Immense-Manipulation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$30

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.8%

Resolved

106

Trades

8,608

lifetime

Volume

$17.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 07-23 12:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 40% $-30

Politics

2% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 213 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1783882800	4	$108	95	95	+0	open	—	07-12 19:04
btc updown 5m 1773075000	3	$85	60	60	+0	open	—	03-09 16:55
israel strikes iran by january 16 2026 418	2	$75	235	235	+0	open	—	01-11 06:59
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	1	$68	1,269	0	+1,269	open	—	02-27 16:41
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?	2	$63	350	350	+0	open	—	01-11 16:46
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$53	282	0	+282	open	—	01-25 15:07
btc updown 5m 1772009100	5	$42	51	51	+1	open	—	02-25 08:50
btc updown 5m 1772008800	4	$41	29	29	+0	open	—	02-25 08:44
btc updown 5m 1773058200	2	$38	30	30	+0	open	—	03-09 12:15
btc updown 5m 1771986600	4	$38	45	17	+28	open	—	02-25 02:34
btc updown 5m 1771966500	5	$37	34	34	+1	open	—	02-24 20:58
btc updown 5m 1772004300	4	$35	37	37	+1	open	—	02-25 07:29
btc updown 5m 1771991700	3	$34	35	20	+15	open	—	02-25 04:00
btc updown 5m 1772020200	3	$33	36	19	+17	open	—	02-25 11:55
btc updown 5m 1771995600	4	$32	45	45	+0	open	—	02-25 05:01
btc updown 5m 1771971000	3	$32	38	18	+20	open	—	02-24 22:16
btc updown 5m 1771965000	4	$32	41	40	+1	open	—	02-24 20:32
btc updown 5m 1771970700	4	$32	36	35	+1	open	—	02-24 22:10
btc updown 5m 1771988100	3	$32	36	18	+19	open	—	02-25 03:01
btc updown 5m 1771962600	3	$32	35	18	+18	open	—	02-24 19:55
btc updown 5m 1771959900	4	$31	38	37	+1	open	—	02-24 19:11
btc updown 5m 1772010000	3	$31	30	17	+13	open	—	02-25 09:04
btc updown 5m 1771968600	3	$30	35	21	+14	open	—	02-24 21:35
btc updown 5m 1771995900	4	$30	39	38	+0	open	—	02-25 05:07
btc updown 5m 1772021100	3	$30	39	33	+5	open	—	02-25 12:08
btc updown 5m 1771970400	3	$30	34	20	+14	open	—	02-24 22:04
btc updown 5m 1771894500	4	$29	38	35	+3	open	—	02-24 01:00
btc updown 5m 1771988400	3	$29	32	15	+16	open	—	02-25 03:06
btc updown 5m 1771894200	4	$29	31	31	+0	open	—	02-24 00:54
will venezuela give the us oil by january 31	2	$29	20	92	-71	open	—	01-09 14:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 15:49:31	sol updown 15m 1784821500	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4ed9a1…
07-23 15:39:55	eth updown 15m 1784820600	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4906fd…
07-23 15:18:28	sol updown 15m 1784819700	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x410d07…
07-23 14:42:00	xrp updown 15m 1784817000	Down	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xab5b84…
07-23 14:41:57	sol updown 15m 1784817000	Down	SELL	7	53¢	$4	0x20b1da…
07-23 14:41:51	eth updown 15m 1784817000	Down	SELL	5	68¢	$4	0x0c9394…
07-23 14:41:43	btc updown 15m 1784817000	Down	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x0450ab…
07-23 14:39:21	btc updown 15m 1784817000	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x605d31…
07-23 14:38:00	sol updown 15m 1784817000	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x60c367…
07-23 14:37:52	xrp updown 15m 1784817000	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x54a5b3…
07-23 14:37:34	eth updown 15m 1784817000	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x727ca1…
07-23 14:36:13	eth updown 15m 1784817000	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x794e19…
07-23 14:19:22	btc updown 15m 1784816100	Down	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x39dd29…
07-23 14:18:36	btc updown 15m 1784816100	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x445ef3…
07-23 14:15:31	sol updown 15m 1784815200	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x085ce2…
07-23 14:11:40	sol updown 15m 1784815200	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xcaed16…
07-23 14:10:06	sol updown 15m 1784815200	Up	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x588db1…
07-23 14:09:45	btc updown 15m 1784815200	Up	SELL	3	53¢	$2	0x1282e1…
07-23 14:09:39	btc updown 15m 1784815200	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x7c9ed7…
07-23 14:09:25	sol updown 15m 1784815200	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x00ac9d…
07-23 13:53:16	xrp updown 15m 1784814300	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xc3fc37…
07-23 13:53:10	xrp updown 15m 1784814300	Up	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0xd22653…
07-23 13:53:03	xrp updown 15m 1784814300	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x2a733a…
07-23 13:26:06	btc updown 15m 1784812500	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xf6669a…
07-23 13:24:12	xrp updown 15m 1784812500	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xacf418…
07-23 12:59:18	btc updown 15m 1784810700	Down	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0xa2c5ca…
07-23 12:58:51	sol updown 15m 1784810700	Down	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0xc9ed9a…
07-23 12:55:22	xrp updown 15m 1784810700	Down	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0x572fcf…
07-23 12:53:40	sol updown 15m 1784810700	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xf79a11…
07-23 12:52:45	btc updown 15m 1784810700	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xb3bdcd…
07-23 12:51:12	xrp updown 15m 1784810700	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xfa727c…
07-23 12:46:33	btc updown 15m 1784810700	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x9ed1fb…
07-23 12:46:21	eth updown 15m 1784810700	Down	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0x54ee66…
07-23 12:45:49	eth updown 15m 1784810700	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x063fad…
07-23 12:45:45	btc updown 15m 1784810700	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb8c434…
07-23 10:26:31	eth updown 15m 1784801700	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x764ae3…
07-23 10:21:39	btc updown 15m 1784801700	Down	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0xc36024…
07-23 10:18:58	eth updown 15m 1784801700	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x46548d…
07-23 10:18:42	btc updown 15m 1784801700	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x47ed53…
