Immense-Manipulation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$30

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.8%

Resolved

106

Trades

6,448

lifetime

Volume

$14.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 07-03 00:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 40% $-30

Politics

3% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 107 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1773075000	3	$85	60	60	+0	open	—	03-09 16:55
israel strikes iran by january 16 2026 418	2	$75	235	235	+0	open	—	01-11 06:59
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	1	$68	1,269	0	+1,269	open	—	02-27 16:41
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?	2	$63	350	350	+0	open	—	01-11 16:46
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$53	282	0	+282	open	—	01-25 15:07
btc updown 5m 1772009100	5	$42	51	51	+1	open	—	02-25 08:50
btc updown 5m 1772008800	4	$41	29	29	+0	open	—	02-25 08:44
btc updown 5m 1773058200	2	$38	30	30	+0	open	—	03-09 12:15
btc updown 5m 1771986600	4	$38	45	17	+28	open	—	02-25 02:34
btc updown 5m 1771966500	5	$37	34	34	+1	open	—	02-24 20:58
btc updown 5m 1772004300	4	$35	37	37	+1	open	—	02-25 07:29
btc updown 5m 1771991700	3	$34	35	20	+15	open	—	02-25 04:00
btc updown 5m 1772020200	3	$33	36	19	+17	open	—	02-25 11:55
btc updown 5m 1771995600	4	$32	45	45	+0	open	—	02-25 05:01
btc updown 5m 1771971000	3	$32	38	18	+20	open	—	02-24 22:16
btc updown 5m 1771965000	4	$32	41	40	+1	open	—	02-24 20:32
btc updown 5m 1771970700	4	$32	36	35	+1	open	—	02-24 22:10
btc updown 5m 1771988100	3	$32	36	18	+19	open	—	02-25 03:01
btc updown 5m 1771962600	3	$32	35	18	+18	open	—	02-24 19:55
btc updown 5m 1771959900	4	$31	38	37	+1	open	—	02-24 19:11
btc updown 5m 1772010000	3	$31	30	17	+13	open	—	02-25 09:04
btc updown 5m 1771968600	3	$30	35	21	+14	open	—	02-24 21:35
btc updown 5m 1771995900	4	$30	39	38	+0	open	—	02-25 05:07
btc updown 5m 1772021100	3	$30	39	33	+5	open	—	02-25 12:08
btc updown 5m 1771970400	3	$30	34	20	+14	open	—	02-24 22:04
btc updown 5m 1771894500	4	$29	38	35	+3	open	—	02-24 01:00
btc updown 5m 1771988400	3	$29	32	15	+16	open	—	02-25 03:06
btc updown 5m 1771894200	4	$29	31	31	+0	open	—	02-24 00:54
will venezuela give the us oil by january 31	2	$29	20	92	-71	open	—	01-09 14:11
btc updown 5m 1771990200	3	$29	31	19	+12	open	—	02-25 03:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 09:05:38	btc updown 15m 1783069200	Down	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0xd33a25…
07-03 09:03:38	btc updown 15m 1783069200	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x768ce2…
07-03 07:35:44	btc updown 15m 1783063800	Down	SELL	2	23¢	$0	0x3693b5…
07-03 07:32:26	btc updown 15m 1783063800	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x53fcd0…
07-03 00:32:44	btc updown 15m 1783038600	Down	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x1033a1…
07-03 00:30:07	btc updown 15m 1783038600	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xed94b6…
07-03 00:21:16	btc updown 15m 1783037700	Down	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0x9b02de…
07-03 00:15:07	btc updown 15m 1783037700	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xde095f…
07-02 23:37:44	btc updown 15m 1783035000	Down	SELL	3	54¢	$1	0x3bace2…
07-02 23:36:43	btc updown 15m 1783035000	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x6bf13f…
07-02 23:00:31	btc updown 15m 1783033200	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x2ac397…
07-02 23:00:07	btc updown 15m 1783033200	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x5a6514…
07-02 22:46:31	btc updown 15m 1783032300	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xe5b926…
07-02 22:45:58	btc updown 15m 1783032300	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x05e856…
07-02 21:51:43	btc updown 15m 1783028700	Down	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0xfdce22…
07-02 21:50:07	btc updown 15m 1783028700	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x3f9840…
07-02 21:30:31	btc updown 15m 1783027800	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x990b95…
07-02 20:35:10	btc updown 15m 1783024200	Down	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0x54c3ac…
07-02 20:30:07	btc updown 15m 1783024200	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x9ef1a5…
07-02 18:22:34	btc updown 15m 1783016100	Up	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0xf08380…
07-02 18:20:16	btc updown 15m 1783016100	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xc93a6f…
07-02 17:55:10	btc updown 15m 1783014300	Up	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0x199c0b…
07-02 17:54:28	btc updown 15m 1783014300	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x4fc2f9…
07-02 17:18:20	btc updown 15m 1783012500	Up	SELL	4	58¢	$3	0x21a1c6…
07-02 17:15:34	btc updown 15m 1783012500	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x036ecd…
07-02 16:47:16	btc updown 15m 1783010700	Up	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0xcbeaf8…
07-02 16:45:34	btc updown 15m 1783010700	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xf07702…
07-02 16:36:01	btc updown 15m 1783009800	Down	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0xe59823…
07-02 16:34:05	btc updown 15m 1783009800	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xcf27f4…
07-02 15:12:14	btc updown 15m 1783004400	Up	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x7d04fb…
07-02 15:04:31	btc updown 15m 1783004400	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x5e469b…
07-02 14:16:47	btc updown 15m 1783001700	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x9f4031…
07-02 14:15:19	btc updown 15m 1783000800	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc095b8…
07-02 14:03:32	btc updown 15m 1783000800	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xbb520a…
07-02 13:30:28	btc updown 15m 1782998100	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x32d4c5…
07-02 13:29:38	btc updown 15m 1782998100	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe451d5…
07-02 13:29:11	btc updown 15m 1782998100	Up	SELL	4	59¢	$2	0x547066…
07-02 13:29:05	btc updown 15m 1782998100	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x0938e9…
