Somber-Crewmate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.35K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.7%

Resolved

171

Trades

326

lifetime

Volume

$27.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$85

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 05-30 12:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Politics

63% 27% -$266

Crypto

22% 39% -$297

Other

14% 9% -$725

Sports

0% 0% -$53

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$8

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-30).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	10	$6.3K	7,821	7,821	+0	No	-$2,740	05-30 12:34
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	5	$2.7K	1,843	1,843	+0	No	+$453	05-27 21:54
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	4	$2.3K	1,527	1,527	+0	No	+$651	05-24 16:11
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	6	$2.0K	1,437	1,437	+0	No	+$765	04-28 06:44
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	2	$1.6K	2,263	2,263	+0	Yes	-$388	05-06 23:41
Shymkent 2: Mathys Erhard vs Andrej Nedic	11	$1.3K	1,814	1,814	+0	Andrej Nedic	+$257	04-29 08:03
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste	14	$1.1K	1,574	1,574	+0	Hailey Baptiste	+$490	04-28 20:35
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	5	$861	761	761	+0	No	+$605	04-21 21:15
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	2	$788	500	500	+0	No	+$188	04-27 21:30
Ebola case in the US by June 30?	3	$522	1,494	0	+1,494	No	-$522	05-30 12:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 09:40 UTC	2	$492	299	295	+4	Down	+$96	03-20 09:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 09:50 UTC	3	$435	323	318	+4	Down	+$200	03-20 09:55
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	2	$382	274	274	+0	No	+$162	04-24 19:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 10:05 UTC	2	$366	272	268	+4	Down	+$169	03-20 10:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	5	$327	1,510	385	+1,125	Up	+$27	05-27 22:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	3	$317	312	312	+0	Down	+$117	05-27 22:08
Will Trump say "Transgender" at The Villages on May 1?	1	$300	665	0	+665	Yes	-$300	05-01 15:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 09:20 UTC	2	$273	175	173	+3	Down	+$75	03-20 09:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 09:10 UTC	2	$247	160	158	+2	Down	+$70	03-20 09:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 09:35 UTC	2	$246	148	146	+2	Up	+$48	03-20 09:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 10:15 UTC	2	$200	389	0	+389	Up	-$200	03-20 10:16
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	3	$182	632	132	+500	No	+$80	04-24 19:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	2	$161	140	140	+0	Down	+$21	04-29 10:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	2	$157	88	88	+0	Up	+$17	04-29 10:11
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	5	$154	399	135	+264	Down	-$6	05-04 21:59
Abidjan 2: Gauthier Onclin vs Oscar Weightman	7	$138	2,008	0	+2,008	Gauthier Onclin	-$138	04-28 21:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$125	945	0	+945	Down	-$125	05-27 22:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$120	448	0	+448	Up	-$120	05-01 14:46
Jiujiang: Matthew Dellavedova vs Liam Broady	3	$120	1,072	0	+1,072	Liam Broady	-$120	04-29 09:55
Abidjan 2: Niels Visker vs Younes Laaroussi	7	$110	11,604	0	+11,604	Niels Visker	-$110	04-28 21:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 12:35:22	Ebola case in the US by June 30?	Yes	BUY	812	34¢	$276	0xe94e0a…
05-30 12:34:54	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,008	14¢	$281	0x759c04…
05-29 15:17:29	Ebola case in the US by June 30?	Yes	BUY	242	33¢	$80	0x3afbf2…
05-29 14:59:57	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	580	69¢	$400	0xc537f8…
05-29 14:59:26	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,429	70¢	$1,000	0xadd804…
05-29 14:57:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5,813	26¢	$1,488	0x9fa1b3…
05-27 22:44:38	Ebola case in the US by June 30?	Yes	BUY	440	38¢	$166	0xdda616…
05-27 22:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0x37b2b2…
05-27 22:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0xa40ccd…
05-27 22:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	164	46¢	$76	0xadd3df…
05-27 22:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	164	15¢	$25	0xf0ef47…
05-27 22:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	388	26¢	$100	0x3bf915…
05-27 22:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	404	6¢	$25	0xe069e6…
05-27 22:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	122	30¢	$37	0x628bd1…
05-27 22:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	703	4¢	$25	0x5bf351…
05-27 22:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	242	41¢	$100	0x4bb6d5…
05-27 22:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	237	79¢	$187	0xa2509c…
05-27 22:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	75	40¢	$30	0x49a2fa…
05-27 22:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0xaa46d0…
05-27 22:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	439	4¢	$18	0xbae60f…
05-27 22:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	186	4¢	$7	0x0d12fd…
05-27 22:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	500	5¢	$25	0x5c9d13…
05-27 22:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	385	46¢	$177	0xa1bed5…
05-27 22:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	385	26¢	$100	0xe7219b…
05-27 21:54:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	118	88¢	$104	0xa1e402…
05-27 21:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0xb9d786…
05-27 21:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0x4055f5…
05-27 21:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0x918c2f…
05-27 21:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	250	10¢	$25	0x93dd0e…
05-27 21:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	108	6¢	$6	0x1b21e2…
05-27 21:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0xd099a0…
05-27 21:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xb7df16…