07-23 10:07:27	xrp updown 15m 1784800800	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x3850a6…
07-23 10:07:15	xrp updown 15m 1784800800	Up	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0xf1ca26…
07-23 10:07:10	xrp updown 15m 1784800800	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x17081f…
07-23 10:03:46	xrp updown 15m 1784800800	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x673911…
07-23 09:27:19	xrp updown 15m 1784798100	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x816a32…
07-23 09:24:24	eth updown 15m 1784798100	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x6c65b8…
07-23 08:26:25	xrp updown 15m 1784794500	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x8ed99f…
07-23 08:08:19	xrp updown 15m 1784793600	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x87cd18…
07-23 08:04:42	btc updown 15m 1784793600	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc7828a…
07-23 08:04:19	eth updown 15m 1784793600	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x78b334…
07-23 08:04:19	sol updown 15m 1784793600	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x4b988d…
07-23 07:42:51	xrp updown 15m 1784791800	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x128d42…
07-23 07:25:16	xrp updown 15m 1784790900	Up	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x55eb4b…
07-23 07:24:33	xrp updown 15m 1784790900	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x996f94…
07-23 07:19:45	btc updown 15m 1784790900	Down	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x60a405…
07-23 07:19:16	eth updown 15m 1784790900	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb1920f…
07-23 07:19:09	btc updown 15m 1784790900	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x475691…
07-23 05:12:37	eth updown 15m 1784782800	Down	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0x811d3d…
07-23 05:12:33	btc updown 15m 1784782800	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0xcd999a…
07-23 05:07:42	sol updown 15m 1784782800	Up	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x827529…
07-23 05:06:54	xrp updown 15m 1784782800	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$2	0xd47792…
07-23 05:05:01	xrp updown 15m 1784782800	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x13aaf2…
07-23 05:04:28	sol updown 15m 1784782800	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xd9399e…
07-23 05:04:16	eth updown 15m 1784782800	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xbb2f36…
07-23 05:03:51	btc updown 15m 1784782800	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x30fee5…
07-23 04:38:28	xrp updown 15m 1784781000	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x1ac75d…
07-23 04:23:19	sol updown 15m 1784780100	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xd93ff5…
07-23 04:11:03	sol updown 15m 1784779200	Down	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0x495b53…
07-23 04:07:04	sol updown 15m 1784779200	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x8fc24e…
07-23 02:52:00	xrp updown 15m 1784774700	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x4c8422…
07-23 01:23:51	xrp updown 15m 1784769300	Down	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x7c382b…
07-23 01:23:01	eth updown 15m 1784769300	Up	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0x546267…
07-23 01:22:36	xrp updown 15m 1784769300	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc9a723…
07-23 01:21:55	eth updown 15m 1784769300	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x11c9c5…
07-23 01:13:52	sol updown 15m 1784768400	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xd2a89c…
07-23 01:13:13	eth updown 15m 1784768400	Down	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0x5cf346…
07-23 01:12:49	btc updown 15m 1784768400	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xd1acec…
07-23 01:11:25	sol updown 15m 1784768400	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x9f8c6a…
07-23 01:10:37	eth updown 15m 1784768400	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x2034cd…
07-23 01:10:24	btc updown 15m 1784768400	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd54512…
07-23 01:05:46	xrp updown 15m 1784768400	Down	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0xe44b21…
07-23 01:05:37	sol updown 15m 1784768400	Down	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0xf0a688…
07-23 01:04:40	xrp updown 15m 1784768400	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7b0b79…
07-23 01:04:30	sol updown 15m 1784768400	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x6a46df…
07-23 00:53:07	sol updown 15m 1784767500	Down	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0xb24108…
07-23 00:52:00	sol updown 15m 1784767500	Up	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0xa25bbe…
07-23 00:51:51	sol updown 15m 1784767500	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe52503…
07-23 00:50:46	sol updown 15m 1784767500	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xdf7106…
07-23 00:50:28	xrp updown 15m 1784767500	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xcdef83…
07-23 00:49:15	eth updown 15m 1784767500	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x74c916…
07-23 00:48:33	btc updown 15m 1784767500	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x49502e…
07-22 21:03:42	sol updown 15m 1784754000	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x16035d…
07-22 20:45:28	xrp updown 15m 1784752200	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xeb7322…
07-22 20:41:04	sol updown 15m 1784752200	Down	SELL	2	89¢	$1	0xc1ec05…
07-22 20:38:42	xrp updown 15m 1784752200	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x745ce6…
07-22 20:38:18	eth updown 15m 1784752200	Up	SELL	4	41¢	$1	0x169bb8…
07-22 20:37:24	eth updown 15m 1784752200	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xbec16e…
07-22 20:36:49	sol updown 15m 1784752200	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x0992b4…
07-22 20:35:36	sol updown 15m 1784752200	Down	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0xb2a903…
07-22 20:35:09	btc updown 15m 1784752200	Up	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0x96ac4d…
07-22 20:34:15	btc updown 15m 1784752200	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x49a8a3…