Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.0%

Resolved

Trades

4,273

lifetime

Volume

$120.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-12 03:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Other

62% 76% +$82

Politics

22% 75% -$24

Tech

13% 67% -$16

Crypto

3% 69% -$23

Sports

0% 25% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	170	$21.5K	12,983	9,355	+3,629	No	+$60	04-27 17:44
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	133	$10.5K	6,286	4,681	+1,605	No	+$17	05-31 21:54
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	277	$6.0K	3,066	3,122	-56	Yes	+$3	02-27 06:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	336	$5.8K	10,221	10,102	+119	No	-$5	07-04 20:08
will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	302	$5.5K	2,870	2,844	+26	No	+$6	02-27 07:27
will xai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	199	$5.1K	2,505	2,668	-163	No	-$5	01-30 14:18
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	217	$5.0K	2,522	2,589	-67	Yes	+$3	01-31 12:14
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	75	$4.7K	2,619	2,088	+531	No	+$6	03-24 01:31
will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	247	$4.6K	2,313	2,421	-108	No	+$1	02-27 06:28
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	66	$4.4K	2,386	1,997	+389	No	+$5	04-03 04:26
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	75	$4.3K	2,267	2,183	+84	No	-$1	08-29 13:24
will elon musk be richest person on march 31	69	$3.7K	1,918	1,785	+134	Yes	+$8	03-31 18:58
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	114	$2.6K	1,325	1,300	+25	No	+$2	01-31 12:49
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	116	$2.6K	1,358	1,360	-3	Yes	+$1	01-23 07:49
will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	129	$2.5K	1,301	1,249	+52	No	+$2	01-31 13:40
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	101	$2.4K	1,259	1,259	+0	Yes	+$2	02-27 04:51
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	86	$2.2K	1,108	1,135	-27	No	+$0	02-01 01:36
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	96	$2.1K	966	1,134	-169	No	-$1	01-30 12:52
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	75	$2.0K	1,626	1,521	+105	Yes	$0	07-31 16:01
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	83	$1.9K	909	978	-69	No	-$1	01-30 12:00
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	79	$1.6K	727	1,007	-280	No	-$28	01-23 20:10
ilhan omar town hall attack staged	61	$1.5K	756	767	-11	No	+$1	02-28 07:04
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	79	$1.5K	665	920	-256	No	-$19	01-21 03:05
another critical cloudflare incident by january 31	67	$1.3K	726	710	+16	No	$0	01-31 13:23
will ethereum reach 3600 in january 2026	71	$1.2K	600	600	+0	No	+$1	01-31 06:51
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	54	$1.1K	586	576	+10	Yes	+$7	03-15 22:50
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	56	$987	535	509	+26	Yes	-$24	02-06 14:34
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	50	$952	480	480	+0	No	+$0	02-08 22:34
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	60	$669	332	346	-14	No	+$0	02-27 13:01
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	3	$638	394	394	+0	No	+$8	03-15 08:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-12 03:49:54	Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x367fbb…
08-29 13:24:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	SELL	85	100¢	$85	0x637201…
08-24 14:42:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x8cdbd8…
08-21 18:49:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	85	100¢	$85	0x1ff082…
08-20 14:53:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xad0b50…
08-20 07:09:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	85	100¢	$85	0x94ed3f…
08-19 03:29:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	85	99¢	$84	0x4d18c1…
08-19 02:55:01	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x4e6699…
08-19 02:15:07	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x9677f5…
08-19 01:13:15	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xdc6e3c…
08-19 01:12:21	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xe9c553…
08-19 01:11:36	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x862ac1…
08-19 00:27:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	85	99¢	$84	0x26e291…
08-19 00:17:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	85	99¢	$84	0x00de0a…
08-18 22:16:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	85	99¢	$84	0x8980cb…
08-18 16:23:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xf5fe66…
08-18 16:23:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xba60f0…
08-18 16:23:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x425778…
08-18 16:23:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x1d1797…
08-18 16:23:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x10513c…
08-18 16:12:22	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xf5d16b…
08-18 16:12:03	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x2b94c1…
08-18 14:58:01	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xaaa0d5…
08-18 14:56:43	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x6078d7…
08-18 14:55:15	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xb778ac…
08-18 14:43:09	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x3fc5e5…
08-18 13:54:42	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xca9eca…
08-18 13:52:45	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x4a6163…
08-18 13:51:10	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xedeb3a…
08-18 12:49:52	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x6e37c5…
