Better-Ordination — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$158

Unrealized P&L

+$12

Hit rate

77.2%

Resolved

643

Trades

1,754

lifetime

Volume

$35.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$19

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-20

last 10-23 17:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 85 days

Categories

Crypto

46% 87% -$206

Other

34% 79% +$370

Politics

15% 30% -$135

Sports

5% 80% +$129

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+130	$18	14¢	$18	-$1	07-23 13:51
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+100	$4	2¢	$2	-$2	07-25 14:16
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	+0	-$10	99¢	$0	+$10	10-10 17:41
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	-$4	18¢	$0	+$4	10-08 21:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	13	$5.0K	2,627	2,510	+116	Yes	-$117	05-06 09:05
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	22	$860	760	760	+0	Yes	+$42	05-30 19:00
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-24 12:00 UTC	24	$610	330	330	+0	Up	-$8	04-24 12:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 11:05 UTC	5	$394	200	200	+0	Up	+$2	04-24 11:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 15:05 UTC	7	$392	300	100	+200	Down	+$4	04-24 15:09
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	4	$292	153	153	+0	No	+$1	07-08 23:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-24 14:00 UTC	7	$288	150	150	+0	Down	+$5	04-24 14:13
cs2 prv mnte 2026 06 12	5	$276	283	0	+283	Monte	+$7	06-12 14:13
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-24 13:45 UTC	2	$258	130	130	+0	Down	+$1	04-24 14:00
cs2 big5 b8 2026 06 09 game2	9	$241	241	40	+201	B8	+$21	06-09 18:22
Exact Score: Denmark 0 - 0 Ukraine?	2	$224	226	0	+226	No	+$2	06-07 18:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 15:00 UTC	6	$217	160	66	+94	Down	+$8	04-24 15:04
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-24 16:00 UTC	3	$208	110	110	+0	Down	+$10	04-24 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	3	$202	105	105	+0	Down	+$6	04-28 10:13
lal ray esp 2026 04 23 total 3pt5	3	$201	103	103	+0	Under	+$2	04-23 19:30
lal ovi vil 2026 04 23 total 4pt5	4	$201	112	109	+3	Under	+$4	04-23 20:41
Exact Score: Cambodia 1 - 2 Bhutan?	2	$200	101	100	+0	No	+$0	06-04 15:59
cs2 mnte pain 2026 06 09 game1	8	$200	220	40	+180	Monte	+$20	06-09 12:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-24 14:30 UTC	5	$199	150	50	+100	Up	+$1	04-24 14:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-24 13:00 UTC	3	$198	202	0	+202	Up	+$4	04-24 13:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-24 12:15 UTC	2	$197	100	100	+0	Down	+$1	04-24 12:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 11:15 UTC	3	$196	100	100	+0	Down	+$2	04-24 11:19
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-24 11:15 UTC	6	$195	100	100	+0	Up	+$3	04-24 11:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 13:45 UTC	3	$190	150	50	+100	Down	+$4	04-24 13:49
Exact Score: Japan 3 - 1 Iceland?	1	$180	181	0	+181	No	+$1	05-31 11:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-24 11:00 UTC	5	$178	89	89	-0	Up	+$0	04-24 11:11
will argentina reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120771	7	$177	105	105	+0	Yes	+$29	07-04 00:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-24 15:45 UTC	7	$172	90	90	+0	Up	+$6	04-24 15:59
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	4	$170	174	0	+174	Up	+$4	05-01 19:09
cs2 faze 3dmax 2026 07 04 game2	3	$170	170	0	+170	FaZe	+$0	07-04 14:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 17:30:23	Fort Worth: Mees Rottgering vs Darwin Blanch	Darwin Blanch	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xddc7f4…
10-23 17:29:36	Fort Worth: Mees Rottgering vs Darwin Blanch	Darwin Blanch	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xca3de4…
10-23 17:04:05	Almaty Open: Alexander Bublik vs Karen Khachanov	Alexander Bublik	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x16201b…
10-16 13:46:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x22cdb1…
10-16 10:50:36	wta olmo masarov 2026 10 15	Rebeka Masarova	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x1c8124…
10-16 08:50:57	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud	Rafael Jodar	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xb67f1f…
10-16 08:47:49	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud	Rafael Jodar	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x2b463c…
10-16 08:47:04	Jinan: Martin Landaluce vs Keegan Smith	Martin Landaluce	SELL	15	81¢	$12	0x593365…
10-16 08:40:34	Jinan: Martin Landaluce vs Keegan Smith	Martin Landaluce	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x0da097…
10-16 08:39:22	Jinan: Martin Landaluce vs Keegan Smith	Martin Landaluce	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x90b67e…
10-16 08:38:58	Jinan: Martin Landaluce vs Keegan Smith	Martin Landaluce	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xbcd081…
10-16 07:48:31	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	40	73¢	$30	0x35c636…
10-16 07:29:54	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	40	73¢	$29	0x41c5a7…