07-02 13:08:59	btc updown 15m 1782997200	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x6bae7b…
07-02 11:27:35	btc updown 15m 1782990900	Down	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0xce570c…
07-02 11:27:23	btc updown 15m 1782990900	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xebdb78…
07-02 10:13:16	btc updown 15m 1782986400	Up	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x6c07e6…
07-02 10:12:35	btc updown 15m 1782986400	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x579b69…
07-02 10:08:10	btc updown 15m 1782986400	Up	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0x426c63…
07-02 10:07:38	btc updown 15m 1782986400	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xf5113b…
07-02 07:56:44	btc updown 15m 1782978300	Down	SELL	19	32¢	$6	0xad15bd…
07-02 07:51:11	btc updown 15m 1782978300	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x2a0a6b…
07-02 07:03:38	btc updown 15m 1782975600	Down	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0x3c2062…
07-02 07:02:10	btc updown 15m 1782975600	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x69e36c…
07-02 06:25:04	btc updown 15m 1782972900	Down	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0x655b64…
07-02 06:16:38	btc updown 15m 1782972900	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xcfc288…
07-01 22:00:35	btc updown 15m 1782942300	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf0982f…
07-01 21:58:08	btc updown 15m 1782942300	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x5a09b6…
07-01 19:42:32	btc updown 15m 1782934200	Down	SELL	16	42¢	$7	0xc97295…
07-01 19:42:22	btc updown 15m 1782934200	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xe808f9…
07-01 18:47:01	btc updown 15m 1782931500	Up	SELL	13	39¢	$5	0xab91d7…
07-01 18:46:08	btc updown 15m 1782931500	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xa34042…
07-01 18:21:25	btc updown 15m 1782929700	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x678ac4…
07-01 18:19:17	btc updown 15m 1782929700	Down	SELL	7	17¢	$1	0x9f39ea…
07-01 18:18:58	btc updown 15m 1782929700	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x3c6661…
07-01 14:27:01	btc updown 15m 1782915300	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x852d2f…
07-01 14:18:34	btc updown 15m 1782915300	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xa3c42e…
07-01 14:17:25	btc updown 15m 1782915300	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x72278b…
07-01 13:30:47	btc updown 15m 1782912600	Down	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xae9ba8…
07-01 13:25:49	btc updown 15m 1782911700	Down	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0x8181f4…
07-01 13:25:40	btc updown 15m 1782911700	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf412c4…
07-01 13:17:29	btc updown 15m 1782911700	Up	SELL	4	63¢	$3	0x6b5c84…
07-01 13:16:43	btc updown 15m 1782911700	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x993ae2…
07-01 13:08:37	btc updown 15m 1782910800	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xeab902…
07-01 12:50:37	btc updown 15m 1782909900	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x888391…
07-01 12:17:28	btc updown 15m 1782908100	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x81ebe5…
07-01 11:01:44	btc updown 15m 1782903600	Down	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x83e081…
07-01 11:00:50	btc updown 15m 1782903600	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xdcef00…
07-01 10:47:11	btc updown 15m 1782902700	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf106c3…
07-01 09:50:34	btc updown 15m 1782899100	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0e9abc…
07-01 09:06:07	btc updown 15m 1782896400	Up	SELL	3	51¢	$1	0xbdd858…
07-01 09:05:16	btc updown 15m 1782896400	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xe4b281…
07-01 09:05:01	btc updown 15m 1782896400	Up	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x66bc0a…
07-01 09:03:16	btc updown 15m 1782896400	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x7073a8…
07-01 05:39:40	btc updown 15m 1782883800	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x86da8c…
06-30 19:27:38	btc updown 15m 1782846900	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xb2a5ea…
06-30 19:19:01	btc updown 15m 1782846900	Up	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x85f135…
06-30 19:17:31	btc updown 15m 1782846900	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x6a5702…
06-30 16:16:59	btc updown 15m 1782836100	Down	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x66954f…
06-30 16:16:43	btc updown 15m 1782836100	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x854310…
06-30 16:05:32	btc updown 15m 1782835200	Down	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0xb8f34f…
06-30 16:04:58	btc updown 15m 1782835200	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xfb992f…
06-30 16:03:32	btc updown 15m 1782835200	Down	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0x1f790c…
06-30 16:02:56	btc updown 15m 1782835200	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x2e1106…
06-30 15:45:41	btc updown 15m 1782834300	Up	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0xc2c997…
06-30 15:45:25	btc updown 15m 1782834300	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x6f4bd3…
06-30 15:23:22	btc updown 15m 1782832500	Up	SELL	9	24¢	$2	0xe9d57d…
06-30 15:19:47	btc updown 15m 1782832500	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xbb18c4…
06-30 14:45:43	btc updown 15m 1782830700	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe82d94…
06-30 14:22:13	btc updown 15m 1782828900	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x6e1eab…
06-30 14:19:47	btc updown 15m 1782828900	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x6dde6f…
06-30 13:18:53	btc updown 15m 1782825300	Down	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0x94ca8f…
06-30 13:17:38	btc updown 15m 1782825300	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xdcf2b8…
06-30 13:13:43	btc updown 15m 1782824400	Down	SELL	5	11¢	$0	0xfc4629…
06-30 13:07:02	btc updown 15m 1782824400	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xea11c8…