08-18 12:49:24	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x984e96…
08-18 12:49:00	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x4c6ed3…
08-18 12:48:49	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x873e49…
08-18 11:13:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	85	99¢	$84	0x0b1597…
08-18 10:18:24	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xfae540…
08-18 04:41:27	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xa2e43f…
08-18 04:40:19	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x0a7211…
08-18 04:39:46	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x30e4c0…
08-18 04:32:07	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xfd14d5…
08-18 03:57:40	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x8bb39a…
08-18 03:57:31	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1b5296…
08-18 03:55:31	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xac9583…
08-18 03:54:40	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x19eed8…
08-18 03:41:21	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xe7e383…
08-18 03:34:18	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x5ab6da…
08-18 03:33:48	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x68b154…
08-18 03:32:40	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xab175a…
08-18 03:21:58	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xe84957…
08-18 03:21:22	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x1bfa82…
08-18 03:16:04	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xa391bf…
08-18 03:13:54	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x7779cb…
08-18 03:13:22	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x2832f5…
08-18 03:10:01	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x47b5c3…
08-18 03:09:13	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x0e79ab…
08-17 22:24:00	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xcc10c7…
08-17 20:31:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	85	99¢	$84	0x3a579c…
08-17 20:16:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	85	99¢	$84	0x3e8638…
08-17 13:41:57	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0xe2491f…
08-17 13:39:52	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x2e657e…
08-17 13:39:00	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x12e50d…
08-17 13:37:39	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x093a0a…
08-17 13:35:34	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x772a91…
08-17 13:30:19	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x5b16df…
08-17 13:28:45	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x20a94d…
08-17 13:27:55	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xfcea51…
08-17 13:27:16	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0xc9950c…
08-17 13:26:16	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xe143c3…
08-17 10:26:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	85	99¢	$84	0xe548e3…
08-17 09:06:24	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x1166b0…
08-17 09:03:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	77	99¢	$76	0x069b70…
08-17 01:42:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x3adc8e…
08-17 01:40:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0xd9f38d…
08-17 01:31:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x248ac4…
08-17 01:21:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	82	99¢	$81	0x580d83…
08-16 21:07:15	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xb49e2a…
08-16 15:24:37	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	97¢	$14	0x93fc89…
08-16 12:23:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	85	99¢	$84	0xe34457…
08-16 11:36:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	85	99¢	$84	0x46204e…
08-16 11:28:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	85	99¢	$84	0xc1cbce…
08-16 10:14:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	85	99¢	$84	0xf57c13…
08-16 06:48:13	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x2902e5…
08-16 06:48:09	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x73d0e3…
08-16 04:31:19	Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8d5392…
08-16 02:48:34	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0xc3436d…
08-15 16:59:09	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xc7030e…
08-15 02:32:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	85	98¢	$84	0x2455ab…
08-15 00:50:06	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x1eb0ab…
08-14 22:24:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	85	98¢	$84	0xb212ab…
08-14 20:13:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	85	98¢	$84	0x3ac701…
08-14 19:55:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	85	98¢	$84	0x00b954…
08-14 15:35:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	85	98¢	$84	0x5fabe3…
08-14 15:26:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	85	98¢	$84	0xa87015…
08-14 14:31:03	Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x5f4998…
08-14 14:24:54	Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x69f2f4…
08-14 13:45:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	85	98¢	$84	0x81c27d…
08-14 12:39:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	85	98¢	$84	0x1bc2ce…
08-14 11:16:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	85	98¢	$84	0x16e67f…
08-14 10:14:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	85	98¢	$84	0x89bcb3…
08-14 10:07:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	85	98¢	$83	0x8ea2cf…
08-14 09:24:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	85	98¢	$84	0x5a0a9f…