10-16 07:29:52	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	17	73¢	$12	0x5483cd…
10-15 21:38:11	atp roncade prado 2026 10 14	Juan Carlos Prado	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xec5881…
10-15 15:53:59	wta olmo masarov 2026 10 15	Rebeka Masarova	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xd20380…
10-15 15:53:17	wta olmo masarov 2026 10 15	Rebeka Masarova	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x26fa78…
10-15 15:41:32	Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x69dcf8…
10-15 15:41:32	Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	5¢	$1	0x634fa8…
10-15 15:41:31	Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0x811789…
10-15 15:33:47	Lisbon: Francisca Jorge vs Francesca Jones	Francesca Jones	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xb046c2…
10-15 15:18:44	Lisbon: Francisca Jorge vs Francesca Jones	Francesca Jones	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x5a194d…
10-15 15:16:49	Lisbon: Francisca Jorge vs Francesca Jones	Francesca Jones	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x052bfb…
10-15 14:42:25	Wuhan Tennis Open: Ann Li vs Janice Tjen	Ann Li	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x426102…
10-13 11:35:59	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik	Alexander Zverev	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x2a7675…
10-13 07:02:43	Wuhan Tennis Open: Katie Boulter vs Diana Shnaider	Diana Shnaider	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xddc82e…
10-11 18:05:19	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 3 Winner	MOUZ	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x06e0d9…
10-11 17:55:09	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 3 Winner	MOUZ	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x6f3b52…
10-11 17:52:09	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 3 Winner	MOUZ	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x83cef4…
10-11 17:51:48	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 3 Winner	MOUZ	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x4b05c7…
10-11 16:07:40	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	MOUZ	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x231b02…
10-10 17:41:40	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	18	78¢	$14	0x4dbb9c…
10-10 11:07:37	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x1826b8…
10-10 10:57:58	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x13d3ee…
10-10 10:04:28	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fils vs Pavel Kotov	Arthur Fils	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc31fed…
10-09 16:39:47	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	34	78¢	$27	0x38de72…
10-08 21:56:15	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x5a5f45…
10-08 21:36:48	Antofagasta: Juan Carlos Prado vs Pedro Boscardin Dias	Juan Carlos Prado	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x9ba404…
10-08 21:36:38	Antofagasta: Juan Carlos Prado vs Pedro Boscardin Dias	Juan Carlos Prado	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x3eb825…
10-08 21:36:12	Antofagasta: Juan Carlos Prado vs Pedro Boscardin Dias	Juan Carlos Prado	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xa336db…
10-08 21:00:12	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	112	41¢	$46	0xe58693…
10-06 17:40:20	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	35	75¢	$26	0x02c604…
10-06 06:33:36	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	97	52¢	$50	0x276927…
10-05 21:37:59	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	27	94¢	$25	0x5a4020…
10-05 17:09:44	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0x89f3d6…
09-23 07:51:25	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x5aef01…
09-22 08:02:00	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0x06f959…
09-22 07:59:54	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?	No	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x901f52…
09-20 16:01:24	cs2 aur1 vit 2026 09 20	Aurora Gaming	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0x8c65bc…
09-20 16:01:13	cs2 aur1 vit 2026 09 20	Aurora Gaming	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x4f8208…
09-20 16:00:34	cs2 aur1 vit 2026 09 20 game2	Aurora Gaming	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9ddf20…
09-20 15:59:19	cs2 aur1 vit 2026 09 20	Aurora Gaming	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x3a968f…
09-20 15:58:15	cs2 aur1 vit 2026 09 20 game2	Aurora Gaming	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xd47949…
09-20 13:29:45	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs	FURIA	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x52592e…
09-20 13:04:43	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner	FURIA	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x30b589…
09-20 13:02:43	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner	FURIA	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x7868ed…
09-20 13:01:07	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner	FURIA	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xaf1a29…
