Fixed-Waistband — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$202

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 06-09 01:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Sports

69% 50% +$8

Crypto

30% 55% $-3

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
James Harden: Points O/U 19.5	3	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	05-16 01:50
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 17.5	2	$14	9	9	+0	Yes	+$4	05-13 03:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	4	$13	28	28	+0	open	—	05-14 15:44
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	2	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	05-18 02:49
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	2	$9	7	7	+0	Cavaliers	+$5	05-14 03:08
James Harden: Points O/U 18.5	2	$8	8	8	+0	Yes	$-0	05-14 01:59
Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.5	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	05-20 04:47
OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-22 03:13
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-21 03:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 14:59
Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-21 03:46
James Harden: Points O/U 18.5	1	$4	8	0	+8	open	—	05-17 03:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	05-14 15:19
Spurs vs. Thunder	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-19 03:55
Spurs vs. Thunder	1	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	05-26 23:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-22 03:50
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers	1	$3	8	0	+8	open	—	05-18 07:28
Thunder vs. Spurs	1	$3	9	0	+9	open	—	05-28 01:56
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	05-20 10:27
Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-21 03:46
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-23 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	3	$3	3	1	+1	Up	+$0	05-12 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	4	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	05-15 14:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	3	$3	4	1	+3	open	—	05-15 04:19
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	05-21 23:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$2	6	6	+0	open	—	05-15 15:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 14:55
Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-24 23:32
James Harden: Points O/U 18.5	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-25 23:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 01:44:24	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x50b9c0…
06-04 00:48:55	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Knicks	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xc095c9…
05-31 23:24:48	Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals	Chicago Cubs	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x3d8356…
05-28 02:06:04	Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky	Chicago Sky	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe3ac64…
05-28 01:56:05	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	9	41¢	$3	0xacb30d…
05-27 23:49:14	Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox	Atlanta Braves	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x7dc4ca…
05-26 23:48:03	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0xa6db89…
05-26 15:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc6b510…
05-26 02:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xbae848…
05-25 23:55:12	Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5aa34d…
05-25 23:54:44	Jarrett Allen: Assists O/U 0.5	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x1d9b38…
05-25 23:53:43	James Harden: Points O/U 18.5	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x5e4c30…
05-24 23:36:35	De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x252629…
05-24 23:32:21	Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline	Thunder	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xfec625…
05-24 01:03:25	Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H Moneyline	Cavaliers	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x8dc2a4…
05-23 00:49:52	Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Cleveland Guardians	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0f62c7…
05-23 00:24:49	Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline	Thunder	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x84b5c9…
05-23 00:24:05	Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x907b5b…
05-23 00:22:25	Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc8fb7d…
05-22 03:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x9803a2…
05-22 03:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x83ab6b…
05-22 03:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x21158b…
05-22 03:13:37	OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x209f48…
05-21 23:40:38	Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 8.5	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x85ca64…
05-21 23:39:14	Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x967b7a…
05-21 23:34:13	OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x1aea97…
05-21 23:33:37	Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline	Knicks	BUY	4	62¢	$3	0x9c6671…
05-21 03:46:30	Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xdb8c9d…
05-21 03:46:16	Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc4bc4b…
05-21 03:31:44	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x02a32e…
05-21 03:11:12	Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	Golden Knights	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xabb241…
05-20 23:43:32	Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	Golden Knights	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xe23125…
05-20 10:27:40	Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5	Yes	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xc38bed…
05-20 10:25:53	Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x2e083f…
05-20 10:23:53	Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc842b4…
05-20 04:47:56	Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.5	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x58059a…
05-19 23:49:27	Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.5	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xc8a967…
05-19 03:55:02	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x5bafdf…
05-19 03:20:46	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x9a1bc6…
05-18 07:28:45	Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0x82a5c8…
05-18 02:49:15	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x1e007c…
05-17 03:18:24	James Harden: Points O/U 18.5	Yes	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x6dea51…
05-17 03:17:39	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xf0b302…
05-16 02:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9f295c…
05-16 01:50:23	James Harden: Points O/U 19.5	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x4c4d53…
05-16 01:50:09	James Harden: Points O/U 19.5	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x433fe7…
05-15 15:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x01c262…
05-15 15:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	6	25¢	$1	0xdc65fc…
05-15 15:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd9ccde…
05-15 14:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xce03ab…
05-15 14:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x64dc2d…
05-15 14:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1ccca8…
05-15 14:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x5c2862…
05-15 13:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x97708d…
05-15 06:43:00	James Harden: Points O/U 19.5	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xe34f28…
05-15 04:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8f34d0…
05-15 04:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5a4ab0…
05-15 04:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xac7cf6…
05-14 16:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xbdb807…
05-14 15:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6d5d88…
05-14 15:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x7d5e0e…
05-14 15:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$2	0x5552b3…
05-14 15:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xfd1a1d…
05-14 15:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	25	34¢	$8	0xe50ce5…
05-14 15:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x549bde…
05-14 15:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x9d8922…
05-14 15:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x4b6f07…
05-14 15:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x9f0a82…
05-14 03:08:21	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xd525fe…
05-14 02:01:51	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xc3ba5b…
05-14 01:59:15	James Harden: Points O/U 18.5	Yes	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0xcf59c5…
05-13 14:36:42	James Harden: Points O/U 18.5	Yes	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x0f7b80…
05-13 03:32:15	De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 17.5	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x61b575…
05-12 23:51:38	De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 17.5	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x7d7a1c…
05-12 15:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xce6b28…
05-12 15:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x80f1bc…
05-12 14:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xe13172…
05-12 14:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x1d79a1…
05-12 14:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x768d75…
05-12 14:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x6565ee…
05-12 13:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x2aea20…
05-12 13:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xfe21f8…
05-12 13:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x20d2c4…
05-12 13:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x28eaf2…
05-12 13:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x2ca4df…
05-12 13:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0xde7cf2…
05-12 13:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x381d4c…
05-12 13:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0x49af71…
05-12 13:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x5491fc…
05-12 08:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x3612a0…
05-12 05:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x51ca5f…
05-12 05:15:20	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf997e8…
05-11 01:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x64eec1…