x02e5f9…
09-19 01:25:25	Will exactly 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x79b748…
09-13 23:46:36	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 12?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xc79305…
09-13 08:02:30	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C or below on September 13?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xf14719…
09-13 07:03:33	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C or below on September 13?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x9c8f93…
09-13 05:18:43	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C or higher on September 13?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x3af871…
09-13 04:46:24	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C or below on September 13?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x3dcc81…
09-13 04:45:25	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C or below on September 13?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xcb4259…
09-13 04:08:43	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C or higher on September 13?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x030a33…
09-13 04:08:34	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on September 13?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x7b4d09…
09-13 04:07:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 13?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xc2b9eb…
09-13 01:04:24	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on September 13?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xe3dd02…
09-12 23:59:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C or higher on September 13?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x7bc661…
09-12 23:20:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C or higher on September 13?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xcae76d…
09-12 21:16:25	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 37°C or higher on September 13?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x619e58…
09-12 21:16:16	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 36°C on September 13?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xddefbc…
09-12 20:56:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on September 13?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x83a180…
09-12 19:23:43	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 100°F or higher on September 12?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x56e3ea…
09-12 17:39:09	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 79°F or below on September 12?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x5e5e0b…
09-12 15:41:30	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C or below on September 13?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x92d00a…
09-12 15:09:37	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on September 13?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xd519b2…
09-12 15:09:37	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C or below on September 13?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x91a34a…
09-12 15:02:07	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C or higher on September 12?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x6a3079…
09-12 14:39:33	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C or below on September 13?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0xd93d2d…
09-12 14:39:33	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on September 13?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0xd68480…
09-12 13:24:12	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 57°F or below on September 12?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x714abf…
09-12 13:01:07	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C or higher on September 13?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xf09436…
09-12 12:12:12	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 13?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x561ea2…
09-12 11:08:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 13?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x36b79d…
09-12 11:06:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 13?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xe992d7…
09-12 10:51:16	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on September 12?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x9b82ff…
09-12 10:19:37	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 98°F or higher on September 12?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xf48520…
09-12 09:45:42	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on September 13?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xc6d9db…
09-12 09:40:04	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 12?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xd17d14…
09-12 09:19:10	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C or higher on September 13?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x05828f…
09-12 08:18:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 12?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x8685fc…
09-12 08:09:28	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C or higher on September 12?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x314d5c…
09-12 07:41:22	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or below on September 13?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x235ebf…
09-12 07:09:12	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 77°F or below on September 12?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xb26bef…
09-12 06:51:21	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on September 13?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x7db299…
09-12 06:44:25	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 12?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x454b7f…
09-12 06:32:04	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C or below on September 13?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xaedf2d…
09-12 05:23:46	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 13?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x3a4de9…
09-12 05:18:27	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 12?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0xef6f55…
09-12 05:08:06	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 73°F or below on September 12?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xf226e9…
09-12 04:24:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on September 12?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x2c5508…
09-12 04:13:40	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on September 12?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x639114…
09-12 04:13:39	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 12?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xcda474…
09-12 04:06:19	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C or higher on September 13?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x8f479b…
09-12 03:48:12	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 32°C or higher on September 12?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xf38b7e…
09-12 03:41:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C or below on September 13?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x6726a5…
09-12 03:36:55	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 92°F or higher on September 12?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x4a0e29…
09-12 02:33:52	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 108-109°F on September 12?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xf0c938…
09-12 02:13:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xa89ade…
09-12 01:29:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on September 13?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x128ece…
09-12 01:21:34	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 12?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x2a1cf4…
09-12 01:21:03	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x388dba…
09-12 01:13:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C or below on September 13?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0xdf3c27…
09-12 01:05:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C or below on September 13?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x342c89…
09-12 01:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 12?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x52fe20…
09-12 00:59:22	Will the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on September 13?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xbe0a7e…
09-12 00:59:22	Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on September 13?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xbb7ee4…
09-12 00:59:22	Will the lowest temperature in London be 22°C or higher on September 13?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xa17979…
09-12 00:59:21	Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C or below on September 13?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xce8d6d…
09-12 00:49:51	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 77°F or below on September 12?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x25cd90…
09-12 00:40:24	Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xfedf6a…
09-12 00:40:24	Will the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xeec4f8…
09-12 00:40:24	Will the lowest temperature in London be 22°C or higher on September 13?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xb518ac…
09-12 00:40:24	Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C or below on September 13?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x1a8f1b…
09-12 00:40:24	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x00736c…
09-12 00:39:07	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on September 13?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xd4a1af…
09-12 00:36:40	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xe01793…
09-12 00:36:37	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xec9b7f…
09-12 00:26:19	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 89°F or below on September 13?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x01f679…
09-12 00:24:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C or higher on September 13?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x73c80a…
09-12 00:24:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x07c005…
09-12 00:10:42	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x83b466…