09-20 13:00:51	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner	FURIA	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x2d66d1…
09-20 12:38:19	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs	FURIA	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x632bed…
09-20 12:33:36	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs	FURIA	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x83d0a8…
08-16 13:58:27	cs2 9z mgc 2026 08 16 game1	magic	BUY	32	65¢	$21	0x6bcd6b…
08-16 13:58:22	cs2 9z mgc 2026 08 16 game1	magic	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xabe760…
08-16 13:28:36	cs2 9z mgc 2026 08 16 map handicap away 1pt5	9z	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x87ad86…
08-02 13:19:08	cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 08 02 game3	MOUZ	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0x7135b9…
08-02 13:17:48	cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 08 02 game3	MOUZ	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x9cf6ea…
08-02 13:16:51	cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 08 02 game3	MOUZ	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x078c0f…
08-02 13:16:36	cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 08 02 game3	MOUZ	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x7ec6dc…
08-02 13:15:35	cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 08 02 game3	MOUZ	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xd82648…
08-02 13:15:35	cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 08 02 game3	MOUZ	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x4ca3b5…
08-02 13:14:57	cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 08 02 game3	MOUZ	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xcf35ff…
08-02 13:11:51	cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 08 02 game3	Spirit	SELL	70	72¢	$50	0x7baf85…
08-02 13:04:50	cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 08 02 game3	Spirit	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x392b93…
08-02 12:54:15	cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 08 02 game3	Spirit	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5b9c4c…
08-02 12:53:56	cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 08 02 game3	Spirit	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x653765…
08-02 12:53:17	cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 08 02 game3	Spirit	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x8d6697…
08-02 12:52:09	cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 08 02 game3	Spirit	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x8321e1…
08-02 12:51:06	cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 08 02 game3	Spirit	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x878ead…
08-02 12:51:05	cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 08 02 game3	Spirit	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x6cf5d1…
07-31 20:24:42	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-07-31?	Yes	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0xd486cf…
07-31 20:18:32	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-07-31?	Yes	BUY	3	19¢	$1	0x5260dd…
07-31 20:16:50	Will Birmingham City win on 2026-07-31?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x9f8cc9…
07-31 19:51:59	cs2 pain ast10 2026 07 30	Astralis	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x1f0a29…
07-31 19:22:56	cs2 pain ast10 2026 07 30	paiN	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x61e169…
07-31 19:21:51	cs2 pain ast10 2026 07 30	paiN	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xe23965…
07-31 19:21:35	cs2 pain ast10 2026 07 30	paiN	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xd68aff…
07-31 19:21:30	cs2 pain ast10 2026 07 30	paiN	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x9b6505…
07-31 19:21:29	cs2 pain ast10 2026 07 30	paiN	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x7ebe45…
07-31 19:21:17	cs2 pain ast10 2026 07 30	paiN	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x2b6ef1…
07-31 19:20:12	cs2 pain ast10 2026 07 30	paiN	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xe68aa3…
07-25 14:16:13	Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xa726bd…
07-23 15:01:27	cs2 sin2 fut 2026 07 23	FUT Esports	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x0e64b3…
07-23 15:01:10	cs2 sin2 fut 2026 07 23	FUT Esports	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xa8e49d…
07-23 14:14:09	cs2 sin2 fut 2026 07 23 game2	FUT Esports	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xe4acc9…
07-23 14:14:09	cs2 sin2 fut 2026 07 23 game2	FUT Esports	BUY	5	94¢	$4	0x31f657…
07-23 14:11:18	cs2 sin2 fut 2026 07 23 game2	FUT Esports	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xdf409d…
07-23 14:11:15	cs2 sin2 fut 2026 07 23 game2	FUT Esports	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x2befdd…
07-23 13:51:27	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0xdf0953…
07-23 12:22:21	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x55c530…
07-23 12:19:18	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	117	14¢	$16	0x7a06fd…
07-19 21:41:30	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	149	40¢	$60	0x395e1f…