05-27 21:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0x286475…
05-27 21:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xcfc60e…
05-27 14:11:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	905	66¢	$600	0x0bca3c…
05-26 06:52:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	861	72¢	$620	0x3ada12…
05-25 08:13:14	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	No	BUY	625	8¢	$50	0x484c04…
05-24 16:13:11	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,702	52¢	$1,400	0x9f6599…
05-24 16:11:07	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	SELL	1,527	95¢	$1,451	0x1e995e…
05-24 11:16:02	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	No	BUY	60	15¢	$9	0x4331c1…
05-24 11:15:13	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	240	38¢	$90	0x512c42…
05-24 11:14:26	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	550	36¢	$200	0x04fb67…
05-24 11:12:39	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	BUY	357	56¢	$200	0xfd00f2…
05-24 10:15:36	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	BUY	557	54¢	$300	0xbca26b…
05-24 09:49:04	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	BUY	612	49¢	$300	0x2df7e6…
05-24 09:48:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xbf34e7…
05-24 09:47:03	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	No	BUY	319	16¢	$50	0x2d49a7…
05-24 09:46:37	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	556	36¢	$200	0x6050f1…
05-24 09:40:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,725	84¢	$1,449	0x78deda…
05-10 18:48:42	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	75	16¢	$12	0x4c723d…
05-06 23:42:25	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,154	52¢	$600	0xa22db9…
05-06 23:41:39	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2,263	27¢	$612	0xc19ef8…
05-04 22:51:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	571	70¢	$400	0xee259b…
05-04 22:51:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,263	44¢	$1,000	0xead47b…
05-04 22:08:12	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	55	3¢	$1	0x08d688…
05-04 22:07:20	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	55	36¢	$20	0xebcb1f…
05-04 21:59:06	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	106	9¢	$10	0x39b73d…
05-04 21:57:42	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	158	13¢	$20	0xdd6ffa…
05-04 21:56:46	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	135	55¢	$74	0xd997a7…
05-04 21:55:52	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0xda0ea4…
05-04 21:55:40	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	81	37¢	$30	0x8c4ba4…
05-04 21:54:34	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	83	92¢	$76	0x287d17…
05-04 21:53:38	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	83	36¢	$30	0x6ad729…
05-03 10:52:22	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	178	17¢	$30	0xdfcde2…
05-03 10:03:16	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x0be1c1…
05-01 15:41:08	Will Trump say "Transgender" at The Villages on May 1?	No	BUY	665	45¢	$300	0x84cd2f…
05-01 14:46:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	448	27¢	$120	0x381dda…
05-01 14:42:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	143	21¢	$30	0xea4293…
05-01 14:06:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	47	24¢	$12	0x0677ac…
05-01 14:06:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	85	23¢	$20	0xf82057…
05-01 14:04:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xa079e1…
05-01 14:00:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	107	27¢	$29	0xfe090b…
05-01 13:59:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x1305dc…
05-01 13:57:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	112	27¢	$30	0x3ac16f…
05-01 12:53:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0x66737c…
05-01 12:01:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x1c24fb…
05-01 12:00:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	114	35¢	$40	0x6cfdfc…
05-01 11:52:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0x6feb13…
05-01 11:46:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x11efe3…
05-01 11:46:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	173	17¢	$30	0xd735af…
04-30 20:18:52	Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs FURIA fe (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stage	FURIA fe	BUY	211	7¢	$15	0x916f98…
04-30 20:17:18	Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs FURIA fe (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stage	FURIA fe	BUY	350	9¢	$30	0xb919d7…
04-30 20:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0xdc0377…
04-30 19:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	81	37¢	$30	0xdc985e…
04-30 19:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	88	34¢	$30	0x6353c0…
04-30 07:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x05a365…
04-30 07:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x9131b1…
04-29 10:17:24	Will Powell say "Oil" during April press conference?	No	BUY	214	7¢	$15	0xd8d548…
04-29 10:15:08	James Comey arrested by May 15?	No	BUY	308	26¢	$80	0xc64f3a…
04-29 10:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	88	99¢	$87	0x94af75…
04-29 10:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	140	65¢	$91	0x6f0f81…
04-29 10:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	140	50¢	$70	0xaf6267…
04-29 10:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	88	80¢	$70	0x65b932…
04-29 09:55:28	Jiujiang: Matthew Dellavedova vs Liam Broady	Matthew Dellavedova	BUY	429	7¢	$30	0x3a971e…
04-29 08:08:16	Jiujiang: Matthew Dellavedova vs Liam Broady	Matthew Dellavedova	BUY	286	14¢	$40	0x595f51…
04-29 08:07:22	Jiujiang: Matthew Dellavedova vs Liam Broady	Matthew Dellavedova	BUY	358	14¢	$50	0xb8dbc0…
04-29 08:03:30	Shymkent 2: Mathys Erhard vs Andrej Nedic	Mathys Erhard	SELL	1,341	41¢	$550	0x98ff9c…
04-29 07:11:36	Shymkent 2: Mathys Erhard vs Andrej Nedic	Mathys Erhard	BUY	333	12¢	$40	0xec2a8e…
04-29 07:05:14	Shymkent 2: Mathys Erhard vs Andrej Nedic	Mathys Erhard	BUY	120	25¢	$30	0x1f597e…
04-29 07:01:20	Shymkent 2: Mathys Erhard vs Andrej Nedic	Mathys Erhard	BUY	110	28¢	$31	0x6f39ae…